2023 Pegasus World Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Pegasus World Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Pegasus World Cup Preview

Established in 2017 and scheduled to take place in January of each year at the Gulfstream Park racecourse is the Pegasus World Cup, the race is open to runners who are aged four or older and is run on the dirt over a distance of one mile and one furlong and holds a Grade I status.

The race replaced the Donn Handicap which ran from 1959 until 2016 but because of the vast changes, the Pegasus World Cup has been considered a new race, the purse for example was $300k for the final renewal of the Donn Handicap in 2016 whilst the first-ever Pegasus World Cup had a purse of $12m! That purse rose to $16m for the 2018 renewal but has since dropped, it was $9m in 2019 and has since carried a purse of $3m.

Pegasus World Cup Content:

We also have a dedicated Gulfstream Park Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

Over the last 6 renewals, it was the Bob Baffert trained Arrogate ridden by Mike E Smith who has set the fastest winning time in the Pegasus World Cup, the runner won the race in a time of 1:46.83 that was set when winning the race in 2017. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Todd Pletcher and jockey Irad Ortiz Jr with Life Is Good who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:48.91 in the 2022 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Pegasus World Cup over the last 6 renewals:

  • 2017 - Arrogate (1:46.83)
  • 2018 - Gun Runner (1:47.41)
  • 2019 - City Of Light (1:47.71)

How competitive is the Pegasus World Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 6 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 122%. The race in 2021 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 6 renewals of the Pegasus World Cup, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 6 if you had followed the winner of the Pegasus World Cup next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 3 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.67. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Pegasus World Cup Past Winners

Here are the Pegasus World Cup past winners for the last 6 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Pegasus World Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
1:48.91
Life Is Good (USA)
4yo 8-11 (4 of 9) 4/5F
Irad Ortiz Jr
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2021
1:47.89
Knicks Go (USA)
5yo 8-11 (4 of 12) 13/10F
Joel Rosario
Brad H Cox (USA)
2020
1:48.85
Mucho Gusto (USA)
4yo 8-12 (8 of 10) 17/5
Irad Ortiz Jr
Bob Baffert (USA)
2019
1:47.71
City Of Light (USA)
5yo 8-12 (3 of 12) 19/10
Javier Castellano
Michael McCarthy (USA)
2018
1:47.41
Gun Runner (USA)
5yo 8-12 (10 of 12) 11/10F
Florent Geroux
Steven Asmussen (USA)
2017
1:46.83
Arrogate (USA)
4yo 8-12 (1 of 12) 9/10F
Mike E Smith
Bob Baffert (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Pegasus World Cup have been based:

  • USA: 6 winners with an additional 12 placings from 63 runners
  • CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Pegasus World Cup Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Pegasus World Cup over the last 6 renewals is Bob Baffert who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Arrogate (2017) & Mucho Gusto (2020).

Here are some of the top Pegasus World Cup trainer statistics over the last 6 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Bob Baffert 4-2-3 +2.30 +1.45
Todd Pletcher 4-1-2 -2.20 +0.32
Michael McCarthy 2-1-2 +0.90 +3.44
Brad H Cox 2-1-2 +0.30 +0.37
Steven Asmussen 2-1-1 +0.10 -0.34
Dallas Stewart 5-0-1 -5.00 -1.10
Dale Romans 5-0-1 -5.00 -3.77
Jorge Navarro 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00
Antonio Sano 2-0-1 -2.00 -0.13
John W Sadler 2-0-1 -2.00 -1.35

Pegasus World Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Pegasus World Cup over the last 6 renewals is Irad Ortiz Jr who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Mucho Gusto (2020) & Life Is Good (2022).

Here are some of the top Pegasus World Cup jockey statistics over the last 6 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Irad Ortiz Jr 5-2-3 +1.20 +1.20
Joel Rosario 5-1-4 -2.70 +0.08
Javier Castellano 3-1-2 -0.10 +0.01
Mike E Smith 3-1-1 -1.10 -1.46
Florent Geroux 2-1-1 +0.10 -0.34
Jose L Ortiz 6-0-2 -6.00 -0.32
Tyler Gaffalione 6-0-0 -6.00 -6.00
John R Velazquez 5-0-2 -5.00 +1.74
Luis Saez 5-0-2 -5.00 -1.90
Flavien Prat 3-0-1 -3.00 +0.30

2023 Pegasus World Cup Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,1,3,10,1,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 6 / 6 (15%) - No bigger than 34/10
  • 6 / 6 (18%) - Within first 2 of market
  • 6 / 6 (22%) - Off a break of 77-117 days
  • 6 / 6 (27%) - Placed within past 77-154 days
  • 6 / 6 (30%) - Had 3-5 wins (1 Year)
  • 6 / 6 (42%) - No bigger than 11/4 (LTO)
  • 6 / 6 (42%) - Had 2-9 placings (Class)
  • 6 / 6 (45%) - Had 4-10 wins (Career)
  • 6 / 6 (48%) - Carried 122-126lbs (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Gulfstream Park racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Pegasus World Cup. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Pegasus World Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Pegasus World Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 3+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +2.10 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 starts in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 4 (1,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (5,3) [12 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 8 (7,6) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 3 (4,5) [12 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 10 (2,6) [12 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Pegasus World Cup is Del Mar, there has been a total number of 2 winners of this race who ran at Del Mar last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 6 winners from a total of 66 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 6 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Mucho Gusto in 2020 when winning for Bob Baffert at odds of 17/5 under the guidance of Irad Ortiz Jr. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 6 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post. If you are interested in other races at Gulfstream Park racecourse, then why not have a read of our blog for the Pegasus World Cup Turf.

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