Buckingham Palace Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Updated: 274 Horse Racing

We look at the Buckingham Palace Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 7f at Ascot during the Royal Ascot to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Buckingham Palace Stakes.

Buckingham Palace Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Buckingham Palace Stakes Preview

The Buckingham Palace Stakes was initially introduced during the 2002 Royal Ascot meeting when it was expanded to five days and remained a fixture until 2014. In 2015 it was replaced by the Commonwealth Cup, however, the race was reintroduced in 2020 when Royal Ascot was expanded to seven races for each of the five days and has remained since.

The race is contested over seven furlongs for runners who are aged three or older and the race currently holds class two status.

Buckingham Palace Stakes Information:

Our dedicated Royal Ascot tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Buckingham Palace Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Royal Ascot throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Buckingham Palace Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 17 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 129%. The race in 2002 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 151%, whilst on average over the last 17 renewals of the Buckingham Palace Stakes, the over-round has been 140%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £140 which is bet.

Buckingham Palace Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 17 if you had followed the winner of the Buckingham Palace Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.87. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Buckingham Palace Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 17 renewals, it was the John Dunlop trained Jedburgh ridden by Mick Kinane who set the fastest winning time in the Buckingham Palace Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:22.53 was set when winning the race in 2005. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Brian Meehan and jockey Martin Dwyer with Manassas who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:29.71 in the 2011 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Buckingham Palace Stakes over the last 17 renewals:

  • 2005 - Jedburgh (1:22.53)
  • 2010 - Treadwell (1:25.90)
  • 2021 - Highfield Princess (1:25.96)

Buckingham Palace Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Buckingham Palace Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Buckingham Palace Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: Not held between 2015 & 2019.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:26.82
Witch Hunter (FR)
4yo 9-10 (24 of 29) 50/1
Jamie Spencer
Richard Hannon (GB)
2022
1:26.12
Inver Park (GB)
4yo 9-1 (2 of 29) 12/1
Ben Curtis
George Boughey (GB)
2021
1:25.96
Highfield Princess (FR)
4yo 8-11 (31 of 28) 18/1
Jason Hart
John Quinn (GB)
2020
1:26.19
Motakhayyel (GB)
4yo 9-3 (26 of 23) 14/1
Jim Crowley
Richard Hannon (GB)
2014
1:26.85
Louis The Pious (GB)
6yo 9-4 (29 of 28) 33/1
Silvestre De Sousa
David O'Meara (GB)
2013
1:26.31
Lightning Cloud (IRE)
5yo 8-13 (32 of 27) 25/1
Neil Callan
Kevin Ryan (GB)
2012
1:29.68
Eton Forever (IRE)
5yo 9-8 (11 of 23) 14/1
Neil Callan
Roger Varian (GB)
2011
1:29.71
Manassas (IRE)
6yo 9-0 (29 of 25) 12/1
Martin Dwyer
Brian Meehan (GB)
2010
1:25.90
Treadwell (IRE)
3yo 8-10 (6 of 26) 14/1
Fergus Sweeney
Jamie Osborne (GB)
2009
1:27.44
Giganticus (USA)
6yo 8-12 (29 of 29) 12/1
Michael Hills
B W Hills (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Buckingham Palace Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 49 placings from 429 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 20 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Buckingham Palace Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Buckingham Palace Stakes over the last 17 renewals with both Kevin Ryan and Richard Hannon who have both won the race two times. Kevin Ryan winners have been with Uhoomagoo (2006) and Lightning Cloud (2013). Richard Hannon winners have been with Motakhayyel (2020) and Witch Hunter (2023). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 17 renewals in the Buckingham Palace Stakes, Richard Fahey (0-19), Andrew Balding (0-16), Mick Channon (0-14), Mark Johnston (0-13) and George Margarson (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Buckingham Palace Stakes trainer statistics over the last 17 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Kevin Ryan 18-2-2 +34.00 +15.26
Richard Hannon 5-2-2 +61.00 +37.00
David O'Meara 13-1-3 +21.00 +15.51
Jamie Osborne 8-1-2 +7.00 +4.75
John Gosden 7-1-1 +6.00 +1.50
Patrick Chamings 5-1-2 +29.00 +21.26
Roger Varian 5-1-3 +10.00 +7.63
George Boughey 4-1-2 +9.00 +8.13
Brian Meehan 4-1-1 +9.00 +4.50
James Fanshawe 3-1-1 +6.00 +3.00

Buckingham Palace Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Buckingham Palace Stakes over the last 17 renewals is Neil Callan who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Uhoomagoo (2006), Eton Forever (2012) and Lightning Cloud (2013). There are multiple jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 17 renewals in the Buckingham Palace Stakes, Ryan Moore (0-13), Frankie Dettori (0-11), Paul Hanagan (0-11) and William Buick (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.

Here are some of the top Buckingham Palace Stakes jockey statistics over the last 17 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Neil Callan 11-3-3 +56.00 +32.01
Martin Dwyer 11-1-4 +2.00 +10.50
Jamie Spencer 9-1-6 +42.00 +33.00
Jim Crowley 9-1-1 +6.00 +0.75
Silvestre De Sousa 6-1-1 +28.00 +15.63
Franny Norton 4-1-2 +30.00 +20.13
Jason Hart 1-1-1 +18.00 +11.25
Ben Curtis 1-1-1 +12.00 +7.50
Ryan Moore 13-0-2 -13.00 -10.12
Frankie Dettori 11-0-1 -11.00 -9.69

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 7, 12, 4, 22, 6, (4, 6), (13, 27), 4, (16, 25), 8, 4, 21, DSQ, 19, 5, 5, 9

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 17 / 17 (84%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Last Win)
  • 17 / 17 (84%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW/FS (LTO)
  • 17 / 17 (85%) - Fewer than 7 starts (Higher Class)
  • 17 / 17 (85%) - Not on HY/GS/STD-SLW/FS (Last Win)
  • 17 / 17 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 74+ (Last 5)
  • 17 / 17 (87%) - Fewer than 1 win (Higher Class)
  • 17 / 17 (88%) - Within the first 22 of market
  • 17 / 17 (88%) - Made 2 - 14 starts (1 Year)
  • 17 / 17 (88%) - No bigger than 22/1 (Career Win)
  • 17 / 17 (89%) - Carried 121 - 147lbs (Last Win)
  • 17 / 17 (89%) - Not in FRA/IRL/WAL (Debut)
  • 16 / 17 (62%) - Not in a G2/LST/Cl3/Cl6 (Last Win)
  • 16 / 17 (75%) - No bigger than 33/1
  • 16 / 17 (84%) - Fewer than 6 starts (Season)
  • 16 / 17 (85%) - Not on HY/GS/FM (Debut)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Buckingham Palace Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Buckingham Palace Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Buckingham Palace Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 9+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +92.00 is when runners had 3 starts in the past 90 days. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-89.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 24 (23,12,21) [29 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (6,18,25) [29 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 31 (18,24,29) [28 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 26 (22,16,27) [23 Runners]
  • 2014: Winner in 29 (21,25,30) [28 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Buckingham Palace Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 431 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 21 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Buckingham Palace Stakes, that stallion Pivotal has produced 2 winners (2022,2008).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Buckingham Palace Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Indian Ridge (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Royal Applause (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Cadeaux Genereux (0 Wins from 8 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 17 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Witch Hunter in 2023, winning for Richard Hannon at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 17 renewals there has been a total of 0 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Buckingham Palace Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

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