Newmarket Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)

Discover key trends and insights for the Newmarket Stakes at Newmarket Racecourse. Explore past winners, leading trainers, top jockeys, and historical patterns to inform your betting strategy for this prestigious 1m2f Listed contest.
Newmarket Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Newmarket Stakes Preview

The current version of this race was introduced in 1978 although there was an earlier version that was disbanded after failing to attract field numbers and then it started up again in 1889 and that version stopped in the early 1960s.

The Newmarket Stakes holds a Listed status and is restricted only to three-year-old colts and geldings and is run over a distance of one mile and two furlongs, and features during the Newmarket Guineas Festival in late April or early May.

For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Newmarket Stakes will hold the title of 'Nyetimber Newmarket Stakes'.

Newmarket Stakes Information:

Our dedicated Newmarket tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Newmarket Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Newmarket throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Guineas Festival. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Newmarket during the flat season, you can find links to those here.


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How competitive is the Newmarket Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 103%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Newmarket Stakes, the over-round has been 111%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Newmarket Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Newmarket Stakes Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Newmarket Stakes Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.

These are the top three quickest-run Newmarket Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Mishriff (2:00.85) in 2020
  2. Caviar Heights (2:02.88) in 2024
  3. Helene Mascot (2:03.15) in 2007

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Newmarket Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +13.88. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Newmarket Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Mishriff, trained by John Gosden and ridden by David Egan, who set the fastest winning time in the Newmarket Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 2:00.85 in 2020. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Sir Henry Cecil and jockey Tom Queally with Noble Mission who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 2:11.45 in the 2012 renewal.

What the expert says...
Twelve of the last twenty winners of the Newmarket Stakes came here having run at the Rowley Mile last time out time and six of the last eight of those won their prep race so watch out for last time out Newmarket winners.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Newmarket Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Newmarket Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Newmarket Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
2:02.88
Caviar Heights (IRE)
3yo 9-2 (5 of 5) 7/1
Clifford Lee
K R Burke (GB)
2023
2:04.66
Castle Way (GB)
3yo 9-2 (1 of 7) 7/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2022
2:05.73
Nations Pride (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 4) 7/4
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
2:04.74
Mohaafeth (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (1 of 4) 2/1
Jim Crowley
William Haggas (GB)
2020
2:00.85
Mishriff (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 10/1
David Egan
John Gosden (GB)
2019
2:06.02
UAE Jewel (GB)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 4) 8/11F
David Egan
Roger Varian (GB)
2018
2:05.30
Key Victory (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 5/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
2:03.66
Permian (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 5/2
Ryan Moore
Mark Johnston (GB)
2016
2:04.82
Hawkbill (USA)
3yo 9-0 (1 of 8) 14/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2015
2:05.76
Best Of Times (GB)
3yo 9-0 (1 of 6) 9/4F
James Doyle
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Newmarket Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 19 placings from 116 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners

Newmarket Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Newmarket Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Hawkbill (2016), Key Victory (2018), Nations Pride (2022) and Castle Way (2023).

Here are the Newmarket Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Charlie Appleby11-4-7+17.00+10.50
Ralph Beckett1-0-0-1.00-1.00
Peter Chapple-Hyam1-0-0-1.00-1.00

Newmarket Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Newmarket Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Hawkbill (2016), Key Victory (2018), Nations Pride (2022) and Castle Way (2023).

Here are the Newmarket Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
William Buick
(Alpine Trail)
13-4-5+15.00+6.63
Ryan Moore
(Harvey)
9-1-2-5.50-2.13
Rossa Ryan
(Aurel)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00
Hollie Doyle
(Nebras)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00

Newmarket Stakes Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +30.75, is when runners ran in a Class 4 on debut.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 3rd in the betting market, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-20.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 5 (4) [5 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 1 (2) [7 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 [4 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 1 [4 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (9,8) [9 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Newmarket Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there have been a total of 12 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Newmarket Stakes:

  • Teofilo (3 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)
  • Rock Of Gibraltar (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Treasure Lands in 2010, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Jimmy Fortune. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Newmarket Stakes, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters.

Route to the Newmarket Stakes

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Newmarket Stakes, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - Caviar Heights
Newmarket (Rowley) - 3rd of 10 (50/1)
bet365 Feilden Stakes
2023 - Castle Way
Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 6 (3/1)
British EBF Future Stayers Nursery Handicap
2022 - Nations Pride
Meydan - 1st of 8 (11/8)
Jumeirah Derby Presented By Al Tayer Motors
2021 - Mohaafeth
Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 8 (6/4)
Cash Out At bet365 Handicap
2020 - Mishriff
Janadriyah - 2nd of 13 (16/1)
Samba Saudi Derby
2019 - UAE Jewel
Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 12 (10/11)
bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes
2018 - Key Victory
Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 14 (10/3)
32Red.com Novice Stakes
2017 - Permian
Epsom - 2nd of 8 (11/2)
Investec Derby Trial
2016 - Hawkbill
Kempton (AW) - 1st of 4 (4/9)
32Red Conditions Stakes
2015 - Best Of Times
Salisbury - 1st of 3 (4/9)
Booker Wholesale British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes

Newmarket Stakes Trend Shortlist

Newmarket will host the 2025 renewal of the Newmarket Stakes, which will be run at 1:45 pm on Friday, 2nd May 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Devils Advocate (3/1)
    • John & Thady Gosden (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
    • TBA (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)

Others: Alpine Trail (13/15), Aurel (11/15), Nebras (11/15), Ernst Blofeld (10/15) and Harvey (9/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (12:49 pm Wednesday 30th April 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.

Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival

Remember to head over to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the King Charles II Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Guineas Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the Guineas Festival

The highlight on Friday is the Jockey Club Stakes, a Group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:45 Newmarket
Newmarket Stakes
Caviar Heights (IRE)
3yo - 7/1
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
14:20 Newmarket
King Charles II Stakes
Boiling Point (IRE)
3yo - 11/8
Roger Varian
James Doyle
16:05 Newmarket
Jockey Club Stakes
Outbox (GB)
9yo - 50/1
Archie Watson
Hollie Doyle

Saturday at the Guineas Festival

Saturday's highlight is the 2,000 Guineas, part of the British Champion Series, we see the 3-year-old runners compete over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:45 Newmarket
Rowley Handicap Stakes
Desert Cop (GB)
4yo - 22/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
14:20 Newmarket
Suffolk Stakes
Liberty Lane (IRE)
4yo - 9/1
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
14:55 Newmarket
Palace House Stakes
Seven Questions (IRE)
3yo - 33/1
George Scott
Callum Shepherd
15:35 Newmarket
2000 Guineas
Notable Speech (GB)
3yo - 16/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick

Sunday at the Guineas Festival

Sunday is all about the fillies with the 1,000 Guineas taking centre stage, the three-year-olds will compete over a mile trip.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:45 Newmarket
Pretty Polly Stakes
Friendly Soul (GB)
3yo - 10/1
John & Thady Gosden
Kieran Shoemark
14:20 Newmarket
Dahlia Stakes
Stay Alert (GB)
5yo - 5/1
Hughie Morrison
David Egan
15:35 Newmarket
1000 Guineas
Elmalka (GB)
3yo - 28/1
Roger Varian
Silvestre De Sousa

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Newmarket Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Tipster Competition Manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content Editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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