Breeders Cup Classic Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Updated: 4354 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Breeders Cup Classic will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Breeders Cup Classic, a race run over 1m2f at Santa Anita during the Breeders Cup.

Breeders Cup Classic Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Breeders Cup Classic Preview

The Breeders Cup Classic is the highlight of the Breeders' Cup weekend with a purse of $6m making it the richest race at the Breeders' Cup. The race is open to runners who are three years old or older with the race being run over ten furlongs (2,000m) on the dirt track. Along with the Triple Crown (Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes & Belmont Stakes), this is the final leg of the Grand Slam of Thoroughbred racing.

Breeders Cup Classic Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Del Mar tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Breeders Cup Schedule section for links to these.

How competitive is the Breeders Cup Classic market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Breeders Cup Classic, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Breeders Cup Classic Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Breeders Cup Classic next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 5 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Breeders Cup Classic.

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:59.19 was set by Authentic in 2020, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by John R Velazquez. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Accelerate won in a time of 2:02.93, booked to ride was Joel Rosario on this John W Sadler trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Breeders Cup Classic over the last 10 renewals:

  • 2020 - Authentic (1:59.19)
  • 2021 - Knicks Go (1:59.57)
  • 2014 - Bayern (1:59.88)

Breeders Cup Classic Challenge Series

Here are the races that are included in the Breeders Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders Cup Classic:

  • February Stakes (Tokyo)
  • Stephen Foster Handicap (Churchill Downs)
  • Haskell Invitational (Monmouth)
  • Whitney Handicap (Saratoga)
  • Juddmonte International (York)
  • Pacific Classic (Del Mar)
  • Jockey Club Gold Cup (Saratoga)
  • Awesome Again Stakes (Santa Anita)

Breeders Cup Classic Past Winners

Here are the Breeders Cup Classic past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Breeders Cup Classic as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
2:02.87
White Abarrio (USA)
4yo 9-0 (2 of 12) 13/5F
Irad Ortiz Jr
Richard Dutrow Jr (USA)
2022
2:00.05
Flightline (USA)
4yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 4/9F
Flavien Prat
John W Sadler (USA)
2021
1:59.57
Knicks Go (USA)
5yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 16/5
Joel Rosario
Brad H Cox (USA)
2020
1:59.19
Authentic (USA)
3yo 8-10 (9 of 10) 9/2
John R Velazquez
Bob Baffert (USA)
2019
2:02.80
Vino Rosso (USA)
4yo 9-0 (10 of 11) 4/1
Irad Ortiz Jr
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2018
2:02.93
Accelerate (USA)
5yo 9-0 (14 of 14) 9/2
Joel Rosario
John W Sadler (USA)
2017
2:01.29
Gun Runner (USA)
4yo 9-0 (5 of 11) 11/4
Florent Geroux
Steven Asmussen (USA)
2016
2:00.11
Arrogate (USA)
3yo 8-10 (9 of 9) 7/4
Mike E Smith
Bob Baffert (USA)
2015
2:00.07
American Pharoah (USA)
3yo 8-10 (4 of 8) 4/6F
Victor Espinoza
Bob Baffert (USA)
2014
1:59.88
Bayern (USA)
3yo 8-10 (7 of 14) 7/1
Martin Garcia
Bob Baffert (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders Cup Classic have been based:

  • USA: 10 winners with an additional 17 placings from 95 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 3 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
  • CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Breeders Cup Classic Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Breeders Cup Classic over the last 10 renewals is Bob Baffert who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Bayern (2014), American Pharoah (2015), Arrogate (2016) and Authentic (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders Cup Classic is John W Sadler (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Classic trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Bob Baffert17-4-10+0.92+1.51
John W Sadler8-2-3-1.06-1.54
Todd Pletcher6-1-2-1.00+2.90
Brad H Cox4-1-2+0.20-0.39
Steven Asmussen3-1-1+0.75-0.35
Richard Dutrow Jr1-1-1+2.60+1.56
William Mott7-0-1-7.00-3.81
Doug O'Neill4-0-0-4.00-4.00
A P O'Brien4-0-0-4.00-4.00
James Jerkens3-0-1-3.00+7.50

Breeders Cup Classic Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Breeders Cup Classic over the last 10 renewals with both Joel Rosario and Irad Ortiz Jr who have both won the race two times. Joel Rosario winners have been with Accelerate (2018) and Knicks Go (2021). Irad Ortiz Jr winners have been with Vino Rosso (2019) and White Abarrio (2023).

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Classic jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Joel Rosario9-2-4+0.70+0.66
Irad Ortiz Jr8-2-4+0.60+2.06
John R Velazquez9-1-2-3.50-4.12
Mike E Smith8-1-3-5.25+5.88
Flavien Prat6-1-2-4.56-3.24
Victor Espinoza3-1-3-1.33-0.02
Martin Garcia2-1-2+6.00+4.35
Florent Geroux2-1-1+1.75+0.65
Javier Castellano7-0-4-7.00+4.40
Jose L Ortiz5-0-0-5.00-5.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 1, 2, 5, 12, 2, 6, 3, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (33%) - No bigger than 7/1
  • 10 / 10 (39%) - Within the first 4 of the market
  • 10 / 10 (46%) - Achieved an RPR of 119+ (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (60%) - Beaten no more -¾ (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (60%) - Had 3 - 9 wins (Going)
  • 10 / 10 (70%) - Ran on FS (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - Highest Won is G1
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - Had 1 - 7 wins (Class)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - Had 2 - 4 placings (180 Days)
  • 10 / 10 (74%) - Had 3 - 8 wins (Non-Hcps)
  • 10 / 10 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 115+ (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (76%) - Ran over 6f - 1m½f (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (77%) - Break of 34 - 91 days (Last Place)
  • 10 / 10 (77%) - Break of 34 - 159 days (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Del Mar racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders Cup Classic. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders Cup Classic by adding a tip on the race here.

Breeders Cup Classic Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +10.12 is when runners had 3 wins in the past 180 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had the Switched jockey as last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-31.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (4,12) [12 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 (7,1) [8 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (7,3) [8 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 9 (8,7) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 10 (8,7) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders Cup Classic is Saratoga, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Saratoga last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 104 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Bayern in 2014, winning for Bob Baffert at odds of 7/1 under the guidance of Martin Garcia. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Breeders Cup Classic remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Breeders Cup Schedule

Breeders Cup races for Friday 1st November 2024

Race2023 WinnerInfo
Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf SprintBig Evs (IRE)
2yo - 16/5
Michael Appleby
Tom Marquand
Breeders Cup Juvenile FilliesJust F Y I (USA)
2yo - 7/1
William Mott
Junior Alvarado
Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies TurfHard To Justify (USA)
2yo - 91/10
Chad C Brown
Flavien Prat
Breeders Cup JuvenileFierceness (USA)
2yo - 165/10
Todd Pletcher
John R Velazquez
Breeders Cup Juvenile TurfUnquestionable (FR)
2yo - 6/4
A P OBrien
Ryan Moore

Breeders Cup races for Saturday 2nd November 2024

Race2023 WinnerInfo
Breeders Cup Dirt MileCodys Wish (USA)
5yo - 4/5
William Mott
Junior Alvarado
Breeders Cup Filly Mare TurfInspiral (GB)
4yo - 5/2
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
Breeders Cup Filly Mare SprintGoodnight Olive (USA)
5yo - 11/10
Chad C Brown
Irad Ortiz Jr
Breeders Cup MileMaster Of The Seas (IRE)
5yo - 33/10
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
Breeders Cup DistaffIdiomatic (USA)
4yo - 9/5
Brad H Cox
Florent Geroux
Breeders Cup TurfAuguste Rodin (IRE)
3yo - 5/2
A P OBrien
Ryan Moore
Breeders Cup ClassicWhite Abarrio (USA)
4yo - 13/5
Richard Dutrow Jr
Irad Ortiz Jr
Breeders Cup Turf SprintNobals (USA)
4yo - 12/1
Larry Rivelli
Gerardo Corrales
Breeders Cup SprintElite Power (USA)
5yo - 17/10
William Mott
Irad Ortiz Jr

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