Breeders Cup Juvenile Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

2024 Breeders Cup Juvenile Preview

The Breeders Cup Juvenile is run on the dirt over eight and a half furlongs and was first run in 1984. Being a juvenile race, it is open to runners aged two years old only and only colts and geldings.

Breeders Cup Juvenile Information:

• Breeders Cup Juvenile Past Winners
• Breeders Cup Juvenile Trainer Statistics
• Breeders Cup Juvenile Jockey Statistics

We also have a dedicated Del Mar tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Breeders Cup Schedule section for links to these.

How competitive is the Breeders Cup Juvenile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2014 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Breeders Cup Juvenile, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Breeders Cup Juvenile Trends:

• 2024 Breeders Cup Juvenile Trends
• Breeders Cup Juvenile Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Breeders Cup Juvenile next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 10 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.20. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Breeders Cup Juvenile see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:41.90 was set by Fierceness in 2023, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by John R Velazquez. The slowest winning time was set in 2019 when Storm The Court won in a time of 1:44.93, booked to ride was Flavien Prat by the trainer Peter Eurton.

These are the top three quickest-run Breeders Cup Juvenile over the last 10 renewals:

1. Fierceness (1:41.90) in 2023
2. Texas Red (1:41.91) in 2014
3. Essential Quality (1:42.09) in 2020

Breeders Cup Juvenile Challenge Series

Here are the races that are included in the Breeders Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders Cup Juvenile:

• Champagne Stakes (Aqueduct)
• Breeders Futurity Stakes (Keeneland)
• American Pharoah Stakes (Santa Anita)

Breeders Cup Juvenile Past Winners

Here are the Breeders Cup Juvenile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders Cup Juvenile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders Cup Juvenile have been based:

• USA: 9 winners with an additional 19 placings from 101 runners
• CAN: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
• IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
• JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Breeders Cup Juvenile Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Breeders Cup Juvenile over the last 10 renewals with both Bob Baffert and Todd Pletcher who have both won the race two times. Bob Baffert winners have been with Game Winner (2018) and Corniche (2021). Todd Pletcher winners have been with Forte (2022) and Fierceness (2023).

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Juvenile trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Breeders Cup Juvenile Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Juvenile jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Breeders Cup Juvenile Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +59.48 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career starts in the class, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-46.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

• 2023: Winner in 7 (8,4) [9 Runners]
• 2022: Winner in 4 (3,10) [10 Runners]
• 2021: Winner in 11 (3,6) [11 Runners]
• 2020: Winner in 5 (12,6) [14 Runners]
• 2019: Winner in 4 (7,2) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders Cup Juvenile is Santa Anita, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Santa Anita last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Keeneland, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Keeneland last time out.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Storm The Court in 2019, winning for Peter Eurton at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Flavien Prat. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Breeders Cup Juvenile remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Breeders Cup Schedule

Breeders Cup races for Friday 1st November 2024

Breeders Cup races for Saturday 2nd November 2024