Autumn Mile Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Updated: 292 Horse Racing

We look at the Autumn Mile Handicap ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m at York to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Autumn Mile Handicap.

Autumn Mile Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Autumn Mile Handicap Preview

Contested over a distance of one mile, this race is a class two handicap that is scheduled to take place in October of each year at the York Racecourse with the race being open to runners aged four or older.

Autumn Mile Handicap Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Autumn Mile Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2002 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2022 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 137%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Autumn Mile Handicap, the over-round has been 124%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £124 which is bet.

Autumn Mile Handicap Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Autumn Mile Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.75. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Autumn Mile Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2015 renewal when Youre Fired from K R Burke under the guidance of Dougie Costello, won in a time of 1:46.06, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Londoner, trained by Simon Dow and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 1:35.32 in the 2002 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Autumn Mile Handicap over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2002 - Londoner (1:35.32)
  • 2013 - Graphic (1:36.40)
  • 2018 - Just Hiss (1:37.03)

Autumn Mile Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Autumn Mile Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Autumn Mile Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
1:42.31
Hafeet Alain (IRE)
7yo 8-10 (1 of 12) 13/2
Connor Planas (3lbs)
Ed Walker (GB)
2022
1:39.50
Substantial (GB)
4yo 8-7 (19 of 20) 7/1
Cieren Fallon
William Haggas (GB)
2021
1:39.51
Shelir (IRE)
5yo 9-6 (4 of 20) 14/1
Jason Watson
David O'Meara (GB)
2020
1:40.68
Ouzo (GB)
4yo 9-1 (13 of 20) 11/1
Kieran O'Neill
Richard Hannon (GB)
2019
1:42.53
Crownthorpe (GB)
4yo 8-9 (4 of 15) 12/1
Sean Davis (3lbs)
Richard Fahey (GB)
2018
1:37.03
Just Hiss (GB)
5yo 8-7 (5 of 16) 9/1
Rachel Richardson
Tim Easterby (GB)
2017
1:37.46
Zabeel Prince (IRE)
4yo 9-7 (4 of 20) 15/8F
Silvestre De Sousa
Roger Varian (GB)
2016
1:37.50
Highland Colori (IRE)
8yo 9-2 (14 of 19) 22/1
Liam Keniry
Andrew Balding (GB)
2015
1:46.06
Youre Fired (IRE)
4yo 9-7 (1 of 13) 15/2F
Dougie Costello
K R Burke (GB)
2014
1:44.57
Homage (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (2 of 15) 7/1
Ryan Moore
William Haggas (GB)

Autumn Mile Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Autumn Mile Handicap over the last 20 renewals is William Haggas who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Graphic (2013), Homage (2014) and Substantial (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Autumn Mile Handicap are Tim Easterby (2 wins) and Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Autumn Mile Handicap, Michael Dods has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Autumn Mile Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
William Haggas7-3-4+13.33+8.59
Tim Easterby25-2-7-3.00-0.19
Saeed bin Suroor7-2-3+0.00-0.38
David O'Meara36-1-6-21.00-17.31
Richard Fahey28-1-6-15.00-9.37
Andrew Balding4-1-1+19.00+10.75
David Simcock4-1-2+6.00+4.63
David Evans3-1-1+12.00+6.75
Richard Hannon2-1-1+10.00+5.88
K R Burke2-1-1+6.50+3.69

Autumn Mile Handicap Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Autumn Mile Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Londoner (2002), Graphic (2013) and Homage (2014). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Autumn Mile Handicap is Frankie Dettori (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Autumn Mile Handicap, David Allan has ridden a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Autumn Mile Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore5-3-3+18.33+10.71
Frankie Dettori2-2-2+5.00+3.12
Silvestre De Sousa5-1-2-2.12-1.76
Jason Watson4-1-1+11.00+5.75
Sean Davis2-1-1+11.00+6.50
Kieran O'Neill2-1-1+10.00+5.88
Cieren Fallon2-1-1+6.00+3.38
Liam Keniry1-1-1+22.00+13.75
Dougie Costello1-1-1+7.50+4.69
Connor Planas1-1-1+6.50+4.06

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 6, (3, 14), 4, (1, 11), 1, 8, 4, 10, 1, 4, (1, 4), 8, 1, 4, 3, 2, 11, 2, 7

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 22/1
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Beaten no more -1½l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m1½f
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Win)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - In a field of 3 - 15 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 117 - 135lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Break of 1 - 238 days (Last Place)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career Place)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in FRA/DEU/ITA/SCO (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 92+ (Last 5)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 89+ (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 1 - 7 placings (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 92+ (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more -13l (Debut)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Autumn Mile Handicap. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Autumn Mile Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

Autumn Mile Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +23.00 is when runners ran in a Class 3 when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 7 starts in the past 180 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-50.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 1 (10,13) [12 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 19 (5,9,12) [20 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (3,5,9) [20 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 13 (9,16,1) [20 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (12,3) [15 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Autumn Mile Handicap is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Goodwood and York, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 300 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 16 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Autumn Mile Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Cape Cross (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Inchinor (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Highland Colori in 2016, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 22/1 under the guidance of Liam Keniry. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Autumn Mile Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

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