Epsom Oaks Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Derby Festival)

Updated: 6679 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Epsom Oaks. This is a race that is hosted at Epsom during the Derby Festival with the race being run over a distance of 1m4f, see which trends the past winners of the Epsom Oaks have set for this year.

Epsom Oaks Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Derby Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Epsom Oaks Preview

The Epsom Oaks was first run in 1779 and is the second oldest of the five English Classics, the St Leger being the oldest. Open to three-year-old fillies only and run over one mile four furlongs at the Epsom racecourse, the second of the fillies classics carries Group 1 status.

Epsom Oaks Information:

Our dedicated Epsom tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Epsom Oaks but will also have predictions for each meeting at Epsom throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Epsom Oaks market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 103%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Epsom Oaks, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Epsom Oaks Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Epsom Oaks next time out then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.43. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2021 renewal when Snowfall from A P O'Brien under the guidance of Frankie Dettori, won in a time of 2:42.67, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Love, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 2:34.06 in the 2020 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Epsom Oaks over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2020 - Love (2:34.06)
  • 2017 - Enable (2:34.13)
  • 2014 - Taghrooda (2:34.89)

Epsom Oaks Past Winners

Here are the Epsom Oaks past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Epsom Oaks as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
Soul Sister (IRE)
3yo 9-2 (10 of 9) 11/4
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
Tuesday (IRE)
3yo 9-2 (1 of 11) 13/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
Snowfall (JPN)
3yo 9-0 (12 of 14) 11/2
Frankie Dettori
A P O'Brien (IRE)
Love (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 11/10F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
Anapurna (GB)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 14) 8/1
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
Forever Together (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 9) 7/1
Donnacha O'Brien
A P O'Brien (IRE)
Enable (GB)
3yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 6/1
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
Minding (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 9) 10/11F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
Qualify (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 11) 50/1
Colm O'Donoghue
A P O'Brien (IRE)
Taghrooda (GB)
3yo 9-0 (9 of 17) 5/1
Paul Hanagan
John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Epsom Oaks have been based:

  • GB: 12 winners with an additional 21 placings from 148 runners
  • IRE: 8 winners with an additional 18 placings from 82 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Epsom Oaks Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Epsom Oaks over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Alexandrova (2006), Was (2012), Qualify (2015), Minding (2016), Forever Together (2018), Love (2020), Snowfall (2021) and Tuesday (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Epsom Oaks are John Gosden (3 wins), Ralph Beckett (2 wins) and Ed Dunlop (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Epsom Oaks trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 67-8-22 +34.26 +15.85
John Gosden 15-3-6 +7.00 +3.34
Ralph Beckett 13-2-3 +42.00 +18.30
Ed Dunlop 5-2-2 +9.50 +4.59
William Haggas 5-1-1 +16.00 +8.00
Michael Bell 4-1-2 -0.75 +0.45
John & Thady Gosden 3-1-3 +0.75 +1.20
Mick Channon 7-0-1 -7.00 -5.10
Sir Michael Stoute 7-0-1 -7.00 -6.05
Roger Varian 7-0-0 -7.00 -7.00

Epsom Oaks Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Epsom Oaks over the last 20 renewals with both Frankie Dettori and Ryan Moore who have both won the race four times. Frankie Dettori winners have been with Enable (2017), Anapurna (2019), Snowfall (2021) and Soul Sister (2023). Ryan Moore winners have been with Snow Fairy (2010), Minding (2016), Love (2020) and Tuesday (2022). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Epsom Oaks, William Buick has ridden a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Epsom Oaks jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 16-4-7 +10.25 +4.37
Ryan Moore 15-4-8 +6.51 +2.21
Seamie Heffernan 15-1-4 +6.00 +3.70
Jamie Spencer 8-1-3 -4.75 -2.71
Paul Hanagan 1-1-1 +5.00 +2.50
William Buick 13-0-3 -13.00 -8.48
Jim Crowley 8-0-1 -8.00 -7.20
Wayne Lordan 5-0-2 -5.00 -0.70
Andrea Atzeni 5-0-0 -5.00 -5.00
Adam Kirby 4-0-1 -4.00 -2.80

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, (1, 4), 1, 8, 5, 1, 6, 4, 3, 4, 6, 2, 1, 2, 2, 7, 1, 5, 2, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Placed is not G2/Cl3/Cl4/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Beaten no more -6¾l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 22/1 (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - Won by at least 0½l (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - Highest Won is not G2/Cl5
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Not in a G2/Cl5 (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Break of 16 - 299 days (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 6 - 17 (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Carried 120 - 129lbs (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (62%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 18 / 20 (73%) - Placed within last 1 start

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Epsom racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Epsom Oaks. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Epsom Oaks by adding a tip on the race here.

Epsom Oaks Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +81.75 is when runners had 1 career win in Flat (Turf) races. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 5, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-26.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 10 (4,9) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 1 (5,6) [11 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 12 (3,11) [14 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (4,3) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 3 (12,10) [14 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Epsom Oaks are York and Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Epsom Oaks:

  • Galileo (5 Wins)
  • Frankel (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Epsom Oaks despite multiple attempts:

  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Danehill (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Qualify in 2015, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Colm O'Donoghue. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Epsom Oaks remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival

Here is the 2024 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.

Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 31st May 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
Woodcote Stakes
Bobsleigh (IRE)
2yo - 5/1
Eve Johnson Houghton
Charles Bishop
Racehorse Lotto Handicap
Austrian Theory (IRE)
4yo - 7/1
Charlie Johnston
Joe Fanning
Coronation Cup
Emily Upjohn (GB)
4yo - 11/4
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
Betfred Handicap
Cadillac (IRE)
5yo - 12/1
George Boughey
Kevin Stott
Epsom Oaks
Soul Sister (IRE)
3yo - 11/4
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
Surrey Stakes
Olivia Maralda (IRE)
3yo - 3/1
Roger Varian
Kevin Stott
Winners Wear Cavani Handicap
Spanish Star (IRE)
8yo - 12/1
Patrick Chamings
Rhys Clutterbuck

Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 1st June 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
Diomed Stakes
Regal Reality (GB)
8yo - 5/1
Sir Michael Stoute
Ryan Moore
Epsom Derby
Auguste Rodin (IRE)
3yo - 9/2
A P OBrien
Ryan Moore
Princess Elizabeth Stakes
Prosperous Voyage (IRE)
4yo - 6/4
Ralph Beckett
Frankie Dettori
Epsom 3yo Dash
Tatterstall (IRE)
3yo - 8/1
Michael Dods
Connor Beasley
Epsom Dash
Navello (GB)
4yo - 25/1
George Boughey
Andrea Atzeni
Betfred Lester Piggott Handicap
Torito (GB)
3yo - 4/1
John & Thady Gosden
Benoit De La Sayette
Northern Dancer Handicap
Sheer Rocks (GB)
4yo - 11/2
Eve Johnson Houghton
Harry Davies
JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap
Badri (GB)
6yo - 10/1
Ruth Carr
Hollie Doyle

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