Chesham Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Updated: 1283 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Chesham Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Ascot during the Royal Ascot with the race being run over a distance of 7f, see which trends the past winners of the Chesham Stakes have set for this year.

Chesham Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Chesham Stakes Preview

Run at the Royal Ascot festival in June of the year, the Chesham Stakes is a listed race for two-year-old runners which is run over a trip of seven furlongs.

Established in 1919, the race was originally run over five furlongs, then increased to six furlongs and has been run over the now length of seven furlongs since 1996.

There are not too many races where they are restricted based on their sire records, this one is! Runners sired by a stallion who won over one mile and two furlongs or further are only allowed to enter.

Chesham Stakes Information:

Our dedicated Royal Ascot tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Chesham Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Royal Ascot throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Chesham Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2008 when the race had an over-round of 105%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Chesham Stakes, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Chesham Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Chesham Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.17. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:24.14 was set by Championship Point in 2005, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Mick Channon and ridden by Ted Durcan. The slowest winning time was set in 2011 when Maybe won in a time of 1:32.46, booked to ride was Ryan Moore on this A P O'Brien trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Chesham Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2005 - Championship Point (1:24.14)
  • 2019 - Pinatubo (1:25.73)
  • 2017 - September (1:26.70)

Chesham Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Chesham Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Chesham Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:29.36
Snellen (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (13 of 16) 12/1
Gary Carroll
Gavin Cromwell (IRE)
2022
1:28.12
Holloway Boy (GB)
2yo 9-5 (12 of 13) 40/1
Daniel Tudhope
K R Burke (GB)
2021
1:30.46
Point Lonsdale (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (7 of 10) 10/11F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2020
1:30.62
Battleground (USA)
2yo 9-3 (6 of 8) 11/4F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
1:25.73
Pinatubo (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (7 of 14) 3/1
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2018
1:28.08
Arthur Kitt (GB)
2yo 9-3 (3 of 11) 13/2
Richard Kingscote
Tom Dascombe (GB)
2017
1:26.70
September (IRE)
2yo 8-12 (6 of 15) 11/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:29.57
Churchill (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (8 of 13) 8/11F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:26.93
Sunny Way (FR)
2yo 9-3 (8 of 12) 14/1
Cristian Demuro
E J O'Neill (FR)
2014
1:27.58
Richard Pankhurst (GB)
2yo 9-3 (7 of 14) 10/1
William Buick
John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Chesham Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 13 winners with an additional 32 placings from 217 runners
  • IRE: 6 winners with an additional 8 placings from 33 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners

Chesham Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Chesham Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Maybe (2011), Churchill (2016), September (2017), Battleground (2020) and Point Lonsdale (2021). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Chesham Stakes, Mark Johnston has sent a total of 24 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Chesham Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 22-5-10 -8.73 -9.30
Mick Channon 18-1-3 -13.00 -9.10
John Gosden 6-1-3 +5.00 +2.70
Charlie Appleby 6-1-2 -2.00 -2.40
Saeed bin Suroor 5-1-2 +0.50 -0.80
K R Burke 3-1-2 +38.00 +24.70
Tom Dascombe 3-1-2 +4.50 +2.40
Bryan Smart 3-1-1 +3.50 +1.30
Gavin Cromwell 1-1-1 +12.00 +6.00
Mark Johnston 24-0-4 -24.00 -16.80

Chesham Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Chesham Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Maybe (2011), Churchill (2016), September (2017), Battleground (2020) and Point Lonsdale (2021). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Chesham Stakes, Joe Fanning has ridden a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Chesham Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 15-5-9 -1.73 -2.99
Frankie Dettori 12-1-3 -6.50 -4.80
William Buick 10-1-2 +1.00 -2.20
James Doyle 10-1-3 -6.00 -2.15
Jim Crowley 5-1-2 +12.00 +4.50
Daniel Tudhope 4-1-2 +37.00 +22.60
Richard Kingscote 4-1-2 +3.50 +1.40
Royston Ffrench 3-1-1 +3.50 +1.30
Cristian Demuro 1-1-1 +14.00 +8.40
Gary Carroll 1-1-1 +12.00 +6.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (4, 5), 5, 7, 3, (1, 2), (2, 4), 7, 1, 4, 2, 3, 2, 1, 1, 7, 2, 1, 1, 6, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 40/1
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 3 starts (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (67%) - Beaten no more -2¾l (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (68%) - No bigger than 77/5 (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (76%) - Beaten no more -5¾l (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - Off a break of 10 - 49 days
  • 19 / 20 (78%) - Not on HY/GS/STD-SLW/STD/FS (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - Not GWD/SAL/SAN (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - Carried 121 - 131lbs (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - In a field of 7 - 19 (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Not in SCO/USA/WAL (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl6
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Furthest ran 5f - 7f
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Not in a G3/Cl6 (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Ran over 5f - 7f (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Chesham Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Chesham Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Chesham Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.29 is when runners finished in 1st on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners finished in 2nd on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-46.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 13 (7,15,5) [16 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 12 (8,9) [13 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (2,5) [10 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 6 (8,3) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 7 (13,10) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Chesham Stakes is Newbury, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 204 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 56 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Chesham Stakes:

  • Dr Fong (2 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Chesham Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Sixties Icon (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Hawk Wing (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Fusaichi Pegasus (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Giants Causeway (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Holloway Boy in 2022, winning for K R Burke at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Chesham Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

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