Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 20 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2026 Deutsches Derby Preview
The German Derby, otherwise known as the Deutsches Derby, takes place at the Humburg racetrack in July of each year and is the German equivalent of the Epsom Derby. This Group 1 race is restricted to three-year-old colts and fillies and was established in 1869 and given G1 status in 1972.
Owner Gestüt Schlenderhan has an incredible record in this race, having won it on no fewer than nineteen occasions, with the latest coming in 2020 with In Swoop, which was their first taste of success; however, in eleven years with Wiener Walzer (2009) was their last winner before that.
Deutsches Derby Information:
You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races in Germany section for links to these.
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How competitive is the Deutsches Derby market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Deutsches Derby, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Deutsches Derby Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Deutsches Derby Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Deutsches Derby races over the last 10 renewals:
- Laccario (2:29.95) in 2019
- Weltstar (2:32.44) in 2018
- Sammarco (2:32.95) in 2022
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 10 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Deutsches Derby next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 8 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -3.80. Why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2016 renewal when Isfahan from A Wohler under the guidance of Dario Vargiu, won in a time of 2:45.97, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Laccario, trained by A Wohler and ridden by Eduardo Pedroza set the quickest time of 2:29.95 in the 2019 renewal.
Deutsches Derby Past Winners
Here are the Deutsches Derby past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Deutsches Derby are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 2:37.10 | Hochkonig (GER) 3yo 9-2 (8 of 17) 183/10 | Frau Nina Baltromei Yasmin Almenrader (GER) |
| 2024 2:37.18 | Palladium (GER) 3yo 9-2 (20 of 18) 233/10 | Thore Hammer Hansen Henk Grewe (GER) |
| 2023 2:39.11 | Fantastic Moon (GER) 3yo 9-2 (16 of 20) 31/5 | Rene Piechulek Frau S Steinberg (GER) |
| 2022 2:32.95 | Sammarco (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 20) 63/10 | Bauyrzhan Murzabayev P Schiergen (GER) |
| 2021 2:34.56 | Sisfahan (FR) 3yo 9-2 (15 of 20) 115/10 | Andrasch Starke Henk Grewe (GER) |
| 2020 2:34.97 | In Swoop (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (13 of 19) 137/10 | Ronan Thomas F-H Graffard (FR) |
| 2019 2:29.95 | Laccario (GER) 3yo 9-2 (4 of 15) 2/1F | Eduardo Pedroza A Wohler (GER) |
| 2018 2:32.44 | Weltstar (GER) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 13) 11/5 | Adrie de Vries Markus Klug (GER) |
| 2017 2:41.52 | Windstoss (GER) 3yo 9-2 (11 of 18) 13/2 | Maxim Pecheur Markus Klug (GER) |
| 2016 2:45.97 | Isfahan (GER) 3yo 9-2 (11 of 19) 158/10 | Dario Vargiu A Wohler (GER) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Deutsches Derby have been based:
- GER: 9 winners with an additional 19 placings from 167 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- DEN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Deutsches Derby Replay
Deutsches Derby Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Deutsches Derby over the last 10 renewals, with Markus Klug, Henk Grewe, and A Wohler having all won the race two times. Markus Klug winners have been with Windstoss (2017) and Weltstar (2018). Henk Grewe winners have been with Sisfahan (2021) and Palladium (2024). A Wohler winners have been with Isfahan (2016) and Laccario (2019). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 10 renewals in the Deutsches Derby. Waldemar Hickst has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst Jean-Pierre Carvalho has sent out 10 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Deutsches Derby trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Klug | 33-2-9 | -22.30 | -20.56 |
| Henk Grewe | 22-2-4 | +14.80 | -1.27 |
| A Wohler | 20-2-3 | -0.20 | -8.21 |
| P Schiergen | 21-1-5 | -13.70 | -14.85 |
| Yasmin Almenrader | 3-1-1 | +16.30 | +7.15 |
| Frau S Steinberg | 2-1-1 | +5.20 | +2.10 |
| F-H Graffard | 1-1-1 | +13.70 | +6.85 |
| Waldemar Hickst | 12-0-3 | -12.00 | -10.50 |
| Jean-Pierre Carvalho | 10-0-1 | -10.00 | -9.50 |
| Marcel Weiss | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -6.50 |
Deutsches Derby Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top Deutsches Derby jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adrie de Vries | 9-1-1 | -5.80 | -6.68 |
| Andrasch Starke | 8-1-3 | +4.50 | -0.25 |
| Eduardo Pedroza | 8-1-2 | -5.00 | -5.11 |
| Bauyrzhan Murzabayev | 7-1-1 | +0.30 | -2.85 |
| Rene Piechulek | 7-1-1 | +0.20 | -2.90 |
| Maxim Pecheur | 6-1-2 | +1.50 | -1.25 |
| Thore Hammer Hansen | 3-1-1 | +21.30 | +9.65 |
| Dario Vargiu | 2-1-1 | +14.80 | +6.90 |
| Ronan Thomas | 2-1-1 | +12.70 | +5.85 |
| Frau Nina Baltromei | 1-1-1 | +18.30 | +9.15 |
2026 Deutsches Derby Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 13, 3, 1, 5, 2, 3, 15, 6, 6
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Oost in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 10 / 10 (50%) - No bigger than 233/10
- 10 / 10 (51%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 10 / 10 (56%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Career)
- 10 / 10 (59%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Season)
- 10 / 10 (60%) - Furthest Placed 1m2f - 1m3f
- 10 / 10 (63%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-3/Cl5-6
- 10 / 10 (63%) - No bigger than 46/5 (Career Place)
- 10 / 10 (64%) - Break of 21 - 70 days (Last Place)
- 10 / 10 (68%) - No bigger than 77/10 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (70%) - Not on HY/GS/STD (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (70%) - Not in a G2/LST/Cl2 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (79%) - In a field of 7 - 13 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (81%) - Beaten no more -8l (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (81%) - Off a break of 21 - 49 days
- 10 / 10 (86%) - Placed within last 2 starts
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Deutsches Derby Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +44.10, is when runners had 2 career places in Flat (Turf) races.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-70.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 8 (7,5) [17 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 20 (4,1) [18 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 16 (4,19) [20 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (18,10) [20 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 15 (14,20) [20 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Deutsches Derby is Cologne; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Cologne last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 173 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 6 runners.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Deutsches Derby despite multiple attempts:
- Reliable Man (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Nathaniel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Zarak (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Palladium in 2024, winning for Henk Grewe at odds of 233/10 under the guidance of Thore Hammer Hansen. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals, there has been 1 winning favourite in the race. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the Deutsches Derby
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Deutsches Derby. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Hochkonig Cologne - 2nd of 7 (43/10) | Sparkasse KolnBonn - 190th Union-Rennen |
| 2024 - Palladium Cologne - 4th of 9 (93/10) | Sparkasse Kolnbonn - 189th Union-Rennen |
| 2023 - Fantastic Moon Baden-Baden - 1st of 8 (8/5) | Japan Racing Association - Derby-Trial |
| 2022 - Sammarco Cologne - 1st of 7 (19/5) | 187th Sparkasse KolnBonn Union-Rennen |
| 2021 - Sisfahan Dusseldorf - 2nd of 11 (29/5) | Torquator Tasso-Trophy - Grafenberger Derby Trial |
| 2020 - In Swoop Lyon Parilly - 3rd of 8 (16/5) | Prix Greffulhe |
| 2019 - Laccario Cologne - 1st of 10 (12/5) | Sparkasse KolnBonn-Union-Rennen |
| 2018 - Weltstar Cologne - 1st of 13 (5/2) | Oppenheim Union Rennen |
| 2017 - Windstoss Cologne - 2nd of 8 (51/5) | 182nd Oppenheim-Union-Rennen |
| 2016 - Isfahan Capannelle - 5th of 9 (7/5) | Derby Sisal Matchpoint |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Deutsches Derby Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
