City of York Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)

Updated: 1371 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the City of York Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the City of York Stakes, a race run over 7f at York during the Ebor Festival.

City of York Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 City of York Stakes Preview

Upgraded to a Group 2 in 2019, the City of York Stakes is open to runners aged three or older and is run over seven furlongs, the race takes place on the last day of the York Ebor Festival which takes place in August. Watch out for any entries that Andrew Balding has in the race, he has only sent ten runners to this race but those have produced four winners!

City of York Stakes Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the City of York Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the City of York Stakes, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

City of York Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the City of York Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.07. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2013 renewal when Sirius Prospect from Dean Ivory under the guidance of Robert Winston, won in a time of 1:26.84, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Shine So Bright, trained by Andrew Balding and ridden by James Doyle set the quickest time of 1:21.00 in the 2019 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run City of York Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Shine So Bright (1:21.00)
  • 2010 - Yaa Wayl (1:21.93)
  • 2003 - Vanderlin (1:22.00)

City of York Stakes Past Winners

Here are the City of York Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the City of York Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:22.57
Kinross (GB)
6yo 9-8 (6 of 11) 9/4F
Frankie Dettori
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2022
1:22.97
Kinross (GB)
5yo 9-8 (5 of 9) 5/1
Frankie Dettori
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2021
1:22.60
Space Blues (IRE)
5yo 9-6 (1 of 9) 11/8F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:25.47
Safe Voyage (IRE)
7yo 9-6 (4 of 8) 4/1
Jason Hart
John Quinn (GB)
2019
1:21.00
Shine So Bright (GB)
3yo 9-1 (2 of 9) 6/1
James Doyle
Andrew Balding (GB)
2018
1:23.10
Expert Eye (GB)
3yo 9-1 (2 of 9) 1/1F
Frankie Dettori
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2017
1:24.08
Talaayeb (GB)
3yo 8-6 (8 of 18) 9/1
Chris Hayes
Owen Burrows (GB)
2016
1:22.16
Nemoralia (USA)
3yo 8-7 (7 of 10) 15/8F
Jamie Spencer
Jeremy Noseda (GB)
2015
1:23.12
Fadhayyil (IRE)
3yo 8-4 (4 of 14) 5/1F
Paul Hanagan
B W Hills (GB)
2014
1:22.43
Absolutely So (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (6 of 13) 6/1F
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the City of York Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 36 placings from 198 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 12 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

City of York Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the City of York Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Andrew Balding who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Vanderlin (2003), Dream Eater (2009), Absolutely So (2014) and Shine So Bright (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the City of York Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (3 wins) and Ralph Beckett (2 wins). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the City of York Stakes, Richard Fahey has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst David O'Meara has sent out 11 without a winner.

Here are some of the top City of York Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Andrew Balding 12-4-7 +44.00 +29.40
Sir Michael Stoute 6-3-3 +3.75 +1.05
Ralph Beckett 3-2-2 +6.25 +3.35
William Haggas 9-1-3 -6.00 -5.36
Charlie Appleby 7-1-2 -4.62 -3.82
T Hogan 4-1-2 +2.00 +3.00
John Quinn 4-1-2 +1.00 +0.75
David Brown 3-1-3 +3.00 +3.85
Dean Ivory 2-1-1 +1.50 +0.56
Edward Lynam 1-1-1 +14.00 +8.40

City of York Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the City of York Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Frankie Dettori and William Buick who have both won the race three times. Frankie Dettori winners have been with Expert Eye (2018) and Kinross (2022 & 2023). William Buick winners have been with Dream Eater (2009), Gordon Lord Byron (2012) and Space Blues (2021).

Here are some of the top City of York Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 10-3-4 +1.25 -0.85
William Buick 6-3-3 +10.38 +5.03
Jamie Spencer 9-1-4 -6.12 -3.72
Paul Hanagan 8-1-3 -2.00 -2.30
Silvestre De Sousa 7-1-3 -1.00 -0.30
Ryan Moore 7-1-1 -3.00 -4.20
James Doyle 5-1-2 +2.00 +0.95
Oisin Murphy 4-1-2 +3.00 +3.90
Martin Dwyer 2-1-2 +32.00 +20.70
Jason Hart 2-1-1 +3.00 +1.40

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 1, 1, 5, 3, 5, 5, (1, 7), 7, 2, (1, 6, 8), (1, 2), 1, PU, 1, 2, 2, 1, 6, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 21 / 21 (67%) - Within the first 7 of the market
  • 21 / 21 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 106+ (Season)
  • 21 / 21 (79%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Last Win)
  • 21 / 21 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 83+ (Trip)
  • 21 / 21 (84%) - Fewer than 2 wins (Further)
  • 21 / 21 (85%) - Fewer than 5 placings (Further)
  • 21 / 21 (85%) - No bigger than 66/1 (Career)
  • 21 / 21 (87%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
  • 21 / 21 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 74+ (Season)
  • 21 / 21 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 54+ (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (88%) - In a field of 7 - 19 (Debut)
  • 21 / 21 (88%) - Beaten no more -11l (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Win)
  • 21 / 21 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 90+ (Career)
  • 20 / 21 (85%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Debut)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the City of York Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the City of York Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

City of York Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +30.51 is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 5 career wins, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 6 (2,1) [11 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 (2,4) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 1 (3,4) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 4 (7,6) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 2 (6,8) [9 Runners]

The course that has produced the most winners of the City of York Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 187 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 25 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the City of York Stakes:

  • Acclamation (2 Wins)
  • Kingman (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the City of York Stakes, that stallion is Dark Angel who has failed to produce a winner from 7 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Vanderlin in 2003, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Martin Dwyer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 City of York Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 21st August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 22nd August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Friday 23rd August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 24th August 2024

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