Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Middleton Stakes Preview
Run during the Dante Festival at York in May of each year is the Middleton Stakes, a Group 2 race that is open to fillies and mares who are aged four or older with the race being run over a trip of one mile, two furlongs and fifty-six yards.
Middleton Stakes Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Dante Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at York during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
How competitive is the Middleton Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 105%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 117%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Middleton Stakes, the over-round has been 110%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £110 which is bet.
Middleton Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Middleton Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.50. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Strawberry Dale from James Bethell under the guidance of Jamie Spencer, won in a time of 2:19.41, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Sariska, trained by Michael Bell and ridden by Jamie Spencer set the quickest time of 2:06.20 in the 2010 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Middleton Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Sariska (2:06.20) in 2010
- Coronet (2:08.01) in 2018
- Promising Lead (2:08.20) in 2008
What the expert says...
Middleton Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Middleton Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Middleton Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:09.80 | Bluestocking (GB) 4yo 9-2 (1 of 5) 5/2 | Rossa Ryan Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2023 2:10.06 | Free Wind (IRE) 5yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 6/5F | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 2:11.50 | Lilac Road (IRE) 4yo 9-2 (2 of 6) 15/2 | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2021 2:09.89 | Queen Power (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (1 of 5) 6/4F | Silvestre De Sousa Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2019 2:10.38 | Lah Ti Dar (GB) 4yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 1/3F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 2:08.01 | Coronet (GB) 4yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 2/1F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2017 2:09.76 | Blond Me (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (2 of 4) 11/1 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 2:08.85 | Beautiful Romance (GB) 4yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 5/1 | James Doyle Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
| 2015 2:10.48 | Secret Gesture (GB) 5yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 7/2 | Andrea Atzeni Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2014 2:10.21 | Ambivalent (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 9/2 | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Middleton Stakes have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 23 placings from 118 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Middleton Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Middleton Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Sir Michael Stoute and John Gosden who have both won the race three times. Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with Promising Lead (2008), Crystal Capella (2009) and Queen Power (2021). John Gosden winners have been with Izzi Top (2012), Coronet (2018) and Lah Ti Dar (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Middleton Stakes are Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins) and Ralph Beckett (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Middleton Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 18-3-4 | -11.22 | -9.38 |
| John Gosden | 8-3-4 | +0.83 | +0.16 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 6-2-4 | +2.50 | +3.22 |
| Ralph Beckett | 6-2-4 | +2.00 | +1.80 |
| Roger Varian | 5-1-3 | +0.50 | +1.70 |
| Michael Bell | 3-1-1 | -1.09 | -2.00 |
| Andrew Balding | 2-1-2 | +10.00 | +0.75 |
| William Haggas | 2-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.69 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 2-1-2 | +0.20 | +0.48 |
| A De Royer-Dupre | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.20 |
Middleton Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Middleton Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Crimson Palace (2004), Coronet (2018), Lah Ti Dar (2019) and Free Wind (2023). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Middleton Stakes are Ryan Moore (2 wins), Jamie Spencer (2 wins) and Andrea Atzeni (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Middleton Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 14-4-8 | -4.97 | -1.52 |
| Ryan Moore | 14-2-4 | -9.72 | -7.02 |
| Jamie Spencer | 10-2-4 | +0.91 | -0.55 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 3-2-2 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
| William Buick | 5-1-2 | -0.50 | -0.20 |
| James Doyle | 4-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.13 |
| Tom Queally | 4-1-2 | -1.90 | -1.24 |
| Oisin Murphy | 3-1-2 | +9.00 | -0.25 |
| Tom Marquand | 1-1-1 | +7.50 | +4.69 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.56 |
2025 Middleton Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 3, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 6, 6, 3, 2, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (66%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 20 / 20 (71%) - No bigger than 11/1
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Beaten no more -8¾l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 89+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 4 - 13 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 102+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran over 1m1f - 1m4f (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried 121 - 133lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 76+ (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (74%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 19 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Career Win)
- 18 / 20 (68%) - Achieved a TS of 87+ (Last 5)
- 17 / 20 (87%) - No more than -1yrs (Vs Max Age)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Middleton Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Middleton Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Middleton Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +12.74 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 13 on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-17.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 (4) [5 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 6 (8) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (4) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (2) [5 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 2 (5) [6 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Middleton Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Middleton Stakes:
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Galileo (2 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Blond Me in 2017, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 11/1 under the guidance of Oisin Murphy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 11 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Middleton Stakes.
Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Middleton Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Dante Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Dante Festival
The highlight on Wednesday, the opening day of the Dante Festival is the Group 2 Duke of York Stakes, a race contested over six furlongs with a prize fund of £150k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Jorvik Stakes | Crystal Delight (GB) 5yo - 18/5 | Harry Eustace Jim Crowley |
| 14:25 York Churchill Tyres Handicap | Aleezdancer (IRE) 5yo - 14/1 | Kevin Ryan Neil Callan |
| 15:00 York Duke of York Stakes | Mill Stream (IRE) 4yo - 4/1 | Jane Chapple-Hyam William Buick |
| 15:35 York Musidora Stakes | Secret Satire (GB) 3yo - 22/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Thursday at the Dante Festival
Thursday's highlight is the Dante Stakes, a race that carries a prize fund of £180k is restricted to three-year-olds and run over an extended ten furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Lindum York Handicap | Clarendon House (GB) 6yo - 8/1 | Robert Cowell Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 York Middleton Stakes | Bluestocking (GB) 4yo - 5/2 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York Hambleton Stakes | Point Lynas (IRE) 5yo - 6/1 | Edward Bethell Callum Rodriguez |
| 15:35 York Dante Stakes | Economics (GB) 3yo - 6/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Friday at the Dante Festival
On Friday, the final day of the festival, the feature race, the Yorkshire Cup which is part of the British Champion Series is the highlight, with a prize fund of £180k the runners compete over a distance of one mile, five furlongs and 188 yards.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 15:00 York Knights Solicitors Handicap | Botanical (IRE) 4yo - 5/2 | Roger Varian James Doyle |
| 15:35 York Yorkshire Cup | Giavellotto (IRE) 5yo - 7/2 | Marco Botti Oisin Murphy |
Other Principal Races at York Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the York racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in July
Races in August (Ebor Festival)
- Acomb Stakes
- Great Voltigeur Stakes
- Juddmonte International Stakes
- Symphony Group Handicap
- York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap
- Clipper Logistics Heritage Handicap
- Galtres Stakes
- Lowther Stakes
- Premier Yearling Stakes
- Yorkshire Oaks
- Gimcrack Stakes
- Lonsdale Cup
- Nunthorpe Stakes
- York Ebor Festival Sky Bet Handicap
- City of York Stakes
- Ebor Handicap
- Melrose Heritage Handicap
- Roses Stakes
- Strensall Stakes
Races in October
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Middleton Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
