You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Belmont Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in June of each year at the Belmont Park racetrack is the Belmont Stakes. The 2026 renewal will be the 158th running of this Grade 1 race, which dates back to 1867. The race is run on the dirt over a trip of twelve furlongs, which is open to 3-year-old colts & geldings who will carry 9-0 (126lbs) and 3-year-old fillies who will carry 8-9 (121lbs).
The race is the third leg of the Triple Crown with the Kentucky Derby the first leg and the Preakness Stakes being the second leg, the race is known as The Test of the Champions and also The Run for the Carnations, in recent years both American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018) won this race to complete the Triple Crown, the most famous Triple Crown winner would be Secretariat in 1973.
Belmont Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Belmont Park tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Belmont Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2007, when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2021 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Belmont Stakes, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Belmont Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Belmont Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Belmont Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Tiz The Law (1:46.53) in 2020
- Sovereignty (2:00.69) in 2025
- Dornoch (2:01.64) in 2024
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Belmont Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -0.05. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Belmont Stakes.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:46.53 was set by Tiz The Law in 2020, trained by Barclay Tagg and ridden by Manuel Franco, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2010 when Drosselmeyer won in a time of 2:31.57 for trainer William Mott, who booked Mike E Smith in the saddle.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Belmont Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Belmont Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Belmont Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: In 2020, the race distance was reduced to one and 1⁄8 miles (1m1f) due to the race being rescheduled as the opening race of the Triple Crown. Due to a renovation project at Belmont Park, the 2024, 2025 & 2026 renewals were hosted at Saratoga over a distance of one and 1⁄4 miles (1m2f).
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 2:03.49 | Golden Tempo (USA) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 6/1 | Jose L Ortiz Cherie DeVaux (USA) |
| 2025 2:00.69 | Sovereignty (USA) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 5/2 | Junior Alvarado William Mott (USA) |
| 2024 2:01.64 | Dornoch (USA) 3yo 9-0 (6 of 10) 177/10 | Luis Saez Danny Gargan (USA) |
| 2023 2:29.23 | Arcangelo (USA) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 9) 79/10 | Javier Castellano Jena M Antonucci (USA) |
| 2022 2:28.28 | Mo Donegal (USA) 3yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 13/5F | Irad Ortiz Jr Todd Pletcher (USA) |
| 2021 2:27.11 | Essential Quality (USA) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 13/10F | Luis Saez Brad H Cox (USA) |
| 2020 1:46.53 | Tiz The Law (USA) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 10) 4/5F | Manuel Franco Barclay Tagg (USA) |
| 2019 2:28.30 | Sir Winston (USA) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 102/10 | Joel Rosario Mark Casse (CAN) |
| 2018 2:28.18 | Justify (USA) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 10) 4/5F | Mike E Smith Bob Baffert (USA) |
| 2017 2:30.02 | Tapwrit (USA) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 11) 53/10 | Jose L Ortiz Todd Pletcher (USA) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Belmont Stakes have been based:
- USA: 19 winners with an additional 39 placings from 189 runners
- CAN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Belmont Stakes Replay
Belmont Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Belmont Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Todd Pletcher, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Rags To Riches (2007), Palace Malice (2013), Tapwrit (2017) and Mo Donegal (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Belmont Stakes are William Mott (2 wins) and Bob Baffert (2 wins). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Belmont Stakes; Dale Romans has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Belmont Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Pletcher | 38-4-16 | -8.00 | +0.31 |
| William Mott | 8-2-4 | +9.50 | +5.01 |
| Bob Baffert | 7-2-3 | -3.45 | -3.14 |
| Steven Asmussen | 9-1-2 | +8.40 | +2.48 |
| Nicholas Zito | 8-1-3 | +32.00 | +21.32 |
| Brad H Cox | 5-1-2 | -2.70 | -2.12 |
| Mark Casse | 4-1-1 | +7.20 | +3.12 |
| Kelly J Breen | 2-1-1 | +23.80 | +13.88 |
| Danny Gargan | 2-1-1 | +16.70 | +9.62 |
| Christophe Clement | 2-1-1 | +8.20 | +4.52 |
Belmont Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Belmont Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Mike E Smith, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Drosselmeyer (2010), Palace Malice (2013) and Justify (2018). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Belmont Stakes are John R Velazquez (2 wins), Joel Rosario (2 wins), Irad Ortiz Jr (2 wins), Jose L Ortiz (2 wins) and Luis Saez (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Belmont Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike E Smith | 11-3-4 | +19.60 | +9.49 |
| John R Velazquez | 19-2-8 | -9.95 | -3.37 |
| Joel Rosario | 12-2-6 | +9.40 | +6.78 |
| Irad Ortiz Jr | 12-2-7 | +9.00 | +6.10 |
| Jose L Ortiz | 10-2-5 | +3.30 | +3.48 |
| Luis Saez | 9-2-3 | +12.00 | +5.43 |
| Javier Castellano | 13-1-4 | -4.10 | -0.50 |
| Manuel Franco | 6-1-2 | -4.20 | -2.84 |
| Kent J Desormeaux | 5-1-2 | +7.90 | +5.36 |
| Junior Alvarado | 5-1-1 | -1.50 | -2.50 |
2027 Belmont Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 9, 3, 8, 6, 7, 3, 4, 1, 11, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 3, 2, 3
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not BB/GR in colour
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 26/1 (Career Place)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on SFT/GD/GF/FM/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Break of 21 - 97 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Won within last 3 starts
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 87+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran in 2 - 7 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 2 - 6 placings (Career)
- 19 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 179/10 (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (61%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Season)
- 17 / 20 (70%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 15 / 20 (60%) - Break of 21 - 103 days (Last Win)
- 15 / 20 (70%) - Ran over 1m½f - 1m2f (Last Win)
- 15 / 20 (77%) - Not on SFT/GD/FM/STD (Last Win)
- 15 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 231/10 (Career Win)
*Trend Notes: All of the last nine winners had the same jockey as last time out.
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Belmont Park racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Belmont Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Belmont Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Belmont Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Belmont Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Belmont Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +83.95, is when runners had 1 career place at the track.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 9 (7,4) [9 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 2 (7,6) [8 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 6 (10,9) [10 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (6,2) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (3,2) [8 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Belmont Stakes is Churchill Downs; there have been a total of 11 winners of this race who ran at Churchill Downs last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Pimlico and Belmont Park; there have been a total of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 197 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 3 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Belmont Stakes:
- Tapit (4 Wins)
- Curlin (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Belmont Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Candy Ride (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Mineshaft (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Quality Road (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Da Tara in 2008, winning for Nicholas Zito at odds of 39/1 under the guidance of Alan Garcia. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Belmont Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Belmont Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races in the US
Here are some other notable races throughout the US, which take place during the racing season that we also have blogs for.
Races at Churchill Downs Racecourse
Races at Far Hills Racecourse
Races at Gulfstream Park Racecourse
Races at Pimlico Racecourse
Races at Breeders' Cup World Championships
- Breeders' Cup Classic
- Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile
- Breeders' Cup Distaff
- Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint
- Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint
- Breeders' Cup Mile
- Breeders' Cup Sprint
- Breeders' Cup Turf
- Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint
