July Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Contested over a distance of 6f is the July Cup, which is scheduled to take place at Newmarket during the July Festival. Below, we have detailed past winners along with both trainer and jockey records in the race, and see which trends have been set based on past winners of the July Cup.
July Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2026 July Cup Preview

Established in 1876, the July Cup is a Group 1 flat race run at the Newmarket July course during the July Festival. The race is open to runners aged three years old or older and is run over a straight six furlongs. The race is considered by many as the best sprint race in Britain, with the winner known as the champion sprinter of Europe.

For sponsorship purposes, the 2026 renewal of the July Cup will hold the title of 'Al Basti Equiworld Dubai July Cup Stakes'.

July Cup Information:

Our dedicated Newmarket tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the July Cup, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Newmarket throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
ALSO READ

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026

How competitive is the July Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023, when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the July Cup, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2026 July Cup Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the July Cup Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the 2026 July Cup Runners & Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.

These are the top three quickest-run July Cup races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Lethal Force (1:09.11) in 2013
  2. Ten Sovereigns (1:09.31) in 2019
  3. Muhaarar (1:09.34) in 2015

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the July Cup next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -12.60. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 July Cup.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Mayson from Richard Fahey under the guidance of Paul Hanagan, won in a time of 1:15.90, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Lethal Force, trained by Clive Cox and ridden by Adam Kirby set the quickest time of 1:09.11 in the 2013 renewal.

What the expert says...
The Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes has supplied seven winners of this race since 2006, including 2024 winner Mill Stream, who finished 3rd in that race before winning this. Four of the seven runners won both races; the last to do so was Slade Power (2014).

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

July Cup Past Winners

Here are the July Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the July Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2025
1:11.18
No Half Measures (GB)
4yo 9-5 (15 of 14) 66/1
Neil Callan
Richard Hughes (GB)
2024
1:10.90
Mill Stream (IRE)
4yo 9-8 (11 of 11) 11/1
William Buick
Jane Chapple-Hyam (GB)
2023
1:11.68
Shaquille (GB)
3yo 9-2 (9 of 8) 5/2F
Rossa Ryan
Julie Camacho (GB)
2022
1:09.47
Alcohol Free (IRE)
4yo 9-5 (14 of 13) 14/1
Rob Hornby
Andrew Balding (GB)
2021
1:10.11
Starman (GB)
4yo 9-6 (4 of 19) 9/2
Tom Marquand
Ed Walker (GB)
2020
1:09.59
Oxted (GB)
4yo 9-6 (9 of 12) 12/1
Cieren Fallon
Roger Teal (GB)
2019
1:09.31
Ten Sovereigns (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (12 of 12) 9/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2018
1:11.32
U S Navy Flag (USA)
3yo 9-0 (12 of 13) 8/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2017
1:11.25
Harry Angel (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (6 of 10) 9/2
Adam Kirby
Clive Cox (GB)
2016
1:09.97
Limato (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (16 of 18) 9/2F
Harry Bentley
Henry Candy (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the July Cup have been based:

  • GB: 15 winners with an additional 32 placings from 195 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 5 placings from 40 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 6 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 12 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2025 July Cup Replay


July Cup Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the July Cup over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Starspangledbanner (2010), U S Navy Flag (2018) and Ten Sovereigns (2019). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the July Cup is Clive Cox (2 wins).

Here are the July Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien27-3-6-9.50-7.35
Clive Cox9-2-3+2.00-0.90
Andrew Balding5-1-1+10.00+4.40
K R Burke4-0-2-4.00-0.80
William Haggas4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Michael Appleby3-0-1-3.00-1.30

July Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the July Cup over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from U S Navy Flag (2018) and Ten Sovereigns (2019). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the July Cup; James Doyle has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.

Here are the July Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore
(Mission Central)
15-2-4-0.50-2.75
William Buick
(Big Mojo)
11-1-3+1.00-0.80
Tom Marquand
(Almeraq)
2-1-2+3.50+2.95
James Doyle
(Division)
10-0-2-10.00-8.20
Oisin Murphy
(Double Rush)
5-0-1-5.00-4.50
Billy Loughnane
(Comanche Brave)
2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Pat Dobbs
(Prince Of India)
2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Clifford Lee
(Venetian Sun)
1-0-1-1.00+1.70
Saffie Osborne
(Coppull)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00

2026 July Cup Runners & Shortlist

Newmarket will host the 2026 renewal of the July Cup, which will be run at 4:35 pm on Saturday, 11th July 2026, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer, jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Almeraq (5/1)
    • William Haggas (4-0-0 -4.00 / -4.00)
    • Tom Marquand (2-1-2 +3.50 / +2.95)

Others: Comanche Brave (14/15), Mission Central (14/15), Big Mojo (14/15), Venetian Sun (14/15), Satono Reve (12/15), Division (10/15), Double Rush (10/15), Coppull (9/15), Prince Of India (7/15) and Quinault (6/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (12:07 pm Thursday 9th July 2026); if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.

Almeraq won the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes last time out, and 4 previous winners of that race from 15 runners went on to win next time out; backing them all would have returned an LSP of -2.65.

Double Rush won the Wokingham Stakes last time out, and 2 previous winners of that race from 17 runners went on to win next time out; backing them all would have returned an LSP of -10.00.

Mission Central won the King Charles III Stakes last time out, and 4 previous winners of that race from 19 runners went on to win next time out; backing them all would have returned an LSP of -9.06.

Venetian Sun won the Commonwealth Cup last time out, and 2 previous winners of that race from 11 runners went on to win next time out; backing them all would have returned an LSP of -4.50.

July Cup Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.25, is when the runner's last place was 1 start ago.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Soft ground last time out, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-33.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2025: Winner in 15 (9,13) [14 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 11 (7,5) [11 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 9 (3,7) [8 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 14 (13,12) [13 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (6,16) [19 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the July Cup is Ascot; there have been a total of 14 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 242 runners, while female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 27 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the July Cup:

  • Dark Angel (2 Wins)
  • Dutch Art (2 Wins)
  • Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
  • No Nay Never (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the July Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Shamardal (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was No Half Measures in 2025, winning for Richard Hughes at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Neil Callan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 July Cup.

Route to the July Cup

Many trainers target races as preparation for the July Cup. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2025 - No Half Measures
Haydock - 2nd of 8 (10/3)
Betfred "The
2024 - Mill Stream
Ascot - 3rd of 13 (9/2)
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
2023 - Shaquille
Ascot - 1st of 13 (9/1)
Commonwealth Cup
2022 - Alcohol Free
Ascot - 9th of 24 (18/1)
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
2021 - Starman
York - 1st of 12 (5/1)
Minster Stakes
2020 - Oxted
Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 7 (7/2)
Abernant Stakes
2019 - Ten Sovereigns
Ascot - 4th of 9 (1/1)
Commonwealth Cup
2018 - U S Navy Flag
Ascot - 9th of 10 (5/1)
St James's Palace Stakes
2017 - Harry Angel
Ascot - 2nd of 12 (11/4)
Commonwealth Cup
2016 - Limato
Newbury - 4th of 12 (3/1)
Lockinge Stakes

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the July Cup. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Thursday at the July Festival

The highlight on Thursday, known as Ladies Day, is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a Group 2 contest over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
Bahrain Trophy Stakes
Scandinavia (USA)
3yo - 11/8
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
14:25 Newmarket
July Stakes
Zavateri (IRE)
2yo - 18/1
Eve Johnson Houghton
Charles Bishop
15:00 Newmarket
Betway Sprint Handicap
Prince Of India (IRE)
3yo - 7/1
Marco Botti
Marco Ghiani
15:35 Newmarket
Princess of Wales's Stakes
El Cordobes (IRE)
4yo - 7/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick

Friday at the July Festival

Festival Friday, as it is known, features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes, which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
July Festival Handicap
Kings Charter (IRE)
3yo - 9/4
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
14:25 Newmarket
Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
Venetian Sun (IRE)
2yo - 2/5
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
15:00 Newmarket
Betway Trophy
Oneforthegutter (GB)
6yo - 12/1
Ian Williams
Silvestre De Sousa
15:35 Newmarket
Falmouth Stakes
Cinderellas Dream (GB)
4yo - 5/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick

Saturday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series; this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:50 Newmarket
Newmarket Handicap Stakes
Fifth Column (IRE)
3yo - 4/1
John & Thady Gosden
Ryan Moore
15:25 Newmarket
Bunbury Cup
More Thunder (IRE)
4yo - 6/5
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
16:00 Newmarket
Superlative Stakes
Saba Desert (GB)
2yo - 6/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
16:35 Newmarket
July Cup
No Half Measures (GB)
4yo - 66/1
Richard Hughes
Neil Callan

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this July Cup Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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