You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Grand National Hurdle Stakes Preview
The Grand National Hurdle Stakes is a G1 race run at Far Hills in October of each year over a distance of two and five-eighths miles, previously known as the Breeders' Cup Grand National.
Unlike the Aintree Grand National, this is run over hurdles (fourteen of them) but still attracts foreign raiders with Gordon Elliott's Jury Duty winning the race in 2018 under Robbie Power, a year later in 2019, it was Nicky Henderson and Nico de Boinville teaming up to win with Brain Power and then when returning in 2022 it was a success for the Irish when Hanlon's Hewick won the race.
Grand National Hurdle Stakes Information:
- Grand National Hurdle Stakes Past Winners
- Grand National Hurdle Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Grand National Hurdle Stakes Jockey Statistics
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
Below you will find the 2025 Grand National Hurdle Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Grand National Hurdle Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Grand National Hurdle Stakes races over the last 10 renewals:
- Rawnaq (4:50.00) in 2016
- Brain Power (4:55.60) in 2019
- The Mean Queen (4:57.20) in 2021
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 10 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Grand National Hurdle Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -4.00. See which other runners are being backed today on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 10 renewals, it was Rawnaq, trained by Cyril Murphy and ridden by R Walsh, who set the fastest winning time in the Grand National Hurdle Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 4:50.00 in 2016. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Todd McKenna and jockey Harrison Beswick with Noah And The Ark who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 5:41.20 in the 2023 renewal.
Grand National Hurdle Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Grand National Hurdle Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Grand National Hurdle Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 5:02.86 | Snap Decision (USA) 10yo 11-2 29/10 | Graham Watters Jack Fisher (USA) |
| 2023 5:41.20 | Noah And The Ark (IRE) 9yo 11-2 40/1 | Harrison Beswick Todd McKenna (USA) |
| 2022 5:11.60 | Hewick (IRE) 7yo 11-2 21/10 | Jordan Gainford John Joseph Hanlon (IRE) |
| 2021 4:57.20 | The Mean Queen (IRE) 5yo 10-8 9/10F | Richard Condon Keri Brion (USA) |
| 2019 4:55.60 | Brain Power (IRE) 8yo 11-2 11/2 | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2018 5:14.20 | Jury Duty (IRE) 7yo 11-2 13/10F | Robbie Power Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2017 4:57.40 | Mr. Hot Stuff (USA) 11yo 11-2 F | Danny Mullins Jack Fisher (USA) |
| 2016 4:50.00 | Rawnaq (IRE) 9yo 11-2 F | R Walsh Cyril Murphy (USA) |
| 2015 4:57.20 | Dawalan (FR) 5yo 11-2 F | Ross Geraghty Cyril Murphy (USA) |
| 2014 5:19.00 | Demonstrative (USA) 7yo 11-2 F | Robert Walsh Richard L Valentine (USA) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Grand National Hurdle Stakes have been based:
- USA: 7 winners with an additional 11 placings from 60 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 4 placings from 13 runners
- GB: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 9 runners
2024 Grand National Hurdle Stakes Replay
Grand National Hurdle Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Grand National Hurdle Stakes over the last 10 renewals, with both Jack Fisher and Cyril Murphy, who have both won the race two times. Jack Fisher winners have been with Mr. Hot Stuff (2017) and Snap Decision (2024). Cyril Murphy winners have been with Dawalan (2015) and Rawnaq (2016).
Here are some of the top Grand National Hurdle Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Fisher | 12-2-5 | -8.10 | -2.59 |
| Cyril Murphy | 9-2-3 | -9.00 | -6.80 |
| Gordon Elliott | 8-1-3 | -5.70 | -4.09 |
| Keri Brion | 4-1-2 | -2.10 | -0.98 |
| Todd McKenna | 3-1-2 | +38.00 | +23.77 |
| Nicky Henderson | 3-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.30 |
| Richard L Valentine | 2-1-1 | -2.00 | -1.63 |
| John Joseph Hanlon | 1-1-1 | +2.10 | +1.26 |
| Jonathan E Sheppard | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -7.35 |
| Leslie F Young | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -4.81 |
Grand National Hurdle Stakes Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top Grand National Hurdle Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Geraghty | 5-1-1 | -5.00 | -4.60 |
| Graham Watters | 4-1-1 | -0.10 | -0.26 |
| Danny Mullins | 4-1-2 | -4.00 | -1.61 |
| Nico de Boinville | 3-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.30 |
| Harrison Beswick | 2-1-2 | +39.00 | +24.77 |
| Robbie Power | 2-1-1 | +0.30 | -0.22 |
| Jordan Gainford | 1-1-1 | +2.10 | +1.26 |
| Richard Condon | 1-1-1 | +0.90 | +0.00 |
| R Walsh | 1-1-1 | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| Robert Walsh | 1-1-1 | -1.00 | -0.63 |
2025 Grand National Hurdle Stakes Trends
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 10 / 10 (57%) - Ran in 3 - 9 races (1 Year)
- 10 / 10 (63%) - Not in a G3/Cl3-5 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (67%) - Highest Placed is G1
- 10 / 10 (70%) - Not on SFT/GF/STD (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (70%) - Achieved an RPR of 126+ (Class)
- 10 / 10 (70%) - Carried 146 - 166lbs (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Dam is not FR/GB/GER/URU bred
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Not in a LST/Cl2-4 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Highest Won is not G3/LST/Cl3-4
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Ran over 2m½f - 3m½f (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - Ran in 4 - 23 races (Hurdle)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Ran in 2 - 16 races (Non-Hcps)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Not on FM/STD (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Ran in 6 - 50 races (Career)
- 10 / 10 (79%) - Had 3 - 24 placings (Career)
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101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Grand National Hurdle Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +34.20, is when runners had 2 career wins in Non-Handicap races.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places in the class, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-27.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Grand National Hurdle Stakes is Belmont Park; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Belmont Park last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 9 winners from a total of 80 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 1 runner.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Grand National Hurdle Stakes; that stallion, Azamour, has produced 2 winners (2016,2015).
All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the Grand National Hurdle Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Grand National Hurdle Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Snap Decision Foxfield - 3rd of 6 (1/1) | Mariann De Tejeda Memorial Stakes |
| 2023 - Noah And The Ark Saratoga - 8th of 10 (59/10) | Jonathan Sheppard Steeplechase |
| 2022 - Hewick Listowel - UR of 16 (9/1) | Kerry National |
| 2021 - The Mean Queen Belmont Park - 1st of 7 (49/20) | Lonesome Glory Handicap Hurdle |
| 2019 - Brain Power Ayr - PU of 14 (11/1) | Scottish Champion Hurdle |
| 2018 - Jury Duty Gowran Park - 2nd of 7 (7/1) | PWC Champion Chase |
| 2017 - Mr. Hot Stuff Belmont Park - 5th of 8 (10/1) | Lonesome Glory Handicap |
| 2016 - Rawnaq Percy Warner Park - 1st of 8 (1/1) | Calvin Houghland Iroquois |
| 2015 - Dawalan Belmont Park - 3rd of 8 (121/20) | Lonesome Glory Handicap Hurdle |
| 2014 - Demonstrative Belmont Park - 1st of 8 (27/10) | Lonesome Glory Hurdle |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Grand National Hurdle Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
