Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Newmarket Stakes Preview
The current version of this race was introduced in 1978 although there was an earlier version that was disbanded after failing to attract field numbers and then it started up again in 1889 and that version stopped in the early 1960s.
This Newmarket Stakes holds a Listed status and is restricted only to three-year-old colts and geldings and is run over a distance of one mile and two furlongs and features during the Newmarket Guineas Festival in late April or early May.
Newmarket Stakes Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Guineas Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Newmarket during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
How competitive is the Newmarket Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 103%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Newmarket Stakes, the over-round has been 111%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.
Newmarket Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Newmarket Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +14.88. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Newmarket Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:00.85 was set by Mishriff in 2020, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by John Gosden and ridden by David Egan. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Noble Mission won in a time of 2:11.45, booked to ride was Tom Queally by the trainer Sir Henry Cecil.
These are the top three quickest-run Newmarket Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Mishriff (2:00.85) in 2020
- Caviar Heights (2:02.88) in 2024
- Helene Mascot (2:03.15) in 2007
What the expert says...
Twelve of the last twenty winners of the Newmarket Stakes came here having run at the Rowley Mile last time out time and six of the last eight of those won their prep race so watch out for last time out Newmarket winners.Newmarket Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Newmarket Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Newmarket Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:02.88 | Caviar Heights (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (5 of 5) 7/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2023 2:04.66 | Castle Way (GB) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 7) 7/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 2:05.73 | Nations Pride (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 4) 7/4 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 2:04.74 | Mohaafeth (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 4) 2/1 | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2020 2:00.85 | Mishriff (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 10/1 | David Egan John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 2:06.02 | UAE Jewel (GB) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 4) 8/11F | David Egan Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 2:05.30 | Key Victory (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 5/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 2:03.66 | Permian (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 5/2 | Ryan Moore Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2016 2:04.82 | Hawkbill (USA) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 8) 14/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2015 2:05.76 | Best Of Times (GB) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 6) 9/4F | James Doyle Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Newmarket Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 19 placings from 116 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
Newmarket Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Newmarket Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Hawkbill (2016), Key Victory (2018), Nations Pride (2022) and Castle Way (2023).
Here are some of the top Newmarket Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Appleby | 11-4-7 | +17.00 | +10.50 |
| John Gosden | 17-1-2 | -6.00 | -7.43 |
| Andrew Balding | 7-1-2 | +10.00 | +6.06 |
| Richard Hannon | 5-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.40 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 5-1-1 | -1.75 | -2.59 |
| William Haggas | 5-1-3 | -2.00 | -1.93 |
| K R Burke | 2-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.38 |
| Roger Varian | 2-1-1 | -0.27 | +0.00 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.50 |
| David Elsworth | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
Newmarket Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Newmarket Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Hawkbill (2016), Key Victory (2018), Nations Pride (2022) and Castle Way (2023). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Newmarket Stakes is David Egan (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Newmarket Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 13-4-5 | +15.00 | +6.63 |
| David Egan | 3-2-2 | +9.73 | +6.00 |
| Frankie Dettori | 13-1-4 | -10.25 | -7.61 |
| Ryan Moore | 9-1-2 | -5.50 | -2.13 |
| James Doyle | 6-1-2 | -2.75 | -2.87 |
| Jim Crowley | 4-1-1 | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| Joe Fanning | 4-1-1 | -2.20 | -1.50 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 2-1-2 | +3.00 | +2.65 |
| Clifford Lee | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.38 |
| Shane Kelly | 1-1-1 | +6.50 | +4.06 |
2025 Newmarket Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, 2, 1, 3, 2, 6, 1, 1, (4, 5), 1, 3, 3, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3, 3, 5
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (59%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Break of 14 - 263 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Placed is not G1-3/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Not on GS (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not in a G1-2/Cl5 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not on HY/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 62+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m2f
- 19 / 20 (82%) - Ran in England (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Placed within last 2 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Newmarket Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Newmarket Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Newmarket Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +30.75 is when runners ran in a Class 4 on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 3rd in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 5 (4) [5 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (2) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 [4 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 [4 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (9,8) [9 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Newmarket Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 12 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Newmarket Stakes:
- Teofilo (3 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Rock Of Gibraltar (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Treasure Lands in 2010, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Jimmy Fortune. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Newmarket Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival
Remember to head over to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Newmarket Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Guineas Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Friday at the Guineas Festival
The highlight on Friday is the Jockey Club Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Newmarket King Charles II Stakes | Boiling Point (IRE) 3yo - 11/8 | Roger Varian James Doyle |
| 15:00 Newmarket Newmarket Stakes | Caviar Heights (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 15:35 Newmarket Jockey Club Stakes | Outbox (GB) 9yo - 50/1 | Archie Watson Hollie Doyle |
Saturday at the Guineas Festival
Saturday's highlight is the 2,000 Guineas, part of the British Champion Series, we see the 3-year-old runners compete over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Newmarket Rowley Handicap Stakes | Desert Cop (GB) 4yo - 22/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 14:20 Newmarket Suffolk Stakes | Liberty Lane (IRE) 4yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:55 Newmarket Palace House Stakes | Seven Questions (IRE) 3yo - 33/1 | George Scott Callum Shepherd |
| 15:35 Newmarket Qipco 2000 Guineas | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 16/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Sunday at the Guineas Festival
Sunday is all about the fillies with the 1,000 Guineas taking centre stage, the three-year-olds will compete over a mile trip.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket Pretty Polly Stakes | Friendly Soul (GB) 3yo - 10/1 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 14:25 Newmarket Dahlia Stakes | Stay Alert (GB) 5yo - 5/1 | Hughie Morrison David Egan |
| 15:40 Newmarket Qipco 1000 Guineas | Elmalka (GB) 3yo - 28/1 | Roger Varian Silvestre De Sousa |
Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in July (July Festival)
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes
- bet365 Sprint Handicap Stakes
- July Stakes
- Princess of Wales's Stakes
- bet365 Handicap Stakes
- Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
- Falmouth Stakes
- bet365 Mile Handicap Stakes
- Bunbury Cup
- July Cup
- Superlative Stakes
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 1m4f Handicap
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
Races in October
Races in October (Future Champions Festival)
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Newmarket Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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