Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Looking ahead to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, which takes place over 1m at Del Mar during the Breeders' Cup, we dive into the history of the race to see which trainers and jockeys have dominated, and identify the statistical trends shaping the outcome of this year's renewal.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Preview

The Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf was first introduced in 2007. The race is open to two-year-old runners and, since 2011, has been a Grade 1 race that is run over a mile on the turf.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Del Mar, then head over to the Del Mar tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Breeders' Cup Schedule section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 18 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 18 renewals of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf races over the last 18 renewals:

  1. Outstrip (1:33.20) in 2013
  2. Oscar Performance (1:33.28) in 2016
  3. Unquestionable (1:33.65) in 2023

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 18 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -7.40. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 18 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2007 renewal when Nownownow from Francois Parisel under the guidance of Julien R Leparoux, won in a time of 1:40.48, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Outstrip, trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by Mike E Smith set the quickest time of 1:33.20 in the 2013 renewal.

What the expert says...
The last two winners both came from running in France; they both raced in the Prix Jean Luc Lagardere at Longchamp, with Unquestionable (2023) runner-up and Henri Matisse (2024) finishing in 5th before winning this.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Challenge Series

Here are the races that are included in the Breeders' Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf:

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Past Winners

Here are the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
1:34.48
Henri Matisse (IRE)
2yo 8-10 (12 of 12) 39/10F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2023
1:33.65
Unquestionable (FR)
2yo 8-10 (7 of 11) 6/4F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022
1:35.99
Victoria Road (IRE)
2yo 8-10 (1 of 14) 558/100
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2021
1:34.72
Modern Games (IRE)
2yo 8-10 (1 of 13) 13/8F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:35.81
Fire At Will (USA)
2yo 8-10 (7 of 14) 33/1
Ricardo Santana Jr
Michael J Maker (USA)
2019
1:35.11
Structor (USA)
2yo 8-10 (2 of 14) 11/2
Jose L Ortiz
Chad C Brown (USA)
2018
1:40.06
Line of Duty (IRE)
2yo 8-10 (5 of 14) 3/1F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
1:35.97
Mendelssohn (USA)
2yo 8-10 (1 of 14) 9/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:33.28
Oscar Performance (USA)
2yo 8-10 (13 of 14) 7/1
Jose L Ortiz
Brian A Lynch (CAN)
2015
1:38.86
Hit It A Bomb (USA)
2yo 8-10 (14 of 14) 9/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf have been based:

  • IRE: 7 winners with an additional 6 placings from 27 runners
  • USA: 5 winners with an additional 23 placings from 145 runners
  • GB: 5 winners with an additional 4 placings from 39 runners
  • CAN: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 22 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2024 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Replay


Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf over the last 18 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race seven times, with those seven winners coming from Wrote (2011), George Vancouver (2012), Hit It A Bomb (2015), Mendelssohn (2017), Victoria Road (2022), Unquestionable (2023) and Henri Matisse (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf are Charlie Appleby (3 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf; Mark Casse has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf trainer statistics over the last 18 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien24-7-13+17.98+11.34
Charlie Appleby7-3-5+4.00+2.90
John Gosden4-2-2+6.50+3.10
Todd Pletcher16-1-2-6.00-8.70
Chad C Brown16-1-5-9.50-6.78
Michael J Maker10-1-2+24.00+12.90
Wesley A Ward7-1-4-2.00+2.90
Francois Parisel1-1-1+11.00+6.60
Brian A Lynch1-1-1+7.00+4.20
Mark Casse17-0-2-17.00-15.08

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf over the last 18 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race seven times, with those seven winners coming from Wrote (2011), George Vancouver (2012), Hit It A Bomb (2015), Mendelssohn (2017), Victoria Road (2022), Unquestionable (2023) and Henri Matisse (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf are Frankie Dettori (3 wins), William Buick (2 wins) and Jose L Ortiz (2 wins). Two jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 18 renewals in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf. John R Velazquez has ridden 15 runners in the race without recording any wins, whilst Joel Rosario has ridden 13 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf jockey statistics over the last 18 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore15-7-9+26.98+14.56
Frankie Dettori9-3-3+6.50+1.50
William Buick8-2-4-4.00-2.70
Jose L Ortiz6-2-5+8.50+9.30
Julien R Leparoux9-1-3+3.00+1.00
G K Gomez6-1-1+4.00+0.40
Mike E Smith5-1-2+2.00+1.20
Ricardo Santana Jr2-1-1+32.00+18.80
John R Velazquez15-0-1-15.00-12.50
Joel Rosario13-0-2-13.00-11.23

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Trend Analysis

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were off a break of 26 days, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-45.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 12 (6,11) [12 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 7 (10,4) [11 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 1 (4,9) [14 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 1 (3,5) [13 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (9,8) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Longchamp and Belmont Park; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf; that stallion, Wootton Bassett, has produced 2 winners (2024,2023).

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf; that stallion is City Zip, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 18 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Fire At Will in 2020, winning for Michael J Maker at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Ricardo Santana Jr. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 18 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.

Route to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - Henri Matisse
Longchamp - 5th of 9 (23/10)
Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere
2023 - Unquestionable
Longchamp - 2nd of 10 (81/10)
Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere
2022 - Victoria Road
Chantilly - 1st of 8 (29/10)
Prix de Conde
2021 - Modern Games
Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 6 (3/1)
Tattersall Stakes
2020 - Fire At Will
Belmont Park - 1st of 6 (29/2)
Pilgrim Stakes
2019 - Structor
Belmont Park - 1st of 9 (5/2)
Pilgrim Stakes
2018 - Line of Duty
Chantilly - 1st of 5 (1/1)
Prix de Conde
2017 - Mendelssohn
Newmarket (Rowley) - 2nd of 9 (50/1)
Dewhurst Stakes
2016 - Oscar Performance
Belmont Park - 1st of 8 (27/10)
Pilgrim Stakes
2015 - Hit It A Bomb
Dundalk (AW) - 1st of 6 (2/5)
Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Star Appeal Stakes

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing analyst with over 15 years of experience, delves into the intricacies of international horse racing, meticulously analyzing complex statistical data to uncover hidden trends. He spearheads the creation and management of OLBG's international horse racing trend blogs, providing valuable insights for bettors worldwide.

Breeders' Cup Schedule

Breeders' Cup Juvenile races on Friday

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf SprintMagnum Force (IRE)
2yo - 125/10
G M Lyons
Colin Keane
Breeders' Cup Juvenile FilliesImmersive (USA)
2yo - 2/1
Brad H Cox
Manuel Franco
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies TurfLake Victoria (IRE)
2yo - 7/10
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
Breeders' Cup JuvenileCitizen Bull (USA)
2yo - 159/10
Bob Baffert
Martin Garcia
Breeders' Cup Juvenile TurfHenri Matisse (IRE)
2yo - 39/10
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore

Breeders' Cup Championship races on Saturday

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare SprintSoul Of An Angel (USA)
5yo - 198/10
Saffie A Joseph Jr
Drayden Van Dyke
Breeders' Cup Turf SprintStarlust (GB)
3yo - 34/1
Ralph Beckett
Rossa Ryan
Breeders' Cup DistaffThorpedo Anna (USA)
3yo - 2/5
Kenneth McPeek
Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr
Breeders' Cup TurfRebels Romance (IRE)
6yo - 19/10
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
Breeders' Cup ClassicSierra Leone (USA)
3yo - 69/10
Chad C Brown
Flavien Prat
Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare TurfMoira (CAN)
5yo - 58/10
Kevin Attard
Flavien Prat
Breeders' Cup SprintStraight No Chaser (USA)
5yo - 61/10
Dan Blacker
John R Velazquez
Breeders' Cup MileMore Than Looks (USA)
4yo - 69/10
Cherie DeVaux
Jose L Ortiz
Breeders' Cup Dirt MileFull Serrano (ARG)
5yo - 134/10
John W Sadler
Joel Rosario

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