Kerry National Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

2024 Kerry National Preview

Scheduled to take place in September of each year at the Listowel racecourse is the Kerry National which is the most valuable race at Listowel throughout their season. The race is run over three miles and the runners will face a total of eighteen fences during the race, runners aged four or older who have run at least three times over fences are eligible to enter the race.

Kerry National Information:

• Kerry National Past Winners
• Kerry National Trainer Statistics
• Kerry National Jockey Statistics

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Listowel tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

How competitive is the Kerry National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 126%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 145%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kerry National, the over-round has been 136%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £136 which is bet.

Kerry National Trends:

• 2024 Kerry National Trends
• Kerry National Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Kerry National next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.45. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Kerry National see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Joseph Patrick O'Brien trained Busselton ridden by J J Slevin who set the fastest winning time in the Kerry National, the runner won the race in a time of 5:39.20 was set when winning the race in 2022. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer E McNamara and jockey P W Flood with Ponmeoath who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 6:21.40 in the 2008 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Kerry National over the last 20 renewals:

• 2022 - Busselton (5:39.20)
• 2014 - Your Busy (5:39.60)
• 2005 - Euro Leader (5:43.30)

Kerry National Past Winners

Here are the Kerry National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Kerry National as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kerry National have been based:

• IRE: 20 winners with an additional 56 placings from 332 runners
• GB: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 18 runners
• FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Kerry National Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Kerry National over the last 20 renewals with both W P Mullins and E McNamara who have both won the race three times. W P Mullins winners have been with Euro Leader (2005), Bothar Na (2006) and Cabaret Queen (2020). E McNamara winners have been with Ponmeoath (2007 & 2008) and Faltering Fullback (2012). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Kerry National are Gordon Elliott (2 wins) and Joseph Patrick O'Brien (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Kerry National, E Bolger has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Kerry National trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Kerry National Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Kerry National over the last 20 renewals is Ms L O'Neill who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Wrath Of Titans (2016) and Potters Point (2017). There are two jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Kerry National, Mark Walsh has ridden a total of 14 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Robbie Power has ridden 11 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Kerry National jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

2024 Kerry National Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): F, 2, 2, (3, 6), PU, 1, 2, 2, PU, 7, 3, F, PU, (5, 7), 3, 9, 3, UR, UR, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

• 20 / 20 (77%) - Held an OR of 117+ (Season)
• 20 / 20 (80%) - Furthest Placed 2m4f - 3m1f
• 20 / 20 (81%) - Made 5 - 14 starts (1 Year)
• 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 88+ (Season)
• 20 / 20 (83%) - Off a break of 3 - 56 days
• 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 128+ (Hcps)
• 20 / 20 (85%) - Made 1 - 5 starts (90 Days)
• 20 / 20 (87%) - Made 1 - 8 starts (Season)
• 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 8 placings (1 Year)
• 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in Ireland (Last Win)
• 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 75+ (Last 5)
• 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest ran 2m6f - 4mf
• 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 161/10 (Career Win)
• 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in a G2/LST/Cl5-6 (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (89%) - Beaten no more -36l (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Listowel racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Kerry National. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kerry National by adding a tip on the race here.

Kerry National Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +19.50 is when runners had 1 start in the past 30 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins in Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-61.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Kerry National is Galway, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Galway last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 330 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 21 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Kerry National:

• Environment Friend (2 Wins)
• Flemensfirth (2 Wins)
• Presenting (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Kerry National despite multiple attempts:

• Beneficial (0 Wins from 10 runners)
• Old Vic (0 Wins from 7 runners)
• Dr Massini (0 Wins from 6 runners)
• Montelimar (0 Wins from 6 runners)
• Yeats (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Faltering Fullback in 2012, winning for E McNamara at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 1 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Kerry National head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.