You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Minster Stakes Preview
The Group 2 Minster Stakes, which was given a new name in 2026 as an acknowledgement of York Minster, having previously been known as the 'Duke of York Stakes', is scheduled to take place in May of each year at York during the Dante Festival.
The race is open to runners who are aged three or older, with the race being run over a straight six furlongs.
Minster Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the York tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Dante Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at York during the flat season; you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Minster Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018, when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Minster Stakes, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Minster Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Minster Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Minster Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Azure Blue (1:09.11) in 2023
- Invincible Army (1:09.90) in 2019
- Delegator (1:10.18) in 2011
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Minster Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -2.50. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Azure Blue, trained by Michael Dods and ridden by Paul Mulrennan, who set the fastest winning time in the Minster Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 1:09.11 in 2023. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Miss Evanna McCutcheon and jockey Declan McDonogh with Maarek who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:13.53 in the 2014 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Minster Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Minster Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Minster Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:11.88 | Elmonjed (IRE) 5yo 9-10 (1 of 13) 8/1 | William Buick William Haggas (GB) |
| 2025 1:10.67 | Inisherin (GB) 4yo 9-10 (1 of 8) 11/8F | Ryan Moore Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2024 1:10.91 | Mill Stream (IRE) 4yo 9-10 (5 of 14) 4/1F | William Buick Jane Chapple-Hyam (GB) |
| 2023 1:09.11 | Azure Blue (IRE) 4yo 9-7 (9 of 10) 12/1 | Paul Mulrennan Michael Dods (GB) |
| 2022 1:10.62 | Highfield Princess (FR) 5yo 9-7 (1 of 9) 11/2 | Jason Hart John Quinn (GB) |
| 2021 1:11.24 | Starman (GB) 4yo 9-8 (4 of 12) 5/1 | Oisin Murphy Ed Walker (GB) |
| 2019 1:09.90 | Invincible Army (IRE) 4yo 9-8 (8 of 10) 7/2F | P J McDonald James Tate (GB) |
| 2018 1:10.87 | Harry Angel (IRE) 4yo 9-13 (3 of 5) 4/9F | Adam Kirby Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2017 1:12.74 | Tasleet (GB) 4yo 9-8 (9 of 12) 14/1 | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2016 1:10.52 | Magical Memory (IRE) 4yo 9-8 (4 of 12) 5/2F | Frankie Dettori Charles Hills (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Minster Stakes have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 38 placings from 238 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 13 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Minster Stakes Replay
Minster Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Minster Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Kevin Ryan, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Amadeus Wolf (2007), Tiddliwinks (2012) and Inisherin (2025). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Minster Stakes is William Haggas (2 wins). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Minster Stakes; Tim Easterby has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Minster Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ryan | 24-3-7 | +8.38 | +4.07 |
| William Haggas | 11-2-4 | +13.00 | +6.20 |
| Richard Fahey | 13-1-1 | +4.00 | -4.00 |
| Clive Cox | 8-1-4 | -6.56 | -3.17 |
| Michael Dods | 6-1-2 | +7.00 | +3.90 |
| James Fanshawe | 5-1-3 | +6.00 | +3.20 |
| Charles Hills | 5-1-2 | -1.50 | -0.60 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 4-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.00 |
| John Quinn | 3-1-2 | +3.50 | +2.30 |
| David Simcock | 2-1-1 | +39.00 | +23.00 |
Minster Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Minster Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Ryan Moore, William Buick, and Jim Crowley having all won the race twice. Ryan Moore's winners have been with Assertive (2008) and Inisherin (2025). William Buick winners have been with Mill Stream (2024) and Elmonjed (2026). Jim Crowley's winners have been with Glass Office (2015) and Tasleet (2017). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Minster Stakes; Tom Eaves has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Minster Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 15-2-5 | -4.12 | -6.09 |
| William Buick | 9-2-3 | +5.00 | +1.10 |
| Jim Crowley | 6-2-4 | +50.00 | +30.02 |
| Jamie Spencer | 10-1-2 | +16.00 | +7.30 |
| Neil Callan | 6-1-2 | -2.00 | -2.10 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 5-1-1 | +8.00 | +3.20 |
| Jason Hart | 4-1-2 | +2.50 | +1.30 |
| Oisin Murphy | 4-1-2 | +2.00 | +0.90 |
| Adam Kirby | 4-1-3 | -2.56 | -0.52 |
| P J McDonald | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +2.00 |
2027 Minster Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (6, 13), 1, 4, 3, (2, 5), 1, 5, 5, 6, 7, 1, 12, 1, (1, 3), (3, 6), (3, 7), 5, (1, 11), 1, (2, 8)
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Dam is not AUS/FR/GER/ITY/USA bred
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Won is not G2/Cl3-5
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 94+ (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Had 2 - 6 wins (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in AUS/CAN/DEU/IRL/QAT/SCO/ZAF/UAE (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 3 - 11 wins (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 69+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in a G2/Cl4-5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (78%) - Held an OR of 106+ (Last 5)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 19 / 20 (86%) - Beaten no more -8¾l (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Minster Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Minster Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Minster Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +70.50, is when runners had 0 career wins on the going.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 1 (G2), when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-41.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 1 (2,9) [13 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 1 (2,3) [8 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 5 (6,3) [14 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 9 (8,1) [10 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (2,6) [9 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Minster Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Ascot; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 227 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 28 runners.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Minster Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Bahamian Bounty (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Glass Office in 2015, winning for David Simcock at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Minster Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Minster Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Minster Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Elmonjed Newmarket (Rowley) - 9th of 14 (20/1) | Abernant Stakes |
| 2025 - Inisherin Haydock - 13th of 16 (5/2) | Haydock Sprint Cup |
| 2024 - Mill Stream Newmarket (Rowley) - 2nd of 14 (6/1) | Abernant Stakes |
| 2023 - Azure Blue Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 10 (7/2) | Howden British EBF Ellen Chaloner Stakes |
| 2022 - Highfield Princess Newcastle (AW) - 1st of 7 (15/8) | All-Weather Fillies & Mares Championships |
| 2021 - Starman Ascot - 14th of 16 (9/1) | British Champions Sprint Stakes |
| 2019 - Invincible Army Doncaster - 1st of 8 (4/1) | Unibet Cammidge Trophy Stakes |
| 2018 - Harry Angel Ascot - 4th of 12 (5/4) | British Champions Sprint Stakes |
| 2017 - Tasleet Leicester - 2nd of 5 (5/1) | totepool EBF Stallions King Richard III Stakes |
| 2016 - Magical Memory Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 11 (3/1) | Abernant Stakes |
Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Minster Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Dante Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Dante Festival
The highlight on Wednesday, the opening day of the Dante Festival, is the Group 2 Duke of York Stakes, a race contested over six furlongs with a prize fund of £150k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Jorvik Stakes | Klassleader (GB) 4yo - 15/8 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Churchill Tyres Handicap | Dark Thirty (IRE) 6yo - 11/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| Minster Stakes | Elmonjed (IRE) 5yo - 8/1 | William Haggas William Buick |
| Musidora Stakes | Legacy Link (GB) 3yo - 6/4 | John & Thady Gosden Colin Keane |
Thursday at the Dante Festival
Thursday's highlight is the Dante Stakes, a race that carries a prize fund of £180k and is restricted to three-year-olds and run over an extended ten furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Lindum York Handicap | Jakajaro (IRE) 5yo - 14/1 | Robert Cowell Jamie Spencer |
| Hambleton Stakes | Maybe Not (GB) 4yo - 18/1 | Ralph Beckett Saffie Osborne |
| Middleton Stakes | See The Fire (GB) 5yo - 5/6 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| Dante Stakes | Item (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| Westow Stakes | Dickensian (GB) 3yo - 12/1 | Kevin Ryan Shane Gray |
Friday at the Dante Festival
On Friday, the final day of the festival, the feature race, the Yorkshire Cup, which is part of the British Champion Series, is the highlight, with a prize fund of £180k. The runners compete over a distance of one mile, five furlongs and 188 yards.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Seely Memorial Fillies Stakes | Lilt (GB) 3yo - 13/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Macmillan Charity Handicap | Warrant Holder (IRE) 4yo - 11/4 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| Marygate Fillies Stakes | Love A Giggle (IRE) 2yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Yorkshire Cup | Rahiebb (GB) 4yo - 4/1 | Roger Varian Ray Dawson |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Minster Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at York Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the York racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in July
Races in August (Ebor Festival)
- Acomb Stakes
- Ebor Festival Stayers Heritage Handicap
- Great Voltigeur Stakes
- Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Handicap
- Juddmonte International Stakes
- Clipper Handicap
- Ebor Festival Fillies Heritage Handicap
- Galtres Stakes
- Harry's Half Million By Goffs
- Lowther Stakes
- Yorkshire Oaks
- Ebor Festival Mile Heritage Handicap
- Ebor Festival Sky Bet Heritage Handicap
- Gimcrack Stakes
- Lonsdale Cup
- Nunthorpe Stakes
- City of York Stakes
- Ebor Festival Finale Heritage Handicap
- Ebor Handicap
- Melrose Heritage Handicap
- Roses Stakes
- Strensall Stakes
