2023 Jorvik Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Known as the Jorvik Stakes since 2007 after the race was upgraded to a class two handicap it is run each year during the Dante Festival at York in May.

2023 Jorvik Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis
Jorvik Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Jorvik Stakes Preview

Known as the Jorvik Stakes since 2007 after the race was upgraded to a class two handicap it is run each year during the Dante Festival at York in May.

The race is run over a distance of one mile and four furlongs and is open to runners who are aged four or older with the race tending to attract a decent sized field.

Jorvik Stakes Content:

If you are interested in other predictions at York then head over to the York Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2005 renewal when Cruise Director from Willie Musson who under the guidance of Richard Mullen, won in a time of 2:39.53, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Muhareb, trained by Clive Brittain and ridden by Philip Robinson set the quickest time of 2:28.20 in the 2003 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Jorvik Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2003 - Muhareb (2:28.20)
  • 2010 - Hanoverian Baron (2:28.98)
  • 2016 - Barsanti (2:29.98)

How competitive is the Jorvik Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Jorvik Stakes, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Jorvik Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +1.75. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Jorvik Stakes.

Jorvik Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Jorvik Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Jorvik Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
2:33.20
Gaassee (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (7 of 11) 6/4F
Tom Marquand
William Haggas (GB)
2021
2:35.29
Ilaraab (IRE)
4yo 9-9 (7 of 15) 7/2F
Tom Marquand
William Haggas (GB)
2019
2:31.20
First Eleven (GB)
4yo 9-9 (5 of 18) 5/1
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2018
2:30.83
Hamada (GB)
4yo 8-12 (7 of 7) 5/2F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
2:33.46
Lord Yeats (GB)
4yo 8-9 (6 of 8) 12/1
Paul Mulrennan
Jedd O'Keeffe (GB)
2016
2:29.98
Barsanti (IRE)
4yo 8-12 (6 of 10) 15/8F
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)
2015
2:33.49
Notarised (GB)
4yo 8-9 (9 of 13) 9/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston (GB)
2014
2:31.85
Arab Spring (IRE)
4yo 9-9 (3 of 11) 13/8F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2013
2:35.89
Sir John Hawkwood (IRE)
4yo 9-12 (10 of 12) 13/8F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2012
2:35.57
Easy Terms (GB)
5yo 8-10 (7 of 15) 14/1
James Sullivan
Edwin Tuer (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Jorvik Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 45 placings from 277 runners
  • QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Jorvik Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Jorvik Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Mark Johnston, Sir Michael Stoute & William Haggas having all won the race 2 times. Mark Johnston winners have been with Luberon (2008) & Notarised (2015). Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with Sir John Hawkwood (2013) & Arab Spring (2014). William Haggas winners have been with Ilaraab (2021) & Gaassee (2022). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Jorvik Stakes, Tim Easterby has sent a total of 14 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Michael Easterby has sent out 13 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Jorvik Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Mark Johnston 13-2-3 +4.00 -0.24
Sir Michael Stoute 11-2-5 -5.74 -3.54
William Haggas 3-2-2 +4.00 +2.09
Richard Fahey 15-1-4 -5.00 +0.41
Kevin Ryan 7-1-4 +2.00 +4.96
K R Burke 4-1-1 +9.00 +4.50
Jedd O'Keeffe 3-1-1 +10.00 +5.20
Tony Newcombe 3-1-2 +5.00 +4.63
John Gosden 3-1-2 +3.00 +2.88
Charlie Appleby 3-1-1 +0.50 -0.44

Jorvik Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Jorvik Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Ryan Moore, Tom Queally & Tom Marquand having all won the race 2 times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Sir John Hawkwood (2013) & Arab Spring (2014). Tom Queally winners have been with Balkan Knight (2004) & High Treason (2007). Tom Marquand winners have been with Ilaraab (2021) & Gaassee (2022).

Here are some of the top Jorvik Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 11-2-5 -5.74 -3.93
Tom Queally 4-2-2 +8.00 +4.26
Tom Marquand 2-2-2 +5.00 +3.09
Paul Hanagan 9-1-2 +1.00 +0.38
Paul Mulrennan 8-1-1 +5.00 +0.20
William Buick 8-1-3 -4.50 -2.69
Joe Fanning 6-1-2 +1.00 +2.75
Silvestre De Sousa 5-1-2 +5.00 +2.68
Andrea Atzeni 5-1-4 -2.12 +0.14
Neil Callan 4-1-1 +9.00 +4.50

2023 Jorvik Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,8,12,(1,3),9,14,1,3,4,6,9,12,1,1,(3,6),1,3,1,2,1,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (56%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 20 / 20 (72%) - Had 1-5 wins (Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Furthest won 1m2f - 1m5f
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Furthest placed 1m2f - 1m6f
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 1-11 placings (Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 1-7 placings (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in England (Last WIn)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Never contested a G1 or G2
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Not HAY/LING (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (46%) - Within first 6 of market
  • 19 / 20 (66%) - Never gone further than 1m6f
  • 19 / 20 (73%) - In a handicap (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (73%) - No older than average age
  • 18 / 20 (66%) - Drawn no higher than 10
  • 18 / 20 (70%) - Either a 4yo or 5yo
  • 18 / 20 (81%) - Field of 7+ (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Jorvik Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races which are you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Jorvik Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Jorvik Stakes Trend Analysis

The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-59.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 7 (1,8) [11 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (14,4) [15 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (2,7,1) [18 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 7 (1) [7 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 6 (4,1) [8 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Jorvik Stakes are Doncaster and Chester, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 264 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 15 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Jorvik Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Halling (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Generous (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Indian Ridge (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Easy Terms in 2012 when winning for Edwin Tuer at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of James Sullivan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Jorvik Stakes.

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