Chepstow Tips

Just inside the Welsh border, Chepstow is a busy track with around 32 race days a year covering flat and national hunt racing. It’s the most important race track in Wales holding four Graded National Hunt races.

Highlights: Welsh National and also the Welsh National Trial earlier in the month, the Finale Juvenile Hurdle, Persian War Novice Hurdle, and Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle, the quality of races is better over jumps than the flat, with predominantly handicaps on the flat.

The big meeting of the year is normally the day after Boxing Day with the Welsh National and Finale Hurdle taking place that day. The National meeting can suffer from inclement weather and has been cancelled 3 times in recent years.  

TV Channel: Sky Sports Racing

Bookmaker Streaming Services Available From Ladbrokes, William Hill.

If you are going racing at Chepstow today then be sure to download the OLBG app for all the latest Chepstow tips at the course.

* All statistics below are based on the previous five years at Chepstow

Chepstow Outright Favourite Statistics

• Flat Handicaps: 108-320 (34%) +13.07
• Flat Non-Handicaps: 50-107 (47%) -7.44
• Handicap Chases: 47-158 (30%) -15.18
• Handicap Hurdles: 38-118 (32%) -3.99
• Non-Handicap Chases: 7-19 (37%) -6.44
• Non-Handicap Hurdles: 73-144 (51%) +5.43

Left-handed, an oval configuration with the course undulating, making NH races stop-start, it's neither galloping nor speedy, horses over jumps need to get the distance, especially when the going is heavy, as it often is. A 5 furlong home straight takes some getting when horses are becoming tired.

Chepstow Racecourse Address: St Lawrence Rd, Chepstow NP16 6BE

Chepstow Racecourse Telephone: 01291 622260

To buy tickets for a race day at Chepstow, head over to their official ticket booking webpage.

It is key to know that the flat course has a long 1 mile straight, running in a straight line for a mile can take a lot out of a horse, and it seems a long way home.

Bends slow horses down, with no bends you can get inexperienced jockeys going off too fast and not getting home, running in a straight line when the going is heavy is even more taxing for the horse.

Look to the top flat jockeys at Chepstow up to a mile as we feel the course needs to be ridden well and pace handled perfectly which the better more experienced jockeys are ably equipped, Adam Kirby riding for Clive Cox is one example.  

When looking at the going description for the Welsh National over the last 10 years, it either featured the word heavy or soft in the description, in some cases both! So look for a mudlark at Chepstow just below top class who is well weighted to win National Hunt races. We would say that you should always check the going description at Chepstow, as this has more relevance to finding winners than at many other race tracks.  Trainers expect heavy and target those from their stables who do not mind 'Somme' like conditions.

The Chepstow fences are not the hardest in comparison to other courses but do find out tiring horses, they still need to be jumped!

Check above the brilliant OLBG member's Chepstow tips, members research and add their best tips, helping all of us in the battle to beat the bookies.

On non-racing days at Chepstow, why not head over to the racing predictions page to see what the tipsters are backing elsewhere?

Backing stall 1 at Chepstow over a trip of 1m2f is the most profitable stall and trip combination at Chepstow returning an LSP of +28.20 over the last five years. With an LSP of -52.94, the most unsuccessful stall at Chepstow is stall 1 when backing runners over a trip of 7f over the last five years.

Here we have the draw bias for Chepstow taken into consideration races with ten or more runners, we will break down the figures by race distance, draws can be much more important over the shorter trips in which runners do not have time to find their position during the race meaning the draw is probably more important than the races over longer distances.

• Sprints (5f to 7½f)
• Mile (1m to 1m1½f)
• Middle Distance (1m2f to 1m5½f)

The following table shows a breakdown over a group of trips and shows how each position of the draw does, for example in a twelve-runner race would be Low (Stalls 1-4), Mid (Stalls 5-8) and High (Stalls 9-12), the positions will always be lowest stall number to highest.

Who are the best flat jockeys and trainers to bet on at Chepstow?

Whilst A W Carroll is the most successful trainer at Chepstow with a total of nineteen winners, if you backed all of their runners you would be showing a loss. R M Beckett is the most successful trainer at Chepstow for those who show a profit if backing all their runners thanks to a total of sixteen winners and an LSP of +24.79. With an eachway LSP of +25.98 at Chepstow, P R Chamings leads the trainers in profit for backing eachway which has been helped by their eight placings which include a total of five winners. The trainer with the worst record at Chepstow based on LSP is Miss G Harris who has only a 7% strike rate with nine winners from one hundred twenty-seven runners which have returned an LSP of -69.67.

Rossa Ryan has produced a total of twenty-seven winners at the Chepstow racecourse and with an LSP of +23.66, they top the winner's list for jockeys who also show a profit. If you are more of an eachway player then you may want to know which jockey is best to follow at Chepstow and that would be Joshua Bryan who shows the best eachway LSP which is +24.27 thanks to their nineteen placings (seven winners). David Probert does not have a great record at Chepstow, their LSP of -70.47 has them stone dead bottom of the jockeys' list, which has come from sixteen winners from one hundred seventy rides which is a 9% strike rate.

Chepstow Picks & Hints

Here are some factors at Chepstow for certain trainers or jockeys which have been profitable:

• 5-12 (42%) +19.25 - Backing A King runners when in a Handicap race
• 5-9 (56%) +16.39 - Backing Simon Crisford runners when horses are aged 3yo
• 5-11 (45%) +10.48 - Backing R M Beckett runners when in a Maiden race

Chepstow Top Jockey and Trainer Combinations

Here are the best trainer and jockey combinations here at Chepstow based on the number of winners:

• 8 Wins: Eve Johnson Houghton & Charles Bishop
• 6 Wins: A W Carroll & Mollie Phillips
• 6 Wins: Archie Watson & Hollie Doyle
• 5 Wins: B R Millman & Ross Coakley
• 5 Wins: A Wintle & Finley Marsh

Chepstow Top Trainers By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

Chepstow Top Jockeys By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

Who are the best national hunt jockeys and trainers to bet on at Chepstow?

P F Nicholls is the leading trainer here at Chepstow with sixty winners but you would have recorded a loss if you backed all of their runners whilst following D Brace would have returned the most winners (six) from a profitable trainer. If you are more of an eachway player then you may want to know which trainer is best to follow at Chepstow and that would be Dr R D P Newland who shows the best eachway LSP which is +16.69 thanks to their nine placings (three winners). The trainer with the worst record at Chepstow based on LSP is Tim Vaughan who has only a 7% strike rate with ten winners from one hundred forty-six runners who have returned an LSP of -64.87.

Backing all of the Harry Cobden rides would have produced backing the most winners for a jockey here at Chepstow with forty-two but you would have returned a loss by doing so, Ben R Jones leads the way for profitable jockey with an LSP of +9.58 from their sixteen winners. With an eachway LSP of +22.95 at Chepstow, Ned Fox leads the jockeys in profit for backing eachway which has been helped by their five placings which include a total of three winners. David G Noonan does not have a great record at Chepstow, their LSP of -78.07 has them stone dead bottom of the jockeys' list, which has come from nine winners from one hundred eighteen rides which is an 8% strike rate.

Chepstow Picks & Hints

Here are some factors at Chepstow for certain trainers or jockeys which have been profitable:

• 5-12 (42%) +17.22 - Backing Stan Sheppard rides when on horses aged 8yo
• 5-8 (63%) +12.63 - Backing Gavin Sheehan rides when in a Handicap Novices Chase race
• 6-10 (60%) +10.08 - Backing Lorcan Williams rides when in a NH Flat race

Chepstow Top Jockey and Trainer Combinations

Here are the best trainer and jockey combinations here at Chepstow based on the number of winners:

• 40 Wins: P F Nicholls & Harry Cobden
• 16 Wins: Evan Williams & Adam Wedge
• 15 Wins: Jonjo O'Neill & Jonjo (Jr) O'Neill
• 13 Wins: Fergal O'Brien & P J Brennan
• 12 Wins: P F Nicholls & Lorcan Williams

Chepstow Top Trainers By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

Chepstow Top Jockeys By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

With a huge combined experience of horse racing between them, this content has been created and is maintained by Darren Brett, James Banting and Andy Powell. All of the data for Chepstow Racecourse which includes the favourite statistics, draw bias and the trainer and jockey statistics have been created using results from HorseRaceBase.

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy is a seasoned professional with more than 15 years of experience in the field of horse racing. He has a thorough understanding of the sport, from analyzing complex statistical data to being part of a winning syndicate at the Cheltenham Festival. Andy is responsible for managing the horse racing trend blogs on OLBG.