Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Dante Stakes Preview
The Dante Stakes had its inaugural running in 1958, the Group 2 flat race is run over a trip of just over one mile and two furlongs (56 yards) at York and is normally run in May and serves as a trial for the Epsom Derby.
The race is open to three-year-old runners where all runners will carry equal weight of 9-0 except for any fillies who will get a 3lb allowance and any Group 1 winner who gets a 3lb penalty.
Dante Stakes Information:
Our dedicated York tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Dante Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at York throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Dante Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at York during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
How competitive is the Dante Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 104%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Dante Stakes, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.
Dante Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Dante Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +9.88. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Septimus from A P O'Brien under the guidance of Kieren Fallon, won in a time of 2:17.55, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, The Foxes, trained by Andrew Balding and ridden by Oisin Murphy set the quickest time of 2:05.84 in the 2023 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Dante Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- The Foxes (2:05.84) in 2023
- Cape Blanco (2:06.70) in 2010
- Wings of Desire (2:07.37) in 2016
Dante Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Dante Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Dante Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
---|---|---|
2023 2:05.84 | The Foxes (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 11) 6/1 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
2022 2:09.46 | Desert Crown (GB) 3yo 9-2 (3 of 8) 7/2F | Richard Kingscote Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
2021 2:10.06 | Hurricane Lane (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (11 of 10) 5/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
2020 2:08.62 | Thunderous (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 13/2 | Franny Norton Mark Johnston (GB) |
2019 2:10.24 | Telecaster (GB) 3yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 7/1 | Oisin Murphy Hughie Morrison (GB) |
2018 2:09.79 | Roaring Lion (USA) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 9) 3/1F | Oisin Murphy John Gosden (GB) |
2017 2:08.40 | Permian (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 10/1 | Franny Norton Mark Johnston (GB) |
2016 2:07.37 | Wings of Desire (GB) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 12) 9/1 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
2015 2:08.74 | Golden Horn (GB) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 4/1 | William Buick John Gosden (GB) |
2014 2:08.99 | The Grey Gatsby (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (6 of 6) 9/1 | Ryan Moore Kevin Ryan (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Dante Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 20 placings from 129 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 11 placings from 28 runners
Dante Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Dante Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from North Light (2004), Tartan Bearer (2008), Carlton House (2011) and Desert Crown (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Dante Stakes are A P O'Brien (3 wins), John Gosden (3 wins) and Andrew Balding (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Dante Stakes, Saeed bin Suroor has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Dante Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Sir Michael Stoute | 14-4-9 | +12.25 | +8.51 |
A P O'Brien | 24-3-12 | -2.87 | +4.47 |
John Gosden | 14-3-7 | +5.00 | +2.70 |
Andrew Balding | 3-2-2 | +8.00 | +4.48 |
Kevin Ryan | 5-1-1 | +5.00 | +1.63 |
Charlie Appleby | 5-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.00 |
Hughie Morrison | 3-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.20 |
Michael Bell | 3-1-1 | -1.00 | -1.37 |
Peter Chapple-Hyam | 3-1-2 | -1.09 | +0.07 |
Saeed bin Suroor | 10-0-2 | -10.00 | -7.80 |
Dante Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Dante Stakes over the last 20 renewals with Ryan Moore, William Buick and Oisin Murphy having all won the race three times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Tartan Bearer (2008), Carlton House (2011) and The Grey Gatsby (2014). William Buick winners have been with Libertarian (2013), Golden Horn (2015) and Hurricane Lane (2021). Oisin Murphy winners have been with Roaring Lion (2018), Telecaster (2019) and The Foxes (2023). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Dante Stakes are Frankie Dettori (2 wins) and Franny Norton (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Dante Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Ryan Moore | 14-3-8 | +10.75 | +7.46 |
William Buick | 8-3-4 | +37.00 | +21.45 |
Oisin Murphy | 4-3-4 | +15.00 | +9.19 |
Frankie Dettori | 16-2-5 | -4.09 | -5.38 |
Franny Norton | 3-2-2 | +15.50 | +9.06 |
Richard Kingscote | 2-1-2 | +2.50 | +2.05 |
Andrea Atzeni | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -3.70 |
Jamie Spencer | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -4.50 |
James Doyle | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -3.15 |
Silvestre De Sousa | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
2024 Dante Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 1, 1, 3, 8, 4, 2, 7, 3, 3, 2, 5, 2, 1, 2, 2, 3, (1, 2), 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Not in a G3/Cl2 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Beaten no more -4l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Won is not G3
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 67+ (Last 3)
- 19 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Place)
- 18 / 20 (62%) - No bigger than 10/1
- 18 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career)
- 18 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (88%) - Carried no more than 126lbs
- 18 / 20 (89%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 17 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Debut)
- 17 / 20 (82%) - Won within last 2 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Dante Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Dante Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Dante Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +50.66 is when runners had 2 career starts. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 5th in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-21.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 2 (6,3,1) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (1,2) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 11 (5,10) [10 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 5 (8,2) [8 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Dante Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Dante Stakes:
- Montjeu (2 Wins)
- New Approach (2 Wins)
- Sadlers Wells (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Dante Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Kingman (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Libertarian in 2013, winning for Mrs K Burke at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Dante Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Dante Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Dante Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Dante Festival
The highlight on Wednesday, the opening day of the Dante Festival is the Group 2 Duke of York Stakes, a race contested over six furlongs with a prize fund of £150k.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:50 York Jorvik Stakes | Scampi (GB) 5yo - 16/1 | Andrew Balding Hayley Turner |
14:25 York Churchill Tyres Handicap | Bielsa (IRE) 8yo - 12/1 | Kevin Ryan Oisin Murphy |
15:00 York Duke of York Stakes | Azure Blue (IRE) 4yo - 12/1 | Michael Dods Paul Mulrennan |
15:35 York Musidora Stakes | Soul Sister (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
Thursday at the Dante Festival
Thursday's highlight is the Dante Stakes, a race that carries a prize fund of £180k is restricted to three-year-olds and run over an extended ten furlongs.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:50 York Lindum York Handicap | Regional (GB) 5yo - 5/1 | Edward Bethell Callum Rodriguez |
14:25 York Middleton Stakes | Free Wind (IRE) 5yo - 6/5 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
15:00 York Hambleton Stakes | Croupier (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford William Buick |
15:35 York Dante Stakes | The Foxes (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Friday at the Dante Festival
On Friday, the final day of the festival, the feature race, the Yorkshire Cup which is part of the British Champion Series is the highlight, with a prize fund of £180k the runners compete over a distance of one mile, five furlongs and 188 yards.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
15:00 York Knights Solicitors Handicap | Marhaba The Champ (GB) 4yo - 10/1 | Kevin Ryan William Buick |
15:35 York Yorkshire Cup | Giavellotto (IRE) 4yo - 14/1 | Marco Botti Andrea Atzeni |
Other Principal Races at York Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the York racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in July
Races in August (Ebor Festival)
- Acomb Stakes
- Great Voltigeur Stakes
- Juddmonte International Stakes
- Symphony Group Handicap
- York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap
- Clipper Logistics Heritage Handicap
- Galtres Stakes
- Lowther Stakes
- Premier Yearling Stakes
- Yorkshire Oaks
- Gimcrack Stakes
- Lonsdale Cup
- Nunthorpe Stakes
- York Ebor Festival Sky Bet Handicap
- City of York Stakes
- Ebor Handicap
- Melrose Heritage Handicap
- Roses Stakes
- Strensall Stakes
Races in October
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Dante Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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