Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Betfred Handicap Preview
This class two handicap is scheduled to take place in June of each year at the Epsom racecourse during the Derby Festival, the race is open to runners who are aged four or older and is contested over a distance of one mile and two furlongs.
Betfred Handicap Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Epsom then head over to the Epsom tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Betfred Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Betfred Handicap, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Betfred Handicap Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Betfred Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Betfred Handicap.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2016 renewal when Imshivalla from Richard Fahey under the guidance of Paul Hanagan, won in a time of 2:12.63, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Farraaj, trained by Roger Varian and ridden by Andrea Atzeni set the quickest time of 2:04.35 in the 2014 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Betfred Handicap over the last 20 renewals:
- Farraaj (2:04.35) in 2014
- Cadillac (2:05.51) in 2023
- Sky Defender (2:05.65) in 2020
Betfred Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Betfred Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Betfred Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:12.07 | Bolster (GB) 4yo 9-8 (3 of 13) 5/1 | Pierre-Louis Jamin K R Burke (GB) |
| 2023 2:05.51 | Cadillac (IRE) 5yo 9-11 (8 of 11) 12/1 | Kevin Stott George Boughey (GB) |
| 2022 2:07.16 | Royal Champion (IRE) 4yo 9-2 (1 of 14) 14/1 | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2021 2:12.46 | Blue Cup (FR) 5yo 8-12 (9 of 9) 9/2F | Oisin Murphy David Menuisier (GB) |
| 2020 2:05.65 | Sky Defender (GB) 4yo 9-5 (16 of 13) 22/1 | Joe Fanning Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2019 2:06.08 | Mountain Angel (IRE) 5yo 9-4 (6 of 11) 11/4F | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 2:10.27 | Ajman King (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (9 of 11) 5/4F | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2017 2:06.96 | Not So Sleepy (GB) 5yo 9-8 (2 of 14) 10/1 | Adam Kirby Hughie Morrison (GB) |
| 2016 2:12.63 | Imshivalla (IRE) 5yo 8-6 (1 of 10) 25/1 | Paul Hanagan Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2015 2:07.60 | Elbereth (GB) 4yo 7-10 (7 of 13) 16/1 | Edward Greatrex (7lbs) Andrew Balding (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Betfred Handicap have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 41 placings from 237 runners
- UAE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Betfred Handicap Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Betfred Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Roger Varian who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Farraaj (2014), Ajman King (2018), Mountain Angel (2019) and Royal Champion (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Betfred Handicap is Stuart Kittow (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Betfred Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Varian | 5-4-4 | +23.50 | +14.21 |
| Stuart Kittow | 4-2-2 | +12.00 | +6.40 |
| Richard Fahey | 17-1-5 | +9.00 | +5.21 |
| Andrew Balding | 11-1-3 | +6.00 | +5.13 |
| Ralph Beckett | 7-1-4 | -1.50 | +1.13 |
| John Gosden | 4-1-2 | -0.75 | -0.59 |
| Hughie Morrison | 3-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.25 |
| K R Burke | 3-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.13 |
| David Menuisier | 3-1-2 | +2.50 | +1.76 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +1.60 |
Betfred Handicap Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Betfred Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Andrea Atzeni who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Farraaj (2014), Ajman King (2018), Mountain Angel (2019) and Royal Champion (2022). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Betfred Handicap is J F Egan (2 wins). Two jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Betfred Handicap, Ryan Moore has ridden a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Silvestre De Sousa has ridden 10 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Betfred Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Atzeni | 9-4-4 | +19.50 | +10.21 |
| J F Egan | 4-2-2 | +46.00 | +28.00 |
| William Buick | 8-1-1 | -4.75 | -5.59 |
| Oisin Murphy | 7-1-1 | -1.50 | -3.30 |
| Joe Fanning | 6-1-1 | +17.00 | +8.75 |
| Adam Kirby | 4-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.25 |
| Neil Callan | 4-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.60 |
| Frankie Dettori | 3-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.10 |
| Edward Greatrex | 2-1-2 | +15.00 | +11.10 |
| Kevin Stott | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +7.20 |
2025 Betfred Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 15, 2, 7, 1, 2, 6, 4, 1, 4, 10, (2, 12), 4, 5, 1, 1, 10, 1, 6, 2, 7
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Off a break of 16 - 311 days
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Held an OR of 86+
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 2 placings (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Fewer than 4 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 5 placings (Class)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Furthest ran 1m2f - 1m5f
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest Placed 1m1f - 1m4f
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 93+ (Last 5)
- 19 / 20 (79%) - Held an OR of 87+ (Last 3)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 19 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 66/1 (Career)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Placed within last 4 starts
- 18 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 81+ (Career)
- 18 / 20 (87%) - Carried no more than 134lbs
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Epsom racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Betfred Handicap. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Betfred Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.
Betfred Handicap Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +80.75 is when runners had 1 start in the past 90 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners finished in 4th on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-32.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 3 (11,8) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 8 (2,5) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (3,13) [14 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 9 (6,11) [9 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 16 (12,9) [13 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Betfred Handicap are York and Epsom, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 228 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 13 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Betfred Handicap:
- Danehill Dancer (2 Wins)
- Galileo (2 Wins)
- Lope De Vega (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Betfred Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- High Chaparral (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Key Of Luck (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Montjeu (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Rock Of Gibraltar (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Sir Percy (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Chancellor in 2006, winning for Ernst Oertel at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of J F Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Betfred Handicap why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival
Here is the 2025 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 6th June 2025
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:00 Woodcote Stakes | Teej A (IRE) 2yo - 7/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:35 Trustatrader Handicap | Two Tempting (IRE) 5yo - 12/1 | Jonathan Portman David Egan |
| 15:10 Coronation Cup | Luxembourg (IRE) 5yo - 9/4 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
| 15:45 Betfred Handicap | Bolster (GB) 4yo - 5/1 | K R Burke Pierre-Louis Jamin |
| 16:30 Epsom Oaks | Ezeliya (FR) 3yo - 13/2 | D K Weld Chris Hayes |
| 17:10 Surrey Stakes | Evade (FR) 3yo - 10/1 | Archie Watson Oisin Murphy |
| 17:40 Tattenham Handicap | Rhoscolyn (GB) 6yo - 9/1 | David OMeara James Doyle |
Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 7th June 2025
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:25 Lester Piggott Handicap | Persica (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 14:00 Princess Elizabeth Stakes | Breege (GB) 4yo - 5/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| 14:35 Diomed Stakes | Royal Scotsman (IRE) 4yo - 17/2 | Paul & Oliver Cole Jamie Spencer |
| 15:10 Epsom 3yo Dash | Blue Storm (GB) 3yo - 8/1 | Gemma Tutty Rossa Ryan |
| 15:45 Epsom Dash | Dream Composer (FR) 6yo - 6/1 | James Evans Joe Leavy |
| 16:30 Epsom Derby | City Of Troy (USA) 3yo - 3/1 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
| 17:15 Northern Dancer Handicap | Relentless Voyager (GB) 4yo - 7/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 17:50 JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap | Misty Grey (IRE) 7yo - 7/1 | David OMeara Rossa Ryan |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Betfred Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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