You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Newmarket Stakes Preview
The current version of this race was introduced in 1978, although there was an earlier version that was disbanded after failing to attract field numbers. It then started up again in 1889, and that version stopped in the early 1960s.
The Newmarket Stakes holds a Listed status and is restricted only to three-year-old colts and geldings and is run over a distance of one mile and two furlongs, and features during the Newmarket Guineas Festival in late April or early May.
Newmarket Stakes Information:
Our dedicated Newmarket tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Newmarket Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Newmarket throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Guineas Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Newmarket during the flat season; you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Newmarket Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023, when the race had an over-round of 103%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Newmarket Stakes, the over-round has been 111%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Newmarket Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Newmarket Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Newmarket Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Mishriff (2:00.85) in 2020
- Caviar Heights (2:02.88) in 2024
- Helene Mascot (2:03.15) in 2007
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Newmarket Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +14.88. Ahead of the 2027 Newmarket Stakes, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Mishriff, trained by John Gosden and ridden by David Egan, who set the fastest winning time in the Newmarket Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 2:00.85 in 2020. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Sir Henry Cecil and jockey Tom Queally with Noble Mission who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 2:11.45 in the 2012 renewal.
Newmarket Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Newmarket Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Newmarket Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 2:03.80 | Ancient Egypt (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 5) 16/1 | Rowan Scott Charlie Johnston (GB) |
| 2025 2:05.24 | Alpine Trail (FR) 3yo 9-2 (4 of 4) 10/11F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2024 2:02.88 | Caviar Heights (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (5 of 5) 7/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2023 2:04.66 | Castle Way (GB) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 7) 7/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 2:05.73 | Nations Pride (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 4) 7/4 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 2:04.74 | Mohaafeth (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 4) 2/1 | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2020 2:00.85 | Mishriff (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 10/1 | David Egan John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 2:06.02 | UAE Jewel (GB) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 4) 8/11F | David Egan Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 2:05.30 | Key Victory (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 5/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 2:03.66 | Permian (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 5/2 | Ryan Moore Mark Johnston (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Newmarket Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 18 placings from 115 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
Newmarket Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Newmarket Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Hawkbill (2016), Key Victory (2018), Nations Pride (2022), Castle Way (2023) and Alpine Trail (2025).
Here are some of the top Newmarket Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Appleby | 13-5-8 | +16.91 | +9.50 |
| John Gosden | 17-1-2 | -6.00 | -7.43 |
| Andrew Balding | 7-1-2 | +10.00 | +6.06 |
| Richard Hannon | 5-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.40 |
| William Haggas | 5-1-3 | -2.00 | -1.93 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 4-1-1 | -0.75 | -1.59 |
| K R Burke | 2-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.38 |
| Roger Varian | 2-1-1 | -0.27 | +0.00 |
| Charlie Johnston | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +10.00 |
| David Elsworth | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
Newmarket Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Newmarket Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Hawkbill (2016), Key Victory (2018), Nations Pride (2022), Castle Way (2023) and Alpine Trail (2025). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Newmarket Stakes is David Egan (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Newmarket Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 14-5-6 | +15.91 | +6.63 |
| David Egan | 4-2-2 | +8.73 | +5.00 |
| Ryan Moore | 8-1-2 | -4.50 | -1.13 |
| James Doyle | 6-1-2 | -2.75 | -2.87 |
| Jim Crowley | 4-1-1 | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| Joe Fanning | 4-1-1 | -2.20 | -1.50 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 2-1-2 | +3.00 | +2.65 |
| Rowan Scott | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +10.00 |
| Clifford Lee | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.38 |
| Shane Kelly | 1-1-1 | +6.50 | +4.06 |
2027 Newmarket Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 1, 3, 2, 6, 1, 1, (4, 5), 1, 3, 3, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3, 3, 5, 1, 5
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Not in a G1/G3/Cl5 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 66+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 89+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Break of 14 - 263 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Placed is not G1-3/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not on GS (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not on HY/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in FRA/IRL/ITA/SCO (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 62+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m2f
- 18 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Career Win)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 17 / 20 (50%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (LTO)
- 16 / 20 (50%) - Achieved an RPR of 90+ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Newmarket Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Newmarket Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Newmarket Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +40.35, is when runners had a furthest trip won of 1m.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 3rd in the betting market, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-20.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 1 (2) [5 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 4 [4 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 5 (4) [5 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (2) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 [4 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Newmarket Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 11 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Newbury; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Newmarket Stakes:
- Dubawi (3 Wins)
- Teofilo (3 Wins)
- Frankel (2 Wins)
- Rock Of Gibraltar (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Treasure Lands in 2010, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Jimmy Fortune. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Newmarket Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Newmarket Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Newmarket Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Ancient Egypt Newmarket (Rowley) - 7th of 8 (16/1) | Royal Lodge Stakes |
| 2025 - Alpine Trail Yarmouth - 1st of 7 (7/4) | QuinnBet Daily Free Bet Novice Stakes |
| 2024 - Caviar Heights Newmarket (Rowley) - 3rd of 10 (50/1) | bet365 Feilden Stakes |
| 2023 - Castle Way Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 6 (3/1) | British EBF Future Stayers Nursery Handicap |
| 2022 - Nations Pride Meydan - 1st of 8 (11/8) | Jumeirah Derby Presented By Al Tayer Motors |
| 2021 - Mohaafeth Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 8 (6/4) | Cash Out At bet365 Handicap |
| 2020 - Mishriff Janadriyah - 2nd of 13 (16/1) | Samba Saudi Derby |
| 2019 - UAE Jewel Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 12 (10/11) | bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes |
| 2018 - Key Victory Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 14 (10/3) | 32Red.com Novice Stakes |
| 2017 - Permian Epsom - 2nd of 8 (11/2) | Investec Derby Trial |
Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival
Remember to head over to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Newmarket Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Guineas Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Friday at the Guineas Festival
The highlight on Friday is the Jockey Club Stakes, a Group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Newmarket Stakes | Ancient Egypt (IRE) 3yo - 16/1 | Charlie Johnston Rowan Scott |
| Jockey Club Stakes | Santorini Star (IRE) 5yo - 9/4 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| King Charles II Stakes | Saber Strike (IRE) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Saturday at the Guineas Festival
Saturday's highlight is the 2,000 Guineas, part of the British Champion Series, where we see the 3-year-old runners compete over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Rowley Handicap Stakes | Double Rush (IRE) 4yo - 4/6 | Andrew Balding Shane Foley |
| Suffolk Stakes | Erzindjan (IRE) 8yo - 17/2 | T J Kent Ray Dawson |
| Palace House Stakes | Night Raider (IRE) 5yo - 9/1 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| 2000 Guineas | Bow Echo (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
Sunday at the Guineas Festival
Sunday is all about the fillies with the 1,000 Guineas taking centre stage, and the three-year-olds will compete over a mile trip.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Pretty Polly Stakes | Jennifer Jane (IRE) 3yo - 11/2 | Charlie Johnston Silvestre De Sousa |
| Dahlia Stakes | Jancis (IRE) 5yo - 18/1 | W McCreery Sean Levey |
| 1000 Guineas | True Love (IRE) 3yo - 5/1 | A P O'Brien Wayne Lordan |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Newmarket Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in July (July Festival)
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes
- bet365 Sprint Handicap
- July Stakes
- Princess of Wales's Stakes
- bet365 Handicap
- bet365 Trophy Heritage Handicap
- Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
- Falmouth Stakes
- bet365 Mile Handicap
- Bunbury Cup
- July Cup
- Superlative Stakes
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting Sprint Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
