2022 Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Preview, Trends & Analysis

2022 Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Preview, Trends & Analysis

2022 Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Preview

The Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf was first introduced in 2007, the race is open to two-year-old runners and since 2011 has been a Grade 1 race that is run over a mile on the turf. The winners of the Juvenile Stakes (Leopardstown), Royal Lodge Stakes & Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere all get automatic entries.

If you are interested in other predictions at Keeneland then head over to the Keeneland Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:33.20 was set by Outstrip in 2013, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by Mike E Smith. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Line of Duty won in a time of 1:40.06, booked to ride was William Buick on this Charlie Appleby trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf over the last 10 renewals:

  • 2013 - Outstrip (1:33.20)
  • 2016 - Oscar Performance (1:33.28)
  • 2012 - George Vancouver (1:33.78)

How competitive is the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf, the over-round has been 120% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 8 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.90. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Past Winners

Here are the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:34.72
Modern Games (IRE)
2yo 8-10 (1 of 13) 13/8F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:35.81
Fire At Will (USA)
2yo 8-10 (7 of 14) 33/1
Ricardo Santana Jr
Michael J Maker (USA)
2019
1:35.11
Structor (USA)
2yo 8-10 (2 of 14) 11/2
Jose L Ortiz
Chad C Brown (USA)
2018
1:40.06
Line of Duty (IRE)
2yo 8-10 (5 of 14) 3/1F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
1:35.97
Mendelssohn (USA)
2yo 8-10 (1 of 14) 9/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:33.28
Oscar Performance (USA)
2yo 8-10 (13 of 14) 7/1
Jose L Ortiz
Brian A Lynch (CAN)
2015
1:38.86
Hit It A Bomb (USA)
2yo 8-10 (14 of 14) 9/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2014
1:34.79
Hootenanny (USA)
2yo 8-10 (5 of 14) 4/1
Frankie Dettori
Wesley A Ward (USA)
2013
1:33.20
Outstrip (GB)
2yo 8-10 (4 of 13) 6/1
Mike E Smith
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2012
1:33.78
George Vancouver (USA)
2yo 8-10 (3 of 14) 6/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf have been based:

  • USA: 3 winners with an additional 15 placings from 79 runners
  • GB: 3 winners with an additional 1 placing from 24 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 3 placings from 17 runners
  • CAN: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 15 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf over the last 10 renewals with both A P O'Brien & Charlie Appleby who have both won the race 3 times. A P O'Brien winners have been with George Vancouver (2012), Hit It A Bomb (2015) & Mendelssohn (2017). Charlie Appleby winners have been with Outstrip (2013), Line of Duty (2018) & Modern Games (2021). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf, Mark Casse has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 15-3-6 +3.00 -0.03
Charlie Appleby 4-3-3 +7.00 +3.80
Chad C Brown 13-1-5 -6.50 -3.78
Michael J Maker 6-1-2 +28.00 +16.90
Wesley A Ward 4-1-3 +1.00 +2.60
Brian A Lynch 1-1-1 +7.00 +4.20
Mark Casse 12-0-1 -12.00 -11.10
Todd Pletcher 7-0-0 -7.00 -7.00
Doug O'Neill 4-0-1 -4.00 -2.87
Peter Miller 3-0-1 -3.00 +4.10

Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf over the last 10 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from George Vancouver (2012), Hit It A Bomb (2015) & Mendelssohn (2017). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf are Jose L Ortiz (2 wins) & William Buick (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 10-3-5 +8.00 +3.57
Jose L Ortiz 5-2-5 +9.50 +10.30
William Buick 5-2-2 -1.00 -1.80
Frankie Dettori 5-1-1 +0.00 -1.60
Mike E Smith 3-1-2 +4.00 +3.20
Ricardo Santana Jr 2-1-1 +32.00 +18.80
Joel Rosario 8-0-1 -8.00 -7.25
John R Velazquez 8-0-0 -8.00 -8.00
Javier Castellano 7-0-2 -7.00 -4.68
Irad Ortiz Jr 6-0-1 -6.00 -4.50

2022 Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,4,3,12,2,3,6,(1,9),5,2,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (57%) - Field of no more than 9 (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (78%) - Finished in first 3 (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (82%) - Beaten no more than 4l (LTO)
  • 9 / 10 (41%) - No bigger than 11/1
  • 9 / 10 (84%) - Had 1-2 wins (Career)
  • 7 / 10 (57%) - Carried 121lbs+ (LTO)
  • 7 / 10 (65%) - No further than 7f (Debut)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Keeneland racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there is plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf by adding a tip on the race here.

Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +36.50 is when runners ran in a field of 6 last time out. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 1m last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-40.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 1 (3,5) [13 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (9,8) [14 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 2 (7,8) [14 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 5 (2,7) [14 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 1 (2,8) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Belmont Park, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Belmont Park last time out.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Fire At Will in 2020 when winning for Michael J Maker at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Ricardo Santana Jr. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

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