2022 Breeders Cup Classic Preview, Trends & Analysis

2022 Breeders Cup Classic Preview, Trends & Analysis

2022 Breeders Cup Classic Preview

The Breeders Cup Classic is the highlight of the breeders' cup weekend with a purse of $6m making it the richest race at the breeders' cup. The race is open to runners who are three years old or older with the race being run over ten furlongs (2,000m) on the dirt track. Along with the Triple Crown (Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes & Belmont Stakes), this is the final leg of the Grand Slam of Thoroughbred racing.

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Keeneland Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:59.19 was set by Authentic in 2020, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by John R Velazquez. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Accelerate won in a time of 2:02.93, booked to ride was Joel Rosario on this John W Sadler trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Breeders Cup Classic over the last 10 renewals:

  • 2020 - Authentic (1:59.19)
  • 2021 - Knicks Go (1:59.57)
  • 2014 - Bayern (1:59.88)

How competitive is the Breeders Cup Classic market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Breeders Cup Classic, the over-round has been 118% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Breeders Cup Classic next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 6 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -0.90. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Breeders Cup Classic see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Breeders Cup Classic Past Winners

Here are the Breeders Cup Classic past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Breeders Cup Classic as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:59.57
Knicks Go (USA)
5yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 16/5
Joel Rosario
Brad H Cox (USA)
2020
1:59.19
Authentic (USA)
3yo 8-10 (9 of 10) 9/2
John R Velazquez
Bob Baffert (USA)
2019
2:02.80
Vino Rosso (USA)
4yo 9-0 (10 of 11) 4/1
Irad Ortiz Jr
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2018
2:02.93
Accelerate (USA)
5yo 9-0 (14 of 14) 9/2
Joel Rosario
John W Sadler (USA)
2017
2:01.29
Gun Runner (USA)
4yo 9-0 (5 of 11) 11/4
Florent Geroux
Steven Asmussen (USA)
2016
2:00.11
Arrogate (USA)
3yo 8-10 (9 of 9) 7/4
Mike E Smith
Bob Baffert (USA)
2015
2:00.07
American Pharoah (USA)
3yo 8-10 (4 of 8) 4/6F
Victor Espinoza
Bob Baffert (USA)
2014
1:59.88
Bayern (USA)
3yo 8-10 (7 of 14) 7/1
Martin Garcia
Bob Baffert (USA)
2013
2:00.72
Mucho Macho Man (USA)
5yo 9-0 (6 of 11) 4/1
Gary Stevens
Kathy Ritvo (USA)
2012
2:00.11
Fort Larned (USA)
4yo 9-0 (4 of 12) 9/1
Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr
Ian R Wilkes (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders Cup Classic have been based:

  • USA: 10 winners with an additional 17 placings from 97 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners
  • CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Breeders Cup Classic Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Breeders Cup Classic over the last 10 renewals is Bob Baffert who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Bayern (2014), American Pharoah (2015), Arrogate (2016) & Authentic (2020). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Breeders Cup Classic, William Mott has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Classic trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Bob Baffert 18-4-9 -0.08 -0.82
John W Sadler 6-1-2 -0.50 -0.80
Todd Pletcher 3-1-2 +2.00 +5.90
Brad H Cox 3-1-2 +1.20 +0.61
Ian R Wilkes 2-1-1 +8.00 +4.40
Kathy Ritvo 2-1-2 +3.00 +2.50
Steven Asmussen 2-1-1 +1.75 +0.65
William Mott 10-0-1 -10.00 -8.70
A P O'Brien 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.05
Doug O'Neill 5-0-0 -5.00 -5.00

Breeders Cup Classic Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Breeders Cup Classic over the last 10 renewals is Joel Rosario who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Accelerate (2018) & Knicks Go (2021).

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Classic jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Joel Rosario 9-2-4 +0.70 -0.28
Mike E Smith 9-1-3 -6.25 +4.65
John R Velazquez 8-1-2 -2.50 -3.12
Irad Ortiz Jr 6-1-3 -1.00 +1.50
Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr 3-1-1 +7.00 +3.40
Martin Garcia 3-1-2 +5.00 +3.35
Victor Espinoza 3-1-3 -1.33 -0.02
Gary Stevens 2-1-1 +3.00 +1.40
Florent Geroux 1-1-1 +2.75 +1.65
Javier Castellano 8-0-4 -8.00 +3.40

2022 Breeders Cup Classic Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,7,9,4,1,2,5,12,2,6,3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (41%) - No bigger than 9/1
  • 10 / 10 (69%) - Had 3+ wins (Dirt)
  • 10 / 10 (74%) - Previously won a G1
  • 10 / 10 (76%) - Experience with jockey
  • 10 / 10 (78%) - Had 3-9 wins (Career)
  • 10 / 10 (81%) - Beaten no more 5¾ (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (85%) - First three (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (87%) - Previously won over 1m1f+
  • 10 / 10 (87%) - Fewer than 5 starts (Trip)
  • 10 / 10 (90%) - Were not geldings
  • 10 / 10 (91%) - No older than a 5yo
  • 10 / 10 (93%) - Is a USA bred runner
  • 9 / 10 (77%) - Had 5-19 starts (Dirt)
  • 9 / 10 (79%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Debut)
  • 8 / 10 (85%) - Field of 5-10 (LTO)
  • 7 / 10 (51%) - No bigger than 3/1 (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Keeneland racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders Cup Classic. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Breeders Cup Classic by adding a tip on the race here.

Breeders Cup Classic Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +10.12 is when runners had 3 wins in the past 180 days. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a different jockey to last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-34.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 4 (7,3) [8 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 9 (8,7) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 10 (8,7) [11 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 14 (4,1) [14 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 5 (11,8) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders Cup Classic is Saratoga, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Saratoga last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 107 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Breeders Cup Classic, that stallion is Tapit who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Fort Larned in 2012 when winning for Ian R Wilkes at odds of 9/1 under the guidance of Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 1 winning favourite in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Breeders Cup Classic remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Please login or register to reply to this blog

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!

We detected you are connecting from United States. We have a different section in our site for users from your country.

You are not logged in.
__user_name_placeholder__ avatar Hi, username! Logout