King Charles II Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)

Updated: 413 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the King Charles II Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Newmarket during the Guineas Festival with the race being run over a distance of 7f, see which trends the past winners of the King Charles II Stakes have set for this year.

King Charles II Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 King Charles II Stakes Preview

The King Charles II Stakes flat race is a Listed race that is run during the Guineas Festival at Newmarket either in late April or early May. The race is restricted to runners who are three years old and is run over a distance of seven-furlong.

King Charles II Stakes Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the King Charles II Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 117%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the King Charles II Stakes, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.

King Charles II Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the King Charles II Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.00. Whilst we wait for the 2024 King Charles II Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Jeremy from Sir Michael Stoute under the guidance of Robert Winston, won in a time of 1:28.81, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Tupi, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Cam Hardie set the quickest time of 1:21.98 in the 2015 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run King Charles II Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2015 - Tupi (1:21.98)
  • 2011 - New Deerfield (1:22.18)
  • 2013 - Dundonnell (1:23.53)

King Charles II Stakes Past Winners

Here are the King Charles II Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the King Charles II Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:24.97
Shouldvebeenaring (GB)
3yo 9-5 (1 of 8) 3/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon (GB)
2022
1:26.50
Noble Truth (FR)
3yo 9-3 (2 of 5) 7/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
1:26.85
Bellosa (IRE)
3yo 8-9 (2 of 6) 6/4F
Richard Kingscote
Jane Chapple-Hyam (GB)
2020
1:24.14
Surf Dancer (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 9/1
Ryan Moore
William Haggas (GB)
2019
1:24.79
Jash (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 5) 10/11F
Dane O'Neill
Simon Crisford (GB)
2018
1:26.46
Bear Slam (USA)
3yo 9-0 (1 of 5) 6/4F
Robert Havlin
John Gosden (GB)
2017
1:26.68
Taamol (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (6 of 6) 15/8F
Jim Crowley
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2016
1:25.25
Thikriyaat (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 13/8F
Ted Durcan
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2015
1:21.98
Tupi (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 5/1
Cam Hardie
Richard Hannon (GB)
2014
1:23.72
Coulsty (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (5 of 10) 16/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the King Charles II Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 25 placings from 133 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners

King Charles II Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the King Charles II Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Richard Hannon and Sir Michael Stoute who have both won the race three times. Richard Hannon winners have been with Coulsty (2014), Tupi (2015) and Shouldvebeenaring (2023). Sir Michael Stoute winners have been Jeremy (2006), Thikriyaat (2016) and Taamol (2017). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the King Charles II Stakes is Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins).

Here are some of the top King Charles II Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Richard Hannon 8-3-4 +19.00 +10.47
Sir Michael Stoute 6-3-3 +2.39 +0.38
Saeed bin Suroor 7-2-3 +7.50 +4.60
Charlie Appleby 6-1-3 -3.25 -2.27
John Gosden 6-1-3 -3.50 -2.06
Peter Chapple-Hyam 4-1-1 +0.50 -0.81
Roger Varian 3-1-2 +1.33 +1.03
Jane Chapple-Hyam 3-1-2 -0.50 +3.44
William Haggas 2-1-1 +8.00 +4.40
Henry Candy 2-1-2 +2.50 +2.89

King Charles II Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the King Charles II Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Dane O'Neill, Kerrin McEvoy and Sean Levey having all won the race two times. Dane O'Neill winners have been with New Deerfield (2011) and Jash (2019). Kerrin McEvoy winners have been with Council Member (2005) and Calming Influence (2008). Sean Levey winners have been with Coulsty (2014) and Shouldvebeenaring (2023).

Here are some of the top King Charles II Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Dane O'Neill 8-2-4 -1.59 -0.51
Kerrin McEvoy 4-2-3 +10.50 +7.60
Sean Levey 3-2-2 +18.00 +10.40
William Buick 10-1-4 -7.25 -5.52
Ryan Moore 5-1-1 +5.00 +1.40
Cam Hardie 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.13
Paul Hanagan 2-1-1 +2.33 +1.08
Martin Harley 2-1-2 +0.88 +1.13
Jim Crowley 2-1-1 +0.88 +0.18
Robert Havlin 2-1-2 +0.50 +1.19

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 6, 2, 1, 2, 9, 4, 2, 2, 2, 1, 4, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 4, 1, 1, 4

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 92+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in a Handicap (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Place)
  • 19 / 20 (75%) - Within the first 5 of market
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Made 1 - 7 starts (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Placed within last 3 starts
  • 19 / 20 (89%) - Had 1 - 3 wins (1 Year)
  • 18 / 20 (78%) - Beaten no more -4l (Debut)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the King Charles II Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the King Charles II Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

King Charles II Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +46.74 is when runners had 0 career places over the trip. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 1 (4,3) [8 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (3) [5 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 2 (1) [6 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (1,9) [9 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (1) [5 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the King Charles II Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 116 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 20 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the King Charles II Stakes, that stallion Kodiac has produced 2 winners (2019,2014).

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Field Of Dream in 2010, winning for Luca Cumani at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of J-P Guillambert. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

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