Breeders Cup Juvenile Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Updated: 2192 Horse Racing

Contested over a distance of 1m½f is the Breeders Cup Juvenile which is scheduled to take place at Santa Anita during the Breeders Cup. Below we have detailed past winners along with both trainer and jockey records in the race and see which trends have been set based on past winners of the Breeders Cup Juvenile.

Breeders Cup Juvenile Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Breeders Cup Juvenile Preview

The Breeders Cup Juvenile is run on the dirt over eight and a half furlongs and was first run in 1984. Being a juvenile race, it is open to runners aged two years old only and only colts and geldings.

Breeders Cup Juvenile Information:

We also have a dedicated Del Mar tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Breeders Cup Schedule section for links to these.

How competitive is the Breeders Cup Juvenile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2014 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Breeders Cup Juvenile, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Breeders Cup Juvenile Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Breeders Cup Juvenile next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.20. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Breeders Cup Juvenile remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2019 renewal when Storm The Court from Peter Eurton under the guidance of Flavien Prat, won in a time of 1:44.93, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Fierceness, trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by John R Velazquez set the quickest time of 1:41.90 in the 2023 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Breeders Cup Juvenile over the last 10 renewals:

  • 2023 - Fierceness (1:41.90)
  • 2014 - Texas Red (1:41.91)
  • 2020 - Essential Quality (1:42.09)

Breeders Cup Juvenile Challenge Series

Here are the races that are included in the Breeders Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders Cup Juvenile:

  • Champagne Stakes (Aqueduct)
  • Breeders Futurity Stakes (Keeneland)
  • American Pharoah Stakes (Santa Anita)

Breeders Cup Juvenile Past Winners

Here are the Breeders Cup Juvenile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Breeders Cup Juvenile as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
1:41.90
Fierceness (USA)
2yo 8-10 (7 of 9) 165/10
John R Velazquez
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2022
1:43.06
Forte (USA)
2yo 8-10 (4 of 10) 5/1
Irad Ortiz Jr
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2021
1:42.50
Corniche (USA)
2yo 8-10 (11 of 11) 7/5F
Mike E Smith
Bob Baffert (USA)
2020
1:42.09
Essential Quality (USA)
2yo 8-10 (5 of 14) 100/30
Luis Saez
Brad H Cox (USA)
2019
1:44.93
Storm The Court (USA)
2yo 8-10 (4 of 8) 50/1
Flavien Prat
Peter Eurton (USA)
2018
1:43.67
Game Winner (USA)
2yo 8-10 (9 of 13) 5/4F
Joel Rosario
Bob Baffert (USA)
2017
1:43.34
Good Magic (USA)
2yo 8-10 (6 of 12) 12/1
Jose L Ortiz
Chad C Brown (USA)
2016
1:42.60
Classic Empire (USA)
2yo 8-10 (5 of 11) 11/2
Julien R Leparoux
Mark Casse (CAN)
2015
1:43.79
Nyquist (USA)
2yo 8-10 (12 of 14) 11/2
Mario Gutierrez
Doug O'Neill (USA)
2014
1:41.91
Texas Red (USA)
2yo 8-10 (5 of 11) 14/1
Kent J Desormeaux
J Keith Desormeaux (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders Cup Juvenile have been based:

  • USA: 9 winners with an additional 19 placings from 101 runners
  • CAN: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Breeders Cup Juvenile Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Breeders Cup Juvenile over the last 10 renewals with both Bob Baffert and Todd Pletcher who have both won the race two times. Bob Baffert winners have been with Game Winner (2018) and Corniche (2021). Todd Pletcher winners have been with Forte (2022) and Fierceness (2023).

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Juvenile trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Bob Baffert14-2-6-9.35-6.09
Todd Pletcher13-2-4+10.50+3.38
Chad C Brown7-1-2+6.00+2.50
J Keith Desormeaux4-1-2+11.00+7.90
Doug O'Neill4-1-2+2.50+10.80
Mark Casse4-1-2+2.50+2.31
Brad H Cox3-1-1+1.33+0.00
Peter Eurton1-1-1+50.00+30.00
Dale Romans8-0-3-8.00-3.41
Steven Asmussen6-0-0-6.00-6.00

Breeders Cup Juvenile Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Juvenile jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
John R Velazquez8-1-3+9.50+4.95
Irad Ortiz Jr8-1-1-2.00-4.00
Flavien Prat6-1-2+45.00+26.70
Jose L Ortiz6-1-4+7.00+7.33
Mike E Smith5-1-1-2.60-3.16
Joel Rosario5-1-2-2.75-1.95
Kent J Desormeaux3-1-1+12.00+6.40
Mario Gutierrez3-1-1+3.50+1.30
Luis Saez3-1-1+1.33+0.00
Julien R Leparoux1-1-1+5.50+3.30

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (2, 11), 7, 2, 3, 1, 8, 4, 1, 2, 3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (58%) - Ran in a G1 (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (58%) - Achieved an RPR of 70+ (Class)
  • 10 / 10 (59%) - Highest Run is G1
  • 10 / 10 (65%) - Within the first 7 of the market
  • 10 / 10 (67%) - Off a break of 27 - 35 days
  • 10 / 10 (67%) - Carried 121 - 122lbs (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (79%) - Highest Placed is not G2-3/LST
  • 10 / 10 (80%) - Ran over 5f - 6½f (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (84%) - Break of 27 - 70 days (Last Place)
  • 10 / 10 (85%) - Ran over 1mf - 1m½f (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (86%) - Beaten no more -5¾l (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (86%) - No bigger than 50/1
  • 10 / 10 (87%) - Carried 118 - 120lbs (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (88%) - Not on SFT/GD/GF/FM/STD (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (88%) - No bigger than 197/10 (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Del Mar racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders Cup Juvenile. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders Cup Juvenile by adding a tip on the race here.

Breeders Cup Juvenile Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +59.48 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career starts in the class, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-46.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 7 (8,4) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 (3,10) [10 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 11 (3,6) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (12,6) [14 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (7,2) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders Cup Juvenile is Santa Anita, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Santa Anita last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Keeneland, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Keeneland last time out.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Storm The Court in 2019, winning for Peter Eurton at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Flavien Prat. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Breeders Cup Juvenile head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Breeders Cup Schedule

Breeders Cup races for Friday 1st November 2024

Race2023 WinnerInfo
Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf SprintBig Evs (IRE)
2yo - 16/5
Michael Appleby
Tom Marquand
Breeders Cup Juvenile FilliesJust F Y I (USA)
2yo - 7/1
William Mott
Junior Alvarado
Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies TurfHard To Justify (USA)
2yo - 91/10
Chad C Brown
Flavien Prat
Breeders Cup JuvenileFierceness (USA)
2yo - 165/10
Todd Pletcher
John R Velazquez
Breeders Cup Juvenile TurfUnquestionable (FR)
2yo - 6/4
A P OBrien
Ryan Moore

Breeders Cup races for Saturday 2nd November 2024

Race2023 WinnerInfo
Breeders Cup Dirt MileCodys Wish (USA)
5yo - 4/5
William Mott
Junior Alvarado
Breeders Cup Filly Mare TurfInspiral (GB)
4yo - 5/2
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
Breeders Cup Filly Mare SprintGoodnight Olive (USA)
5yo - 11/10
Chad C Brown
Irad Ortiz Jr
Breeders Cup MileMaster Of The Seas (IRE)
5yo - 33/10
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
Breeders Cup DistaffIdiomatic (USA)
4yo - 9/5
Brad H Cox
Florent Geroux
Breeders Cup TurfAuguste Rodin (IRE)
3yo - 5/2
A P OBrien
Ryan Moore
Breeders Cup ClassicWhite Abarrio (USA)
4yo - 13/5
Richard Dutrow Jr
Irad Ortiz Jr
Breeders Cup Turf SprintNobals (USA)
4yo - 12/1
Larry Rivelli
Gerardo Corrales
Breeders Cup SprintElite Power (USA)
5yo - 17/10
William Mott
Irad Ortiz Jr

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