Epsom Oaks Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Derby Festival)

The Epsom Oaks, held annually at Epsom during the Derby Festival over a distance of 1m4f, is a race rich with history. In this preview, we uncover winning formulas by highlighting notable records and the key trends formed across past renewals.
Epsom Oaks Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Derby Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Epsom Oaks Preview

The Epsom Oaks was first run in 1779 and is the second oldest of the five English Classics, the St Leger being the oldest.

Open to three-year-old fillies only and run over one mile four furlongs at the Epsom racecourse, the second of the fillies classics carries Group 1 status.

Epsom Oaks Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Epsom, then head over to the Epsom tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Epsom Oaks market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023, when the race had an over-round of 103%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Epsom Oaks, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out Β£100 for every Β£119 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Epsom Oaks Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Epsom Oaks Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Epsom Oaks races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Love (2:34.06) in 2020
  2. Enable (2:34.13) in 2017
  3. Taghrooda (2:34.89) in 2014

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Epsom Oaks next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -0.49. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:34.06 was set by Love in 2020, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2021 when Snowfall won in a time of 2:42.67 for trainer A P O'Brien, who booked Frankie Dettori in the saddle.

What the expert says...
A lot of the Oaks winners will head over to Ireland to run in their equivalent about a month later. Between 2007 and 2025, nine have done just that, with five of those going on to complete the Oaks double, Minnie Hauk (2025) being the last to achieve this.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Epsom Oaks Past Winners

Here are the Epsom Oaks past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Epsom Oaks are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2026
2:39.64
Thundering On (GB)
3yo 9-2 (5 of 9) 5/1
Dylan Browne McMonagle
Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE)
2025
2:38.91
Minnie Hauk (IRE)
3yo 9-2 (2 of 9) 9/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2024
2:42.06
Ezeliya (FR)
3yo 9-2 (5 of 12) 13/2
Chris Hayes
D K Weld (IRE)
2023
2:36.41
Soul Sister (IRE)
3yo 9-2 (10 of 9) 11/4
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2022
2:37.83
Tuesday (IRE)
3yo 9-2 (1 of 11) 13/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2021
2:42.67
Snowfall (JPN)
3yo 9-0 (12 of 14) 11/2
Frankie Dettori
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2020
2:34.06
Love (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 11/10F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
2:36.09
Anapurna (GB)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 14) 8/1
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2018
2:40.39
Forever Together (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 9) 7/1
Donnacha O'Brien
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2017
2:34.13
Enable (GB)
3yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 6/1
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Epsom Oaks have been based:

  • GB: 10 winners with an additional 22 placings from 146 runners
  • IRE: 10 winners with an additional 18 placings from 85 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2026 Epsom Oaks Replay


Epsom Oaks Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Epsom Oaks over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race eight times, with those eight winners coming from Was (2012), Qualify (2015), Minding (2016), Forever Together (2018), Love (2020), Snowfall (2021), Tuesday (2022) and Minnie Hauk (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Epsom Oaks are John Gosden (3 wins) and Ralph Beckett (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Epsom Oaks trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien68-8-23+35.51+19.61
John Gosden15-3-6+7.00+3.34
Ralph Beckett21-2-3+34.00+10.30
William Haggas5-1-1+16.00+8.00
John & Thady Gosden5-1-4-1.25+0.00
Ed Dunlop4-1-1+6.00+2.40
D K Weld4-1-2+3.50+1.40
Joseph Patrick O'Brien3-1-1+3.00+1.00
Michael Bell3-1-2+0.25+1.45
Charlie Appleby7-0-3-7.00-4.44

Epsom Oaks Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Epsom Oaks over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Snow Fairy (2010), Minding (2016), Love (2020), Tuesday (2022) and Minnie Hauk (2025). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Epsom Oaks; William Buick has ridden 16 runners in the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Epsom Oaks jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore18-5-9+9.01+2.91
Seamie Heffernan15-1-4+6.00+3.70
Jamie Spencer7-1-2-3.75-2.55
Chris Hayes2-1-1+5.50+2.90
Dylan Browne McMonagle2-1-1+4.00+2.00
William Buick16-0-5-16.00-9.67
Jim Crowley9-0-1-9.00-8.20
Wayne Lordan8-0-3-8.00-2.45
James Doyle6-0-0-6.00-6.00
Oisin Murphy6-0-0-6.00-6.00

2027 Epsom Oaks Runners & Shortlist

The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Epsom Oaks will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.

Epsom Oaks Trend Analysis

βœ… The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +85.50, is when runners had 1 career win in Flat (Turf) races.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career start in the class, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-38.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2026: Winner in 5 (1,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2025: Winner in 2 (9,1) [9 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 5 (2,7) [12 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 10 (4,9) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 1 (5,6) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Epsom Oaks is Chester; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Chester last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are York, Newmarket (Rowley) and Curragh; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Epsom Oaks:

  • Galileo (5 Wins)
  • Frankel (4 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Epsom Oaks despite multiple attempts:

  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Qualify in 2015, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Colm O'Donoghue. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Epsom Oaks, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Route to the Epsom Oaks

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Epsom Oaks. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Thundering On
Navan - 1st of 7 (11/4)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Salsabil Stakes
2025 - Minnie Hauk
Chester - 1st of 7 (13/8)
Cheshire Oaks
2024 - Ezeliya
Navan - 1st of 7 (9/1)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Salsabil Stakes
2023 - Soul Sister
York - 1st of 8 (18/1)
Musidora Stakes
2022 - Tuesday
Curragh - 2nd of 14 (11/4)
Irish 1000 Guineas
2021 - Snowfall
York - 1st of 7 (14/1)
Musidora Stakes
2020 - Love
Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 15 (4/1)
1000 Guineas
2019 - Anapurna
Lingfield - 1st of 7 (7/4)
RaceBets Money Back All Losers Oaks Trial Fillies Stakes
2018 - Forever Together
Chester - 2nd of 10 (11/2)
Cheshire Oaks
2017 - Enable
Chester - 1st of 7 (2/1)
Cheshire Oaks

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Epsom Oaks Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival

Here is the 2027 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival. Each race will be linked to the race blog, and details of last year's winner are in the table below.

Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 4th June 2027

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Epsom 3yo DashNaanas Shadow (IRE)
3yo - 7/2
Katie Scott
Oisin Murphy
Woodcote StakesHickory Lad (IRE)
2yo - 100/30
Phillip Makin
Sam James
Diomed StakesSeagulls Eleven (IRE)
4yo - 5/2
Hugo Palmer
Oisin Murphy
Betfred HandicapSallaal (IRE)
4yo - 5/2
Roger Varian
Ray Dawson
Epsom OaksThundering On (GB)
3yo - 5/1
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Dylan Browne McMonagle
HKJC World Pool HandicapMister Winston (GB)
4yo - 6/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
Surrey StakesEllusive Butterfly (IRE)
3yo - 9/1
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
Debenhams HandicapColombier (GB)
6yo - 12/1
Hamad Al Jehani
James Doyle

Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 5th June 2027

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Tattenham Corner StakesTen Bob Tony (IRE)
5yo - 11/2
Ed Walker
Kieran Shoemark
Princess Elizabeth StakesSparks Fly (GB)
6yo - 7/2
David Loughnane
Laura Pearson
Coronation CupBay City Roller (IRE)
4yo - 17/2
George Scott
Oisin Murphy
Epsom DashArklow Lad (IRE)
4yo - 7/1
Michael Appleby
Harry Davies
Epsom DerbyChristmas Day (IRE)
3yo - 7/1
A P O'Brien
Ronan Whelan
Lester Piggott HandicapFolk Pageant (GB)
3yo - 5/1
Charlie Johnston
Rowan Scott
Northern Dancer HandicapToo Soon (GB)
4yo - 17/2
Gary & Josh Moore
Warren Fentiman
JRA Tokyo Trophy HandicapSondad (GB)
5yo - 11/2
Michael & David Easterby
Joanna Mason

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