Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Ascot Hurdle Preview
This Grade 2 Ascot Hurdle is scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Ascot Racecourse. Open to runners who are aged four or older it is contested over a distance of two miles, three and a half furlongs with a total of ten hurdles to be jumped with the race currently being sponsored by Coral.
Ascot Hurdle Information:
Our dedicated Ascot tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Ascot Hurdle but will also have predictions for each meeting at Ascot throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Ascot Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 116%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Hurdle, the over-round has been 111%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.
Ascot Hurdle Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -0.84. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Ascot Hurdle see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Overturn, trained by Donald McCain and ridden by Jason Maguire who set the fastest winning time in the Ascot Hurdle, the runner won the race in a time of 4:30.80 when winning the race in 2011. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Howard Johnson and jockey Graham Lee with No Refuge who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 5:05.30 in the 2005 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Ascot Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:
- Overturn (4:30.80) in 2011
- Zaynar (4:34.26) in 2009
- Annie Power (4:34.47) in 2013
Ascot Hurdle Past Winners
Here are the Ascot Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Ascot Hurdle are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 4:48.01 | Lucky Place (FR) 5yo 11-0 4/1 | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2023 4:38.47 | Blueking DOroux (FR) 4yo 10-13 4/1 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2022 4:40.38 | Goshen (FR) 6yo 11-6 6/5 | Jamie Moore Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2021 4:40.96 | Buzz (FR) 7yo 11-0 1/1F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2020 4:44.30 | Song For Someone (GER) 5yo 11-6 11/4 | Nico de Boinville Tom Symonds (GB) |
| 2019 4:44.12 | If The Cap Fits (IRE) 7yo 11-6 3/1 | Sean Bowen Harry Fry (GB) |
| 2018 4:39.60 | If The Cap Fits (IRE) 6yo 11-0 4/5F | Noel Fehily Harry Fry (GB) |
| 2017 4:41.20 | Lil Rockerfeller (USA) 6yo 11-0 9/4 | Trevor Whelan Neil King (GB) |
| 2016 4:38.60 | Yanworth (GB) 6yo 11-4 4/5F | Barry Geraghty Alan King (GB) |
| 2015 4:54.90 | Rock On Ruby (IRE) 10yo 11-8 15/8 | Barry Geraghty Harry Fry (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Hurdle have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 19 placings from 107 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 0 placings from 9 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
Ascot Hurdle Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Ascot Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Nicky Henderson who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Chomba Womba (2008), Zaynar (2009), Oscar Whisky (2012), Buzz (2021) and Lucky Place (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Hurdle are Harry Fry (3 wins), Paul Nicholls (2 wins) and W P Mullins (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Ascot Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Henderson | 14-5-9 | +0.78 | +1.28 |
| Harry Fry | 3-3-3 | +5.68 | +3.56 |
| Paul Nicholls | 12-2-5 | -2.67 | +0.16 |
| W P Mullins | 2-2-2 | +0.87 | +0.16 |
| Alan King | 9-1-3 | -7.20 | -4.98 |
| Neil King | 3-1-2 | +0.25 | +1.16 |
| Gary Moore | 3-1-1 | -0.80 | -2.00 |
| Tom Symonds | 2-1-2 | +1.75 | +0.75 |
| Donald McCain | 1-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.56 |
| David Pipe | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -3.20 |
Ascot Hurdle Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Ascot Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Nico de Boinville who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Song For Someone (2020), Buzz (2021) and Lucky Place (2024).
Here are some of the top Ascot Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico de Boinville | 6-3-5 | +4.75 | +1.76 |
| Sean Bowen | 4-1-2 | +0.00 | -0.31 |
| Harry Cobden | 3-1-2 | +2.00 | +2.37 |
| Trevor Whelan | 2-1-2 | +1.25 | +2.16 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Daryl Jacob | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| Bridget Andrews | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| Gavin Sheehan | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Adam Wedge | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| David Bass | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | +0.25 |
2025 Ascot Hurdle Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 2, (1, 2), (1, 2), 4, F, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 4, 1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 3, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (45%) - No bigger than 4/1
- 20 / 20 (64%) - Had 2 - 4 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 109+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in a LST/Cl4/Cl6 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Ran in 2 - 8 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Beaten no more -11l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Break of 14 - 301 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No more than 1 fall (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 9/1 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Won is not G3/LST/Cl4/Cl6
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran in 4 - 34 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl3-4
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 109+ (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 100+ (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ascot Hurdle. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Ascot Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.
Ascot Hurdle Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +4.06 is when runners had 4 places in the past year.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 place in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-18.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Ascot Hurdle is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 110 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 7 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ascot Hurdle:
- Archway (2 Wins)
- Milan (2 Wins)
- Oscar (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Ascot Hurdle, that stallion is Apple Tree who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Blueking DOroux in 2023, winning for Paul Nicholls at odds of 4/1 under the guidance of Harry Cobden. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Ascot Hurdle Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
