2023 Ballymore Novices Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

Formerly known as the Neptune Novices Hurdle, the Ballymore Novices Hurdle is a grade one race over 2 miles 5 furlongs for novices that is run at the Cheltenham racecourse.

2023 Ballymore Novices Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Ballymore Novices Hurdle Preview

Formerly known as the Neptune Novices Hurdle, the Ballymore Novices Hurdle is a grade one race over 2 miles 5 furlongs for novices that is run at the Cheltenham racecourse. Recent winners Faugheen (2014) and Yorkhill (2016) have both gone onto festival glory in subsequent seasons so worth keeping an eye on with a view to future big race winners. Faugheen won the Champion Hurdle in 2015 and Yorkhill won the Novices Chase in 2017.

Ballymore Novices Hurdle Content:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Cheltenham Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the W P Mullins trained Faugheen ridden by R Walsh who has set the fastest winning time in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle, the runner won the race in a time of 4:54.80 that was set when winning the race in 2014. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer W P Mullins and jockey Paul Townend with Sir Gerhard who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 5:20.38 in the 2022 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Ballymore Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2014 - Faugheen (4:54.80)
  • 2012 - Simonsig (4:59.34)
  • 2005 - No Refuge (5:00.00)

How competitive is the Ballymore Novices Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2003 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 12 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.11. Whilst we wait for the 2023 Ballymore Novices Hurdle remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Ballymore Novices Hurdle 25 May @ 12:06 - AntePost
Facile Vega 4.50
American Mike 10.00
Redemption Day 13.00
Gaelic Warrior 17.00
Impulsive Dancer 17.00
Demandrivingdouvan 21.00
Lisnagar Fortune 21.00
Jamess Gate 21.00
Henri The Second 26.00
An Tobar 26.00

Ballymore Novices Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Ballymore Novices Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ballymore Novices Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
5:20.38
Sir Gerhard (IRE)
7yo 11-7 8/11F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2021
5:05.05
Bob Olinger (IRE)
6yo 11-7 6/4F
Rachael Blackmore
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2020
5:18.73
Envoi Allen (FR)
6yo 11-7 4/7F
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2019
5:06.03
City Island (IRE)
6yo 11-7 8/1
Mark Walsh
Martin Brassil (IRE)
2018
5:18.20
Samcro (IRE)
6yo 11-7 8/11F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2017
5:08.80
Willoughby Court (IRE)
6yo 11-7 14/1
David Bass
Ben Pauling (GB)
2016
5:00.89
Yorkhill (IRE)
6yo 11-7 3/1
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
5:07.40
Windsor Park (IRE)
6yo 11-7 9/2
Davy Russell
D K Weld (IRE)
2014
4:54.80
Faugheen (IRE)
6yo 11-7 6/4F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2013
5:16.60
The New One (IRE)
5yo 11-7 7/2
Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle have been based:

  • IRE: 13 winners with an additional 19 placings from 100 runners
  • GB: 7 winners with an additional 20 placings from 174 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners

Ballymore Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Fiveforthree (2008), Mikael DHaguenet (2009), Faugheen (2014), Yorkhill (2016) & Sir Gerhard (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle are Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 wins) & Gordon Elliott (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle, Alan King has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Ballymore Novices Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 35-5-15 -15.27 -11.53
Nigel Twiston-Davies 10-2-2 +7.50 +1.30
Gordon Elliott 8-2-4 -4.70 -2.22
Nicky Henderson 18-1-2 -15.00 -15.50
Noel Meade 8-1-2 +1.50 -2.25
Philip Hobbs 7-1-2 +14.00 +9.00
M F Morris 7-1-3 +1.00 +0.80
Ben Pauling 5-1-2 +10.00 +4.90
D K Weld 5-1-2 +0.50 -0.80
Henry De Bromhead 5-1-1 -2.50 -3.06

Ballymore Novices Hurdle Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Davy Russell who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from First Lieutenant (2011), Windsor Park (2015) & Envoi Allen (2020).

Here are some of the top Ballymore Novices Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Davy Russell 12-3-5 +3.07 +0.54
Paul Townend 10-1-5 -8.27 -4.83
Sam Twiston-Davies 4-1-1 +0.50 -0.90
Rachael Blackmore 4-1-2 -1.50 -0.36
Graham Lee 3-1-2 +6.50 +2.92
Mark Walsh 3-1-1 +6.00 +2.00
Jack Kennedy 3-1-1 -1.27 -1.56
David Bass 2-1-1 +13.00 +7.40
Daryl Jacob 7-0-3 -7.00 -4.05
Tom Scudamore 7-0-0 -7.00 -7.00

2023 Ballymore Novices Hurdle Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,2,2,(5,7),2,5,13,1,3,3,1,3,1,3,2,2,1,PU,1,1,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (53%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (68%) - Had 1-6 wins (Jockey)
  • 20 / 20 (68%) - Won at least a Class 3
  • 20 / 20 (72%) - Placed within past 18-77 days
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Won within last 28-122 days
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Placed (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Off a break of 18-77 days
  • 19 / 20 (37%) - Within first 5 of the market
  • 19 / 20 (54%) - Has placed in a Graded race
  • 19 / 20 (63%) - Ran in at least a Class 2 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (68%) - Won within last 90 days
  • 19 / 20 (69%) - Beaten no more than 3½l (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (73%) - Finished in first 2 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (78%) - Field of no more than 12 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Either a 5yo or 6yo
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Won within last 3 starts
  • 18 / 20 (62%) - Had ran in at least a G2

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Ballymore Novices Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Ballymore Novices Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +5.23 is when runners had 2 career places with the jockey. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins with the jockey, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-89.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Naas, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Naas last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 269 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle:

  • Court Cave (2 Wins)
  • Germany (2 Wins)
  • Presenting (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle despite multiple attempts:

  • Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Beneficial (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Old Vic (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Westerner (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Massinis Maguire in 2007 when winning for Philip Hobbs at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Richard Johnson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Schedule at the Cheltenham Festival

Have a look at our racing tipsters Cheltenham predictions for the Ballymore Novices Hurdle. Next up is the Brown Advisory Novices Chase, head over to find trends and tips.

Cheltenham Festival races for Tuesday 14th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Supreme Novices Hurdle
Constitution Hill (GB)
5yo - 9/4
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
14:10 Cheltenham
Arkle Challenge Trophy
Edwardstone (GB)
8yo - 5/2
Alan King
Tom Cannon
14:50 Cheltenham
Ultima Handicap Chase
Corach Rambler (IRE)
8yo - 10/1
Lucinda Russell
Derek Fox
15:30 Cheltenham
Champion Hurdle
Honeysuckle (GB)
8yo - 8/11
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Close Brothers Mares Hurdle
Maries Rock (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
16:50 Cheltenham
Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Brazil (IRE)
4yo - 10/1
Padraig Roche
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
Stattler (IRE)
7yo - 2/1
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Wednesday 15th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Ballymore Novices Hurdle
Sir Gerhard (IRE)
7yo - 8/11
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
Brown Advisory Novices Chase
LHomme Presse (FR)
7yo - 9/4
Venetia Williams
Charlie Deutsch
14:50 Cheltenham
Coral Cup (Link)
Commander Of Fleet (IRE)
8yo - 50/1
Gordon Elliott
Shane Fitzgerald
15:30 Cheltenham
Queen Mother Champion Chase
Energumene (FR)
8yo - 5/2
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
16:10 Cheltenham
Cross Country Chase
Delta Work (FR)
9yo - 5/2
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
16:50 Cheltenham
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual
Global Citizen (IRE)
10yo - 28/1
Ben Pauling
Kielan Woods
17:30 Cheltenham
Champion Bumper
Facile Vega (IRE)
5yo - 15/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Thursday 16th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Turners Novices Chase
Bob Olinger (IRE)
7yo - 6/5
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
14:10 Cheltenham
Pertemps Network Final
Third Wind (GB)
8yo - 25/1
Hughie Morrison
Tom OBrien
14:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Chase
Allaho (FR)
8yo - 4/7
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
15:30 Cheltenham
Stayers Hurdle
Flooring Porter (IRE)
7yo - 4/1
Gavin Cromwell
Danny Mullins
16:10 Cheltenham
Festival Plate
Coole Cody (IRE)
11yo - 22/1
Evan Williams
Adam Wedge
16:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle
Love Envoi (IRE)
6yo - 15/2
Harry Fry
Jonathan Burke
17:30 Cheltenham
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Chambard (FR)
10yo - 40/1
Venetia Williams
Miss Lucy Turner

Cheltenham Festival races for Friday 17th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
JCB Triumph Hurdle
Vauban (FR)
4yo - 6/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
County Handicap Hurdle
State Man (FR)
5yo - 11/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:50 Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
The Nice Guy (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
W P Mullins
Sean OKeeffe
15:30 Cheltenham
Cheltenham Gold Cup
A Plus Tard (FR)
8yo - 3/1
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup
Billaway (IRE)
10yo - 13/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins
16:50 Cheltenham
Mrs PP Mares Chase
Elimay (FR)
8yo - 9/4
W P Mullins
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle
Banbridge (IRE)
6yo - 12/1
Joseph Patrick OBrien
M M McDonagh

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