July Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 1505 Horse Racing

Contested over a distance of 6f is the July Cup which is scheduled to take place at Newmarket during the July Festival. Below we have detailed past winners along with both trainer and jockey records in the race and see which trends have been set based on past winners of the July Cup.

July Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 July Cup Preview

Established in 1876, the July Cup is a Group 1 flat race run at the Newmarket July course during the July Festival. The race is open to runners aged three years old or older and is run over a straight six furlongs. Three-year-old runners have to carry 9-0 whilst the older runners carry 9-6 with any fillies and mares getting a 3lb allowance.

The race, currently known as the Darley July Cup is considered by many as the best sprint race in Britain with the winner known as the champion sprinter of Europe.

July Cup Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the July Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the July Cup, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.

July Cup Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the July Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -10.60. Ahead of the 2024 July Cup why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Mayson from Richard Fahey under the guidance of Paul Hanagan, won in a time of 1:15.90, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Lethal Force, trained by Clive Cox and ridden by Adam Kirby set the quickest time of 1:09.11 in the 2013 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run July Cup over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2013 - Lethal Force (1:09.11)
  • 2019 - Ten Sovereigns (1:09.31)
  • 2015 - Muhaarar (1:09.34)

July Cup Past Winners

Here are the July Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the July Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:11.68
Shaquille (GB)
3yo 9-2 (9 of 8) 5/2F
Rossa Ryan
Julie Camacho (GB)
2022
1:09.47
Alcohol Free (IRE)
4yo 9-5 (14 of 13) 14/1
Rob Hornby
Andrew Balding (GB)
2021
1:10.11
Starman (GB)
4yo 9-6 (4 of 19) 9/2
Tom Marquand
Ed Walker (GB)
2020
1:09.59
Oxted (GB)
4yo 9-6 (9 of 12) 12/1
Cieren Fallon
Roger Teal (GB)
2019
1:09.31
Ten Sovereigns (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (12 of 12) 9/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2018
1:11.32
U S Navy Flag (USA)
3yo 9-0 (12 of 13) 8/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2017
1:11.25
Harry Angel (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (6 of 10) 9/2
Adam Kirby
Clive Cox (GB)
2016
1:09.97
Limato (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (16 of 18) 9/2F
Harry Bentley
Henry Candy (GB)
2015
1:09.34
Muhaarar (GB)
3yo 9-0 (7 of 14) 2/1F
Paul Hanagan
Charles Hills (GB)
2014
1:12.40
Slade Power (IRE)
5yo 9-6 (13 of 13) 7/4F
Wayne Lordan
Edward Lynam (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the July Cup have been based:

  • GB: 15 winners with an additional 32 placings from 206 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 5 placings from 38 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 7 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 13 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

July Cup Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the July Cup over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Starspangledbanner (2010), U S Navy Flag (2018) and Ten Sovereigns (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the July Cup are Clive Cox (2 wins) and Hughie Morrison (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the July Cup, Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 16 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top July Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 25-3-6 -7.50 -5.35
Clive Cox 7-2-3 +4.00 +1.10
Hughie Morrison 3-2-2 +25.50 +12.25
Richard Fahey 8-1-2 +13.00 +10.50
James Fanshawe 7-1-3 +8.00 +2.90
Henry Candy 7-1-3 -1.50 +0.45
Charles Hills 7-1-1 -4.00 -4.80
Edward Lynam 7-1-2 -4.25 -2.85
Andrew Balding 4-1-1 +11.00 +5.40
Roger Teal 2-1-2 +11.00 +6.70

July Cup Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the July Cup over the last 20 renewals with all of Ryan Moore, Paul Hanagan, Adam Kirby and J F Egan having all won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with U S Navy Flag (2018) and Ten Sovereigns (2019). Paul Hanagan winners have been with Mayson (2012) and Muhaarar (2015). Adam Kirby's winners have been Lethal Force (2013) and Harry Angel (2017). J F Egan winners have been with Pastoral Pursuits (2005) and Les Arcs (2006). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the July Cup, Frankie Dettori has ridden a total of 14 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top July Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 14-2-4 +0.50 -1.75
Paul Hanagan 6-2-2 +18.00 +9.20
Adam Kirby 5-2-3 +6.00 +3.10
J F Egan 3-2-2 +31.00 +16.00
Wayne Lordan 6-1-3 -3.25 +3.65
Tom Queally 4-1-1 +9.00 +4.20
Harry Bentley 4-1-2 +1.50 +0.15
Rob Hornby 3-1-1 +12.00 +6.40
Cieren Fallon 2-1-2 +11.00 +6.70
Hayley Turner 2-1-1 +6.00 +2.50

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 19, (4, 13), 7, 6, 1, 10, 1, 10, 3, 4, 1, (1, 7), 1, 4, 7, 2, 3, 2, 7, (1, 8)

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (61%) - No bigger than 22/1
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Made 5 - 18 starts (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Fewer than 2 starts (Course)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Not on SFT/FM/STD/FS (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Within the first 11 of market
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Made 2 - 15 starts (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - 3-13 Placings on turf
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 91+ (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 70+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 74+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 3 - 13 placings (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 125 - 134lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Held an OR of 108+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Trip)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the July Cup. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the July Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

July Cup Trend Analysis

The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career win at the track, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-46.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 9 (3,7) [8 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 14 (13,12) [13 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (6,16) [19 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 9 (11,6) [12 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 12 (8,4) [12 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the July Cup is Ascot, there has been a total number of 14 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 258 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 25 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the July Cup:

  • Dark Angel (2 Wins)
  • Dutch Art (2 Wins)
  • Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
  • No Nay Never (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the July Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Shamardal (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Shinko Forest (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Pastoral Pursuits in 2005, winning for Hughie Morrison at odds of 22/1 under the guidance of J F Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 July Cup head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

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