Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Abernant Stakes Preview
First introduced back in 1969 the Abernant Stakes is named after the sprinter Abernant who was successful in the 40s & 50s.
The race is a Group 3 open to three-year-old or older runners and is run over a straight six furlongs.
There is a 3lb allowance for fillies and mares whilst penalties for G1 (7lb), G2 (5lb) and G3 (3lb) winners in the past eight months.
Dick Hern's Boldboy won this race four times between 1974 & 1978, a feat no other runner has achieved.
The race can be a springboard to the Palace House Stakes or Duke of York Stakes for those who finish well.
Abernant Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Abernant Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Abernant Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Abernant Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Abernant Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +8.00. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Abernant Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Garrus from Charles Hills under the guidance of Ryan Moore, won in a time of 1:15.11, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Oxted, trained by Roger Teal and ridden by Cieren Fallon set the quickest time of 1:09.39 in the 2020 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Abernant Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Oxted (1:09.39) in 2020
- Washington Heights (1:09.53) in 2024
- Asset (1:09.64) in 2007
Abernant Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Abernant Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Abernant Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:09.53 | Washington Heights (GB) 4yo 9-9 (6 of 14) 33/1 | Tom Eaves Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2023 1:15.11 | Garrus (IRE) 7yo 9-9 (5 of 7) 9/1 | Ryan Moore Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2022 1:10.53 | Double Or Bubble (IRE) 5yo 9-4 (6 of 8) 7/2 | Jack Mitchell Chris Wall (GB) |
| 2021 1:12.43 | Summerghand (IRE) 7yo 9-7 (2 of 7) 7/1 | Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara (GB) |
| 2020 1:09.39 | Oxted (GB) 4yo 9-4 (1 of 7) 7/2 | Cieren Fallon Roger Teal (GB) |
| 2019 1:11.64 | Keystroke (GB) 7yo 9-7 (7 of 8) 66/1 | Adam Kirby Stuart Williams (GB) |
| 2018 1:12.34 | Brando (GB) 6yo 9-7 (6 of 8) 9/2 | Tom Eaves Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2017 1:10.19 | Brando (GB) 5yo 9-6 (4 of 6) 1/1F | Tom Eaves Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2016 1:14.84 | Magical Memory (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (8 of 11) 3/1F | Frankie Dettori Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2015 1:12.09 | Astaire (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (6 of 11) 9/2 | Jamie Spencer Kevin Ryan (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Abernant Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 36 placings from 197 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Abernant Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Abernant Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Kevin Ryan who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Hamza (2014), Astaire (2015), Brando (2017 & 2018) and Washington Heights (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Abernant Stakes are Charles Hills (2 wins) and Chris Wall (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Abernant Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ryan | 15-5-6 | +35.75 | +18.17 |
| Charles Hills | 8-2-3 | +6.00 | +2.43 |
| Chris Wall | 6-2-4 | +13.50 | +7.10 |
| Richard Fahey | 5-1-2 | +0.00 | -0.30 |
| Stuart Williams | 4-1-2 | +63.00 | +37.73 |
| Roger Charlton | 4-1-2 | +9.00 | +5.90 |
| David O'Meara | 4-1-3 | +4.00 | +3.40 |
| James Fanshawe | 3-1-1 | +6.50 | +2.25 |
| Roger Teal | 2-1-2 | +2.50 | +1.77 |
| Henry Candy | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -4.83 |
Abernant Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Abernant Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Jamie Spencer and Tom Eaves who have both won the race three times. Jamie Spencer winners have been with Zidane (2008), Hamza (2014) and Astaire (2015). Tom Eaves winners have been with Brando (2017 & 2018) and Washington Heights (2024).
Here are some of the top Abernant Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Spencer | 13-3-4 | +5.75 | -0.30 |
| Tom Eaves | 7-3-4 | +34.50 | +19.82 |
| Ryan Moore | 17-1-6 | -7.00 | -5.16 |
| Adam Kirby | 7-1-3 | +60.00 | +37.50 |
| Tom Queally | 6-1-1 | +3.00 | -0.20 |
| Frankie Dettori | 6-1-1 | -2.00 | -3.20 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 4-1-3 | +4.00 | +3.40 |
| Franny Norton | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.80 |
| Cieren Fallon | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.19 |
| Jack Mitchell | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.10 |
2025 Abernant Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 2, 1, 7, 2, 1, 10, 9, 3, 3, 3, 1, 1, 6, 3, 5, 2, 5, 3, 10
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 66/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -9l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -9l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Made 4 - 26 starts (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried 123 - 131lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Won is not G2/Cl4/Cl6
- 19 / 20 (88%) - Placed within last 4 starts
- 18 / 20 (65%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 18 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 108+ (Career)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - No more than +9lbs (Vs Min Weight)
- 18 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 80+ (Last 3)
- 18 / 20 (88%) - No more than +3yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 17 / 20 (60%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 17 / 20 (71%) - Held an OR of 105+ (Career)
- 17 / 20 (76%) - No more than -4lbs (Vs Max Weight)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Abernant Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Abernant Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Abernant Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +71.50 is when runners had 0 career wins in the class. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career wins in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-40.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 6 (7,12) [14 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (2) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (5,7) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 1 (5) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Abernant Stakes is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 183 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 23 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Abernant Stakes:
- Pivotal (3 Wins)
- Acclamation (2 Wins)
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Abernant Stakes, that stallion is Oasis Dream who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Keystroke in 2019, winning for Stuart Williams at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Adam Kirby. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Abernant Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Other Principal races at Newmarket racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- Howden Heritage Handicap
- Palace House Stakes
- Qipco 2000 Guineas
- Suffolk Stakes
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
- Qipco 1000 Guineas
Races in July (July Festival)
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes
- bet365 Sprint Handicap Stakes
- July Stakes
- Princess of Wales's Stakes
- bet365 Handicap Stakes
- Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
- Falmouth Stakes
- bet365 Mile Handicap Stakes
- Bunbury Cup
- July Cup
- Superlative Stakes
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 1m4f Handicap
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
Races in October
Races in October (Future Champions Festival)
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Abernant Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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