Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Epsom Oaks Preview
The Epsom Oaks was first run in 1779 and is the second oldest of the five English Classics, the St Leger being the oldest.
Open to three-year-old fillies only and run over one mile four furlongs at the Epsom racecourse, the second of the fillies classics carries Group 1 status.
Epsom Oaks Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Epsom then head over to the Epsom tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Epsom Oaks market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 103%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Epsom Oaks, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.
Epsom Oaks Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Epsom Oaks next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.14. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Epsom Oaks remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Love, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore who set the fastest winning time in the Epsom Oaks, the runner won the race in a time of 2:34.06 when winning the race in 2020. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Frankie Dettori with Snowfall who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:42.67 in the 2021 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Epsom Oaks over the last 20 renewals:
- Love (2:34.06) in 2020
- Enable (2:34.13) in 2017
- Taghrooda (2:34.89) in 2014
Epsom Oaks Past Winners
Here are the Epsom Oaks past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Epsom Oaks and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:42.06 | Ezeliya (FR) 3yo 9-2 (5 of 12) 13/2 | Chris Hayes D K Weld (IRE) |
| 2023 2:36.41 | Soul Sister (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (10 of 9) 11/4 | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 2:37.83 | Tuesday (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 11) 13/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 2:42.67 | Snowfall (JPN) 3yo 9-0 (12 of 14) 11/2 | Frankie Dettori A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2020 2:34.06 | Love (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 11/10F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 2:36.09 | Anapurna (GB) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 14) 8/1 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 2:40.39 | Forever Together (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 9) 7/1 | Donnacha O'Brien A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 2:34.13 | Enable (GB) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 6/1 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2016 2:42.66 | Minding (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 9) 10/11F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 2:37.41 | Qualify (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 11) 50/1 | Colm O'Donoghue A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Epsom Oaks have been based:
- GB: 11 winners with an additional 23 placings from 152 runners
- IRE: 9 winners with an additional 17 placings from 83 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Epsom Oaks Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Epsom Oaks over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Alexandrova (2006), Was (2012), Qualify (2015), Minding (2016), Forever Together (2018), Love (2020), Snowfall (2021) and Tuesday (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Epsom Oaks are John Gosden (3 wins) and Ralph Beckett (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Epsom Oaks trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 66-8-21 | +35.26 | +16.01 |
| John Gosden | 15-3-6 | +7.00 | +3.34 |
| Ralph Beckett | 17-2-3 | +38.00 | +14.30 |
| William Haggas | 5-1-1 | +16.00 | +8.00 |
| D K Weld | 5-1-2 | +2.50 | +0.40 |
| Ed Dunlop | 4-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.40 |
| Michael Bell | 4-1-2 | -0.75 | +0.45 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-1-3 | +0.75 | +1.20 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -6.05 |
| Roger Varian | 7-0-0 | -7.00 | -7.00 |
Epsom Oaks Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Epsom Oaks over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori who have both won the race four times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Snow Fairy (2010), Minding (2016), Love (2020) and Tuesday (2022). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Enable (2017), Anapurna (2019), Snowfall (2021) and Soul Sister (2023). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Epsom Oaks, William Buick has ridden a total of 14 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Epsom Oaks jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 16-4-8 | +5.51 | +1.21 |
| Frankie Dettori | 15-4-7 | +11.25 | +5.37 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 15-1-4 | +6.00 | +3.70 |
| Jamie Spencer | 7-1-2 | -3.75 | -2.55 |
| Chris Hayes | 2-1-1 | +5.50 | +2.90 |
| William Buick | 14-0-4 | -14.00 | -8.28 |
| Jim Crowley | 8-0-1 | -8.00 | -7.20 |
| Wayne Lordan | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -1.70 |
| James Doyle | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
2025 Epsom Oaks Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, 4), 1, 8, 5, 1, 6, 4, 3, 4, 6, 2, 1, 2, 2, 7, 1, 5, 2, 2, 6
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - In a field of 7 - 17 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Highest Placed is not G2/Cl3-5
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Beaten no more -6¾l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 22/1 (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - Highest Won is not G2/Cl5
- 19 / 20 (80%) - Not in a G2/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Break of 16 - 299 days (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 6 - 17 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - Carried 121 - 129lbs (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m3½f
- 18 / 20 (62%) - No bigger than 20/1
- 18 / 20 (71%) - Placed within last 1 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Epsom racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Epsom Oaks. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Epsom Oaks by adding a tip on the race here.
Epsom Oaks Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +78.75 is when runners had 1 career win in Flat (Turf) races. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 5, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 5 (2,7) [12 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 10 (4,9) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (5,6) [11 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 12 (3,11) [14 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 5 (4,3) [8 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Epsom Oaks is York, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at York last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Newmarket (Rowley), Chester and Curragh, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Epsom Oaks:
- Galileo (5 Wins)
- Frankel (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Epsom Oaks despite multiple attempts:
- Montjeu (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Cape Cross (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Qualify in 2015, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Colm O'Donoghue. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Epsom Oaks head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival
Here is the 2025 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 6th June 2025
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:00 Woodcote Stakes | Teej A (IRE) 2yo - 7/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:35 Trustatrader Handicap | Two Tempting (IRE) 5yo - 12/1 | Jonathan Portman David Egan |
| 15:10 Coronation Cup | Luxembourg (IRE) 5yo - 9/4 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
| 15:45 Betfred Handicap | Bolster (GB) 4yo - 5/1 | K R Burke Pierre-Louis Jamin |
| 16:30 Epsom Oaks | Ezeliya (FR) 3yo - 13/2 | D K Weld Chris Hayes |
| 17:10 Surrey Stakes | Evade (FR) 3yo - 10/1 | Archie Watson Oisin Murphy |
| 17:40 Tattenham Handicap | Rhoscolyn (GB) 6yo - 9/1 | David OMeara James Doyle |
Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 7th June 2025
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:25 Lester Piggott Handicap | Persica (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 14:00 Princess Elizabeth Stakes | Breege (GB) 4yo - 5/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| 14:35 Diomed Stakes | Royal Scotsman (IRE) 4yo - 17/2 | Paul & Oliver Cole Jamie Spencer |
| 15:10 Epsom 3yo Dash | Blue Storm (GB) 3yo - 8/1 | Gemma Tutty Rossa Ryan |
| 15:45 Epsom Dash | Dream Composer (FR) 6yo - 6/1 | James Evans Joe Leavy |
| 16:30 Epsom Derby | City Of Troy (USA) 3yo - 3/1 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
| 17:15 Northern Dancer Handicap | Relentless Voyager (GB) 4yo - 7/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 17:50 JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap | Misty Grey (IRE) 7yo - 7/1 | David OMeara Rossa Ryan |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Epsom Oaks Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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