Chepstow Tips

Just inside the Welsh border, Chepstow is a busy track with around 32 race days a year covering flat and national hunt racing. It’s the most important race track in Wales holding four Graded National Hunt races.

Highlights: Welsh National and also the Welsh National Trial earlier in the month, the Finale Juvenile Hurdle, Persian War Novice Hurdle, and Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle, the quality of races is better over jumps than the flat, with predominantly handicaps on the flat.

The big meeting of the year is normally the day after Boxing Day with the Welsh National and Finale Hurdle taking place that day. The National meeting can suffer from inclement weather and has been cancelled 3 times in recent years.  

TV Channel: Sky Sports Racing

Bookmaker Streaming Services Available From Ladbrokes, William Hill.

If you are going racing at Chepstow today then be sure to download the OLBG app for all the latest Chepstow tips at the course.

* All statistics below are based on the previous five years at Chepstow

Chepstow Outright Favourite Statistics

• Flat Handicaps: 114-318 (36%) +28.53
• Flat Non-Handicaps: 43-98 (44%) -13.12
• Handicap Chases: 52-157 (33%) -0.34
• Handicap Hurdles: 33-123 (27%) -27.41
• Non-Handicap Chases: 6-15 (40%) -5.44
• Non-Handicap Hurdles: 75-147 (51%) +5.03

Left-handed, an oval configuration with the course undulating, making NH races stop-start, it's neither galloping nor speedy, horses over jumps need to get the distance, especially when the going is heavy, as it often is. A 5 furlong home straight takes some getting when horses are becoming tired.

Chepstow Racecourse Address: St Lawrence Rd, Chepstow NP16 6BE

Chepstow Racecourse Telephone: 01291 622260

To buy tickets for a race day at Chepstow, head over to their official ticket booking webpage.

It is key to know that the flat course has a long 1 mile straight, running in a straight line for a mile can take a lot out of a horse, and it seems a long way home.

Bends slow horses down, with no bends you can get inexperienced jockeys going off too fast and not getting home, running in a straight line when the going is heavy is even more taxing for the horse.

Look to the top flat jockeys at Chepstow up to a mile as we feel the course needs to be ridden well and pace handled perfectly which the better more experienced jockeys are ably equipped.

When looking at the going description for the Welsh National over the last 10 years, it either featured the word heavy or soft in the description, in some cases both! So look for a mudlark at Chepstow just below top class who is well weighted to win National Hunt races.

We would say that you should always check the going description at Chepstow, as this has more relevance to finding winners than at many other race tracks.  Trainers expect heavy and target those from their stables who do not mind 'Somme' like conditions.

The Chepstow fences are not the hardest in comparison to other courses but do find out tiring horses, they still need to be jumped!

Check above the brilliant OLBG member's Chepstow tips, members research and add their best tips, helping all of us in the battle to beat the bookies.

On non-racing days at Chepstow, why not head over to the racing predictions page to see what the tipsters are backing elsewhere?

✅ When breaking Chepstow down into trips then you can look at which stall and trip combination has produced the best LSP, that would be stall 4 over a trip of 7f which has, over the last five years produced an LSP of +17.04.

❌ Backing stall 6 at Chepstow over a trip of 6f is the most unsuccessful stall and trip combination at Chepstow returning an LSP of -58.24 over the last five years.

Here we have the draw bias for Chepstow taken into consideration races with ten or more runners, we will break down the figures by race distance, draws can be much more important over the shorter trips in which runners do not have time to find their position during the race meaning the draw is probably more important than the races over longer distances.

• Sprints (5f to 7½f)
• Middle Distance (1m2f to 1m5½f)

The following table shows a breakdown over a group of trips and shows how each position of the draw does, for example in a twelve-runner race would be Low (Stalls 1-4), Mid (Stalls 5-8) and High (Stalls 9-12), the positions will always be lowest stall number to highest.

Who are the best flat jockeys and trainers to bet on at Chepstow?

Backing all of the A W Carroll runners would have produced backing the most winners for a trainer here at Chepstow with nineteen but you would have returned a loss by doing so, Archie Watson leads the way for profitable trainers with an LSP of +18.46 from their fifteen winners. If you are looking for a trainer to follow in the eachway market then it is J L Flint who leads the way at Chepstow, they have had a total of eighteen placings which includes nine winners over the previous five for an eachway LSP of +37.12. With an LSP of -75.96 at Chepstow, Miss G Harris heads the list for worst trainers at this course, which is a result of ten winners from one hundred thirty-one runners which is a strike rate of 8%.

Focusing only on jockeys who show a profit when backing all of their rides, top of the pile at Chepstow for the number of winners is Hollie Doyle who has produced a total of twenty-four winners in return for an LSP of +9.05. R Dawson is the jockey to follow at Chepstow if you are backing eachway as they show the best LSP of all the jockeys in the eachway markets, that is +37.03 which is courtesy of their twenty placings (eleven winners). A total of fifteen winners from one hundred thirty-eight rides at Chepstow has David Probert at the wrong end of the jockeys' list with their 11% strike rate and worst LSP of -70.11.

Chepstow Picks & Hints

Here are some factors at Chepstow for certain trainers or jockeys which have been profitable:

• 5-11 (45%) +72.13 - Backing R Dawson rides when over a trip of 7f
• 7-14 (50%) +16.84 - Backing Hollie Doyle rides when on horses aged 2yo
• 7-14 (50%) +11.82 - Backing Hollie Doyle rides when in a Maiden race

Chepstow Top Jockey and Trainer Combinations

Here are the best trainer and jockey combinations here at Chepstow based on the number of winners:

• 8 Wins: Eve Johnson Houghton & Charles Bishop
• 8 Wins: Christopher Mason & Gina Mangan
• 8 Wins: Archie Watson & Hollie Doyle
• 7 Wins: A Wintle & Finley Marsh
• 6 Wins: A W Carroll & Mollie Phillips

Chepstow Top Trainers By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

Chepstow Top Jockeys By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

Who are the best national hunt jockeys and trainers to bet on at Chepstow?

Following Sam Thomas would have returned a profit here at Chepstow with an LSP of +3.81 and their thirteen winners have them at the head of the profitable trainers' list. P F Nicholls does lead the trainers' list overall with sixty-one winners but shows an overall loss. When looking at trainers and looking for some eachway value at Chepstow then the trainer who shows the best eachway profit is Miss Rebecca Curtis, that LSP is +19.10 which has been accumulated by a total of thirty placings which includes twelve winners. Daniel Skelton does not have a great record at Chepstow, their LSP of -84.20 has them stone dead bottom of the trainers' list, which has come from fifteen winners from one hundred fifty-three runners which is a 10% strike rate.

Harry Cobden is the leading jockey here at Chepstow with forty-seven winners but you would have recorded a loss if you backed all of their rides whilst following Ben R Jones would have returned the most winners (twenty-one) from a profitable jockey. Ben R Jones is the jockey to follow at Chepstow if you are backing eachway as they show the best LSP of all the jockeys in the eachway markets, that is +45.60 which is courtesy of their forty-one placings (twenty-one winners). With an LSP of -70.26 at Chepstow, David G Noonan heads the list for worst jockeys at this course, which is a result of eleven winners from one hundred seventeen rides which is a strike rate of 9%.

Chepstow Picks & Hints

Here are some factors at Chepstow for certain trainers or jockeys which have been profitable:

• 5-12 (42%) +31.72 - Backing T Lacey runners when over a trip of 2m4f
• 5-10 (50%) +27.20 - Backing Sam Thomas runners when in a Novices Hurdle race
• 7-14 (50%) +25.55 - Backing Ben R Jones rides when on horses aged 8yo
• 5-12 (42%) +17.22 - Backing Stan Sheppard rides when on horses aged 8yo
• 16-35 (46%) +12.14 - Backing P F Nicholls runners when in a NH Flat race

Chepstow Top Jockey and Trainer Combinations

Here are the best trainer and jockey combinations here at Chepstow based on the number of winners:

• 40 Wins: P F Nicholls & Harry Cobden
• 17 Wins: Evan Williams & Adam Wedge
• 14 Wins: Jonjo O'Neill & Jonjo (Jr) O'Neill
• 12 Wins: Daniel Skelton & Harry Skelton
• 12 Wins: P F Nicholls & Lorcan Williams

Chepstow Top Trainers By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

Chepstow Top Jockeys By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

With a huge combined experience of horse racing between them, this content has been created and is maintained by Darren Brett, James Banting and Andy Powell. All of the data for Chepstow Racecourse which includes the favourite statistics, draw bias and the trainer and jockey statistics have been created using results from HorseRaceBase.

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy is a seasoned professional with more than 15 years of experience in the field of horse racing. He has a thorough understanding of the sport, from analyzing complex statistical data to being part of a winning syndicate at the Cheltenham Festival. Andy is responsible for managing the horse racing trend blogs on OLBG.