Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Surrey Stakes Preview
Established in 1995 under the name 'Vodacom Conditions Stakes', it was given its present name of the Surrey Stakes in 1998 when upgraded to a Listed race.
The race is open to three-year-old runners and is run over seven furlongs. The race is run at Epsom during the flat season, this race is run in late May or early June.
Surrey Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Epsom tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Surrey Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Surrey Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Surrey Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Surrey Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 0 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -18.00. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Surrey Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Safe Voyage, trained by John Quinn and ridden by Jason Hart who set the fastest winning time in the Surrey Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:19.88 when winning the race in 2020. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Archie Watson and jockey Hollie Doyle with Mehmento who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:27.48 in the 2021 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Surrey Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Safe Voyage (1:19.88) in 2020
- Olivia Maralda (1:21.03) in 2023
- Producer (1:21.48) in 2012
Surrey Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Surrey Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Surrey Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:25.48 | Evade (FR) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 6) 10/1 | Oisin Murphy Archie Watson (GB) |
| 2023 1:21.03 | Olivia Maralda (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (7 of 9) 3/1 | Kevin Stott Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2022 1:23.08 | Ever Given (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 16/5 | Daniel Tudhope Hugo Palmer (GB) |
| 2021 1:27.48 | Mehmento (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 4) 11/8F | Hollie Doyle Archie Watson (GB) |
| 2020 1:19.88 | Safe Voyage (IRE) 7yo 9-5 (2 of 6) 6/5F | Jason Hart John Quinn (GB) |
| 2019 1:22.74 | Space Blues (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 6/5F | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2018 1:24.34 | Lake Volta (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 3/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2017 1:21.97 | Solomons Bay (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 7) 8/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2016 1:27.01 | Gold Land (GB) 3yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 14/1 | Jimmy Fortune Brian Meehan (GB) |
| 2015 1:22.57 | Code Red (GB) 3yo 9-4 (7 of 9) 14/1 | Martin Dwyer William Muir (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Surrey Stakes have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 26 placings from 135 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Surrey Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Surrey Stakes over the last 20 renewals with Saeed bin Suroor, Archie Watson and Roger Varian having all won the race two times. Saeed bin Suroor winners have been with Iguazu Falls (2008) and Shakespearean (2010). Archie Watson winners have been with Mehmento (2021) and Evade (2024). Roger Varian winners have been with Solomons Bay (2017) and Olivia Maralda (2023).
Here are some of the top Surrey Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saeed bin Suroor | 4-2-2 | +2.38 | +0.67 |
| Archie Watson | 3-2-2 | +10.38 | +5.25 |
| Roger Varian | 3-2-2 | +10.00 | +5.80 |
| John Gosden | 7-1-2 | +2.00 | -0.19 |
| Brian Meehan | 4-1-2 | +11.00 | +6.05 |
| Charlie Appleby | 3-1-3 | -0.80 | +0.56 |
| David O'Meara | 3-1-1 | -0.90 | -1.31 |
| Sir Mark Prescott Bt | 3-1-1 | -1.27 | -1.54 |
| William Muir | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.40 |
| John Ryan | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
Surrey Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Surrey Stakes over the last 20 renewals with Ryan Moore, Silvestre De Sousa, Frankie Dettori and Daniel Tudhope having all won the race two times. Ryan Moore's winners have been with Galeota (2005) and Well Acquainted (2013). Silvestre De Sousa winners have been with Solomons Bay (2017) and Lake Volta (2018). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Iguazu Falls (2008) and Shakespearean (2010). Daniel Tudhope's winners have been with That Is The Spirit (2014) and Ever Given (2022).
Here are some of the top Surrey Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 12-2-5 | -2.67 | -2.76 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 7-2-3 | +6.00 | +2.73 |
| Frankie Dettori | 6-2-4 | +0.38 | +0.98 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 2-2-2 | +4.30 | +2.69 |
| Oisin Murphy | 4-1-2 | +7.00 | +3.92 |
| James Doyle | 4-1-2 | -1.80 | -0.33 |
| Hollie Doyle | 2-1-1 | +0.38 | -1.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.80 |
| Jason Hart | 1-1-1 | +1.20 | +0.75 |
| Jamie Spencer | 6-0-4 | -6.00 | -1.02 |
2025 Surrey Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 5, 1, 3, (1, 4), 1, 1, 4, 1, 2, 4, 7, 4, 1, 1, 1, 4, 2, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Highest Run is not LST/Cl2/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Carried 123 - 134lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No more than -6lbs (Vs Max Weight)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 77+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not BB/BR/GR in colour
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 42+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD/FS (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Break of 8 - 296 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (1 Year)
- 19 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 97+ (Last 3)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 18 / 20 (87%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 17 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Debut)
- 17 / 20 (77%) - Beaten no more -10l (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Epsom racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Surrey Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Surrey Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Surrey Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +21.89 is when runners had the same jockey as when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class run of Class 1 (L), when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-26.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 6 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (3,2) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 [4 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Surrey Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 107 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 34 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Surrey Stakes:
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Surrey Stakes, that stallion is Dark Angel who has failed to produce a winner from 8 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Gold Land in 2016, winning for Brian Meehan at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Jimmy Fortune. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Surrey Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival
Here is the 2025 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 6th June 2025
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:00 Woodcote Stakes | Teej A (IRE) 2yo - 7/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:35 Trustatrader Handicap | Two Tempting (IRE) 5yo - 12/1 | Jonathan Portman David Egan |
| 15:10 Coronation Cup | Luxembourg (IRE) 5yo - 9/4 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
| 15:45 Betfred Handicap | Bolster (GB) 4yo - 5/1 | K R Burke Pierre-Louis Jamin |
| 16:30 Epsom Oaks | Ezeliya (FR) 3yo - 13/2 | D K Weld Chris Hayes |
| 17:10 Surrey Stakes | Evade (FR) 3yo - 10/1 | Archie Watson Oisin Murphy |
| 17:40 Tattenham Handicap | Rhoscolyn (GB) 6yo - 9/1 | David OMeara James Doyle |
Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 7th June 2025
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:25 Lester Piggott Handicap | Persica (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 14:00 Princess Elizabeth Stakes | Breege (GB) 4yo - 5/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| 14:35 Diomed Stakes | Royal Scotsman (IRE) 4yo - 17/2 | Paul & Oliver Cole Jamie Spencer |
| 15:10 Epsom 3yo Dash | Blue Storm (GB) 3yo - 8/1 | Gemma Tutty Rossa Ryan |
| 15:45 Epsom Dash | Dream Composer (FR) 6yo - 6/1 | James Evans Joe Leavy |
| 16:30 Epsom Derby | City Of Troy (USA) 3yo - 3/1 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
| 17:15 Northern Dancer Handicap | Relentless Voyager (GB) 4yo - 7/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 17:50 JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap | Misty Grey (IRE) 7yo - 7/1 | David OMeara Rossa Ryan |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Surrey Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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