King Charles II Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)

Updated: 418 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the King Charles II Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Newmarket during the Guineas Festival with the race being run over a distance of 7f, see which trends the past winners of the King Charles II Stakes have set for this year.

King Charles II Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)
In this article: Preview
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 King Charles II Stakes Preview

The King Charles II Stakes flat race is a Listed race that is run during the Guineas Festival at Newmarket either in late April or early May.

The race is restricted to runners who are three years old and is run over a distance of seven-furlong.

King Charles II Stakes Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Newmarket then head over to the Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Guineas Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Newmarket during the flat season, you can find links to those here.

How competitive is the King Charles II Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 117%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the King Charles II Stakes, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.

King Charles II Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the King Charles II Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.00. Whilst we wait for the 2024 King Charles II Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:21.98 was set by Tupi in 2015, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Cam Hardie. The slowest winning time was set in 2006 when Jeremy won in a time of 1:28.81, booked to ride was Robert Winston on this Sir Michael Stoute trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run King Charles II Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Tupi (1:21.98) in 2015
  2. New Deerfield (1:22.18) in 2011
  3. Dundonnell (1:23.53) in 2013
What the expert says...
A prep run at Newmarket has worked well over the years, eleven of the last eighteen winners ran at Newmarket last time out (One at the July Course, ten at the Rowley Mile) and more recently that is eight of the last eleven.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

King Charles II Stakes Past Winners

Here are the King Charles II Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the King Charles II Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
1:24.97
Shouldvebeenaring (GB)
3yo 9-5 (1 of 8) 3/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon (GB)
2022
1:26.50
Noble Truth (FR)
3yo 9-3 (2 of 5) 7/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
1:26.85
Bellosa (IRE)
3yo 8-9 (2 of 6) 6/4F
Richard Kingscote
Jane Chapple-Hyam (GB)
2020
1:24.14
Surf Dancer (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 9/1
Ryan Moore
William Haggas (GB)
2019
1:24.79
Jash (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 5) 10/11F
Dane O'Neill
Simon Crisford (GB)
2018
1:26.46
Bear Slam (USA)
3yo 9-0 (1 of 5) 6/4F
Robert Havlin
John Gosden (GB)
2017
1:26.68
Taamol (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (6 of 6) 15/8F
Jim Crowley
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2016
1:25.25
Thikriyaat (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 13/8F
Ted Durcan
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2015
1:21.98
Tupi (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 5/1
Cam Hardie
Richard Hannon (GB)
2014
1:23.72
Coulsty (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (5 of 10) 16/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the King Charles II Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 25 placings from 133 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners

King Charles II Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the King Charles II Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Richard Hannon and Sir Michael Stoute who have both won the race three times. Richard Hannon winners have been with Coulsty (2014), Tupi (2015) and Shouldvebeenaring (2023). Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with Jeremy (2006), Thikriyaat (2016) and Taamol (2017). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the King Charles II Stakes is Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins).

Here are some of the top King Charles II Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Richard Hannon8-3-4+19.00+10.47
Sir Michael Stoute6-3-3+2.39+0.38
Saeed bin Suroor7-2-3+7.50+4.60
Charlie Appleby6-1-3-3.25-2.27
John Gosden6-1-3-3.50-2.06
Peter Chapple-Hyam4-1-1+0.50-0.81
Roger Varian3-1-2+1.33+1.03
Jane Chapple-Hyam3-1-2-0.50+3.44
William Haggas2-1-1+8.00+4.40
Henry Candy2-1-2+2.50+2.89

King Charles II Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the King Charles II Stakes over the last 20 renewals with Dane O'Neill, Kerrin McEvoy and Sean Levey having all won the race two times. Dane O'Neill winners have been with New Deerfield (2011) and Jash (2019). Kerrin McEvoy winners have been with Council Member (2005) and Calming Influence (2008). Sean Levey winners have been with Coulsty (2014) and Shouldvebeenaring (2023).

Here are some of the top King Charles II Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Dane O'Neill8-2-4-1.59-0.51
Kerrin McEvoy4-2-3+10.50+7.60
Sean Levey3-2-2+18.00+10.40
William Buick10-1-4-7.25-5.52
Ryan Moore5-1-1+5.00+1.40
Cam Hardie2-1-1+4.00+2.13
Martin Harley2-1-2+0.88+1.13
Jim Crowley2-1-1+0.88+0.18
Robert Havlin2-1-2+0.50+1.19
Richard Kingscote2-1-1+0.50-0.06

King Charles II Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +46.74 is when runners had 0 career places over the trip. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 1 (4,3) [8 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (3) [5 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 2 (1) [6 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (1,9) [9 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (1) [5 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the King Charles II Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 116 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 20 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the King Charles II Stakes, that stallion Kodiac has produced 2 winners (2019,2014).

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Field Of Dream in 2010, winning for Luca Cumani at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of J-P Guillambert. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival

Remember to head over to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the King Charles II Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Guineas Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the Guineas Festival

The highlight on Friday is the Jockey Club Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:25 Newmarket
King Charles II Stakes
Shouldvebeenaring (GB)
3yo - 3/1
Richard Hannon
Sean Levey
15:00 Newmarket
Newmarket Stakes
Castle Way (GB)
3yo - 7/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
15:35 Newmarket
Jockey Club Stakes
Hurricane Lane (IRE)
5yo - 2/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick

Saturday at the Guineas Festival

Saturday's highlight is the 2,000 Guineas, part of the British Champion Series, we see the 3-year-old runners compete over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:45 Newmarket
Rowley Handicap Stakes
Probe (GB)
5yo - 15/2
Jennie Candlish
Kieran O'Neill
14:20 Newmarket
Suffolk Stakes
King Of Conquest (GB)
4yo - 7/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
14:55 Newmarket
Palace House Stakes
Vadream (GB)
5yo - 7/1
Charlie Fellowes
Kieran Shoemark
15:35 Newmarket
Qipco 2000 Guineas
Chaldean (GB)
3yo - 7/2
Andrew Balding
Frankie Dettori

Sunday at the Guineas Festival

Sunday is all about the fillies with the 1,000 Guineas taking centre stage, the three-year-olds will compete over a mile trip.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
Pretty Polly Stakes
Running Lion (GB)
3yo - 100/30
John & Thady Gosden
Oisin Murphy
14:25 Newmarket
Dahlia Stakes
Via Sistina (IRE)
5yo - 5/2
George Boughey
Jamie Spencer
15:40 Newmarket
Qipco 1000 Guineas
Mawj (IRE)
3yo - 9/1
Saeed bin Suroor
Oisin Murphy

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this King Charles II Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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