Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Kerry National Preview
Scheduled to take place in September of each year at the Listowel racecourse is the Kerry National which is the most valuable race at Listowel throughout their season.
The race is run over three miles and the runners will face a total of eighteen fences during the race, runners aged four or older who have run at least three times over fences are eligible to enter the race.
Kerry National Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Listowel tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?
How competitive is the Kerry National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 126%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 145%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kerry National, the over-round has been 135%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £135 which is bet.
Kerry National Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Kerry National next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.45. Ahead of the 2025 Kerry National why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:39.20 was set by Busselton in 2022, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien and ridden by J J Slevin. The slowest winning time was set in 2008 when Ponmeoath won in a time of 6:21.40, booked to ride was P W Flood by the trainer E McNamara.
These are the top three quickest-run Kerry National over the last 20 renewals:
- Busselton (5:39.20) in 2022
- Your Busy (5:39.60) in 2014
- Euro Leader (5:43.30) in 2005
Kerry National Past Winners
Here are the Kerry National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Kerry National are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 6:13.00 | Flooring Porter (IRE) 9yo 11-4 6/1 | Keith Donoghue Gavin Cromwell (IRE) |
| 2023 6:06.70 | Desertmore House (IRE) 8yo 10-6 11/1 | Ricky Doyle Martin Brassil (IRE) |
| 2022 5:39.20 | Busselton (FR) 5yo 10-5 13/2 | J J Slevin Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 5:50.80 | Assemble (GB) 7yo 10-10 9/1 | Shane Fitzgerald (7lbs) Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2020 6:07.00 | Cabaret Queen (GB) 8yo 10-9 6/1 | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 5:57.00 | Poker Party (FR) 7yo 10-5 14/1 | Rachael Blackmore Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2018 5:56.70 | Snow Falcon (IRE) 8yo 11-5 6/1 | Jonathan Moore Noel Meade (IRE) |
| 2017 6:21.30 | Potters Point (IRE) 7yo 10-0 8/1 | Ms L O'Neill (5lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2016 6:10.10 | Wrath Of Titans (IRE) 7yo 9-3 7/1 | Ms L O'Neill (7lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2015 6:02.20 | Rogue Angel (IRE) 7yo 10-4 8/1 | Ger Fox (3lbs) M F Morris (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kerry National have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 56 placings from 334 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 18 runners
Kerry National Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Kerry National over the last 20 renewals with both W P Mullins and E McNamara who have both won the race three times. W P Mullins winners have been with Euro Leader (2005), Bothar Na (2006) and Cabaret Queen (2020). E McNamara winners have been with Ponmeoath (2007 & 2008) and Faltering Fullback (2012). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Kerry National are Gordon Elliott (2 wins) and Joseph Patrick O'Brien (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Kerry National, E Bolger has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Kerry National trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 42-3-12 | -17.50 | -2.56 |
| E McNamara | 16-3-7 | +43.00 | +31.01 |
| Gordon Elliott | 37-2-6 | -20.00 | -18.23 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 21-2-4 | -3.50 | -6.25 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 14-1-2 | +1.00 | -1.00 |
| Noel Meade | 11-1-3 | -4.00 | -3.06 |
| M F Morris | 7-1-3 | +2.00 | +6.00 |
| C Byrnes | 6-1-4 | +1.00 | +1.88 |
| A J Martin | 6-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.62 |
| John Joseph Hanlon | 4-1-1 | +17.00 | +9.50 |
Kerry National Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Kerry National over the last 20 renewals is Ms L O'Neill who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Wrath Of Titans (2016) and Potters Point (2017). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Kerry National, Mark Walsh has ridden 15 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Kerry National jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ms L O'Neill | 3-2-2 | +14.00 | +8.38 |
| Paul Townend | 16-1-6 | -9.00 | -0.25 |
| Danny Mullins | 9-1-3 | +25.00 | +20.63 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 6-1-2 | +9.00 | +4.69 |
| Ricky Doyle | 5-1-2 | +7.00 | +5.88 |
| J J Slevin | 5-1-2 | +2.50 | +5.56 |
| Jonathan Moore | 3-1-2 | +4.00 | +4.25 |
| Keith Donoghue | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.75 |
| Shane Fitzgerald | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.63 |
| Mark Walsh | 15-0-2 | -15.00 | -11.19 |
2025 Kerry National Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, (3, 6), PU, 1, 2, 2, PU, 7, 3, F, PU, (5, 7), 3, 9, 3, UR, UR, 2, 6
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Carried 123 - 166lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Ran in 6 - 14 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Held an OR of 117+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Furthest Placed 2m4f - 3m1f
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 88+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 73+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Off a break of 3 - 68 days
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 130+ (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran in 1 - 5 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in 1 - 8 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 8 placings (1 Year)
- 19 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 82+ (Last 5)
- 18 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 17 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
- 16 / 20 (55%) - No bigger than 14/1
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Listowel racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Kerry National. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kerry National by adding a tip on the race here.
Kerry National Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.50 is when runners had 1 start in the past 30 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins in Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-60.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Kerry National is Galway, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Galway last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Killarney, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Killarney last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 331 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 21 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Kerry National:
- Environment Friend (2 Wins)
- Flemensfirth (2 Wins)
- Presenting (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Kerry National despite multiple attempts:
- Beneficial (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Old Vic (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dr Massini (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Born To Sea (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Montelimar (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Faltering Fullback in 2012, winning for E McNamara at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Kerry National why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Kerry National Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
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