City of York Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

We look at the Group 2 City of York Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 7f at York to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the City of York Stakes.

City of York Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis
City of York Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 City of York Stakes Preview

Upgraded to a Group 2 in 2019, the City of York Stakes is open to runners aged three or older and is run over seven furlongs, the race takes place on the last day of the York Ebor Festival which takes place in August. Watch out for any entries which Andrew Balding has in the race, he has only sent ten runners to this race but those have produced four winners!

City of York Stakes Content:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the York Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:21.00 was set by Shine So Bright in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Andrew Balding and ridden by James Doyle. The slowest winning time was set in 2013 when Sirius Prospect won in a time of 1:26.84, booked to ride was Robert Winston on this Dean Ivory trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run City of York Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Shine So Bright (1:21.00)
  • 2010 - Yaa Wayl (1:21.93)
  • 2003 - Vanderlin (1:22.00)

How competitive is the City of York Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the City of York Stakes, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the City of York Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.90. Before placing your bet on the 2023 City of York Stakes see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

City of York Stakes Past Winners

Here are the City of York Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the City of York Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
1:22.97
Kinross (GB)
5yo 9-8 (5 of 9) 5/1
Frankie Dettori
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2021
1:22.60
Space Blues (IRE)
5yo 9-6 (1 of 9) 11/8F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:25.47
Safe Voyage (IRE)
7yo 9-6 (4 of 8) 4/1
Jason Hart
John Quinn (GB)
2019
1:21.00
Shine So Bright (GB)
3yo 9-1 (2 of 9) 6/1
James Doyle
Andrew Balding (GB)
2018
1:23.10
Expert Eye (GB)
3yo 9-1 (2 of 9) 1/1F
Frankie Dettori
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2017
1:24.08
Talaayeb (GB)
3yo 8-6 (8 of 18) 9/1
Chris Hayes
Owen Burrows (GB)
2016
1:22.16
Nemoralia (USA)
3yo 8-7 (7 of 10) 15/8F
Jamie Spencer
Jeremy Noseda (GB)
2015
1:23.12
Fadhayyil (IRE)
3yo 8-4 (4 of 14) 5/1F
Paul Hanagan
B W Hills (GB)
2014
1:22.43
Absolutely So (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (6 of 13) 6/1F
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2013
1:26.84
Sirius Prospect (USA)
5yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 5/2
Robert Winston
Dean Ivory (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the City of York Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 36 placings from 197 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 12 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

City of York Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the City of York Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Andrew Balding who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Vanderlin (2003), Dream Eater (2009), Absolutely So (2014) & Shine So Bright (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the City of York Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (3 wins) & William Haggas (2 wins). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the City of York Stakes, Richard Fahey has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst David O'Meara has sent out 11 without a winner.

Here are some of the top City of York Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Andrew Balding 11-4-6 +45.00 +27.10
Sir Michael Stoute 7-3-4 +2.75 +1.05
William Haggas 9-2-4 +1.50 -0.46
Charlie Appleby 6-1-2 -3.62 -2.82
T Hogan 4-1-2 +2.00 +3.00
John Quinn 4-1-2 +1.00 +0.75
David Brown 3-1-3 +3.00 +3.85
Ralph Beckett 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.00
Dean Ivory 2-1-1 +1.50 +0.56
Edward Lynam 1-1-1 +14.00 +8.40

City of York Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the City of York Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Dream Eater (2009), Gordon Lord Byron (2012) & Space Blues (2021). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the City of York Stakes is Frankie Dettori (2 wins).

Here are some of the top City of York Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
William Buick 5-3-3 +11.38 +6.03
Frankie Dettori 10-2-4 -2.00 -2.40
Jamie Spencer 9-1-4 -6.12 -3.72
Paul Hanagan 8-1-3 -2.00 -2.30
Silvestre De Sousa 7-1-3 -1.00 -0.30
Ryan Moore 6-1-1 -2.00 -3.20
James Doyle 5-1-2 +2.00 +0.95
Oisin Murphy 3-1-1 +4.00 +1.60
Martin Dwyer 2-1-2 +32.00 +20.70
Jason Hart 2-1-1 +3.00 +1.40

2023 City of York Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,2,4,1,1,5,3,5,5,(1,7),7,2,(1,6,8),(1,2),1,PU,1,2,2,1,6

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 21 / 21 (67%) - Within the first 7 of market
  • 21 / 21 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 83+ (Trip)
  • 21 / 21 (79%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Last Win)
  • 21 / 21 (81%) - A TS no less than 37 (Season)
  • 21 / 21 (83%) - A RPR no less than 62 (Season)
  • 21 / 21 (84%) - Achieved a RPR of 10+ (Season)
  • 21 / 21 (86%) - No bigger than 66/1 (Career)
  • 21 / 21 (87%) - Field of 7-19 (Debut)
  • 21 / 21 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 54+ (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 89+ (Career)
  • 21 / 21 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Win)
  • 21 / 21 (90%) - Not on AW/HY/FM (Last Win)
  • 21 / 21 (91%) - Previously placed over the 7f
  • 20 / 21 (65%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 20 / 21 (76%) - Beaten no more than 8l (LTO)
  • 20 / 21 (79%) - Fewer than 30 starts (Career)
  • 19 / 21 (70%) - Drawn no higher than 8
  • 19 / 21 (75%) - Aged between 3yo & 5yo
  • 19 / 21 (75%) - Ran over 7f+ (LTO)
  • 19 / 21 (81%) - Beaten no more 7l (Debut)
  • 18 / 21 (86%) - Carried no more 133lbs (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the City of York Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the City of York Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

City of York Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +35.50 is when runners had 0 career starts at the track. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 5 career wins, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 5 (2,4) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 1 (3,4) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 4 (7,6) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 2 (6,8) [9 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 2 (9,3) [9 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the City of York Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 188 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 23 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the City of York Stakes, that stallion is Acclamation who has produced 2 winners (2018,2014).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the City of York Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Vanderlin in 2003 when winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Martin Dwyer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2023 City of York Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 23rd August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 24th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Friday 25th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 26th August 2023

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