You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Preview
The Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, as the name suggests, is run over a mile on the dirt during the Breeders' Cup. First run in 2007, this race is open to runners aged three years old or older and was made a G1 in 2009.
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Information:
- Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Past Winners
- Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trainer Statistics
- Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Del Mar tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Breeders' Cup Schedule section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 18 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2011 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 18 renewals of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile races over the last 18 renewals:
- Albertus Maximus (1:33.41) in 2008
- City Of Light (1:33.83) in 2018
- Knicks Go (1:33.85) in 2020
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 18 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 12 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +1.93. Ahead of the 2025 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 18 renewals, it was Albertus Maximus, trained by Vladimir Cerin and ridden by G K Gomez, who set the fastest winning time in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. That runner won the race in a time of 1:33.41 in 2008. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer James Jerkens and jockey Kent J Desormeaux with Corinthian who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:39.06 in the 2007 renewal.
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Challenge Series
Here are the races that are included in the Breeders' Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile:
- Metropolitan Handicap (Belmont Park)
- Pat OBrien Stakes (Del Mar)
- Ack Ack Stakes (Churchill Downs)
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Past Winners
Here are the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:35.48 | Full Serrano (ARG) 5yo 9-0 (3 of 13) 134/10 | Joel Rosario John W Sadler (USA) |
| 2023 1:35.97 | Codys Wish (USA) 5yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 4/5F | Junior Alvarado William Mott (USA) |
| 2022 1:35.33 | Codys Wish (USA) 4yo 9-0 (6 of 9) 43/20F | Junior Alvarado William Mott (USA) |
| 2021 1:34.12 | Life Is Good (USA) 3yo 8-11 (5 of 8) 7/10F | Irad Ortiz Jr Todd Pletcher (USA) |
| 2020 1:33.85 | Knicks Go (USA) 4yo 9-0 (5 of 12) 15/8F | Joel Rosario Brad H Cox (USA) |
| 2019 1:36.58 | Spun To Run (USA) 3yo 8-11 (3 of 10) 8/1 | Irad Ortiz Jr Juan Carlos Guerrero (USA) |
| 2018 1:33.83 | City Of Light (USA) 4yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 11/4 | Javier Castellano Michael McCarthy (USA) |
| 2017 1:35.20 | Battle Of Midway (USA) 3yo 8-11 (9 of 10) 18/1 | Flavien Prat Jerry Hollendorfer (USA) |
| 2016 1:35.72 | Tamarkuz (USA) 6yo 9-0 (8 of 9) 14/1 | Mike E Smith Kiaran McLaughlin (USA) |
| 2015 1:34.54 | Liams Map (USA) 4yo 9-0 (3 of 11) 1/2F | Javier Castellano Todd Pletcher (USA) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile have been based:
- USA: 18 winners with an additional 29 placings from 160 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 6 runners
- CAN: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- KOR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
- CHI: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2024 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Replay
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile over the last 18 renewals, with Todd Pletcher, Jerry Hollendorfer, and William Mott having all won the race two times. Todd Pletcher winners have been with Liams Map (2015) and Life Is Good (2021). Jerry Hollendorfer's winners have been with Dakota Phone (2010) and Battle Of Midway (2017). William Mott winners have been with Codys Wish (2022 & 2023). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile; Bob Baffert has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile trainer statistics over the last 18 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Pletcher | 7-2-3 | -3.80 | -1.28 |
| Jerry Hollendorfer | 4-2-2 | +41.00 | +23.80 |
| William Mott | 4-2-3 | +0.95 | +0.79 |
| Steven Asmussen | 13-1-3 | +8.00 | +2.10 |
| Brad H Cox | 6-1-2 | -3.12 | -3.05 |
| John W Sadler | 5-1-2 | +9.40 | +8.54 |
| Doug O'Neill | 5-1-2 | +1.00 | +1.26 |
| Kiaran McLaughlin | 4-1-1 | +11.00 | +5.40 |
| Michael J Maker | 2-1-1 | +15.00 | +8.60 |
| James Jerkens | 2-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.70 |
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile over the last 18 renewals is Joel Rosario, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Dakota Phone (2010), Knicks Go (2020) and Full Serrano (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile are Rafael Bejarano (2 wins), Javier Castellano (2 wins), Irad Ortiz Jr (2 wins) and Junior Alvarado (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile jockey statistics over the last 18 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Rosario | 12-3-6 | +31.28 | +21.97 |
| Rafael Bejarano | 8-2-2 | -0.38 | -2.63 |
| Javier Castellano | 8-2-3 | -2.75 | -2.80 |
| Irad Ortiz Jr | 5-2-3 | +5.70 | +3.62 |
| Junior Alvarado | 2-2-2 | +2.95 | +1.79 |
| Mike E Smith | 7-1-2 | +8.00 | +3.00 |
| Flavien Prat | 6-1-4 | +13.00 | +10.40 |
| Julien R Leparoux | 5-1-1 | +12.00 | +5.60 |
| G K Gomez | 4-1-3 | +2.50 | +1.87 |
| Rajiv Maragh | 2-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.20 |
2025 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 9, 4, 11, 7, 6, 4, 1, 1, 4, 8, 6, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 18 / 18 (76%) - Not in a G3/Cl3 (Last Win)
- 18 / 18 (80%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 18 / 18 (82%) - Highest Run is not G2-3/LST
- 18 / 18 (82%) - Not on SFT/GD/GF/FM/SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 18 / 18 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (Last 3)
- 18 / 18 (83%) - Furthest Won 1m - 1m1½f
- 18 / 18 (84%) - In a field of 4 - 10 (LTO)
- 18 / 18 (85%) - Furthest ran 1m - 1m2f
- 18 / 18 (89%) - Had 2 - 6 placings (Season)
- 18 / 18 (89%) - Ran over 7f - 1m1f (Last Win)
- 17 / 18 (81%) - Ran on FS (LTO)
- 17 / 18 (84%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 17 / 18 (89%) - No older than a 5yo
- 17 / 18 (89%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 16 / 18 (78%) - Won within last 3 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Del Mar racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 9+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +35.92, is when runners were Bay in colour.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) when last winning, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-36.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 3 (8,9) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 2 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (7,1) [9 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 5 (3,6) [8 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 5 (11,2) [12 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile is Saratoga; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Saratoga last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Santa Anita and Belmont Park; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile:
- Into Mischief (3 Wins)
- Curlin (2 Wins)
- Smart Strike (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile despite multiple attempts:
- Tiznow (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Giants Causeway (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 18 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dakota Phone in 2010, winning for Jerry Hollendorfer at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Joel Rosario. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 18 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Full Serrano Del Mar - 2nd of 8 (89/10) | FanDuel Racing Pacific |
| 2023 - Codys Wish Belmont At The Big A - 1st of 6 (23/20) | Vosburgh Stakes |
| 2022 - Codys Wish Saratoga - 1st of 7 (8/1) | Forego Stakes |
| 2021 - Life Is Good Belmont Park - 1st of 4 (1/20) | Kelso Handicap |
| 2020 - Knicks Go Keeneland - 1st of 6 (4/5) | Allowance Optional Claiming |
| 2019 - Spun To Run Parx - 1st of 9 (6/5) | M P Ballezzi Appreciation Mile |
| 2018 - City Of Light Saratoga - 2nd of 8 (37/20) | Forego Stakes |
| 2017 - Battle Of Midway Remington Park - 2nd of 8 (7/5) | Oklahoma Derby |
| 2016 - Tamarkuz Belmont Park - 2nd of 5 (77/20) | Kelso Handicap |
| 2015 - Liams Map Saratoga - 1st of 8 (6/5) | Woodward Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Breeders' Cup Schedule
Breeders' Cup Juvenile races on Friday
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint | Magnum Force (IRE) 2yo - 125/10 | G M Lyons Colin Keane |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies | Immersive (USA) 2yo - 2/1 | Brad H Cox Manuel Franco |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf | Lake Victoria (IRE) 2yo - 7/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile | Citizen Bull (USA) 2yo - 159/10 | Bob Baffert Martin Garcia |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf | Henri Matisse (IRE) 2yo - 39/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Breeders' Cup Championship races on Saturday
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint | Soul Of An Angel (USA) 5yo - 198/10 | Saffie A Joseph Jr Drayden Van Dyke |
| Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint | Starlust (GB) 3yo - 34/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| Breeders' Cup Distaff | Thorpedo Anna (USA) 3yo - 2/5 | Kenneth McPeek Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr |
| Breeders' Cup Turf | Rebels Romance (IRE) 6yo - 19/10 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Breeders' Cup Classic | Sierra Leone (USA) 3yo - 69/10 | Chad C Brown Flavien Prat |
| Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf | Moira (CAN) 5yo - 58/10 | Kevin Attard Flavien Prat |
| Breeders' Cup Sprint | Straight No Chaser (USA) 5yo - 61/10 | Dan Blacker John R Velazquez |
| Breeders' Cup Mile | More Than Looks (USA) 4yo - 69/10 | Cherie DeVaux Jose L Ortiz |
| Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile | Full Serrano (ARG) 5yo - 134/10 | John W Sadler Joel Rosario |
