You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Kerry National Preview
Scheduled to take place in September of each year at the Listowel racecourse is the Kerry National, which is the most valuable race at Listowel throughout the season.
The race is run over three miles, and the runners will face a total of eighteen fences during the race. Runners aged four or older who have run at least three times over fences are eligible to enter the race.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Kerry National will hold the title of 'Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase'.
Kerry National Information:
We also have a dedicated Listowel tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Kerry National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 126%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 145%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kerry National, the over-round has been 135%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £135 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Kerry National Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Kerry National Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Kerry National Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Kerry National races over the last 20 renewals:
- Busselton (5:39.20) in 2022
- Your Busy (5:39.60) in 2014
- Euro Leader (5:43.30) in 2005
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Kerry National next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -12.45. Ahead of the 2025 Kerry National, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2008 renewal when Ponmeoath from E McNamara under the guidance of P W Flood, won in a time of 6:21.40, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Busselton, trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien and ridden by J J Slevin set the quickest time of 5:39.20 in the 2022 renewal.
Kerry National Past Winners
Here are the Kerry National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Kerry National are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 6:13.00 | Flooring Porter (IRE) 9yo 11-4 6/1 | Keith Donoghue Gavin Cromwell (IRE) |
| 2023 6:06.70 | Desertmore House (IRE) 8yo 10-6 11/1 | Ricky Doyle Martin Brassil (IRE) |
| 2022 5:39.20 | Busselton (FR) 5yo 10-5 13/2 | J J Slevin Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 5:50.80 | Assemble (GB) 7yo 10-10 9/1 | Shane Fitzgerald (7lbs) Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2020 6:07.00 | Cabaret Queen (GB) 8yo 10-9 6/1 | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 5:57.00 | Poker Party (FR) 7yo 10-5 14/1 | Rachael Blackmore Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2018 5:56.70 | Snow Falcon (IRE) 8yo 11-5 6/1 | Jonathan Moore Noel Meade (IRE) |
| 2017 6:21.30 | Potters Point (IRE) 7yo 10-0 8/1 | Ms L O'Neill (5lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2016 6:10.10 | Wrath Of Titans (IRE) 7yo 9-3 7/1 | Ms L O'Neill (7lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2015 6:02.20 | Rogue Angel (IRE) 7yo 10-4 8/1 | Ger Fox (3lbs) M F Morris (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kerry National have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 56 placings from 334 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 18 runners
2024 Kerry National Replay
Kerry National Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Kerry National over the last 20 renewals, with both W P Mullins and E McNamara, who have both won the race three times. W P Mullins winners have been with Euro Leader (2005), Bothar Na (2006) and Cabaret Queen (2020). E McNamara winners have been with Ponmeoath (2007 & 2008) and Faltering Fullback (2012). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Kerry National are Gordon Elliott (2 wins) and Joseph Patrick O'Brien (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Kerry National; E Bolger has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are the Kerry National trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 42-3-12 | -17.50 | -2.56 |
| E McNamara | 16-3-7 | +43.00 | +31.01 |
| Gordon Elliott | 37-2-6 | -20.00 | -18.23 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 21-2-4 | -3.50 | -6.25 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 14-1-2 | +1.00 | -1.00 |
| Gavin Cromwell | 3-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.75 |
| E Bolger | 11-0-2 | -11.00 | -6.50 |
| Emmet Mullins | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Paul Nolan | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Padraig Roche | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Kerry National Jockey Statistics
Here are the Kerry National jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Townend (You Oughta Know) | 16-1-6 | -9.00 | -0.25 |
| Danny Mullins (Spanish Harlem) | 9-1-3 | +25.00 | +20.63 |
| J J Slevin (San Salvador) | 5-1-2 | +2.50 | +5.56 |
| Keith Donoghue (Thecompanysergeant) | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.75 |
| Shane Fitzgerald (Anyway) | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.63 |
| Darragh O'Keeffe (Le Coq Hardi) | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -2.75 |
| Jack Kennedy (Three Card Brag) | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.81 |
| Sean Flanagan (Salvador Ziggy) | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Donagh Meyler (Sea Music) | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Jordan Gainford (Shecouldbeanything) | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Sean O'Keeffe (Arctic Fly) | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +3.50 |
| Richard Deegan (Busselton) | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Sam Ewing (Duffle Coat) | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Mr R James (Monbeg Park) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2025 Kerry National Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, (3, 6), PU, 1, 2, 2, PU, 7, 3, F, PU, (5, 7), 3, 9, 3, UR, UR, 2, 6
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Carried 123 - 166lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Ran in 6 - 14 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Held an OR of 117+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Furthest Placed 2m4f - 3m1f
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 88+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 73+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Off a break of 3 - 68 days
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 130+ (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran in 1 - 5 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 8 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 125+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Beaten no more -36l (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - No more than +3yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 18 / 21 (84%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Listowel racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Kerry National. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kerry National by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Kerry National Trend Shortlist
Listowel will host the 2025 renewal of the Kerry National, which will be run at 4:23 pm on Wednesday, 24th September 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer, jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Shecouldbeanything (14/1)
- Gordon Elliott (37-2-6 -20.00 / -18.23)
- Jordan Gainford (4-0-0 -4.00 / -4.00)
- 15/15 Three Card Brag (11/2)
- Gordon Elliott (37-2-6 -20.00 / -18.23)
- Jack Kennedy (5-0-1 -5.00 / -3.81)
Others: Anyway (14/15), Sea Music (14/15), Thecompanysergeant (14/15), San Salvador (14/15), Duffle Coat (14/15), Pied Piper (14/15), Outside The Door (13/15), Arctic Fly (13/15), Le Coq Hardi (13/15), Monbeg Park (13/15), You Oughta Know (13/15), Busselton (12/15), French Dynamite (12/15), Light N Strike (12/15), Spanish Harlem (12/15), Sandor Clegane (12/15), In Excelsis Deo (11/15), Nara (10/15) and Salvador Ziggy (7/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:57 pm Monday 22nd September 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Kerry National Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.50, is when runners had 1 start in the past 30 days.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins in Handicap races, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-60.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Kerry National is Galway; there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Galway last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Killarney; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Killarney last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 331 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 21 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Kerry National:
- Environment Friend (2 Wins)
- Flemensfirth (2 Wins)
- Presenting (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Kerry National despite multiple attempts:
- Beneficial (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Old Vic (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dr Massini (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Born To Sea (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Montelimar (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Faltering Fullback in 2012, winning for E McNamara at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Kerry National, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Kerry National
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Kerry National. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Flooring Porter Killarney - 5th of 7 (11/2) | BoyleSports Handicap Chase |
| 2023 - Desertmore House Kilbeggan - 1st of 13 (9/2) | Follow Kilbeggan On Facebook Handicap Chase |
| 2022 - Busselton Galway - 2nd of 20 (7/2) | Guinness Galway Blazers Handicap Chase |
| 2021 - Assemble Galway - 7th of 22 (14/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2020 - Cabaret Queen Galway - 3rd of 21 (33/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2019 - Poker Party Galway - UR of 22 (12/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2018 - Snow Falcon Galway - 4th of 22 (11/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2017 - Potters Point Tramore - 1st of 6 (6/4) | EY Chase |
| 2016 - Wrath Of Titans Downpatrick - 1st of 8 (2/1) | Download The Toals App Rated Hurdle |
| 2015 - Rogue Angel Listowel - 2nd of 6 (11/4) | Kerry Group Handicap Chase |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Kerry National Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
