Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Commonwealth Cup Preview
The Commonwealth Cup was added to the Royal Ascot meeting back in 2015 with the Buckingham Palace Stakes being removed from the festival to make room for this race, the Group 1 race is open to three-year-olds only and was the first age-restricted Group 1 race open to geldings in Europe.
The race is run over 6f in which fillies get a 3lb allowance and any Southern Hemisphere runners get a 10lb allowance, the race is run on the fourth day of the festival. When introduced in 2015, the Jubilee Stakes was changed to a 4yo+ race with this new race being open to the 3yo runners.
Commonwealth Cup Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Royal Ascot then head over to the Royal Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. We cover every race at Royal Ascot and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
How competitive is the Commonwealth Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Commonwealth Cup, the over-round has been 124%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £124 which is bet.
Commonwealth Cup Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Commonwealth Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.50. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Commonwealth Cup see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:11.88 was set by Advertise in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Martyn Meade and ridden by Frankie Dettori. The slowest winning time was set in 2021 when Campanelle won in a time of 1:16.67, booked to ride was Frankie Dettori by the trainer Wesley A Ward.
These are the top three quickest-run Commonwealth Cup over the last 10 renewals:
- Advertise (1:11.88) in 2019
- Muhaarar (1:12.05) in 2015
- Eqtidaar (1:12.12) in 2018
Commonwealth Cup Past Winners
Here are the Commonwealth Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Commonwealth Cup and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:12.51 | Inisherin (GB) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 14) 9/4F | Tom Eaves Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2023 1:13.15 | Shaquille (GB) 3yo 9-2 (4 of 13) 9/1 | Oisin Murphy Julie Camacho (GB) |
| 2022 1:12.85 | Perfect Power (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 20) 7/2F | Christophe Soumillon Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2021 1:16.67 | Campanelle (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (14 of 15) 5/1 | Frankie Dettori Wesley A Ward (USA) |
| 2020 1:14.56 | Golden Horde (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (10 of 16) 5/1 | Adam Kirby Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2019 1:11.88 | Advertise (GB) 3yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 8/1 | Frankie Dettori Martyn Meade (GB) |
| 2018 1:12.12 | Eqtidaar (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (3 of 22) 12/1 | Jim Crowley Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 1:13.49 | Caravaggio (USA) 3yo 9-3 (5 of 12) 5/6F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:14.50 | Quiet Reflection (GB) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 10) 7/4F | Dougie Costello K R Burke (GB) |
| 2015 1:12.05 | Muhaarar (GB) 3yo 9-3 (8 of 18) 10/1 | Dane O'Neill Charles Hills (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Commonwealth Cup have been based:
- GB: 8 winners with an additional 14 placings from 105 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 5 placings from 30 runners
- USA: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 7 runners
Commonwealth Cup Trainer Statistics
Here are some of the top Commonwealth Cup trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 16-1-3 | -14.17 | -12.61 |
| Clive Cox | 9-1-3 | -3.00 | -3.83 |
| Kevin Ryan | 7-1-2 | -3.75 | -3.55 |
| K R Burke | 6-1-2 | -3.25 | +3.15 |
| Charles Hills | 5-1-1 | +6.00 | +1.00 |
| Richard Fahey | 5-1-3 | -0.50 | -1.25 |
| Wesley A Ward | 4-1-2 | +2.00 | +0.50 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.00 |
| Julie Camacho | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.40 |
| Martyn Meade | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.80 |
Commonwealth Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Commonwealth Cup over the last 10 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Advertise (2019) and Campanelle (2021).
Here are some of the top Commonwealth Cup jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 6-2-4 | +9.00 | +4.80 |
| Ryan Moore | 10-1-3 | -8.17 | -6.61 |
| Oisin Murphy | 7-1-3 | +3.00 | +2.80 |
| Adam Kirby | 7-1-2 | -1.00 | -2.73 |
| Jim Crowley | 6-1-2 | +7.00 | +1.90 |
| Dane O'Neill | 3-1-1 | +8.00 | +3.00 |
| Tom Eaves | 3-1-1 | +0.25 | -0.65 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.75 |
| Dougie Costello | 1-1-1 | +1.75 | +1.05 |
| James Doyle | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -6.00 |
2025 Commonwealth Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 11, 1, 1, 16, 4, 11, 8, (1, 18), 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 10 / 10 (38%) - No bigger than 12/1
- 10 / 10 (40%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 10 / 10 (57%) - Held an OR of 107+
- 10 / 10 (61%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Last 3)
- 10 / 10 (62%) - Achieved a TS of 88+ (Last 3)
- 10 / 10 (63%) - Highest Won is not G3/Cl2-4
- 10 / 10 (67%) - Achieved a TS of 83+ (Trip)
- 10 / 10 (68%) - Ran in 4 - 8 races (Career)
- 10 / 10 (74%) - Ran in 2 - 6 races (1 Year)
- 10 / 10 (75%) - Ran over 6f - 7f (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Beaten no more -3¼l (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (79%) - Not in a Cl2-4 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (80%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (Trip)
- 10 / 10 (81%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (83%) - Placed within last 2 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Commonwealth Cup. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Commonwealth Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
Commonwealth Cup Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +10.50 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 5 starts in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-32.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 (8,5) [14 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (2,7) [13 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (12,9) [20 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 14 (18,16) [15 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 10 (11,14) [16 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Commonwealth Cup is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 8 winners from a total of 113 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 36 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Commonwealth Cup, that stallion Showcasing has produced 2 winners (2019,2016).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Commonwealth Cup despite multiple attempts:
- No Nay Never (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Zoffany (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Eqtidaar in 2018, winning for Sir Michael Stoute at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Commonwealth Cup.
Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles II Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Anne Stakes | Charyn (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | Roger Varian Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Coventry Stakes | Rashabar (IRE) 2yo - 80/1 | Brian Meehan Billy Loughnane |
| 15:45 Royal Ascot King Charles III Stakes | Asfoora (AUS) 5yo - 5/1 | Henry Dwyer Oisin Murphy |
| 16:25 Royal Ascot St James's Palace Stakes | Rosallion (IRE) 3yo - 5/2 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 17:05 Royal Ascot Ascot Stakes | Pledgeofallegiance (IRE) 4yo - 20/1 | Sir Mark Prescott Bt Luke Morris |
| 17:40 Royal Ascot Wolferton Stakes | Israr (GB) 5yo - 11/4 | John & Thady Gosden Jim Crowley |
| 18:15 Royal Ascot Copper Horse Stakes | Belloccio (FR) 6yo - 4/1 | W P Mullins William Buick |
Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Mary Stakes | Leovanni (IRE) 2yo - 22/1 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Queen's Vase | Illinois (IRE) 3yo - 7/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:45 Royal Ascot Duke of Cambridge Stakes | Running Lion (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Oisin Murphy |
| 16:25 Royal Ascot Prince of Wales's Stakes | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 4yo - 13/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:05 Royal Ascot Royal Hunt Cup | Wild Tiger (GB) 5yo - 11/2 | Saeed bin Suroor Oisin Murphy |
| 17:40 Royal Ascot Kensington Palace Stakes | Doha (GB) 4yo - 10/1 | Ralph Beckett Hector Crouch |
| 18:15 Royal Ascot Windsor Castle Stakes | Aint Nobody (IRE) 2yo - 5/1 | Kevin Ryan Jamie Spencer |
Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day though is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Norfolk Stakes | Shareholder (USA) 2yo - 12/1 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot King George V Stakes | Going The Distance (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| 15:45 Royal Ascot Ribblesdale Stakes | Port Fairy (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:25 Royal Ascot Ascot Gold Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 11/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:05 Royal Ascot Britannia Stakes | Mickley (IRE) 3yo - 15/2 | Edward Bethell Callum Rodriguez |
| 17:40 Royal Ascot Hampton Court Stakes | Jayarebe (FR) 3yo - 7/1 | Brian Meehan Sean Levey |
| 18:15 Royal Ascot Buckingham Palace Stakes | English Oak (GB) 4yo - 100/30 | Ed Walker James Doyle |
Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Albany Stakes | Fairy Godmother (IRE) 2yo - 15/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Commonwealth Cup | Inisherin (GB) 3yo - 9/4 | Kevin Ryan Tom Eaves |
| 15:45 Royal Ascot Coronation Stakes | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Tom Marquand |
| 16:25 Royal Ascot Duke of Edinburgh Stakes | Crystal Black (IRE) 6yo - 11/1 | Gerard Keane Colin Keane |
| 17:05 Royal Ascot Sandringham Stakes | Soprano (IRE) 3yo - 14/1 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
| 17:40 Royal Ascot King Edward VII Stakes | Calandagan (IRE) 3yo - 11/2 | F-H Graffard Stephane Pasquier |
| 18:15 Royal Ascot Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes | Pilgrim (GB) 3yo - 18/1 | David & Nicola Barron Joe Fanning |
Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1m.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Chesham Stakes | Bedtime Story (IRE) 2yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Hardwicke Stakes | Isle Of Jura (GB) 4yo - 16/1 | George Scott Callum Shepherd |
| 15:45 Royal Ascot Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes | Khaadem (IRE) 8yo - 14/1 | Charles Hills Oisin Murphy |
| 16:25 Royal Ascot Jersey Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Richard Hannon James Doyle |
| 17:05 Royal Ascot Wokingham Stakes | Unequal Love (GB) 4yo - 12/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 17:40 Royal Ascot Golden Gates Stakes | Hand Of God (GB) 3yo - 9/4 | Harry Charlton William Buick |
| 18:15 Royal Ascot Queen Alexandra Stakes | Uxmal (IRE) 5yo - 2/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Commonwealth Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Ascot racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in February
Races in May
Races in July
Races in August (Shergar Cup)
- Shergar Cup Challenge
- Shergar Cup Classic
- Shergar Cup Dash
- Shergar Cup Mile
- Shergar Cup Sprint
- Shergar Cup Stayers
Races in October (Champions Day)
- Balmoral Handicap
- British Champion Stakes
- British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes
- British Champions Long Distance Cup
- British Champions Sprint Stakes
- Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
