Challow Novices' Hurdle Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

History, data, and trends combine in our look at the Challow Novices' Hurdle, run over 2m4½f at Newbury. Here, we reveal the winning profiles, connection records, and the statistical patterns that could help guide your selection this year.
Challow Novices' Hurdle Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2025 Challow Novices' Hurdle Preview

Scheduled to take place in late December of each year at the Newbury racecourse is the Challow Novices Hurdle, a Grade 1 race run over a distance of two miles, four and a half furlongs, during which a total of ten hurdles will be faced.

The race has been a springboard for many good types with the likes of Bindaree, Denman and Wichita Lineman all winning this race early in their illustrious careers, and in more recent times the likes of Champ, Thyme Hill and Bravemansgame have won this race.

Challow Novices' Hurdle Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Newbury, then head over to the Newbury tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Newbury Racecourse section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Challow Novices' Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Challow Novices' Hurdle, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ113 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Challow Novices' Hurdle Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Challow Novices' Hurdle Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Challow Novices' Hurdle races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Thyme Hill (4:57.15) in 2019
  2. Messire Des Obeaux (4:57.70) in 2016
  3. Denman (4:59.50) in 2005

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Challow Novices' Hurdle next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -9.82. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Challow Novices' Hurdle.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Taquin Du Seuil from Jonjo O'Neill under the guidance of A P McCoy, won in a time of 5:58.36, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Thyme Hill, trained by Philip Hobbs and ridden by Richard Johnson set the quickest time of 4:57.15 in the 2019 renewal.

What the expert says...
Two of the last three winners have come from the Hyde Novices Hurdle, as have a total of eight since 2006, with four of those doing the double; the last to do so was Hermes Allen in 2022.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Challow Novices' Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Challow Novices' Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Challow Novices' Hurdle are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2024
5:03.50
The New Lion (GB)
5yo 11-7 9/4
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2023
5:23.04
Captain Teague (IRE)
5yo 11-7 2/1F
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2022
5:14.50
Hermes Allen (FR)
5yo 11-7 11/10F
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2021
5:14.68
Stage Star (IRE)
5yo 11-7 5/4F
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2020
5:06.10
Bravemansgame (FR)
5yo 11-7 5/2F
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2019
4:57.15
Thyme Hill (GB)
5yo 11-7 4/6F
Richard Johnson
Philip Hobbs (GB)
2018
5:10.00
Champ (IRE)
6yo 11-7 1/1F
Barry Geraghty
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2017
5:24.30
Poetic Rhythm (IRE)
6yo 11-7 15/8F
Paddy Brennan
Fergal O'Brien (GB)
2016
4:57.70
Messire Des Obeaux (FR)
4yo 11-7 100/30
Daryl Jacob
Alan King (GB)
2015
5:20.10
Barters Hill (IRE)
5yo 11-7 4/11F
David Bass
Ben Pauling (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Challow Novices' Hurdle have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 26 placings from 137 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2024 Challow Novices' Hurdle Replay


Challow Novices' Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Challow Novices' Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Denman (2005), Bravemansgame (2020), Stage Star (2021), Hermes Allen (2022) and Captain Teague (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Challow Novices' Hurdle are Jonjo O'Neill (3 wins), Nicky Henderson (2 wins), Philip Hobbs (2 wins) and Nick Williams (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Challow Novices' Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Paul Nicholls18-5-9-3.65-1.79
Jonjo O'Neill4-3-3+8.38+4.67
Nicky Henderson11-2-6+0.00-0.39
Philip Hobbs5-2-3-2.08-1.62
Nick Williams3-2-2+1.55+0.55
Alan King8-1-2-3.67-2.50
Dan Skelton5-1-2-1.75-0.96
Ben Pauling5-1-2-3.64-1.50
Fergal O'Brien4-1-1-1.12-1.82
Peter Bowen2-1-1+6.00+3.20

Challow Novices' Hurdle Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Challow Novices' Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Harry Cobden, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Bravemansgame (2020), Stage Star (2021), Hermes Allen (2022) and Captain Teague (2023).

Here are some of the top Challow Novices' Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Harry Cobden8-4-5+2.85+1.95
Harry Skelton7-1-3-3.75-2.21
David Bass4-1-1-2.64-3.00
Gavin Sheehan7-0-2-7.00-1.27
Sam Twiston-Davies6-0-1-6.00-2.70
Tom Cannon3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Kielan Woods2-0-2-2.00+2.40
Adam Wedge2-0-1-2.00-1.19
William Kennedy2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Brendan Powell2-0-0-2.00-2.00

Challow Novices' Hurdle Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +6.81, is when runners were 1st in the betting market.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 4, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-42.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Challow Novices' Hurdle is Cheltenham; there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Newbury; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 133 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Challow Novices' Hurdle:

  • Kings Theatre (3 Wins)
  • Flemensfirth (2 Wins)
  • Kayf Tara (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Challow Novices' Hurdle; that stallion is Oscar, who has failed to produce a winner from 8 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Captain Cutter in 2013, winning for Nicky Henderson at odds of 8/1 under the guidance of A P McCoy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 12 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Challow Novices' Hurdle, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Route to the Challow Novices' Hurdle

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Challow Novices' Hurdle. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - The New Lion
Newbury - 1st of 6 (4/6)
Coral Were Here For It Novices Hurdle
2023 - Captain Teague
Cheltenham - 2nd of 8 (4/6)
Hyde Novices' Hurdle
2022 - Hermes Allen
Cheltenham - 1st of 7 (9/4)
Hyde Novices' Hurdle
2021 - Stage Star
Newbury - 1st of 5 (2/7)
Watch Racing Free Online At Ladbrokes Novices Hurdle
2020 - Bravemansgame
Newbury - 1st of 5 (8/11)
Play Ladbrokes 5-A-Side On Football Novices Hurdle
2019 - Thyme Hill
Cheltenham - 1st of 8 (11/8)
Hyde Novices' Hurdle
2018 - Champ
Newbury - 1st of 15 (9/2)
Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle
2017 - Poetic Rhythm
Cheltenham - 3rd of 6 (9/2)
Hyde Novices' Hurdle
2016 - Messire Des Obeaux
Sandown - 1st of 7 (9/4)
Neptune Investment Management Novices Hurdle
2015 - Barters Hill
Huntingdon - 1st of 10 (8/13)
32Red On The App Store Novices Hurdle

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Challow Novices' Hurdle Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Expert Guide

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for jump racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful national hunt racing blogs for OLBG.

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