You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Deutsches Derby Preview
The German Derby, otherwise known as the Deutsches Derby, takes place at the Humburg racetrack in July of each year and is the German equivalent of the Epsom Derby. This Group 1 race is restricted to three-year-old colts and fillies and was established in 1869 and given G1 status in 1972.
Owner GestĂźt Schlenderhan has an incredible record in this race, having won it on no fewer than nineteen occasions, with the latest coming in 2020 with In Swoop, which was their first taste of success; however, in eleven years, Wiener Walzer (2009) was their last winner before that.
Deutsches Derby Information:
You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races in Germany section for links to these.
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How competitive is the Deutsches Derby market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022, when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Deutsches Derby, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ122 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Deutsches Derby Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Deutsches Derby Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Deutsches Derby races over the last 10 renewals:
- Laccario (2:29.95) in 2019
- Weltstar (2:32.44) in 2018
- Sammarco (2:32.95) in 2022
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 10 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Deutsches Derby next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -4.80.
When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 2:29.95 was set by Laccario in 2019, trained by A Wohler and ridden by Eduardo Pedroza, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Windstoss won in a time of 2:41.52 for trainer Markus Klug, who booked Maxim Pecheur in the saddle.
Deutsches Derby Past Winners
Here are the Deutsches Derby past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Deutsches Derby are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 2:39.79 | Dardanos (GER) 3yo 9-2 (4 of 18) 84/1 | Wladimir Panov A Wohler (GER) |
| 2025 2:37.10 | Hochkonig (GER) 3yo 9-2 (8 of 17) 183/10 | Frau Nina Baltromei Yasmin Almenrader (GER) |
| 2024 2:37.18 | Palladium (GER) 3yo 9-2 (20 of 18) 233/10 | Thore Hammer Hansen Henk Grewe (GER) |
| 2023 2:39.11 | Fantastic Moon (GER) 3yo 9-2 (16 of 20) 31/5 | Rene Piechulek Frau S Steinberg (GER) |
| 2022 2:32.95 | Sammarco (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 20) 63/10 | Bauyrzhan Murzabayev P Schiergen (GER) |
| 2021 2:34.56 | Sisfahan (FR) 3yo 9-2 (15 of 20) 115/10 | Andrasch Starke Henk Grewe (GER) |
| 2020 2:34.97 | In Swoop (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (13 of 19) 137/10 | Ronan Thomas F-H Graffard (FR) |
| 2019 2:29.95 | Laccario (GER) 3yo 9-2 (4 of 15) 2/1F | Eduardo Pedroza A Wohler (GER) |
| 2018 2:32.44 | Weltstar (GER) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 13) 11/5 | Adrie de Vries Markus Klug (GER) |
| 2017 2:41.52 | Windstoss (GER) 3yo 9-2 (11 of 18) 13/2 | Maxim Pecheur Markus Klug (GER) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Deutsches Derby have been based:
- GER: 9 winners with an additional 19 placings from 166 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
- DEN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Deutsches Derby Replay
Deutsches Derby Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Deutsches Derby over the last 10 renewals, with Markus Klug, Henk Grewe, and A Wohler having all won the race twice. Markus Klug's winners have been with Windstoss (2017) and Weltstar (2018). Henk Grewe's winners have been with Sisfahan (2021) and Palladium (2024). A Wohler winners have been with Laccario (2019) and Dardanos (2026). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Deutsches Derby; Waldemar Hickst has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Deutsches Derby trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Klug | 31-2-8 | -20.30 | -19.06 |
| Henk Grewe | 24-2-5 | +12.80 | -2.77 |
| A Wohler | 21-2-3 | +67.00 | +24.89 |
| P Schiergen | 22-1-6 | -14.70 | -15.35 |
| Yasmin Almenrader | 3-1-1 | +16.30 | +7.15 |
| Frau S Steinberg | 3-1-1 | +4.20 | +1.10 |
| F-H Graffard | 1-1-1 | +13.70 | +6.85 |
| Waldemar Hickst | 13-0-3 | -13.00 | -11.50 |
| Jean-Pierre Carvalho | 9-0-0 | -9.00 | -9.00 |
| Marcel Weiss | 8-0-1 | -8.00 | -7.50 |
Deutsches Derby Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top Deutsches Derby jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrasch Starke | 8-1-3 | +4.50 | -0.25 |
| Bauyrzhan Murzabayev | 8-1-2 | -0.70 | -3.35 |
| Rene Piechulek | 8-1-1 | -0.80 | -3.90 |
| Adrie de Vries | 8-1-1 | -4.80 | -5.68 |
| Eduardo Pedroza | 8-1-2 | -5.00 | -5.11 |
| Maxim Pecheur | 6-1-2 | +1.50 | -1.25 |
| Thore Hammer Hansen | 4-1-1 | +20.30 | +8.65 |
| Wladimir Panov | 3-1-1 | +82.00 | +40.00 |
| Ronan Thomas | 2-1-1 | +12.70 | +5.85 |
| Frau Nina Baltromei | 1-1-1 | +18.30 | +9.15 |
2027 Deutsches Derby Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 13, 3, 1, 5, 2, 3, 15, 6, 6, 17
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 10 / 10 (51%) - Beaten no more -2Âźl (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (58%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (65%) - Not in a G2/LST/Cl2 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (66%) - Break of 14 - 63 days (Last Place)
- 10 / 10 (67%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-3/Cl5-6
- 10 / 10 (70%) - Furthest Placed 1m2f - 1m4f
- 10 / 10 (70%) - No bigger than 46/5 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (70%) - Not on HY/GS/GF/STD (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (75%) - Had 1 - 3 placings (90 Days)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (Season)
- 10 / 10 (79%) - Dam is not AUS/BRZ/IRE/JPN/USA bred
- 10 / 10 (82%) - No bigger than 30/1 (Career Place)
- 10 / 10 (83%) - Within the first 15 of the market
- 10 / 10 (83%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (Career)
- 10 / 10 (87%) - No bigger than 30/1 (Career)
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2027 Deutsches Derby Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Deutsches Derby will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Deutsches Derby Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +65.50, is when the runner's last place was 1 start ago.
â The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 season places; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-42.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 4 (18,7) [18 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 8 (7,5) [17 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 20 (4,1) [18 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 16 (4,19) [20 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (18,10) [20 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Deutsches Derby is Cologne; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Cologne last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 172 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 6 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Deutsches Derby; that stallion, Soldier Hollow, has produced 2 winners (2026,2018).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Deutsches Derby despite multiple attempts:
- Reliable Man (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Nathaniel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Zarak (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dardanos in 2026, winning for A Wohler at odds of 84/1 under the guidance of Wladimir Panov. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals, there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Deutsches Derby Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races in Germany
Here are some other notable races throughout Germany which take place during the racing season that we also have blogs for.
