Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2026 Middleton Stakes Preview
Run during the Dante Festival at York in May of each year is the Middleton Stakes, a Group 2 race that is open to fillies and mares who are aged four or older with the race being run over a trip of one mile, two furlongs and fifty-six yards.
Middleton Stakes Information:
Our dedicated York tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Middleton Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at York throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Dante Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at York during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Middleton Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 117%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Middleton Stakes, the over-round has been 111%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Middleton Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Middleton Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Middleton Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Sariska (2:06.20) in 2010
- Coronet (2:08.01) in 2018
- Promising Lead (2:08.20) in 2008
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Middleton Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -10.40. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Sariska, trained by Michael Bell and ridden by Jamie Spencer, who set the fastest winning time in the Middleton Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 2:06.20 in 2010. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer James Bethell and jockey Jamie Spencer with Strawberry Dale who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 2:19.41 in the 2006 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Middleton Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Middleton Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Middleton Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 (160k) 2:09.44 | See The Fire (GB) 4yo 9-2 (4 of 8) 8/11F | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2024 (145k) 2:09.80 | Bluestocking (GB) 4yo 9-2 (1 of 5) 5/2 | Rossa Ryan Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2023 (150k) 2:10.06 | Free Wind (IRE) 5yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 6/5F | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 (140k) 2:11.50 | Lilac Road (IRE) 4yo 9-2 (2 of 6) 15/2 | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2021 (95k) 2:09.89 | Queen Power (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (1 of 5) 6/4F | Silvestre De Sousa Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2019 (125k) 2:10.38 | Lah Ti Dar (GB) 4yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 1/3F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 (125k) 2:08.01 | Coronet (GB) 4yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 2/1F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2017 (120k) 2:09.76 | Blond Me (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (2 of 4) 11/1 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 (120k) 2:08.85 | Beautiful Romance (GB) 4yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 5/1 | James Doyle Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
| 2015 (110k) 2:10.48 | Secret Gesture (GB) 5yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 7/2 | Andrea Atzeni Ralph Beckett (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Middleton Stakes have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 24 placings from 120 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Middleton Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Middleton Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with both Sir Michael Stoute and John Gosden, who have both won the race three times. Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with Promising Lead (2008), Crystal Capella (2009) and Queen Power (2021). John Gosden winners have been with Izzi Top (2012), Coronet (2018) and Lah Ti Dar (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Middleton Stakes are Ralph Beckett (2 wins) and Andrew Balding (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Middleton Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 18-3-4 | -11.22 | -9.38 |
| John Gosden | 8-3-4 | +0.83 | +0.16 |
| Ralph Beckett | 7-2-4 | +1.00 | +0.80 |
| Andrew Balding | 3-2-3 | +10.73 | +1.19 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 5-1-3 | +1.00 | +2.28 |
| Roger Varian | 5-1-3 | +0.50 | +1.70 |
| Michael Bell | 3-1-1 | -1.09 | -2.00 |
| William Haggas | 2-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.69 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 2-1-2 | +0.20 | +0.48 |
| A De Royer-Dupre | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.20 |
Middleton Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Middleton Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Coronet (2018), Lah Ti Dar (2019) and Free Wind (2023). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Middleton Stakes are Ryan Moore (2 wins), Jamie Spencer (2 wins), Oisin Murphy (2 wins) and Andrea Atzeni (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Middleton Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 13-3-7 | -6.47 | -2.46 |
| Ryan Moore | 14-2-4 | -9.72 | -7.02 |
| Jamie Spencer | 10-2-4 | +0.91 | -0.55 |
| Oisin Murphy | 4-2-3 | +9.73 | +0.19 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 3-2-2 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
| William Buick | 6-1-3 | -1.50 | +0.50 |
| James Doyle | 4-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.13 |
| Tom Queally | 4-1-2 | -1.90 | -1.24 |
| Tom Marquand | 1-1-1 | +7.50 | +4.69 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.56 |
2026 Middleton Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 6, 6, 3, 2, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (65%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 11/1
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Beaten no more -8¾l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 89+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran over 1m1f - 1m4f (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 4 - 13 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 102+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 102+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 2 races (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 76+ (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (67%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Career Win)
- 18 / 20 (68%) - Achieved a TS of 87+ (Last 5)
- 18 / 20 (84%) - Won within last 5 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Middleton Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Middleton Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Middleton Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +10.24, is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) last time out.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career places in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-17.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 4 (6,5) [8 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 1 (4) [5 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 6 (8) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (4) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (2) [5 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Middleton Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Ascot; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Middleton Stakes:
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Galileo (2 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Blond Me in 2017, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 11/1 under the guidance of Oisin Murphy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 11 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2026 Middleton Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Middleton Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Middleton Stakes, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - See The Fire Sandown - 5th of 7 (11/4) | Gordon Richards Stakes |
| 2024 - Bluestocking Ascot - 2nd of 14 (6/1) | British Champions Fillies Mares Stakes |
| 2023 - Free Wind Haydock - 1st of 7 (11/4) | Lancashire Oaks |
| 2022 - Lilac Road Newmarket (Rowley) - 5th of 6 (5/1) | Dahlia Stakes |
| 2021 - Queen Power Newmarket (Rowley) - 2nd of 7 (2/1) | Dahlia Stakes |
| 2019 - Lah Ti Dar Ascot - 3rd of 11 (1/1) | British Champions Fillies Mares Stakes |
| 2018 - Coronet Ascot - 3rd of 10 (11/2) | British Champions Fillies Mares Stakes |
| 2017 - Blond Me Capannelle - 10th of 11 (69/10) | Premio Lydia Tesio |
| 2016 - Beautiful Romance Ascot - 3rd of 12 (20/1) | British Champions Fillies Mares Stakes |
| 2015 - Secret Gesture Santa Anita - 5th of 11 (8/1) | Breeders Cup Filly Mare Turf |
Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Middleton Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Dante Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Dante Festival
The highlight on Wednesday, the opening day of the Dante Festival, is the Group 2 Duke of York Stakes, a race contested over six furlongs with a prize fund of £150k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Jorvik Stakes | Almoshher (GB) 4yo - 15/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Churchill Tyres Handicap | Rousing Encore (IRE) 5yo - 22/1 | Ruth Carr James Sullivan |
| Duke of York Stakes | Inisherin (GB) 4yo - 11/8 | Kevin Ryan Ryan Moore |
| Musidora Stakes | Whirl (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Thursday at the Dante Festival
Thursday's highlight is the Dante Stakes, a race that carries a prize fund of £180k is restricted to three-year-olds and run over an extended ten furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Lindum York Handicap | American Affair (GB) 5yo - 7/2 | Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan |
| Hambleton Stakes | Old Cock (IRE) 4yo - 9/2 | Edward Bethell Callum Rodriguez |
| Middleton Stakes | See The Fire (GB) 4yo - 8/11 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| Dante Stakes | Pride Of Arras (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| Westow Stakes | Tropical Storm (GB) 3yo - 4/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Friday at the Dante Festival
On Friday, the final day of the festival, the feature race, the Yorkshire Cup, which is part of the British Champion Series, is the highlight, with a prize fund of £180k the runners compete over a distance of one mile, five furlongs and 188 yards.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Marygate Fillies Stakes | Secret Hideaway (IRE) 2yo - 33/1 | Adrian Paul Keatley P J McDonald |
| Knights Solicitors Handicap | Thunder Run (IRE) 4yo - 5/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Michael Seely Memorial Fillies Stakes | Kon Tiki (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | Jane Chapple-Hyam David Egan |
| Yorkshire Cup | Rebels Romance (IRE) 7yo - 11/10 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Middleton Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
