Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Commonwealth Cup Preview
The Commonwealth Cup was added to the Royal Ascot meeting back in 2015 with the Buckingham Palace Stakes being removed from the festival to make room for this race, the Group 1 race is open to three-year-olds only and was the first age-restricted Group 1 race open to geldings in Europe.
The race is run over 6f in which fillies get a 3lb allowance and any Southern Hemisphere runners get a 10lb allowance, the race is run on the fourth day of the festival. When introduced in 2015, the Jubilee Stakes was changed to a 4yo+ race with this new race being open to the 3yo runners.
Commonwealth Cup Information:
- Commonwealth Cup Past Winners
- Commonwealth Cup Trainer Statistics
- Commonwealth Cup Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Royal Ascot tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Commonwealth Cup but will also have predictions for each meeting at Royal Ascot throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.
How competitive is the Commonwealth Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 9 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 9 renewals of the Commonwealth Cup, the over-round has been 124%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £124 which is bet.
Commonwealth Cup Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 9 if you had followed the winner of the Commonwealth Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 8 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Commonwealth Cup.
Over the last 9 renewals, it was the Martyn Meade trained Advertise ridden by Frankie Dettori who set the fastest winning time in the Commonwealth Cup, the runner won the race in a time of 1:11.88 was set when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Wesley A Ward and jockey Frankie Dettori with Campanelle who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:16.67 in the 2021 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Commonwealth Cup over the last 9 renewals:
- 2019 - Advertise (1:11.88)
- 2015 - Muhaarar (1:12.05)
- 2018 - Eqtidaar (1:12.12)
Commonwealth Cup Past Winners
Here are the Commonwealth Cup past winners for the last 9 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Commonwealth Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:13.15 | Shaquille (GB) 3yo 9-2 (4 of 13) 9/1 | Oisin Murphy Julie Camacho (GB) |
| 2022 1:12.85 | Perfect Power (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 20) 7/2F | Christophe Soumillon Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2021 1:16.67 | Campanelle (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (14 of 15) 5/1 | Frankie Dettori Wesley A Ward (USA) |
| 2020 1:14.56 | Golden Horde (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (10 of 16) 5/1 | Adam Kirby Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2019 1:11.88 | Advertise (GB) 3yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 8/1 | Frankie Dettori Martyn Meade (GB) |
| 2018 1:12.12 | Eqtidaar (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (3 of 22) 12/1 | Jim Crowley Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 1:13.49 | Caravaggio (USA) 3yo 9-3 (5 of 12) 5/6F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:14.50 | Quiet Reflection (GB) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 10) 7/4F | Dougie Costello K R Burke (GB) |
| 2015 1:12.05 | Muhaarar (GB) 3yo 9-3 (8 of 18) 10/1 | Dane O'Neill Charles Hills (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Commonwealth Cup have been based:
- GB: 7 winners with an additional 12 placings from 94 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 5 placings from 28 runners
- USA: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- France: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Commonwealth Cup Trainer Statistics
Here are some of the top Commonwealth Cup trainer statistics over the last 9 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 15-1-3 | -13.17 | -11.61 |
| Clive Cox | 8-1-2 | -2.00 | -3.73 |
| K R Burke | 6-1-2 | -3.25 | +3.15 |
| Charles Hills | 5-1-1 | +6.00 | +1.00 |
| Wesley A Ward | 4-1-2 | +2.00 | +0.50 |
| Richard Fahey | 4-1-3 | +0.50 | -0.25 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.00 |
| Julie Camacho | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.40 |
| Martyn Meade | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.80 |
| Richard Hannon | 9-0-0 | -9.00 | -9.00 |
Commonwealth Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Commonwealth Cup over the last 9 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Advertise (2019) and Campanelle (2021).
Here are some of the top Commonwealth Cup jockey statistics over the last 9 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 6-2-4 | +9.00 | +4.80 |
| Ryan Moore | 9-1-3 | -7.17 | -5.61 |
| Adam Kirby | 7-1-2 | -1.00 | -2.73 |
| Oisin Murphy | 6-1-3 | +4.00 | +3.80 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-1 | +8.00 | +2.00 |
| Dane O'Neill | 3-1-1 | +8.00 | +3.00 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.75 |
| Dougie Costello | 1-1-1 | +1.75 | +1.05 |
| James Doyle | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -6.00 |
| William Buick | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -6.05 |
2024 Commonwealth Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 11, 1, 1, 16, 4, 11, 8, (1, 18), 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 9 / 9 (37%) - No bigger than 12/1
- 9 / 9 (40%) - Within the first 6 of market
- 9 / 9 (59%) - Held an OR of 107+
- 9 / 9 (64%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Last 3)
- 9 / 9 (64%) - Achieved a TS of 88+ (Last 3)
- 9 / 9 (64%) - Highest Won is not G3/Cl2-4
- 9 / 9 (69%) - Achieved a TS of 83+ (Trip)
- 9 / 9 (69%) - Made 4 - 8 starts (Career)
- 9 / 9 (73%) - Made 2 - 6 starts (1 Year)
- 9 / 9 (75%) - Ran over 6f - 7f (Last Win)
- 9 / 9 (77%) - Beaten no more -3¼l (Debut)
- 9 / 9 (80%) - Not in a Cl2/Cl3/Cl4 (Last Win)
- 9 / 9 (80%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (Trip)
- 8 / 9 (67%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (Jockey)
- 8 / 9 (68%) - No bigger than 6/1 (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Commonwealth Cup. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Commonwealth Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
Commonwealth Cup Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.50 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) last time out. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 128lbs on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-31.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 4 (2,7) [13 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (12,9) [20 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 14 (18,16) [15 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 10 (11,14) [16 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 4 (5,6) [9 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Commonwealth Cup is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 7 winners from a total of 101 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 34 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Commonwealth Cup, that stallion Showcasing has produced 2 winners (2019,2016).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Commonwealth Cup despite multiple attempts:
- No Nay Never (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Zoffany (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 9 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Eqtidaar in 2018, winning for Sir Michael Stoute at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 9 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Schedule at Royal Ascot
Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024
- 14:30: Queen Anne Stakes
- 15:05: Coventry Stakes
- 15:40: Kings Stand Stakes
- 16:20: St James's Palace Stakes
- 17:00: Ascot Stakes
- 17:35: Wolferton Stakes
- 18:10: Copper Horse Stakes
Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024
- 14:30: Queen Mary Stakes
- 15:05: Kensington Palace Stakes
- 15:40: Duke of Cambridge Stakes
- 16:20: Prince of Wales's Stakes
- 17:00: Royal Hunt Cup
- 17:35: Queens Vase
- 18:10: Windsor Castle Stakes
Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024
- 14:30: Norfolk Stakes
- 15:05: King George V Stakes
- 15:40: Ribblesdale Stakes
- 16:20: Ascot Gold Cup
- 17:00: Britannia Stakes
- 17:35: Hampton Court Stakes
- 18:10: Buckingham Palace Stakes
Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024
- 14:30: Albany Stakes
- 15:05: Commonwealth Cup
- 15:40: Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
- 16:20: Coronation Stakes
- 17:00: Sandringham Stakes
- 17:35: King Edward VII Stakes
- 18:10: Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes
Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024
- 14:30: Chesham Stakes
- 15:05: Jersey Stakes
- 15:40: Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
- 16:20: Hardwicke Stakes
- 17:00: Wokingham Stakes
- 17:35: Golden Gates Stakes
- 18:10: Queen Alexandra Stakes
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