Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Updated: 3598 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a race run over 6f at Ascot during the Royal Ascot.

Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Preview

First established back in 1868, the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes is the feature on the final day of Royal Ascot. The race was originally a Group 3 race but was upgraded to a Group 2 in 1998 and then upgraded again in 2002 to a Group 1.

The race is open to four-year-olds or older but three-year-olds from the Southern Hemisphere can also enter. Do not blink otherwise you will miss the race! It's run over a fast-paced six furlongs. The race attracts interest from the US and Wesley Ward came over in 2015 to win the race with Undrafted.

Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Royal Ascot tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 145%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, the over-round has been 126%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £126 which is bet.

Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 15 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +8.35. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2011 renewal when Society Rock from James Fanshawe under the guidance of Pat Cosgrave, won in a time of 1:17.22, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Cape Of Good Hope, trained by D Oughton and ridden by Mick Kinane set the quickest time of 1:08.58 in the 2005 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2005 - Cape Of Good Hope (1:08.58)
  • 2019 - Blue Point (1:11.42)
  • 2017 - The Tin Man (1:12.02)

Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:12.42
Khaadem (IRE)
7yo 9-5 (2 of 16) 80/1
Jamie Spencer
Charles Hills (GB)
2022
1:12.17
Naval Crown (GB)
4yo 9-5 (20 of 24) 33/1
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
1:14.87
Dream Of Dreams (IRE)
7yo 9-3 (3 of 12) 3/1F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2020
1:13.42
Hello Youmzain (FR)
4yo 9-3 (2 of 10) 4/1
Kevin Stott
Kevin Ryan (GB)
2019
1:11.42
Blue Point (IRE)
5yo 9-3 (9 of 17) 6/4F
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2018
1:12.09
Merchant Navy (AUS)
3yo 9-3 (11 of 12) 4/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2017
1:12.02
The Tin Man (GB)
5yo 9-3 (3 of 19) 9/2
Tom Queally
James Fanshawe (GB)
2016
1:13.84
Twilight Son (GB)
4yo 9-3 (3 of 9) 7/2
Ryan Moore
Henry Candy (GB)
2015
1:12.69
Undrafted (USA)
5yo 9-3 (6 of 15) 14/1
Frankie Dettori
Wesley A Ward (USA)
2014
1:12.40
Slade Power (IRE)
5yo 9-4 (4 of 14) 7/2F
Wayne Lordan
Edward Lynam (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 14 winners with an additional 22 placings from 220 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 2 placings from 33 runners
  • AUS: 1 winner with an additional 5 placings from 19 runners
  • USA: 1 winner with an additional 4 placings from 11 runners
  • HK: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 7 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 5 placings from 17 runners
  • BHR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • NZ: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of James Fanshawe, A P O'Brien and Charlie Appleby having all won the race two times. James Fanshawe winners have been with Society Rock (2011) and The Tin Man (2017). A P O'Brien winners have been with Starspangledbanner (2010) and Merchant Navy (2018). Charlie Appleby winners have been with Blue Point (2019) and Naval Crown (2022). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, Saeed bin Suroor has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Andrew Balding has sent out 10 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
James Fanshawe 12-2-5 +19.50 +6.25
A P O'Brien 12-2-3 +0.50 -3.35
Charlie Appleby 6-2-3 +30.50 +13.75
Kevin Ryan 10-1-3 -5.00 -3.10
Charles Hills 7-1-1 +74.00 +34.00
Clive Cox 7-1-1 +5.00 -0.50
Henry Candy 7-1-2 -2.50 -3.40
Wesley A Ward 6-1-4 +9.00 +7.60
Tim Easterby 6-1-2 +7.00 +3.05
Sir Michael Stoute 6-1-3 -2.00 -1.40

Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Twilight Son (2016), Merchant Navy (2018) and Dream Of Dreams (2021). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes are James Doyle (2 wins) and Tom Queally (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, William Buick has ridden a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 18-3-7 -4.50 -4.65
James Doyle 7-2-2 +29.50 +12.25
Tom Queally 7-2-2 +19.50 +9.25
Frankie Dettori 16-1-2 -1.00 -5.90
Jamie Spencer 12-1-5 +69.00 +33.50
Adam Kirby 8-1-1 +4.00 -1.50
Wayne Lordan 4-1-1 +0.50 -0.90
J F Egan 2-1-1 +32.00 +15.50
Pat Cosgrave 2-1-2 +24.00 +12.00
Kevin Stott 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.40

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 3, 3, 15, 4, 4, (1, 4), 14, 1, 2, 1, (2, 5), 4, 3, 11, 1, 3, 1, 20, 3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 114+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Not at KEM/NBY/WDR/YOR (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Not a field of 7-8 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Not wearing only a TT or Blinkers
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in FRA/DEU/GRC/HKG/JPN/NZL/SCO/ZAF/WAL (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in a Cl2-3/Cl5 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 66/1 (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 33/1
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Within the first 13 of market
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - Won within last 6 starts
  • 19 / 20 (89%) - No more than -4yrs (Vs Max Age)
  • 18 / 20 (64%) - Held an OR of 111+ (Career)
  • 18 / 20 (80%) - No further than 6f (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +113.00 is when runners had 1 start in the past 90 days. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins with the jockey, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-62.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (3,16) [16 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 20 (1,2,15) [24 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (6,8) [12 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (9,6) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 9 (11,10) [17 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes is York, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at York last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 279 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 40 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, that stallion Dark Angel has produced 2 winners (2023,2013).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Danetime (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Khaadem in 2023, winning for Charles Hills at odds of 80/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

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