2022 Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Oct 22, 4:20pm Last Updated: Nov 8, 2:25pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 1764 Views

2022 Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Preview

The Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf sees the young fillies take to the turf track. The race is open to two-year-old fillies only and is run over a mile on the turf track. This is a race where we tend to see a lot of raiders from these shores being a turf race although there has been limited success for those. Aidan O'Brien's Mother Earth was runner-up in 2020, Roger Varian's Daahyeh was runner-up in 2019, Kevin Ryan's East was runner up 2018 and Aidan O'Brien's September was third 2017.

We also have a dedicated Keeneland Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2015 renewal when Catch A Glimpse from Mark Casse who under the guidance of Florent Geroux, won in a time of 1:39.08, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Lady Eli, trained by Chad C Brown and ridden by Irad Ortiz Jr set the quickest time of 1:33.41 in the 2014 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf over the last 10 renewals:

  • 2014 - Lady Eli (1:33.41)
  • 2013 - Chriselliam (1:33.72)
  • 2016 - New Money Honey (1:34.01)

How competitive is the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf, the over-round has been 121% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf next time out then you would have back a total of 5 winners. Backing all 8 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +7.80. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Past Winners

Here are the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:36.08
Pizza Bianca (USA)
2yo 8-10 (1 of 14) 99/10
Jose L Ortiz
Christophe Clement (USA)
2020
1:35.71
Aunt Pearl (IRE)
2yo 8-10 (5 of 14) 5/2F
Florent Geroux
Brad H Cox (USA)
2019
1:34.59
Sharing (USA)
2yo 8-10 (11 of 14) 16/1
Manuel Franco
H Graham Motion (USA)
2018
1:39.00
Newspaperofrecord (IRE)
2yo 8-10 (6 of 14) 5/6F
Irad Ortiz Jr
Chad C Brown (USA)
2017
1:36.09
Rushing Fall (USA)
2yo 8-10 (11 of 14) 9/2
Javier Castellano
Chad C Brown (USA)
2016
1:34.01
New Money Honey (USA)
2yo 8-10 (3 of 14) 9/1
Javier Castellano
Chad C Brown (USA)
2015
1:39.08
Catch A Glimpse (USA)
2yo 8-10 (3 of 14) 6/1
Florent Geroux
Mark Casse (CAN)
2014
1:33.41
Lady Eli (USA)
2yo 8-10 (4 of 13) 5/2F
Irad Ortiz Jr
Chad C Brown (USA)
2013
1:33.72
Chriselliam (IRE)
2yo 8-10 (8 of 14) 5/1
Richard Hughes
Charles Hills (GB)
2012
1:34.64
Flotilla (FR)
2yo 8-10 (4 of 14) 8/1
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire
M Delzangles (FR)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf have been based:

  • USA: 7 winners with an additional 10 placings from 87 runners
  • GB: 1 winner with an additional 4 placings from 21 runners
  • CAN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 5 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 18 runners

Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf over the last 10 renewals is Chad C Brown who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Lady Eli (2014), New Money Honey (2016), Rushing Fall (2017) & Newspaperofrecord (2018). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf, A P O'Brien has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Chad C Brown 20-4-7 +0.83 -2.00
H Graham Motion 7-1-1 +10.00 +3.60
Mark Casse 6-1-1 +1.00 -1.40
Christophe Clement 4-1-2 +6.90 +5.04
Brad H Cox 3-1-1 +0.50 -0.50
M Delzangles 1-1-1 +8.00 +4.80
Charles Hills 1-1-1 +5.00 +3.00
A P O'Brien 11-0-3 -11.00 -7.48
Todd Pletcher 7-0-1 -7.00 -5.90
Wesley A Ward 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.00

Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf over the last 10 renewals with all of Javier Castellano, Irad Ortiz Jr & Florent Geroux having all won the race 2 times. Javier Castellano winners have been with New Money Honey (2016) & Rushing Fall (2017). Irad Ortiz Jr winners have been with Lady Eli (2014) & Newspaperofrecord (2018). Florent Geroux winners have been with Catch A Glimpse (2015) & Aunt Pearl (2020). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf, Ryan Moore has had a total of 10 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Javier Castellano 9-2-3 +6.50 +2.20
Irad Ortiz Jr 8-2-2 -2.67 -4.00
Florent Geroux 4-2-2 +6.50 +3.10
Jose L Ortiz 6-1-3 +4.90 +4.14
Manuel Franco 3-1-2 +14.00 +14.70
Richard Hughes 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.00
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire 1-1-1 +8.00 +4.80
Ryan Moore 10-0-3 -10.00 -5.16
John R Velazquez 9-0-0 -9.00 -9.00
Joel Rosario 8-0-1 -8.00 -6.40

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,8,7,1,2,9,14,1,2,1,7

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (55%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 10 / 10 (70%) - Ran over at least a mile LTO
  • 10 / 10 (76%) - Had 1-2 wins (Career)
  • 9 / 10 (44%) - Within first 6 of market
  • 9 / 10 (67%) - No bigger than 9/1 (Debut)
  • 9 / 10 (86%) - Not drawn in inside 2 stalls
  • 8 / 10 (53%) - Had 1+ wins (With Jockey)
  • 8 / 10 (55%) - Had 2 starts (90 Days)
  • 8 / 10 (71%) - Had placed in at least a G3

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Keeneland racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races which are you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf by adding a tip on the race here.

Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +22.23 is when runners carried 119lbs on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career starts in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-38.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 1 (12,11) [14 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (7,2) [14 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 11 (5,12) [14 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 6 (14,7) [14 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 11 (1,10) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf is Belmont Park, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Belmont Park last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf, that stallion is Lope De Vega who has produced 2 winners (2020,2018).

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Sharing in 2019 when winning for H Graham Motion at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Manuel Franco. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

2022 Breeders' Cup Schedule

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