Chesham Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Looking ahead to the Chesham Stakes, which takes place over 7f at Ascot during the Royal Ascot, we dive into the history of the race to see which trainers and jockeys have dominated, and identify the statistical trends shaping the outcome of this year's renewal.
Chesham Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Chesham Stakes Preview

Run at the Royal Ascot festival in June of the year, the Chesham Stakes is a listed race for two-year-old runners which is run over a trip of seven furlongs.

Established in 1919, the race was originally run over five furlongs, then increased to six furlongs and has been run over the current length of seven furlongs since 1996.

There are not too many races where they are restricted based on their sire records; this one is! Runners sired by a stallion who won over one mile and two furlongs or further are only allowed to enter.

Chesham Stakes Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Royal Ascot, then head over to the Royal Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. We cover every race at Royal Ascot, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season; you can find links to those here.

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How competitive is the Chesham Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2008, when the race had an over-round of 105%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Chesham Stakes, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Chesham Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Chesham Stakes Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Chesham Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Pinatubo (1:25.73) in 2019
  2. September (1:26.70) in 2017
  3. Nola Soul (1:26.85) in 2026

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Chesham Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -4.11. Ahead of the 2027 Chesham Stakes, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:25.73 was set by Pinatubo in 2019, trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by James Doyle, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2011 when Maybe won in a time of 1:32.46 for trainer A P O'Brien, who booked Ryan Moore in the saddle.

What the expert says...
You ideally want to be looking at a last time out winner, fourteen of the last twenty winners won last time out, including all of the last five.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Chesham Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Chesham Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Chesham Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2026
1:26.85
Nola Soul (USA)
2yo 9-5 (13 of 14) 11/2
Seamie Heffernan
J A Stack (IRE)
2025
1:27.09
Humidity (GB)
2yo 9-5 (3 of 9) 4/1
James Doyle
Andrew Balding (GB)
2024
1:27.01
Bedtime Story (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (3 of 15) 11/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2023
1:29.36
Snellen (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (13 of 16) 12/1
Gary Carroll
Gavin Cromwell (IRE)
2022
1:28.12
Holloway Boy (GB)
2yo 9-5 (12 of 13) 40/1
Daniel Tudhope
K R Burke (GB)
2021
1:30.46
Point Lonsdale (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (7 of 10) 10/11F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2020
1:30.62
Battleground (USA)
2yo 9-3 (6 of 8) 11/4F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
1:25.73
Pinatubo (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (7 of 14) 3/1
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2018
1:28.08
Arthur Kitt (GB)
2yo 9-3 (3 of 11) 13/2
Richard Kingscote
Tom Dascombe (GB)
2017
1:26.70
September (IRE)
2yo 8-12 (6 of 15) 11/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Chesham Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 11 winners with an additional 30 placings from 216 runners
  • IRE: 8 winners with an additional 10 placings from 37 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
  • NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2026 Chesham Stakes Replay


Chesham Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Chesham Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Maybe (2011), Churchill (2016), September (2017), Battleground (2020), Point Lonsdale (2021) and Bedtime Story (2024). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Chesham Stakes; Richard Hannon has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording a win.

Here are some of the top Chesham Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien24-6-12-8.35-8.64
Andrew Balding10-1-2-5.00-3.60
Charlie Appleby8-1-2-4.00-4.40
John Gosden6-1-3+5.00+2.70
K R Burke5-1-2+36.00+22.70
Saeed bin Suroor4-1-2+1.50+0.20
Tom Dascombe3-1-2+4.50+2.40
Bryan Smart3-1-1+3.50+1.30
E J O'Neill2-1-1+13.00+7.40
J A Stack2-1-2+4.50+4.00

Chesham Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading trainer in the Chesham Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Maybe (2011), Churchill (2016), September (2017), Battleground (2020), Point Lonsdale (2021) and Bedtime Story (2024). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Chesham Stakes; Richard Hannon has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording a win.

Here are some of the top Chesham Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien24-6-12-8.35-8.64
Andrew Balding10-1-2-5.00-3.60
Charlie Appleby8-1-2-4.00-4.40
John Gosden6-1-3+5.00+2.70
K R Burke5-1-2+36.00+22.70
Saeed bin Suroor4-1-2+1.50+0.20
Tom Dascombe3-1-2+4.50+2.40
Bryan Smart3-1-1+3.50+1.30
E J O'Neill2-1-1+13.00+7.40
J A Stack2-1-2+4.50+4.00

2027 Chesham Stakes Runners & Shortlist

The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Chesham Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.

Chesham Stakes Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +8.17, is when runners finished in 1st on debut.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners finished in 2nd on debut, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-49.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2026: Winner in 13 (10,6) [14 Runners]
  • 2025: Winner in 3 (7,1) [9 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 3 (11,15) [15 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 13 (7,15,5) [16 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 12 (8,9) [13 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Chesham Stakes is Leopardstown; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 203 runners, while female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 61 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Chesham Stakes:

  • Dr Fong (2 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)
  • Ulysses (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Chesham Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Sixties Icon (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Hawk Wing (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Sea The Stars (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Giants Causeway (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Holloway Boy in 2022, winning for K R Burke at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Chesham Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Route to the Chesham Stakes

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Chesham Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Nola Soul
Leopardstown - 1st of 7 (15/2)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
2025 - Humidity
Newbury - 1st of 18 (6/1)
Arc Proud To Support Starlight Maiden Stakes
2024 - Bedtime Story
Leopardstown - 1st of 9 (5/1)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden
2023 - Snellen
Limerick - 1st of 14 (7/4)
Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden
2022 - Holloway BoyNo Previous Runs
2021 - Point Lonsdale
Curragh - 1st of 11 (7/4)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF
2020 - Battleground
Naas - 5th of 18 (7/1)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF
2019 - Pinatubo
Epsom - 1st of 6 (1/1)
Woodcote Stakes
2018 - Arthur Kitt
Haydock - 1st of 9 (3/1)
Best Odds Guaranteed At 188Bet British EBF Novice Stakes
2017 - September
Leopardstown - 1st of 11 (9/2)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden

Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card, with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles III Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Queen Anne Stakes
Ten Bob Tony (IRE)
5yo - 50/1
Ed Walker
Kieran Shoemark
15:05 Royal Ascot
Coventry Stakes
Great Barrier Reef (IRE)
2yo - 6/1
A P O'Brien
Wayne Lordan
15:40 Royal Ascot
King Charles III Stakes
Mission Central (IRE)
3yo - 14/1
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:20 Royal Ascot
St James's Palace Stakes
Bow Echo (IRE)
3yo - 5/6
George Boughey
Billy Loughnane
17:00 Royal Ascot
Ascot Stakes
Kizlyar (IRE)
4yo - 25/1
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
J M Sheridan
17:35 Royal Ascot
Wolferton Stakes
Map Of Stars (GB)
5yo - 13/2
F-H Graffard
James McDonald
18:10 Royal Ascot
Copper Horse Stakes
Daiquiri Bay (GB)
4yo - 6/1
Alan King
Rossa Ryan

Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Queen Mary Stakes
Victorious (IRE)
2yo - 100/30
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:05 Royal Ascot
Queen's Vase
Limestone (IRE)
3yo - 100/30
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Dylan Browne McMonagle
15:40 Royal Ascot
Duke of Cambridge Stakes
Blue Bolt (IRE)
4yo - 5/2
Andrew Balding
Colin Keane
16:20 Royal Ascot
Prince of Wales's Stakes
Ombudsman (IRE)
5yo - 11/10
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
17:00 Royal Ascot
Royal Hunt Cup
Rogue Diplomat (IRE)
4yo - 28/1
James Owen
Harry Davies
17:35 Royal Ascot
Kensington Palace Stakes
Alobayyah (GB)
4yo - 11/4
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
18:10 Royal Ascot
Windsor Castle Stakes
King Of Cloughan (IRE)
2yo - 33/1
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Billy Loughnane

Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day, though, is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Chesham Stakes
Nola Soul (USA)
2yo - 11/2
J A Stack
Seamie Heffernan
15:05 Royal Ascot
King George V Stakes
Enceladus (IRE)
3yo - 7/1
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:40 Royal Ascot
Ribblesdale Stakes
Earth Shot (IRE)
3yo - 4/1
William Haggas
James Doyle
16:20 Royal Ascot
Ascot Gold Cup
Scandinavia (USA)
4yo - 11/8
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
17:00 Royal Ascot
Britannia Stakes
Moonfall (IRE)
3yo - 13/2
George Boughey
Zac Lloyd
17:35 Royal Ascot
Hampton Court Stakes
Generic (IRE)
3yo - 18/1
Andrew Balding
James Doyle
18:10 Royal Ascot
Buckingham Palace Stakes
Mezcala (GB)
4yo - 9/2
Jack Channon
Tom Marquand

Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Albany Stakes
Libertango (IRE)
2yo - 6/1
George Boughey
Billy Loughnane
15:05 Royal Ascot
Commonwealth Cup
Venetian Sun (IRE)
3yo - 11/8
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
15:40 Royal Ascot
Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
Opportunity (GB)
4yo - 6/1
William Haggas
James McDonald
16:20 Royal Ascot
Coronation Stakes
Precise (IRE)
3yo - 8/13
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
17:00 Royal Ascot
Sandringham Stakes
Green Carrera (GB)
3yo - 8/1
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Mickael Barzalona
17:35 Royal Ascot
King Edward VII Stakes
Causeway (IRE)
3yo - 1/1
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
18:10 Royal Ascot
Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes
Bacio (USA)
3yo - 3/1
Wesley A Ward
Juan J Hernandez

Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs, which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1 million.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Norfolk Stakes
Orthodox (GB)
2yo - 9/2
Clive Cox
Rossa Ryan
15:05 Royal Ascot
Hardwicke Stakes
Giavellotto (IRE)
7yo - 9/1
Marco Botti
Oisin Murphy
15:40 Royal Ascot
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
Almeraq (GB)
4yo - 25/1
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
16:20 Royal Ascot
Jersey Stakes
Thesecretadversary (IRE)
3yo - 20/1
J A Stack
Seamie Heffernan
17:00 Royal Ascot
Wokingham Stakes
Double Rush (IRE)
4yo - 5/1
Andrew Balding
Shane Foley
17:35 Royal Ascot
Golden Gates Stakes
Lost Boys (IRE)
3yo - 2/1
David Menuisier
James McDonald
18:10 Royal Ascot
Queen Alexandra Stakes
Illinois (IRE)
5yo - 7/4
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Chesham Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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