You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Surrey Stakes Preview
Established in 1995 under the name 'Vodacom Conditions Stakes', it was renamed the Surrey Stakes in 1998 when it was upgraded to a Listed race.
The race is open to three-year-old runners and is run over seven furlongs. The race is run at Epsom during the Derby Meeting in late May or early June.
Surrey Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Epsom tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Surrey Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021, when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Surrey Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Surrey Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Surrey Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Surrey Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Safe Voyage (1:19.88) in 2020
- Olivia Maralda (1:21.03) in 2023
- Producer (1:21.48) in 2012
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Surrey Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 0 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -18.00. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Safe Voyage, trained by John Quinn and ridden by Jason Hart, who set the fastest winning time in the Surrey Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 1:19.88 in 2020. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Archie Watson and jockey Hollie Doyle with Mehmento who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:27.48 in the 2021 renewal.
Surrey Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Surrey Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Surrey Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:24.51 | Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (9 of 6) 9/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2025 1:24.02 | Formal (GB) 3yo 8-11 (2 of 8) 9/4F | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2024 1:25.48 | Evade (FR) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 6) 10/1 | Oisin Murphy Archie Watson (GB) |
| 2023 1:21.03 | Olivia Maralda (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (7 of 9) 3/1 | Kevin Stott Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2022 1:23.08 | Ever Given (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 16/5 | Daniel Tudhope Hugo Palmer (GB) |
| 2021 1:27.48 | Mehmento (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 4) 11/8F | Hollie Doyle Archie Watson (GB) |
| 2020 1:19.88 | Safe Voyage (IRE) 7yo 9-5 (2 of 6) 6/5F | Jason Hart John Quinn (GB) |
| 2019 1:22.74 | Space Blues (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 6/5F | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2018 1:24.34 | Lake Volta (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 3/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2017 1:21.97 | Solomons Bay (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 7) 8/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Roger Varian (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Surrey Stakes have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 25 placings from 134 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Surrey Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Surrey Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Saeed bin Suroor, Archie Watson, and Roger Varian having all won the race twice. Saeed bin Suroor winners have been with Iguazu Falls (2008) and Shakespearean (2010). Archie Watson winners have been with Mehmento (2021) and Evade (2024). Roger Varian winners have been with Solomons Bay (2017) and Olivia Maralda (2023).
Here are some of the top Surrey Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saeed bin Suroor | 4-2-2 | +2.38 | +0.67 |
| Archie Watson | 3-2-2 | +10.38 | +5.25 |
| Roger Varian | 3-2-2 | +10.00 | +5.80 |
| Andrew Balding | 9-1-4 | -5.75 | -3.55 |
| Brian Meehan | 4-1-2 | +11.00 | +6.05 |
| K R Burke | 4-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.63 |
| Hugo Palmer | 4-1-1 | +0.20 | -1.00 |
| Charlie Appleby | 4-1-3 | -1.80 | -0.44 |
| David O'Meara | 3-1-1 | -0.90 | -1.31 |
| Sir Mark Prescott Bt | 3-1-1 | -1.27 | -1.54 |
Surrey Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Surrey Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Silvestre De Sousa, Oisin Murphy, and Daniel Tudhope having all won the race twice. Silvestre De Sousa winners have been with Solomons Bay (2017) and Lake Volta (2018). Oisin Murphy's winners have been with Evade (2024) and Formal (2025). Daniel Tudhope's winners have been with That Is The Spirit (2014) and Ever Given (2022).
Here are some of the top Surrey Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Silvestre De Sousa | 7-2-3 | +6.00 | +2.73 |
| Oisin Murphy | 6-2-3 | +8.25 | +4.27 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 2-2-2 | +4.30 | +2.69 |
| Ryan Moore | 10-1-4 | -5.00 | -3.76 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-3 | -2.80 | -0.61 |
| Clifford Lee | 4-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.63 |
| Hollie Doyle | 3-1-1 | -0.62 | -2.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.80 |
| Jason Hart | 1-1-1 | +1.20 | +0.75 |
| William Buick | 6-0-3 | -6.00 | -2.35 |
2027 Surrey Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 1, 3, (1, 4), 1, 1, 4, 1, 2, 4, 7, 4, 1, 1, 1, 4, 2, 4, (1, 3), 6
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Highest Run is not LST/Cl2/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Carried 124 - 136lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not BB/BR/GR in colour
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 122 - 131lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 77+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 42+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Break of 8 - 286 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (1 Year)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Beaten no more -11l (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 18 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (87%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 17 / 20 (57%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 17 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Epsom racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Surrey Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Surrey Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Surrey Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Surrey Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Surrey Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +14.56, is when runners had the same jockey as when they last won.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class run of Class 1 (Listed), when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-27.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 9 (6) [6 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 2 (4,6) [8 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 6 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (3,2) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (1) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Surrey Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are York and Newbury; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 105 runners, while female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 35 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Surrey Stakes:
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Surrey Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Gold Land in 2016, winning for Brian Meehan at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Jimmy Fortune. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Surrey Stakes.
Route to the Surrey Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Surrey Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Ellusive Butterfly York - 7th of 14 (12/1) | Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap |
| 2025 - Formal Newbury - 8th of 15 (13/2) | Fred Darling Stakes |
| 2024 - Evade Longchamp - 9th of 10 (16/1) | Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere |
| 2023 - Olivia Maralda Newmarket (Rowley) - 7th of 20 (126/1) | 1000 Guineas |
| 2022 - Ever Given Haydock - 8th of 10 (5/1) | Sandy Lane Stakes |
| 2021 - Mehmento Longchamp - 11th of 12 (22/1) | Poule d'Essai des Poulains |
| 2020 - Safe Voyage Haydock - 2nd of 10 (10/3) | Betway Spring Trophy Stakes |
| 2019 - Space Blues York - 1st of 19 (5/2) | Conundrum Rowing For Christian Hobbs Gym Handicap |
| 2018 - Lake Volta Windsor - 5th of 8 (7/2) | Sky Bet Price Boosts Handicap |
| 2017 - Solomons Bay Newmarket (Rowley) - 4th of 6 (14/1) | King Charles II Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Surrey Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival
Here is the 2027 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival. Each race will be linked to the race blog, and details of last year's winner are in the table below.
Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 4th June 2027
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Epsom 3yo Dash | Naanas Shadow (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Katie Scott Oisin Murphy |
| Woodcote Stakes | Hickory Lad (IRE) 2yo - 100/30 | Phillip Makin Sam James |
| Diomed Stakes | Seagulls Eleven (IRE) 4yo - 5/2 | Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy |
| Betfred Handicap | Sallaal (IRE) 4yo - 5/2 | Roger Varian Ray Dawson |
| Epsom Oaks | Thundering On (GB) 3yo - 5/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| HKJC World Pool Handicap | Mister Winston (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| Surrey Stakes | Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Debenhams Handicap | Colombier (GB) 6yo - 12/1 | Hamad Al Jehani James Doyle |
Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 5th June 2027
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Tattenham Corner Stakes | Ten Bob Tony (IRE) 5yo - 11/2 | Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark |
| Princess Elizabeth Stakes | Sparks Fly (GB) 6yo - 7/2 | David Loughnane Laura Pearson |
| Coronation Cup | Bay City Roller (IRE) 4yo - 17/2 | George Scott Oisin Murphy |
| Epsom Dash | Arklow Lad (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | Michael Appleby Harry Davies |
| Epsom Derby | Christmas Day (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | A P O'Brien Ronan Whelan |
| Lester Piggott Handicap | Folk Pageant (GB) 3yo - 5/1 | Charlie Johnston Rowan Scott |
| Northern Dancer Handicap | Too Soon (GB) 4yo - 17/2 | Gary & Josh Moore Warren Fentiman |
| JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap | Sondad (GB) 5yo - 11/2 | Michael & David Easterby Joanna Mason |
