Breeders Cup Dirt Mile Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Updated: 2284 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile, a race run over 1m at Santa Anita during the The Breeders Cup.

Breeders Cup Dirt Mile Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Breeders Cup Dirt Mile Preview

The Breeders Cup Dirt Mile as the name suggests is run over a mile on the dirt during the Breeders' Cup. First, run in 2007, this race is open to runners aged three years old or older and was made a G1 in 2009.

Breeders Cup Dirt Mile Information:

We also have a dedicated Del Mar tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Breeders Cup Schedule section for links to these.

How competitive is the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Breeders Cup Dirt Mile Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 6 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.73. Ahead of the 2024 Breeders Cup Dirt Mile why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2019 renewal when Spun To Run from Juan Carlos Guerrero under the guidance of Irad Ortiz Jr, won in a time of 1:36.58, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, City Of Light, trained by Michael McCarthy and ridden by Javier Castellano set the quickest time of 1:33.83 in the 2018 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Breeders Cup Dirt Mile over the last 10 renewals:

  • 2018 - City Of Light (1:33.83)
  • 2020 - Knicks Go (1:33.85)
  • 2021 - Life Is Good (1:34.12)

Breeders Cup Dirt Mile Challenge Series

Here are the races that are included in the Breeders Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile:

  • Metropolitan Handicap (Belmont Park)
  • Pat O'Brien Stakes (Del Mar)
  • Ack Ack Stakes (Churchill Downs)

Breeders Cup Dirt Mile Past Winners

Here are the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
1:35.97
Codys Wish (USA)
5yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 4/5F
Junior Alvarado
William Mott (USA)
2022
1:35.33
Codys Wish (USA)
4yo 9-0 (6 of 9) 43/20F
Junior Alvarado
William Mott (USA)
2021
1:34.12
Life Is Good (USA)
3yo 8-11 (5 of 8) 7/10F
Irad Ortiz Jr
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2020
1:33.85
Knicks Go (USA)
4yo 9-0 (5 of 12) 15/8F
Joel Rosario
Brad H Cox (USA)
2019
1:36.58
Spun To Run (USA)
3yo 8-11 (3 of 10) 8/1
Irad Ortiz Jr
Juan Carlos Guerrero (USA)
2018
1:33.83
City Of Light (USA)
4yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 11/4
Javier Castellano
Michael McCarthy (USA)
2017
1:35.20
Battle Of Midway (USA)
3yo 8-11 (9 of 10) 18/1
Flavien Prat
Jerry Hollendorfer (USA)
2016
1:35.72
Tamarkuz (USA)
6yo 9-0 (8 of 9) 14/1
Mike E Smith
Kiaran McLaughlin (USA)
2015
1:34.54
Liams Map (USA)
4yo 9-0 (3 of 11) 1/2F
Javier Castellano
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2014
1:35.16
Goldencents (USA)
4yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 8/13F
Rafael Bejarano
Leandro Mora (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile have been based:

  • USA: 10 winners with an additional 17 placings from 86 runners
  • CAN: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • KOR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
  • CHI: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Breeders Cup Dirt Mile Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile over the last 10 renewals with both Todd Pletcher and William Mott who have both won the race two times. Todd Pletcher's winners have been Liams Map (2015) and Life Is Good (2021). William Mott winners have been with Codys Wish (2022 & 2023).

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Dirt Mile trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Todd Pletcher4-2-2-0.80-1.28
William Mott3-2-3+1.95+1.79
Brad H Cox5-1-2-2.12-2.05
Jerry Hollendorfer2-1-1+17.00+9.80
Michael McCarthy2-1-1+1.75+0.65
Kiaran McLaughlin1-1-1+14.00+8.40
Juan Carlos Guerrero1-1-1+8.00+4.80
Leandro Mora1-1-1+0.62+0.37
Steven Asmussen8-0-2-8.00-5.90
Bob Baffert7-0-1-7.00-5.90

Breeders Cup Dirt Mile Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile over the last 10 renewals with Irad Ortiz Jr, Javier Castellano and Junior Alvarado having all won the race two times. Irad Ortiz Jr winners have been with Spun To Run (2019) and Life Is Good (2021). Javier Castellano's winners have been Liams Map (2015) and City Of Light (2018). Junior Alvarado winners have been with Codys Wish (2022 & 2023).

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Dirt Mile jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Irad Ortiz Jr4-2-3+6.70+4.62
Javier Castellano4-2-2+1.25-0.05
Junior Alvarado2-2-2+2.95+1.79
Joel Rosario6-1-2-3.12-2.17
Flavien Prat5-1-3+14.00+10.60
Mike E Smith4-1-2+11.00+6.00
Rafael Bejarano4-1-1-2.38-2.63
Ricardo Santana Jr5-0-0-5.00-5.00
John R Velazquez4-0-1-4.00-1.70
Florent Geroux4-0-2-4.00-2.18

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 4, 8, 6, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (56%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (Class)
  • 10 / 10 (60%) - No bigger than 18/1
  • 10 / 10 (67%) - Highest Placed is not G2/LST/Cl2
  • 10 / 10 (68%) - Within the first 6 of the market
  • 10 / 10 (69%) - Beaten no more -2l (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (71%) - Ran over 5½f - 1mf (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (72%) - Achieved an RPR of 106+ (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - Placed within last 1 starts
  • 10 / 10 (74%) - Had 2 - 9 wins (Going)
  • 10 / 10 (77%) - Not in a G3/Cl3 (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (78%) - Had 3 - 10 wins (Career)
  • 10 / 10 (79%) - Had 1 - 2 placings (90 Days)
  • 10 / 10 (79%) - Break of 21 - 70 days (Last Place)
  • 10 / 10 (80%) - Ran on FS (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (81%) - Not BB in colour

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Del Mar racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile by adding a tip on the race here.

Breeders Cup Dirt Mile Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +27.70 is when runners ran over 7f on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 win in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-35.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (7) [7 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 6 (7,1) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 5 (3,6) [8 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (11,2) [12 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 3 (5,8) [10 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile is Saratoga, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Saratoga last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile:

  • Curlin (2 Wins)
  • Into Mischief (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile, that stallion is Tapit who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Battle Of Midway in 2017, winning for Jerry Hollendorfer at odds of 18/1 under the guidance of Flavien Prat. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Breeders Cup Dirt Mile. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Breeders Cup Schedule

Breeders Cup races for Friday 1st November 2024

Race2023 WinnerInfo
Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf SprintBig Evs (IRE)
2yo - 16/5
Michael Appleby
Tom Marquand
Breeders Cup Juvenile FilliesJust F Y I (USA)
2yo - 7/1
William Mott
Junior Alvarado
Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies TurfHard To Justify (USA)
2yo - 91/10
Chad C Brown
Flavien Prat
Breeders Cup JuvenileFierceness (USA)
2yo - 165/10
Todd Pletcher
John R Velazquez
Breeders Cup Juvenile TurfUnquestionable (FR)
2yo - 6/4
A P OBrien
Ryan Moore

Breeders Cup races for Saturday 2nd November 2024

Race2023 WinnerInfo
Breeders Cup Dirt MileCodys Wish (USA)
5yo - 4/5
William Mott
Junior Alvarado
Breeders Cup Filly Mare TurfInspiral (GB)
4yo - 5/2
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
Breeders Cup Filly Mare SprintGoodnight Olive (USA)
5yo - 11/10
Chad C Brown
Irad Ortiz Jr
Breeders Cup MileMaster Of The Seas (IRE)
5yo - 33/10
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
Breeders Cup DistaffIdiomatic (USA)
4yo - 9/5
Brad H Cox
Florent Geroux
Breeders Cup TurfAuguste Rodin (IRE)
3yo - 5/2
A P OBrien
Ryan Moore
Breeders Cup ClassicWhite Abarrio (USA)
4yo - 13/5
Richard Dutrow Jr
Irad Ortiz Jr
Breeders Cup Turf SprintNobals (USA)
4yo - 12/1
Larry Rivelli
Gerardo Corrales
Breeders Cup SprintElite Power (USA)
5yo - 17/10
William Mott
Irad Ortiz Jr

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Keep Reading

English Top Flight Goals

Updated: 15

After a record breaking season of goals scored throughout the 2023/24 Premier League season, we look at the trends of attack and defence over the past 100 years and more.

Continue Reading

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!