Summer Mile Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Explore the history of the Summer Mile Stakes, a race staged over 1m at Ascot. We detail trainer and jockey achievements from previous renewals while highlighting statistical patterns that have emerged to influence the race's likely outcome.
Summer Mile Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Summer Mile Stakes Preview

Scheduled to take place in July of each year at the Ascot Racecourse is the Summer Mile Stakes. This race is a Group 2, which is contested, as the name suggests, over a mile, with runners aged four or older allowed to enter.

The race went from Listed to Group 3 status in 2003 and then, in 2007, was upped to a Group 2 and given its current title. Previously, it was known as the Silver Trophy Stakes.

Summer Mile Stakes Information:

Our dedicated Ascot tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Summer Mile Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Ascot throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Summer Mile Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013, when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Summer Mile Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Summer Mile Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Summer Mile Stakes Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Summer Mile Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Aljamaaheer (1:38.51) in 2013
  2. Never So Brave (1:38.69) in 2025
  3. Beat The Bank (1:39.20) in 2019

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Summer Mile Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -7.10. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Summer Mile Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:38.51 was set by Aljamaaheer in 2013, trained by Roger Varian and ridden by Paul Hanagan, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Master Of The Seas won in a time of 1:45.54 for trainer Charlie Appleby, who booked James Doyle in the saddle.

What the expert says...
Those coming from the Queen Anne Stakes are usually worth a look; since 2007, nine of the winners have come from that race, including the 2026 winner Zeus Olympios.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Summer Mile Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Summer Mile Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Summer Mile Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2026
1:40.15
Zeus Olympios (GB)
4yo 9-3 (3 of 8) 7/2
Sam James
K R Burke (GB)
2025
1:38.69
Never So Brave (IRE)
4yo 9-3 (7 of 6) 11/8
David Probert
Andrew Balding (GB)
2024
1:41.36
Quddwah (GB)
4yo 9-3 (8 of 7) 5/4F
Callum Shepherd
Simon & Ed Crisford (GB)
2023
1:45.54
Master Of The Seas (IRE)
5yo 9-6 (6 of 8) 11/2
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2022
1:41.89
Chindit (IRE)
4yo 9-3 (3 of 6) 85/40
Pat Dobbs
Richard Hannon (GB)
2021
1:43.73
Tilsit (USA)
4yo 9-1 (8 of 9) 4/1F
Kieran Shoemark
Charles Hills (GB)
2020
1:39.53
Mohaather (GB)
4yo 9-1 (6 of 11) 2/1F
Dane O'Neill
Marcus Tregoning (GB)
2019
1:39.20
Beat The Bank (GB)
5yo 9-4 (5 of 8) 2/1F
Silvestre De Sousa
Andrew Balding (GB)
2018
1:39.39
Beat The Bank (GB)
4yo 9-1 (5 of 8) 11/4F
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2017
1:41.60
Mutakayyef (GB)
6yo 9-1 (3 of 7) 4/7F
Dane O'Neill
William Haggas (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Summer Mile Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 31 placings from 149 runners
  • SAF: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2026 Summer Mile Stakes Replay


Summer Mile Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Summer Mile Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with both Andrew Balding and William Haggas, who have both won the race three times. Andrew Balding's winners have been with Beat The Bank (2018 & 2019) and Never So Brave (2025). William Haggas's winners have been with Aqlaam (2009) and Mutakayyef (2016 & 2017).

Here are some of the top Summer Mile Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Andrew Balding14-3-5-4.87-5.44
William Haggas10-3-4-1.05-2.75
Charles Hills7-1-4-2.00+0.87
Richard Hannon7-1-1-3.87-4.67
Charlie Appleby5-1-3+1.50+1.30
Marco Botti4-1-3-0.25+1.68
James Fanshawe4-1-1-0.25-1.35
K R Burke3-1-2+1.50+3.10
Roger Varian3-1-2-0.50+0.80
Chris Wall2-1-1+3.00+1.40

Summer Mile Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Summer Mile Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Pat Dobbs, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from Dick Turpin (2011) and Chindit (2022).

Here are some of the top Summer Mile Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Pat Dobbs6-2-3+0.13-0.42
David Probert10-1-3-7.62-3.74
Jamie Spencer7-1-4-3.25+0.68
Oisin Murphy4-1-2-0.25-0.43
Martin Harley3-1-3+0.75+3.30
Silvestre De Sousa3-1-1+0.00-0.80
Kieran Shoemark2-1-1+3.00+1.40
Andrea Atzeni2-1-2+0.50+1.84
Callum Shepherd2-1-1+0.25-0.22
James Doyle1-1-1+5.50+3.30

2027 Summer Mile Stakes Runners & Shortlist

The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Summer Mile Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.

Summer Mile Stakes Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +14.70, is when runners were 1st in the betting market.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2026: Winner in 3 (2,6) [8 Runners]
  • 2025: Winner in 7 (1) [6 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 8 (9) [7 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 6 (5,8) [8 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 3 (1) [6 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Summer Mile Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 11 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 154 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 4 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Summer Mile Stakes:

  • Dubawi (2 Wins)
  • Paco Boy (2 Wins)
  • Sea The Stars (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Summer Mile Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Fanunalter in 2012, winning for Michael Wigham at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Olivier Peslier. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 11 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Summer Mile Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Route to the Summer Mile Stakes

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Summer Mile Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Zeus Olympios
Ascot - 4th of 9 (11/1)
Queen Anne Stakes
2025 - Never So Brave
Ascot - 1st of 27 (4/1)
Buckingham Palace Stakes
2024 - Quddwah
Ascot - 1st of 5 (4/1)
Bet With Ascot Donation Scheme Paradise Stakes
2023 - Master Of The Seas
Meydan - 13th of 14 (11/2)
Dubai Turf
2022 - Chindit
Ascot - 4th of 7 (25/1)
Queen Anne Stakes
2021 - Tilsit
Longchamp - 2nd of 6 (12/1)
Prix dIspahan
2020 - Mohaather
Ascot - 7th of 15 (6/1)
Queen Anne Stakes
2019 - Beat The Bank
Ascot - 2nd of 16 (20/1)
Queen Anne Stakes
2018 - Beat The Bank
Ascot - 6th of 15 (23/1)
Queen Anne Stakes
2017 - Mutakayyef
Ascot - 2nd of 16 (5/1)
Queen Anne Stakes

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Summer Mile Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

Other Principal races at Ascot Racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Ascot racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in January

Races in February

Races in May

Races in June (Royal Ascot)

Races in July

Races in August (Shergar Cup)

Races in September

Races in October (Champions Day)

Races in October

Races in November

Races in December

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