Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Breeders Cup Classic Preview
The Breeders Cup Classic is the highlight of the Breeders' Cup weekend with a purse of $6m making it the richest race at the Breeders' Cup. The race is open to runners who are three years old or older with the race being run over ten furlongs (2,000m) on the dirt track. Along with the Triple Crown (Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes & Belmont Stakes), this is the final leg of the Grand Slam of Thoroughbred racing.
Breeders Cup Classic Information:
- Breeders Cup Classic Past Winners
- Breeders Cup Classic Trainer Statistics
- Breeders Cup Classic Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Del Mar tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Breeders Cup Classic but will also have predictions for each meeting at Del Mar throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Breeders Cup Schedule section for links to these.
How competitive is the Breeders Cup Classic market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Breeders Cup Classic, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Breeders Cup Classic Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Breeders Cup Classic next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 6 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.00. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Breeders Cup Classic see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2018 renewal when Accelerate from John W Sadler under the guidance of Joel Rosario, won in a time of 2:02.93, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Authentic, trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by John R Velazquez set the quickest time of 1:59.19 in the 2020 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Breeders Cup Classic over the last 10 renewals:
- Authentic (1:59.19) in 2020
- Knicks Go (1:59.57) in 2021
- Bayern (1:59.88) in 2014
Breeders Cup Classic Challenge Series
Here are the races that are included in the Breeders Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders Cup Classic:
- February Stakes (Tokyo)
- Stephen Foster Handicap (Churchill Downs)
- Haskell Invitational (Monmouth)
- Whitney Handicap (Saratoga)
- Juddmonte International (York)
- Pacific Classic (Del Mar)
- Jockey Club Gold Cup (Saratoga)
- Awesome Again Stakes (Santa Anita)
Breeders Cup Classic Past Winners
Here are the Breeders Cup Classic past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders Cup Classic are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 2:02.87 | White Abarrio (USA) 4yo 9-0 (2 of 12) 13/5F | Irad Ortiz Jr Richard Dutrow Jr (USA) |
| 2022 2:00.05 | Flightline (USA) 4yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 4/9F | Flavien Prat John W Sadler (USA) |
| 2021 1:59.57 | Knicks Go (USA) 5yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 16/5 | Joel Rosario Brad H Cox (USA) |
| 2020 1:59.19 | Authentic (USA) 3yo 8-10 (9 of 10) 9/2 | John R Velazquez Bob Baffert (USA) |
| 2019 2:02.80 | Vino Rosso (USA) 4yo 9-0 (10 of 11) 4/1 | Irad Ortiz Jr Todd Pletcher (USA) |
| 2018 2:02.93 | Accelerate (USA) 5yo 9-0 (14 of 14) 9/2 | Joel Rosario John W Sadler (USA) |
| 2017 2:01.29 | Gun Runner (USA) 4yo 9-0 (5 of 11) 11/4 | Florent Geroux Steven Asmussen (USA) |
| 2016 2:00.11 | Arrogate (USA) 3yo 8-10 (9 of 9) 7/4 | Mike E Smith Bob Baffert (USA) |
| 2015 2:00.07 | American Pharoah (USA) 3yo 8-10 (4 of 8) 4/6F | Victor Espinoza Bob Baffert (USA) |
| 2014 1:59.88 | Bayern (USA) 3yo 8-10 (7 of 14) 7/1 | Martin Garcia Bob Baffert (USA) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders Cup Classic have been based:
- USA: 10 winners with an additional 17 placings from 95 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 3 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
- CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Breeders Cup Classic Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Breeders Cup Classic over the last 10 renewals is Bob Baffert who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Bayern (2014), American Pharoah (2015), Arrogate (2016) and Authentic (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders Cup Classic is John W Sadler (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Classic trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bob Baffert | 17-4-10 | +0.92 | +1.51 |
| John W Sadler | 8-2-3 | -1.06 | -1.54 |
| Todd Pletcher | 6-1-2 | -1.00 | +2.90 |
| Brad H Cox | 4-1-2 | +0.20 | -0.39 |
| Steven Asmussen | 3-1-1 | +0.75 | -0.35 |
| Richard Dutrow Jr | 1-1-1 | +2.60 | +1.56 |
| William Mott | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -3.81 |
| Doug O'Neill | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| A P O'Brien | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| James Jerkens | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | +7.50 |
Breeders Cup Classic Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Breeders Cup Classic over the last 10 renewals with both Joel Rosario and Irad Ortiz Jr who have both won the race two times. Joel Rosario winners have been with Accelerate (2018) and Knicks Go (2021). Irad Ortiz Jr winners have been with Vino Rosso (2019) and White Abarrio (2023).
Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Classic jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Rosario | 9-2-4 | +0.70 | +0.66 |
| Irad Ortiz Jr | 8-2-4 | +0.60 | +2.06 |
| John R Velazquez | 9-1-2 | -3.50 | -4.12 |
| Mike E Smith | 8-1-3 | -5.25 | +5.88 |
| Flavien Prat | 6-1-2 | -4.56 | -3.24 |
| Victor Espinoza | 3-1-3 | -1.33 | -0.02 |
| Martin Garcia | 2-1-2 | +6.00 | +4.35 |
| Florent Geroux | 2-1-1 | +1.75 | +0.65 |
| Javier Castellano | 7-0-4 | -7.00 | +4.40 |
| Jose L Ortiz | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
2024 Breeders Cup Classic Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 1, 2, 5, 12, 2, 6, 3, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 10 / 10 (33%) - No bigger than 7/1
- 10 / 10 (39%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 10 / 10 (46%) - Achieved an RPR of 119+ (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (58%) - Carried 124 - 126lbs (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (60%) - Had 3 - 9 wins (Going)
- 10 / 10 (60%) - Beaten no more -¾ (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (70%) - Had 2 - 6 wins (Season)
- 10 / 10 (70%) - Ran on FS (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (73%) - Highest Won is G1
- 10 / 10 (74%) - Placed within last 1 start
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Ran over 6f - 1m½f (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Won by at least ¾ (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 115+ (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - Break of 34 - 91 days (Last Place)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - Not in a G1-2/LST/Cl3-4 (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Del Mar racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders Cup Classic. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders Cup Classic by adding a tip on the race here.
Breeders Cup Classic Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +10.12 is when runners had 3 wins in the past 180 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a different jockey as last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-31.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 2 (4,12) [12 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 (7,1) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 4 (7,3) [8 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 9 (8,7) [10 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 10 (8,7) [11 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders Cup Classic is Saratoga, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Saratoga last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 104 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Bayern in 2014, winning for Bob Baffert at odds of 7/1 under the guidance of Martin Garcia. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Breeders Cup Classic remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Breeders Cup Classic Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Breeders Cup Schedule
Breeders Cup races for Friday 1st November 2024
| Race | 2023 Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 16/5 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
| Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies | Just F Y I (USA) 2yo - 7/1 | William Mott Junior Alvarado |
| Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf | Hard To Justify (USA) 2yo - 91/10 | Chad C Brown Flavien Prat |
| Breeders Cup Juvenile | Fierceness (USA) 2yo - 165/10 | Todd Pletcher John R Velazquez |
| Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf | Unquestionable (FR) 2yo - 6/4 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
Breeders Cup races for Saturday 2nd November 2024
| Race | 2023 Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Breeders Cup Dirt Mile | Codys Wish (USA) 5yo - 4/5 | William Mott Junior Alvarado |
| Breeders Cup Filly Mare Turf | Inspiral (GB) 4yo - 5/2 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
| Breeders Cup Filly Mare Sprint | Goodnight Olive (USA) 5yo - 11/10 | Chad C Brown Irad Ortiz Jr |
| Breeders Cup Mile | Master Of The Seas (IRE) 5yo - 33/10 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Breeders Cup Distaff | Idiomatic (USA) 4yo - 9/5 | Brad H Cox Florent Geroux |
| Breeders Cup Turf | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 3yo - 5/2 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
| Breeders Cup Classic | White Abarrio (USA) 4yo - 13/5 | Richard Dutrow Jr Irad Ortiz Jr |
| Breeders Cup Turf Sprint | Nobals (USA) 4yo - 12/1 | Larry Rivelli Gerardo Corrales |
| Breeders Cup Sprint | Elite Power (USA) 5yo - 17/10 | William Mott Irad Ortiz Jr |
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