Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Breeders Cup Juvenile Preview
The Breeders Cup Juvenile is run on the dirt over eight and a half furlongs and was first run in 1984. Being a juvenile race, it is open to runners aged two years old only and only colts and geldings.
Breeders Cup Juvenile Information:
- Breeders Cup Juvenile Past Winners
- Breeders Cup Juvenile Trainer Statistics
- Breeders Cup Juvenile Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Del Mar tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Breeders Cup Schedule section for links to these.
How competitive is the Breeders Cup Juvenile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2014 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Breeders Cup Juvenile, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.
Breeders Cup Juvenile Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Breeders Cup Juvenile next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -6.05. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Breeders Cup Juvenile see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Midshipman, trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by G K Gomez who set the fastest winning time in the Breeders Cup Juvenile, the runner won the race in a time of 1:40.94 when winning the race in 2008. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Peter Eurton and jockey Flavien Prat with Storm The Court who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:44.93 in the 2019 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Breeders Cup Juvenile over the last 20 renewals:
- Midshipman (1:40.94) in 2008
- Stevie Wonderboy (1:41.64) in 2005
- Fierceness (1:41.90) in 2023
Breeders Cup Juvenile Challenge Series
Here are the races that are included in the Breeders Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders Cup Juvenile:
- Champagne Stakes (Aqueduct)
- Breeders Futurity Stakes (Keeneland)
- American Pharoah Stakes (Santa Anita)
Breeders Cup Juvenile Past Winners
Here are the Breeders Cup Juvenile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders Cup Juvenile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
---|---|---|
2024 1:43.07 | Citizen Bull (USA) 2yo 8-10 (6 of 10) 159/10 | Martin Garcia Bob Baffert (USA) |
2023 1:41.90 | Fierceness (USA) 2yo 8-10 (7 of 9) 165/10 | John R Velazquez Todd Pletcher (USA) |
2022 1:43.06 | Forte (USA) 2yo 8-10 (4 of 10) 5/1 | Irad Ortiz Jr Todd Pletcher (USA) |
2021 1:42.50 | Corniche (USA) 2yo 8-10 (11 of 11) 7/5F | Mike E Smith Bob Baffert (USA) |
2020 1:42.09 | Essential Quality (USA) 2yo 8-10 (5 of 14) 100/30 | Luis Saez Brad H Cox (USA) |
2019 1:44.93 | Storm The Court (USA) 2yo 8-10 (4 of 8) 50/1 | Flavien Prat Peter Eurton (USA) |
2018 1:43.67 | Game Winner (USA) 2yo 8-10 (9 of 13) 5/4F | Joel Rosario Bob Baffert (USA) |
2017 1:43.34 | Good Magic (USA) 2yo 8-10 (6 of 12) 12/1 | Jose L Ortiz Chad C Brown (USA) |
2016 1:42.60 | Classic Empire (USA) 2yo 8-10 (5 of 11) 11/2 | Julien R Leparoux Mark Casse (CAN) |
2015 1:43.79 | Nyquist (USA) 2yo 8-10 (12 of 14) 11/2 | Mario Gutierrez Doug O'Neill (USA) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders Cup Juvenile have been based:
- USA: 18 winners with an additional 38 placings from 202 runners
- CAN: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners
- GB: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 11 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Breeders Cup Juvenile Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Breeders Cup Juvenile over the last 20 renewals is Bob Baffert who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Midshipman (2008), New Years Day (2013), Game Winner (2018), Corniche (2021) and Citizen Bull (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders Cup Juvenile are Todd Pletcher (4 wins) and Doug O'Neill (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Breeders Cup Juvenile, Dale Romans has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Juvenile trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Bob Baffert | 25-5-11 | +11.55 | +5.16 |
Todd Pletcher | 25-4-8 | +4.00 | -2.89 |
Doug O'Neill | 13-2-6 | -0.50 | +11.50 |
Chad C Brown | 8-1-2 | +5.00 | +1.50 |
Mark Casse | 8-1-2 | -1.50 | -1.69 |
J Keith Desormeaux | 4-1-2 | +11.00 | +7.90 |
Brad H Cox | 3-1-1 | +1.33 | +0.00 |
Nicholas Zito | 3-1-1 | +0.00 | -0.80 |
Peter Eurton | 2-1-1 | +49.00 | +29.00 |
Michael J Maker | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
Breeders Cup Juvenile Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Breeders Cup Juvenile over the last 20 renewals with John R Velazquez, G K Gomez and Martin Garcia having all won the race two times. John R Velazquez's winners have been with Uncle Mo (2010) and Fierceness (2023). G K Gomez winners have been with Stevie Wonderboy (2005) and Midshipman (2008). Martin Garcia winners have been with New Years Day (2013) and Citizen Bull (2024). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Breeders Cup Juvenile, Javier Castellano has ridden 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Juvenile jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
John R Velazquez | 13-2-5 | +7.25 | +3.50 |
G K Gomez | 5-2-4 | +7.00 | +4.63 |
Martin Garcia | 4-2-2 | +21.90 | +12.34 |
Mike E Smith | 10-1-1 | -7.60 | -8.16 |
Joel Rosario | 10-1-5 | -7.75 | -2.55 |
Irad Ortiz Jr | 9-1-2 | -3.00 | -3.89 |
Flavien Prat | 7-1-2 | +44.00 | +25.70 |
Kent J Desormeaux | 7-1-1 | +8.00 | +2.40 |
Jose L Ortiz | 6-1-4 | +7.00 | +7.33 |
Mario Gutierrez | 5-1-2 | +1.50 | +3.10 |
2025 Breeders Cup Juvenile Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 2, 1, 2, (2, 11), 7, 2, 3, 1, 8, 4, 1, 2, 3, 9
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not on SFT/GS/GF/FM/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 197/10 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl3
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran over 4½f - 7f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more -5¾l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in AUS/CAN/ENG/FRA/IRL/JPN/PER (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (76%) - Break of 21 - 83 days (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Placed within last 1 start
- 19 / 20 (84%) - Highest Won is not G3/Cl3
- 19 / 20 (88%) - Not in CAN/FRA/IRL/ITA/JPN/PER (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 63/5 (Career Win)
- 17 / 20 (41%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (LTO)
- 17 / 20 (60%) - Ran in a G1 (LTO)
- 17 / 20 (75%) - Ran on FS (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Del Mar racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders Cup Juvenile. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders Cup Juvenile by adding a tip on the race here.
Breeders Cup Juvenile Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor that produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +76.63 is when runners had 1 career place in the class.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-29.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 6 (7,3) [10 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (8,4) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 (3,10) [10 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 11 (3,6) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 5 (12,6) [14 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders Cup Juvenile is Santa Anita, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Santa Anita last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Keeneland and Belmont Park, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders Cup Juvenile:
- Street Cry (2 Wins)
- Tapit (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Breeders Cup Juvenile despite multiple attempts:
- Giants Causeway (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Bernardini (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Malibu Moon (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Speightstown (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- War Front (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Storm The Court in 2019, winning for Peter Eurton at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Flavien Prat. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Breeders Cup Juvenile why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Breeders Cup Juvenile Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Breeders Cup Schedule
Breeders Cup Juvenile races on Friday
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint | Magnum Force (IRE) 2yo - 125/10 | G M Lyons Colin Keane |
Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies | Immersive (USA) 2yo - 2/1 | Brad H Cox Manuel Franco |
Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf | Lake Victoria (IRE) 2yo - 7/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Breeders Cup Juvenile | Citizen Bull (USA) 2yo - 159/10 | Bob Baffert Martin Garcia |
Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf | Henri Matisse (IRE) 2yo - 39/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Breeders Cup Championship races on Saturday
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
Breeders Cup Filly & Mare Sprint | Soul Of An Angel (USA) 5yo - 198/10 | Saffie A Joseph Jr Drayden Van Dyke |
Breeders Cup Turf Sprint | Starlust (GB) 3yo - 34/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
Breeders Cup Distaff | Thorpedo Anna (USA) 3yo - 2/5 | Kenneth McPeek Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr |
Breeders Cup Turf | Rebels Romance (IRE) 6yo - 19/10 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Breeders Cup Classic | Sierra Leone (USA) 3yo - 69/10 | Chad C Brown Flavien Prat |
Breeders Cup Filly & Mare Turf | Moira (CAN) 5yo - 58/10 | Kevin Attard Flavien Prat |
Breeders Cup Sprint | Straight No Chaser (USA) 5yo - 61/10 | Dan Blacker John R Velazquez |
Breeders Cup Mile | More Than Looks (USA) 4yo - 69/10 | Cherie DeVaux Jose L Ortiz |
Breeders Cup Dirt Mile | Full Serrano (ARG) 5yo - 134/10 | John W Sadler Joel Rosario |