2022 Ballymore Novices Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis - November Meeting

Published: Oct 21, 7:35pm Last Updated: Nov 15, 12:00pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 50 Views

2022 Hyde Novices Hurdle Preview

The Hyde Novices' Hurdle is a Grade 2 race that features during the November Meeting at Cheltenham Racecourse, the race is open to runners aged four or older and is contested over two miles and five furlongs trip when the runners will face ten hurdles. The race is created in 1996 and had previously been sponsored by Neptune Investment Management but since 2017 has been sponsored by the Ballymore Group.

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Cheltenham Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Peter Fahey trained Peregrine Run ridden by Roger Loughran who has set the fastest winning time in the Hyde Novices Hurdle, the runner won the race in a time of 5:05.90 that was set when winning the race in 2016. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies and jockey Paddy Brennan with Razor Royale who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 5:41.00 in the 2007 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Hyde Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2016 - Peregrine Run (5:05.90)
  • 2011 - Fingal Bay (5:08.19)
  • 2003 - Jollyolly (5:08.30)

How competitive is the Hyde Novices Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Hyde Novices Hurdle, the over-round has been 114% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Hyde Novices Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +3.91. Ahead of the 2022 Hyde Novices Hurdle why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today.

Hyde Novices Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Hyde Novices Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Hyde Novices Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
5:12.27
Blazing Khal (IRE)
5yo 11-0 9/2
Donal McInerney
C Byrnes (IRE)
2020
5:17.24
Does He Know (GB)
5yo 11-3 11/8F
David Bass
Kim Bailey (GB)
2019
5:22.25
Thyme Hill (GB)
5yo 11-5 11/8F
Richard Johnson
Philip Hobbs (GB)
2018
5:08.60
Coolanly (IRE)
6yo 11-0 7/2
Paddy Brennan
Fergal O'Brien (GB)
2017
5:13.50
On The Blind Side (IRE)
5yo 11-0 9/2
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2016
5:05.90
Peregrine Run (IRE)
6yo 11-7 13/2
Roger Loughran
Peter Fahey (IRE)
2015
5:15.30
Shantou Village (IRE)
5yo 11-4 9/2
Noel Fehily
Neil Mulholland (GB)
2014
5:29.50
Parlour Games (GB)
6yo 11-4 10/1
Barry Geraghty
John Ferguson (GB)
2013
5:11.71
Creepy (IRE)
5yo 11-0 9/2
Ian Popham
Martin Keighley (GB)
2012
5:34.40
Coneygree (GB)
5yo 11-4 8/1
Mattie Batchelor
Mark Bradstock (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hyde Novices Hurdle have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 25 placings from 140 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 8 placings from 31 runners
  • CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Hyde Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Hyde Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Philip Hobbs who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Massinis Maguire (2006), Fingal Bay (2011) & Thyme Hill (2019). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Hyde Novices Hurdle is Martin Keighley (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Hyde Novices Hurdle, Paul Nicholls has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Hyde Novices Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Philip Hobbs 6-3-4 +5.18 +2.41
Martin Keighley 4-2-2 +7.50 +3.70
Nigel Twiston-Davies 16-1-5 -8.00 -6.55
Jonjo O'Neill 6-1-3 +1.50 -0.29
Nicky Henderson 6-1-3 -0.50 +1.03
Fergal O'Brien 5-1-2 -0.50 -0.90
Tom George 4-1-1 +4.50 +1.50
Kim Bailey 4-1-2 -1.62 -0.64
Ian Williams 3-1-2 +1.50 +2.20
Peter Bowen 3-1-1 -0.75 -1.22

Hyde Novices Hurdle Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Hyde Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Paddy Brennan who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Razor Royale (2007) & Coolanly (2018).

Here are some of the top Hyde Novices Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paddy Brennan 10-2-4 +2.50 +0.60
Nico de Boinville 3-1-1 +2.50 +0.81
David Bass 3-1-2 -0.62 +0.36
Mattie Batchelor 2-1-1 +7.00 +3.80
Donal McInerney 1-1-1 +4.50 +2.81
Sam Twiston-Davies 7-0-1 -7.00 -4.50
Aidan Coleman 5-0-2 -5.00 -0.20
Daryl Jacob 5-0-3 -5.00 -2.82
Harry Skelton 4-0-2 -4.00 -0.87
Tom Scudamore 3-0-0 -3.00 -2.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,2,1,(1,2,PU),4,2,4,1,2,(5,7),1,5,2,2,3,2,5,2,1,1,4

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (53%) - No bigger than 10/1
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 8/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Not 2-3 starts (Hurdles)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Had a career win
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Ran within last 42 days
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Either GB or IRE bred
  • 19 / 20 (48%) - Within first 4 of market
  • 19 / 20 (74%) - Dam either GB or IRE bred
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Either Bay or Chestnut
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Aged between 5yo and 7yo
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Ran on SFT, GS or GD (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (57%) - Same jockey as LTO
  • 18 / 20 (62%) - Finished in first 2 (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (69%) - Won within last 3 starts

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Hyde Novices Hurdle. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there is plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Hyde Novices Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Hyde Novices Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.31 is when runners finished in 1st on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in Non-Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-43.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Hyde Novices Hurdle is Chepstow, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Chepstow last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 164 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 8 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hyde Novices Hurdle:

  • Dr Massini (2 Wins)
  • Kings Theatre (2 Wins)
  • Oscar (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Hyde Novices Hurdle, that stallion is Presenting who has failed to produce a winner from 7 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Parlour Games in 2014 when winning for John Ferguson at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Barry Geraghty. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Hyde Novices Hurdle remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

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