2022 Victoria Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Mar 30, 6:36pm Last Updated: May 13, 11:25am Horse Racing 0 Comments 252 Views

2022 Victoria Cup Preview

The Victoria Cup is a flat handicap that is scheduled to take place in May of each year at the Ascot racecourse, the race is run over a straight seven furlongs and is open to runners aged four or older. Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Ascot Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:22.97 was set by Iffraaj in 2005, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Michael Jarvis and ridden by Philip Robinson. The slowest winning time was set in 2000 when Bold King won in a time of 1:31.09, booked to ride was Michael Hills on this J W Hills trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Victoria Cup over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2005 - Iffraaj (1:22.97)
  • 2016 - Flash Fire (1:25.35)
  • 2018 - Ripp Orf (1:25.40)

How competitive is the Victoria Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2000 when the race had an over-round of 121%. The race in 2002 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 144%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Victoria Cup, the over-round has been 136% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £136 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Victoria Cup next time out then you would have back a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +7.58. Ahead of the 2022 Victoria Cup why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today.

Victoria Cup Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Victoria Cup. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Victoria Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: There was no renewal in 2020 and the 2005 renewal was held at Lingfield.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:30.95
River Nymph
4yo 9-0 (24 of 27) 11/1
Adam Kirby
Clive Cox
2019
1:27.35
Cape Byron
5yo 9-3 (10 of 26) 8/1
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian
2018
1:25.40
Ripp Orf
4yo 8-1 (13 of 27) 20/1
Hayley Turner
David Elsworth
2017
1:27.14
Fastnet Tempest
4yo 8-5 (18 of 24) 5/1F
Josephine Gordon
William Haggas
2016
1:25.35
Flash Fire
4yo 9-6 (29 of 26) 20/1
Adam Kirby
Charlie Appleby
2015
1:26.46
Speculative Bid
4yo 8-9 (23 of 26) 10/1
Jamie Spencer
David Elsworth
2014
1:29.78
Gabriels Lad
5yo 9-8 (25 of 25) 12/1
George Baker
Denis Coakley
2013
1:28.26
Excellent Guest
6yo 8-10 (13 of 26) 25/1
Tom Queally
George Margarson
2012
1:30.30
Global Village
7yo 8-5 (2 of 24) 9/1
Tadhg O'Shea
Brian Ellison
2011
1:26.49
Hawkeyethenoo
5yo 8-7 (7 of 28) 15/2
Gary Bartley (3lbs)
Jim Goldie

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Victoria Cup have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 60 placings from 490 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Victoria Cup Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Victoria Cup over the last 20 renewals is David Elsworth who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Speculative Bid (2015) & Ripp Orf (2018). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Victoria Cup, Richard Fahey (0-21), Kevin Ryan (0-16), David O'Meara (0-13), Mick Channon (0-12), Andrew Balding (0-11), Stuart Williams (0-10) & Mark Johnston (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Victoria Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
David Elsworth 7-2-3 +25.00 +15.63
David Barron 13-1-5 -4.00 +1.13
William Haggas 13-1-3 -7.00 -1.74
Jim Goldie 10-1-3 -1.50 +3.95
George Margarson 9-1-1 +17.00 +7.63
Brian Meehan 5-1-2 +21.00 +15.26
Clive Cox 5-1-1 +7.00 +2.88
Brian Ellison 3-1-1 +7.00 +3.63
Roger Varian 3-1-1 +6.00 +3.00
Charlie Appleby 2-1-1 +19.00 +11.50

Victoria Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Victoria Cup over the last 20 renewals is Adam Kirby who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Flash Fire (2016) & River Nymph (2021).

Here are some of the top Victoria Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Adam Kirby 6-2-2 +27.00 +15.38
Martin Dwyer 12-1-3 +14.00 +11.89
Jamie Spencer 10-1-3 +1.00 +0.44
Andrea Atzeni 7-1-2 +2.00 +5.75
Ryan Moore 7-1-3 +2.00 +2.01
Tom Queally 6-1-1 +20.00 +10.63
Hayley Turner 6-1-2 +15.00 +9.75
Frankie Dettori 4-1-2 +13.00 +8.63
Josephine Gordon 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.13
Joe Fanning 7-0-1 -7.00 -3.37

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,4,26,1,1,6,21,(1,2),16,2,5,9,20,(4,13),7,12,1,10,2,9

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (70%) - Made between 4-28 starts
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Fewer than 13 starts over further
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Fewer than 16 runs in class
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Field of 7-20 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Within 1yr of race average age
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 3 wins over further
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - 3-15 Places (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - 1-7 Places (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Over trip of 5f-7f (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Never won off bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - 1-13 Starts (1 Year)
  • 19 / 20 (63%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 19 / 20 (75%) - Avoid claimers
  • 19 / 20 (89%) - Either a Colt or Gelding
  • 18 / 20 (72%) - Never placed in a Class 1
  • 17 / 20 (49%) - Within first 11 of market
  • 17 / 20 (66%) - Either 4yo or 5yo

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Victoria Cup. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Victoria Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Victoria Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +29.25 is when runners had 0 career starts at the track. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 4 career wins, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-83.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 24 (17,25,14) [27 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 10 (22,4,26) [26 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 13 (11,18,14) [27 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 18 (23,11,26) [24 Runners]
  • 2016: Winner in 29 (6,2,21) [26 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Victoria Cup is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 490 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 10 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Victoria Cup, that stallion is Shamardal who has produced 2 winners (2019,2016).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Victoria Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 13 runners)
  • Cape Cross (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Indian Ridge (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Selkirk (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Kyllachy (0 Wins from 9 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Scottys Future in 2002 when winning for David Nicholls at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Ian Mongan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Victoria Cup see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

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