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2022 Commonwealth Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: May 25, 2:45pm Last Updated: Jul 5, 12:03pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 832 Views

2022 Commonwealth Cup Preview

The Commonwealth Cup was added to the Royal Ascot meeting back in 2015 with the Buckingham Palace Stakes being removed from the festival to make room for this race, the Group 1 race is open to three-year-olds only and was the first age-restricted Group 1 race open to geldings in Europe.

The race is run over 6f in which fillies get a 3lb allowance and any Southern Hemisphere runners get a 10lb allowance, the race is run on the fourth day of the festival. When introduced in 2015, the Diamond Jubilee Stakes was changed to a 4yo+ race with this new race being open to the 3yo runners.

Our dedicated Royal Ascot Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Commonwealth Cup but will also have predictions for each meeting at Royal Ascot throughout the season so be sure to head over there.

When looking over the past 7 renewals, a time of 1:11.88 was set by Advertise in 2019, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Martyn Meade and ridden by Frankie Dettori. The slowest winning time was set in 2021 when Campanelle won in a time of 1:16.67, booked to ride was Frankie Dettori on this Wesley A Ward trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Commonwealth Cup over the last 7 renewals:

  • 2019 - Advertise (1:11.88)
  • 2015 - Muhaarar (1:12.05)
  • 2018 - Eqtidaar (1:12.12)

How competitive is the Commonwealth Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 7 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 7 renewals of the Commonwealth Cup, the over-round has been 124% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £124 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 7 if you had followed the winner of the Commonwealth Cup next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 6 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.00. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Commonwealth Cup see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Commonwealth Cup Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Commonwealth Cup. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Commonwealth Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:16.67
Campanelle
3yo 8-11 (14 of 15) 5/1
Frankie Dettori
Wesley A Ward
2020
1:14.56
Golden Horde
3yo 9-0 (10 of 16) 5/1
Adam Kirby
Clive Cox
2019
1:11.88
Advertise
3yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 8/1
Frankie Dettori
Martyn Meade
2018
1:12.12
Eqtidaar
3yo 9-3 (3 of 22) 12/1
Jim Crowley
Sir Michael Stoute
2017
1:13.49
Caravaggio
3yo 9-3 (5 of 12) 5/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2016
1:14.50
Quiet Reflection
3yo 9-0 (8 of 10) 7/4F
Dougie Costello
K R Burke
2015
1:12.05
Muhaarar
3yo 9-3 (8 of 18) 10/1
Dane O'Neill
Charles Hills

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Commonwealth Cup have been based:

  • GB: 5 winners with an additional 9 placings from 68 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 4 placings from 23 runners
  • USA: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners

Commonwealth Cup Trainer Statistics

Here are some of the top Commonwealth Cup trainer statistics over the last 7 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 13-1-2 -11.17 -10.20
Clive Cox 7-1-2 -1.00 -2.73
Charles Hills 5-1-1 +6.00 +1.00
Wesley A Ward 4-1-2 +2.00 +0.50
K R Burke 4-1-1 -1.25 -1.95
Sir Michael Stoute 1-1-1 +12.00 +6.00
Martyn Meade 1-1-1 +8.00 +4.80
Richard Hannon 7-0-0 -7.00 -7.00
Charlie Appleby 4-0-1 -4.00 -3.05
Richard Fahey 3-0-2 -3.00 -2.00

Commonwealth Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Commonwealth Cup over the last 7 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Advertise (2019) & Campanelle (2021).

Here are some of the top Commonwealth Cup jockey statistics over the last 7 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 5-2-4 +10.00 +5.80
Ryan Moore 7-1-2 -5.17 -4.20
Adam Kirby 6-1-2 +0.00 -1.73
Jim Crowley 3-1-1 +10.00 +4.00
Dane O'Neill 3-1-1 +8.00 +3.00
Dougie Costello 1-1-1 +1.75 +1.05
Silvestre De Sousa 6-0-0 -6.00 -6.00
Oisin Murphy 5-0-2 -5.00 -1.60
William Buick 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.05
James Doyle 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.50

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,11,1,1,16,4,11,8

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 7 / 7 (38%) - No bigger than 12/1
  • 7 / 7 (58%) - 4-7 Career starts
  • 6 / 7 (32%) - Won at least a Group 2
  • 6 / 7 (51%) - Previously placed with jockey
  • 5 / 7 (47%) - 4-5 Career placings
  • 5 / 7 (50%) - 3+ Career wins
  • 4 / 7 (23%) - 3-4 Start with the jockey

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Commonwealth Cup. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Commonwealth Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Commonwealth Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 4+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +13.00 is when runners last place was 2 starts ago. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 4 places in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 14 (18,16) [15 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 10 (11,14) [16 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (5,6) [9 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 3 (22,11) [22 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 5 (7,10) [12 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Commonwealth Cup is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 2 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 5 winners from a total of 77 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 25 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Commonwealth Cup, that stallion is Showcasing who has produced 2 winners (2019,2016).

Looking at the winning odds over the last 7 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Eqtidaar in 2018 when winning for Sir Michael Stoute at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 7 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2022 Commonwealth Cup why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 14th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 15th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 16th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Friday 17th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 18th June 2022

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