Belmont Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

2024 Belmont Stakes Preview

Scheduled to take place in June of each year at the Belmont Park racetrack is the Belmont Stakes, the 2024 renewal will be the 156th running of this Grade 1 race which dates back to 1867. The race is run on the dirt over a trip of twelve furlongs which is open to 3yo colts & geldings who will carry 9-0 (126lbs) and 3yo fillies who will carry 8-9 (121lbs).

The race is the third leg of the Triple Crown with the Kentucky Derby the first leg and the Preakness Stakes being the second leg, the race is known as The Test of the Champions and also The Run for the Carnations, in recent years both American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018) won this race to complete the Triple Crown, the most famous Triple Crown winner would be Secretariat in 1973.

Belmont Stakes Information:

• Belmont Stakes Past Winners
• Belmont Stakes Trainer Statistics
• Belmont Stakes Jockey Statistics

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Belmont Park tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet?

How competitive is the Belmont Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2019 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2021 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Belmont Stakes, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.

Belmont Stakes Trends:

• 2024 Belmont Stakes Trends
• Belmont Stakes Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Belmont Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 7 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.00. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Belmont Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:46.53 was set by Tiz The Law in 2020, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Barclay Tagg and ridden by Manuel Franco. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Tapwrit won in a time of 2:30.02, booked to ride was Jose L Ortiz on this Todd Pletcher trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Belmont Stakes over the last 10 renewals:

• 2020 - Tiz The Law (1:46.53)
• 2015 - American Pharoah (2:26.65)
• 2021 - Essential Quality (2:27.11)

Belmont Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Belmont Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Belmont Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: In 2020 the race distance was reduced to one and 1⁄8 miles (1m1f) due to the race being rescheduled as the opening race of the Triple Crown.

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Belmont Stakes have been based:

• USA: 9 winners with an additional 19 placings from 89 runners
• CAN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
• JPN: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
• SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Belmont Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Belmont Stakes over the last 10 renewals with both Todd Pletcher and Bob Baffert who have both won the race two times. Todd Pletcher's winners have been with Tapwrit (2017) and Mo Donegal (2022). Bob Baffert winners have been with American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018).

Here are some of the top Belmont Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Belmont Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Belmont Stakes over the last 10 renewals with both Joel Rosario and Irad Ortiz Jr who have both won the race two times. Joel Rosario winners have been with Tonalist (2014) and Sir Winston (2019). Irad Ortiz Jr winners have been with Creator (2016) and Mo Donegal (2022).

Here are some of the top Belmont Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

2024 Belmont Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 1, 11, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

• 10 / 10 (55%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Career)
• 10 / 10 (66%) - No bigger than 82/5
• 10 / 10 (71%) - Within the first 7 of market
• 10 / 10 (76%) - No bigger than 33/2 (Career Place)
• 10 / 10 (79%) - Ran on FS (Debut)
• 10 / 10 (80%) - No bigger than 46/1 (Career)
• 10 / 10 (81%) - Had 2 - 5 placings (Going)
• 10 / 10 (82%) - No bigger than 27/1 (LTO)
• 10 / 10 (84%) - Not BB in colour
• 10 / 10 (84%) - Break of 21 - 90 days (Last Place)
• 10 / 10 (84%) - Won within last 3 starts
• 10 / 10 (85%) - Made 2 - 6 starts (Going)
• 10 / 10 (85%) - Ran over 1m1f - 1m2f (LTO)
• 10 / 10 (85%) - Made 3 - 7 starts (Career)
• 10 / 10 (87%) - Carried 118 - 122lbs (Debut)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Belmont Park racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Belmont Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Belmont Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Belmont Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.30 is when runners wore blinkers. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 2 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-33.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

• 2023: Winner in 3 (6,2) [9 Runners]
• 2022: Winner in 6 (3,2) [8 Runners]
• 2021: Winner in 2 (4,3) [8 Runners]
• 2020: Winner in 8 (9,3) [10 Runners]
• 2019: Winner in 7 (10,1) [10 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Belmont Stakes is Churchill Downs, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Churchill Downs last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Belmont Park, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Belmont Park last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 97 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Belmont Stakes, that stallion Tapit has produced 4 winners (2021,2017,2016,2014).

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Belmont Stakes, that stallion is Curlin who has failed to produce a winner from 9 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Creator in 2016, winning for Steven Asmussen at odds of 164/10 under the guidance of Irad Ortiz Jr. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Belmont Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.