Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Welsh Grand National Trial Preview
Scheduled to take place in early December of each year at the Chepstow racecourse is the Welsh Grand National Trial, the race serves as a trial for the Welsh Grand National which takes place on 27th December. Contested over a distance of two miles, seven and a half furlongs the runners face a today of eighteen fences in their quest for a victory.
The 2020 winner (Secret Reprieve), the 2021 winner (Iwilldoit) and the 2023 winner (Nassalam), all went on to win the Welsh National after winning this race, a feat that was also achieved by the 2011 winner Le Beau Bai.
Welsh Grand National Trial Information:
- Welsh Grand National Trial Past Winners
- Welsh Grand National Trial Trainer Statistics
- Welsh Grand National Trial Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Chepstow then head over to the Chepstow tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Chepstow Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Welsh Grand National Trial market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 14 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 14 renewals of the Welsh Grand National Trial, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Welsh Grand National Trial Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Welsh Grand National Trial Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Welsh Grand National Trial over the last 14 renewals:
- De La Bech (6:04.00) in 2013
- Farinet (6:04.12) in 2022
- Lamb Or Cod (6:07.70) in 2016
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 14 if you had followed the winner of the Welsh Grand National Trial next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 14 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +13.50. Ahead of the 2024 Welsh Grand National Trial why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 14 renewals, it was De La Bech, trained by Philip Hobbs and ridden by James Best who set the fastest winning time in the Welsh Grand National Trial, the runner won the race in a time of 6:04.00 when winning the race in 2013. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Richard Lee and jockey Mr O Greenall with Le Beau Bai who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 6:47.90 in the 2009 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Welsh Grand National Trial Past Winners
Here are the Welsh Grand National Trial past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Welsh Grand National Trial are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: The 2024 renewal was abandoned due to severe weather.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 6:33.70 | Nassalam (FR) 6yo 10-12 3/1 | Caoilin Quinn (3lbs) Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2022 6:04.12 | Farinet (FR) 7yo 10-0 5/1 | Shane Quinlan (5lbs) Venetia Williams (GB) |
| 2021 6:09.71 | Iwilldoit (GB) 8yo 10-6 12/1 | Stan Sheppard Sam Thomas (GB) |
| 2020 6:26.28 | Secret Reprieve (IRE) 6yo 10-13 5/1 | James Bowen Evan Williams (GB) |
| 2019 6:33.60 | Acting Lass (IRE) 8yo 11-7 3/1 | Paddy Brennan Harry Fry (GB) |
| 2018 6:31.50 | Ramses De Teillee (FR) 6yo 11-10 2/1F | David Noonan David Pipe (GB) |
| 2017 6:30.80 | Wild West Wind (IRE) 8yo 10-13 6/1 | Ciaran Gethings (3lbs) Tom George (GB) |
| 2016 6:07.70 | Lamb Or Cod (IRE) 9yo 10-11 6/1F | Richard Johnson Philip Hobbs (GB) |
| 2015 6:31.50 | Tour Des Champs (FR) 8yo 10-5 7/2F | Jamie Bargary (5lbs) Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
| 2014 6:15.30 | Rebeccas Choice (IRE) 11yo 10-11 16/1 | Robert Dunne Dai Burchell (GB) |
Welsh Grand National Trial Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Welsh Grand National Trial over the last 14 renewals with both David Pipe and Philip Hobbs who have both won the race two times. David Pipe winners have been with Sona Sasta (2012) and Ramses De Teillee (2018). Philip Hobbs winners have been with De La Bech (2013) and Lamb Or Cod (2016). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Welsh Grand National Trial, Paul Nicholls has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Welsh Grand National Trial trainer statistics over the last 14 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Pipe | 8-2-5 | -0.50 | +0.25 |
| Philip Hobbs | 7-2-2 | +5.00 | +1.15 |
| Venetia Williams | 11-1-2 | -5.00 | +1.75 |
| Evan Williams | 7-1-4 | -1.00 | +1.85 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 6-1-2 | -1.50 | -1.96 |
| Dai Burchell | 3-1-1 | +14.00 | +7.60 |
| Tom George | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.60 |
| Harry Fry | 2-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.88 |
| Sam Thomas | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +7.20 |
| Gary Moore | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.80 |
Welsh Grand National Trial Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top Welsh Grand National Trial jockey statistics over the last 14 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stan Sheppard | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.20 |
| Ciaran Gethings | 3-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.60 |
| Jamie Bargary | 3-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.10 |
| Robert Dunne | 2-1-1 | +15.00 | +8.60 |
| James Best | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.40 |
| David Noonan | 2-1-1 | +1.00 | +0.20 |
| James Bowen | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.00 |
| Shane Quinlan | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.00 |
| Caoilin Quinn | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.80 |
| Adam Wedge | 8-0-5 | -8.00 | -0.90 |
2025 Welsh Grand National Trial Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): UR, 6, 3, 3, PU, (1, 2), (1, 9, 12), 8, 1, 3, 7, 7, PU, PU
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 14 / 14 (70%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 14 / 14 (75%) - Ran over 2m4f - 3m2½f (LTO)
- 14 / 14 (77%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 14 / 14 (84%) - Ran over 2m3½f - 3m4f (Last Win)
- 14 / 14 (85%) - Carried 151 - 170lbs (Last Win)
- 14 / 14 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 115+ (Going)
- 14 / 14 (86%) - Fewer than 8 races (Class)
- 14 / 14 (87%) - Furthest ran 3m - 4m1½f
- 14 / 14 (88%) - Fewer than 1 wins (Season)
- 14 / 14 (89%) - Held an OR of 126+ (Last 3)
- 14 / 14 (89%) - Not in a G1-3/LST/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 14 / 14 (89%) - Beaten no more -34l (LTO)
- 13 / 14 (78%) - No older than a 9yo
- 12 / 14 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 134+ (Career)
- 11 / 14 (44%) - No bigger than 11/4 (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Chepstow racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Welsh Grand National Trial. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Welsh Grand National Trial by adding a tip on the race here.
Welsh Grand National Trial Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 7+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +29.50 is when runners had recorded 0 career falls.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had recorded 2 career non-finishes, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-26.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Welsh Grand National Trial is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 14 winners from a total of 141 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 2 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Welsh Grand National Trial, that stallion Cadoudal has produced 2 winners (2011,2009).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Welsh Grand National Trial despite multiple attempts:
- Kayf Tara (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Milan (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Beneficial (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Presenting (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 14 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Rebeccas Choice in 2014, winning for Dai Burchell at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Robert Dunne. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 14 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Welsh Grand National Trial head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Welsh Grand National Trial Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
