You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Kerry National Preview
Scheduled to take place in September of each year at the Listowel racecourse is the Kerry National, which is the most valuable race at Listowel throughout the season.
The race is run over three miles, and the runners will face a total of eighteen fences during the race. Runners aged four or older who have run at least three times over fences are eligible to enter the race.
Kerry National Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Listowel, then head over to the Listowel tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.
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How competitive is the Kerry National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 126%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 145%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kerry National, the over-round has been 135%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £135 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Kerry National Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Kerry National Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Kerry National races over the last 20 renewals:
- Busselton (5:39.20) in 2022
- Your Busy (5:39.60) in 2014
- Alfa Beat (5:45.10) in 2010
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Kerry National next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -11.45. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Kerry National, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:39.20 was set by Busselton in 2022, trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien and ridden by J J Slevin, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2008 when Ponmeoath won in a time of 6:21.40 for trainer E McNamara, who booked P W Flood in the saddle.
Kerry National Past Winners
Here are the Kerry National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Kerry National are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 5:53.20 | Spanish Harlem (FR) 7yo 11-1 16/1 | Danny Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2024 6:13.00 | Flooring Porter (IRE) 9yo 11-4 6/1 | Keith Donoghue Gavin Cromwell (IRE) |
| 2023 6:06.70 | Desertmore House (IRE) 8yo 10-6 11/1 | Ricky Doyle Martin Brassil (IRE) |
| 2022 5:39.20 | Busselton (FR) 5yo 10-5 13/2 | J J Slevin Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 5:50.80 | Assemble (GB) 7yo 10-10 9/1 | Shane Fitzgerald (7lbs) Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2020 6:07.00 | Cabaret Queen (GB) 8yo 10-9 6/1 | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 5:57.00 | Poker Party (FR) 7yo 10-5 14/1 | Rachael Blackmore Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2018 5:56.70 | Snow Falcon (IRE) 8yo 11-5 6/1 | Jonathan Moore Noel Meade (IRE) |
| 2017 6:21.30 | Potters Point (IRE) 7yo 10-0 8/1 | Ms L O'Neill (5lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2016 6:10.10 | Wrath Of Titans (IRE) 7yo 9-3 7/1 | Ms L O'Neill (7lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kerry National have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 56 placings from 334 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 18 runners
2025 Kerry National Replay
Kerry National Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Kerry National over the last 20 renewals, with both W P Mullins and E McNamara, who have both won the race three times. W P Mullins winners have been with Bothar Na (2006), Cabaret Queen (2020) and Spanish Harlem (2025). E McNamara winners have been with Ponmeoath (2007 & 2008) and Faltering Fullback (2012). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Kerry National are Gordon Elliott (2 wins) and Joseph Patrick O'Brien (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Kerry National; E Bolger has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Kerry National trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 44-3-12 | -9.00 | +2.00 |
| E McNamara | 17-3-8 | +42.00 | +32.76 |
| Gordon Elliott | 41-2-7 | -24.00 | -20.60 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 22-2-4 | -4.50 | -7.25 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 15-1-3 | +0.00 | +0.50 |
| Noel Meade | 11-1-3 | -4.00 | -3.06 |
| M F Morris | 7-1-3 | +2.00 | +6.00 |
| C Byrnes | 6-1-4 | +1.00 | +1.88 |
| A J Martin | 6-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.62 |
| John Joseph Hanlon | 4-1-1 | +17.00 | +9.50 |
Kerry National Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Kerry National over the last 20 renewals, with both Danny Mullins and Ms L O'Neill, who have both won the race twice. Danny Mullins' winners have been with Faltering Fullback (2012) and Spanish Harlem (2025). Ms L O'Neill's winners have been with Wrath Of Titans (2016) and Potters Point (2017). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Kerry National; Mark Walsh has ridden 14 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Kerry National jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Mullins | 10-2-4 | +41.00 | +30.63 |
| Ms L O'Neill | 3-2-2 | +14.00 | +8.38 |
| Paul Townend | 17-1-6 | -10.00 | -1.25 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 6-1-2 | +9.00 | +4.69 |
| J J Slevin | 6-1-2 | +1.50 | +4.56 |
| Ricky Doyle | 5-1-2 | +7.00 | +5.88 |
| Jonathan Moore | 3-1-2 | +4.00 | +4.25 |
| Keith Donoghue | 3-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.75 |
| Shane Fitzgerald | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.63 |
| Mark Walsh | 14-0-2 | -14.00 | -10.19 |
2026 Kerry National Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, (3, 6), PU, 1, 2, 2, PU, 7, 3, F, PU, (5, 7), 3, 9, 3, UR, UR, 2, 6, F
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (69%) - Ran in 6 - 14 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Held an OR of 117+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Furthest Placed 2m4f - 3m1f
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 88+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Off a break of 3 - 108 days
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 73+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 8 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 130+ (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 123 - 166lbs (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (81%) - No more than +3yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - No older than a 9yo
- 18 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 17 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Debut)
- 16 / 20 (67%) - Beaten no more -14½l (LTO)
- 16 / 20 (70%) - Achieved an RPR of 134+ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Listowel racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Kerry National. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kerry National by adding a tip on the race here.
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Kerry National Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +22.00, is when runners had 1 win in the past year.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins in Handicap races, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-59.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Kerry National is Galway; there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Galway last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Killarney; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Killarney last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 330 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 22 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Kerry National:
- Environment Friend (2 Wins)
- Flemensfirth (2 Wins)
- Presenting (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Kerry National despite multiple attempts:
- Beneficial (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Old Vic (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dr Massini (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Born To Sea (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Kayf Tara (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Faltering Fullback in 2012, winning for E McNamara at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Kerry National
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Kerry National. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Spanish Harlem Punchestown - 1st of 5 (8/15) | Jim Ryan Memorial Novice Chase |
| 2024 - Flooring Porter Killarney - 5th of 7 (11/2) | BoyleSports Handicap Chase |
| 2023 - Desertmore House Kilbeggan - 1st of 13 (9/2) | Follow Kilbeggan On Facebook Handicap Chase |
| 2022 - Busselton Galway - 2nd of 20 (7/2) | Guinness Galway Blazers Handicap Chase |
| 2021 - Assemble Galway - 7th of 22 (14/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2020 - Cabaret Queen Galway - 3rd of 21 (33/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2019 - Poker Party Galway - UR of 22 (12/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2018 - Snow Falcon Galway - 4th of 22 (11/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2017 - Potters Point Tramore - 1st of 6 (6/4) | EY Chase |
| 2016 - Wrath Of Titans Downpatrick - 1st of 8 (2/1) | Download The Toals App Rated Hurdle |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Kerry National Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
