Breeders' Cup Juvenile Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

The Breeders' Cup Juvenile is always an anticipated contest at Del Mar during the Breeders' Cup, run over a trip of 1m½f. In this guide, we take a closer look at the winning connections, past records, and the key trends that could help you pinpoint this year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Preview

The Breeders' Cup Juvenile is run on the dirt over eight and a half furlongs and was first run in 1984. Being a juvenile race, it is open to runners aged two years old and only colts and geldings.

For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile will hold the title of 'Fanduel Breeders' Cup Juvenile presented by Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance'.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Del Mar tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Breeders' Cup Schedule section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Breeders' Cup Juvenile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.

These are the top three quickest-run Breeders' Cup Juvenile races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Midshipman (1:40.94) in 2008
  2. Stevie Wonderboy (1:41.64) in 2005
  3. Fierceness (1:41.90) in 2023

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -5.15. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2019 renewal when Storm The Court from Peter Eurton under the guidance of Flavien Prat, won in a time of 1:44.93, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Midshipman, trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by G K Gomez set the quickest time of 1:40.94 in the 2008 renewal.

What the expert says...
The American Pharoah Stakes has been responsible for four of the last seven winners of this race, with three of those winning both races, including last year's winner Citizen Bull.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Challenge Series

Here are the races that are included in the Breeders' Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile:

  • Champagne Stakes (Aqueduct)
  • Breeders Futurity Stakes (Keeneland)
  • American Pharoah Stakes (Santa Anita)

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Past Winners

Here are the Breeders' Cup Juvenile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
1:43.07
Citizen Bull (USA)
2yo 8-10 (6 of 10) 159/10
Martin Garcia
Bob Baffert (USA)
2023
1:41.90
Fierceness (USA)
2yo 8-10 (7 of 9) 165/10
John R Velazquez
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2022
1:43.06
Forte (USA)
2yo 8-10 (4 of 10) 5/1
Irad Ortiz Jr
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2021
1:42.50
Corniche (USA)
2yo 8-10 (11 of 11) 7/5F
Mike E Smith
Bob Baffert (USA)
2020
1:42.09
Essential Quality (USA)
2yo 8-10 (5 of 14) 100/30
Luis Saez
Brad H Cox (USA)
2019
1:44.93
Storm The Court (USA)
2yo 8-10 (4 of 8) 50/1
Flavien Prat
Peter Eurton (USA)
2018
1:43.67
Game Winner (USA)
2yo 8-10 (9 of 13) 5/4F
Joel Rosario
Bob Baffert (USA)
2017
1:43.34
Good Magic (USA)
2yo 8-10 (6 of 12) 12/1
Jose L Ortiz
Chad C Brown (USA)
2016
1:42.60
Classic Empire (USA)
2yo 8-10 (5 of 11) 11/2
Julien R Leparoux
Mark Casse (CAN)
2015
1:43.79
Nyquist (USA)
2yo 8-10 (12 of 14) 11/2
Mario Gutierrez
Doug O'Neill (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile have been based:

  • USA: 18 winners with an additional 38 placings from 202 runners
  • CAN: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners
  • GB: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 11 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2024 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Replay


Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile over the last 20 renewals is Bob Baffert, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Midshipman (2008), New Years Day (2013), Game Winner (2018), Corniche (2021) and Citizen Bull (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile are Todd Pletcher (4 wins) and Doug O'Neill (2 wins).

Here are the Breeders' Cup Juvenile trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Bob Baffert25-5-11+11.55+5.16
Todd Pletcher25-4-8+4.00-2.89
Doug O'Neill13-2-6-0.50+11.50
Kenneth McPeek7-0-3-7.00+1.90
Eddie Kenneally2-0-0-2.00-2.00

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile over the last 20 renewals is John R Velazquez, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Uncle Mo (2010) and Fierceness (2023).

Here are the Breeders' Cup Juvenile jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
John R Velazquez
(Ted Noffey)
13-2-5+7.25+3.50
Irad Ortiz Jr
(Blackout Time)
9-1-2-3.00-3.89
Flavien Prat
(Brant)
7-1-2+44.00+25.70
Jose L Ortiz
(Litmus Test)
6-1-4+7.00+7.33
Tyler Gaffalione
(Comport)
4-0-1-4.00+6.50
Frankie Dettori
(Civil Liberty)
2-0-0-2.00-2.00

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trend Shortlist

Del Mar will host the 2025 renewal of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, which will be run at 11:45 pm on Friday, 31st October 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Ted Noffey (4/5)
    • Todd Pletcher (25-4-8 +4.00 / -2.89)
    • John R Velazquez (13-2-5 +7.25 / +3.50)

Others: Brant (14/15), Blackout Time (13/15), Litmus Test (13/15), Intrepido (13/15), Mr. A. P. (12/15), Comport (12/15) and Civil Liberty (11/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (12:45 pm Tuesday 28th October 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trend Analysis

āœ… The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +76.63, is when runners had 1 career place in the class.

āŒ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) last time out, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-29.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 6 (7,3) [10 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 7 (8,4) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 (3,10) [10 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 11 (3,6) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (12,6) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile is Santa Anita; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Santa Anita last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Keeneland and Belmont Park; there have been a total of 4 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile:

  • Street Cry (2 Wins)
  • Tapit (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile despite multiple attempts:

  • Giants Causeway (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Bernardini (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Malibu Moon (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Speightstown (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • War Front (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Storm The Court in 2019, winning for Peter Eurton at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Flavien Prat. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.

Route to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - Citizen Bull
Santa Anita - 1st of 7 (43/10)
American Pharoah Stakes presented by DK Horse
2023 - Fierceness
Aqueduct - 7th of 8 (31/20)
Champagne Stakes
2022 - Forte
Keeneland - 1st of 14 (109/20)
Claiborne Breeders Futurity
2021 - Corniche
Santa Anita - 1st of 7 (2/5)
American Pharoah Stakes
2020 - Essential Quality
Keeneland - 1st of 9 (29/10)
Claiborne Breeders Futurity
2019 - Storm The Court
Santa Anita - 3rd of 9 (207/10)
American Pharoah Stakes
2018 - Game Winner
Santa Anita - 1st of 5 (3/10)
American Pharoah Stakes
2017 - Good Magic
Belmont Park - 2nd of 12 (53/10)
Champagne Stakes
2016 - Classic Empire
Keeneland - 1st of 12 (8/5)
Claiborne Breeders Futurity Stakes
2015 - Nyquist
Santa Anita - 1st of 8 (1/2)
FrontRunner Stakes

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Breeders' Cup Juvenile Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing analyst with over 15 years of experience, delves into the intricacies of international horse racing, meticulously analyzing complex statistical data to uncover hidden trends. He spearheads the creation and management of OLBG's international horse racing trend blogs, providing valuable insights for bettors worldwide.

Breeders' Cup Schedule

Breeders' Cup Juvenile races on Friday

Friday at the Breeders' Cup is all about the Juveniles; we have five Grade 1 races dedicated to the 2-year-old runners.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
21:45 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint
Magnum Force (IRE)
2yo - 125/10
G M Lyons
Colin Keane
22:25 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies
Immersive (USA)
2yo - 2/1
Brad H Cox
Manuel Franco
23:05 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
Lake Victoria (IRE)
2yo - 7/10
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
23:45 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Juvenile
Citizen Bull (USA)
2yo - 159/10
Bob Baffert
Martin Garcia
00:25 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf
Henri Matisse (IRE)
2yo - 39/10
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore

Breeders' Cup Championship races on Saturday

The Championship races on Saturday at the Breeders' Cup sees a total of nine Grade 1 races, with the highlight of the American season, the Breeders' Cup Classic.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
19:00 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint
Soul Of An Angel (USA)
5yo - 198/10
Saffie A Joseph Jr
Drayden Van Dyke
19:41 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint
Starlust (GB)
3yo - 34/1
Ralph Beckett
Rossa Ryan
20:21 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Sprint
Straight No Chaser (USA)
5yo - 61/10
Dan Blacker
John R Velazquez
21:01 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Distaff
Thorpedo Anna (USA)
3yo - 2/5
Kenneth McPeek
Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr
21:41 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Turf
Rebels Romance (IRE)
6yo - 19/10
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
22:25 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Classic
Sierra Leone (USA)
3yo - 69/10
Chad C Brown
Flavien Prat
23:05 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Mile
More Than Looks (USA)
4yo - 69/10
Cherie DeVaux
Jose L Ortiz
23:45 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile
Full Serrano (ARG)
5yo - 134/10
John W Sadler
Joel Rosario
00:25 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf
Moira (CAN)
5yo - 58/10
Kevin Attard
Flavien Prat

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