Abernant Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Craven Meeting)

Updated: 2448 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Abernant Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Newmarket during the Craven Meeting with the race being run over a distance of 6f, see which trends the past winners of the Abernant Stakes have set for this year.

Abernant Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Craven Meeting)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Abernant Stakes Preview

First introduced back in 1969 the Abernant Stakes is named after the sprinter Abernant who was successful in the 40s & 50s. The race is a Group 3 open to three-year-old or older runners and is run over a straight six furlongs. There is a 3lb allowance for fillies and mares whilst penalties for G1 (7lb), G2 (5lbs) and G3 (3lbs) winners in the past eight months.

Dick Hern's Boldboy won this race four times between 1974 & 1978, a feat no other runner has achieved. The race can be a springboard to the Palace House Stakes or Duke of York Stakes for those who finish well.

Abernant Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Abernant Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Abernant Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Abernant Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Abernant Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +8.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Abernant Stakes.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Garrus from Charles Hills under the guidance of Ryan Moore, won in a time of 1:15.11, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Oxted, trained by Roger Teal and ridden by Cieren Fallon set the quickest time of 1:09.39 in the 2020 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Abernant Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2020 - Oxted (1:09.39)
  • 2007 - Asset (1:09.64)
  • 2013 - Tickled Pink (1:09.88)

Abernant Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Abernant Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Abernant Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:15.11
Garrus (IRE)
7yo 9-9 (5 of 7) 9/1
Ryan Moore
Charles Hills (GB)
2022
1:10.53
Double Or Bubble (IRE)
5yo 9-4 (6 of 8) 7/2
Jack Mitchell
Chris Wall (GB)
2021
1:12.43
Summerghand (IRE)
7yo 9-7 (2 of 7) 7/1
Daniel Tudhope
David O'Meara (GB)
2020
1:09.39
Oxted (GB)
4yo 9-4 (1 of 7) 7/2
Cieren Fallon
Roger Teal (GB)
2019
1:11.64
Keystroke (GB)
7yo 9-7 (7 of 8) 66/1
Adam Kirby
Stuart Williams (GB)
2018
1:12.34
Brando (GB)
6yo 9-7 (6 of 8) 9/2
Tom Eaves
Kevin Ryan (GB)
2017
1:10.19
Brando (GB)
5yo 9-6 (4 of 6) 1/1F
Tom Eaves
Kevin Ryan (GB)
2016
1:14.84
Magical Memory (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (8 of 11) 3/1F
Frankie Dettori
Charles Hills (GB)
2015
1:12.09
Astaire (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (6 of 11) 9/2
Jamie Spencer
Kevin Ryan (GB)
2014
1:09.88
Hamza (IRE)
5yo 9-6 (6 of 8) 11/4
Jamie Spencer
Kevin Ryan (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Abernant Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 36 placings from 191 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Abernant Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Abernant Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Kevin Ryan who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Hamza (2014), Astaire (2015) and Brando (2017-18). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Abernant Stakes are Chris Wall (2 wins) & Charles Hills (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Abernant Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Kevin Ryan 14-4-5 +2.75 -1.63
Chris Wall 7-2-5 +12.50 +7.70
Charles Hills 6-2-3 +8.00 +4.43
Richard Fahey 5-1-2 +0.00 -0.30
Stuart Williams 4-1-2 +63.00 +37.73
Roger Charlton 4-1-2 +9.00 +5.90
James Fanshawe 4-1-2 +5.50 +2.05
David O'Meara 4-1-3 +4.00 +3.40
Sir Michael Stoute 3-1-1 +0.50 -0.50
Roger Teal 2-1-2 +2.50 +1.77

Abernant Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Abernant Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Jamie Spencer who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Zidane (2008), Hamza (2014) & Astaire (2015). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Abernant Stakes is Tom Eaves (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Abernant Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Jamie Spencer 12-3-4 +6.75 +0.70
Tom Eaves 6-2-3 +1.50 +0.02
Ryan Moore 16-1-6 -6.00 -4.16
Adam Kirby 7-1-3 +60.00 +37.50
Frankie Dettori 7-1-2 -3.00 -3.40
Tom Queally 6-1-1 +3.00 -0.20
Daniel Tudhope 4-1-3 +4.00 +3.40
Paul Hanagan 2-1-2 +3.00 +2.02
Franny Norton 1-1-1 +8.00 +4.80
Cieren Fallon 1-1-1 +3.50 +2.19

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 8, 2, 1, 7, 2, 1, 10, 9, 3, 3, 3, 1, 1, 6, 3, 5, 2, 5, 3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Within the first 8 of market
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -9l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Made 4 - 26 starts (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 66/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Beaten no more -9l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Won is not G2/Cl4/Cl6
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried 123 - 131lbs (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 80+ (Last 3)
  • 19 / 20 (89%) - Placed within last 4 starts
  • 18 / 20 (71%) - Held an OR of 105+ (Career)
  • 18 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 108+ (Career)
  • 18 / 20 (80%) - No more than +9lbs (Vs Min Weight)
  • 18 / 20 (86%) - Carried no more than 131lbs (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Abernant Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Abernant Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Abernant Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +60.50 is when runners ran in a Class 5 on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career wins in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-37.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 5 (2) [7 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 6 (5,7) [8 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 2 (7) [7 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 1 (5) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 7 (5,6) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Abernant Stakes is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 177 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 23 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Abernant Stakes:

  • Pivotal (3 Wins)
  • Acclamation (2 Wins)
  • Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Abernant Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Danetime (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Keystroke in 2019, winning for Stuart Williams at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Adam Kirby. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

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