Dahlbury Handicap Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Christmas Meeting)

Updated: 255 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Dahlbury Handicap Chase will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Dahlbury Handicap Chase, a race run over 3m2f at Cheltenham during the Christmas Meeting.

Dahlbury Handicap Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Christmas Meeting)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Dahlbury Handicap Chase Preview

Scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Cheltenham racecourse during The two-day Christmas Meeting is this Handicap Chase which holds Grade 3 status and is now a Premier Handicap under the new BHA format and is currently run as the  Favourite From The Sun Now Daily Handicap Chase. Contested over three miles and two furlongs, the race is run on the new course and the runners will face a total of twenty-two fences in what can be a gruelling race.

Dahlbury Handicap Chase Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Cheltenham tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Cheltenham Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Dahlbury Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2011 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Dahlbury Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Dahlbury Handicap Chase Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Dahlbury Handicap Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 0 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -19.00. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Dahlbury Handicap Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 6:28.30 was set by Midnight Chase in 2010, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Neil Mulholland and ridden by Dougie Costello. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Master Overseer won in a time of 7:10.08, booked to ride was Tom Scudamore on this David Pipe trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Dahlbury Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Midnight Chase (6:28.30) in 2010
  2. Shakalakaboomboom (6:29.18) in 2011
  3. Over The Creek (6:32.22) in 2007

Dahlbury Handicap Chase Past Winners

Here are the Dahlbury Handicap Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Dahlbury Handicap Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Broadway Boy (IRE)
5yo 10-9 11/8F
Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
Evas Oskar (IRE)
8yo 11-12 8/1
Alan Johns
Tim Vaughan (GB)
Commodore (FR)
9yo 10-0 7/1
Charlie Deutsch
Venetia Williams (GB)
Storm Control (IRE)
7yo 10-3 5/1
Richard Patrick
Kerry Lee (GB)
Cogry (GB)
10yo 11-1 5/1
Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
Cogry (GB)
9yo 10-12 9/1
Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
Robinsfirth (IRE)
8yo 11-6 7/4
Robbie Power
Colin Tizzard (GB)
Theatre Guide (IRE)
9yo 11-4 15/2
Paddy Brennan
Colin Tizzard (GB)
Aachen (GB)
11yo 9-9 12/1
Charlie Deutsch (5lbs)
Venetia Williams (GB)
Benbane Head (USA)
10yo 9-11 16/1
Conor Shoemark (3lbs)
Martin Keighley (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Dahlbury Handicap Chase have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 36 placings from 189 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 12 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners

Dahlbury Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Dahlbury Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals with Nigel Twiston-Davies, David Pipe and Venetia Williams having all won the race three times. Nigel Twiston-Davies winners have been with Cogry (2018 & 2019) and Broadway Boy (2023). David Pipe winners have been with Over The Creek (2007), The Package (2009) and Master Overseer (2012). Venetia Williams winners have been with Mon Mome (2008), Aachen (2015) and Commodore (2021). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Dahlbury Handicap Chase, Philip Hobbs has sent a total of 16 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Dahlbury Handicap Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Nigel Twiston-Davies20-3-5-1.62-5.22
David Pipe13-3-3+13.00+4.10
Venetia Williams11-3-4+16.50+7.64
Paul Nicholls23-1-9-15.50-7.83
Nicky Henderson8-1-1-2.50-4.19
Alan King4-1-2+7.00+4.55
Neil Mulholland4-1-1-0.25-1.28
Martin Keighley2-1-2+15.00+9.60
Tim Vaughan2-1-1+7.00+3.80
Michael Scudamore2-1-2+5.00+4.30

Dahlbury Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Dahlbury Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals is Sam Twiston-Davies who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Cogry (2018 & 2019) and Broadway Boy (2023). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Dahlbury Handicap Chase is Charlie Deutsch (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Dahlbury Handicap Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Sam Twiston-Davies11-3-7+7.38+5.98
Charlie Deutsch5-2-2+16.00+8.40
Paddy Brennan9-1-2-0.50-2.41
Aidan Coleman6-1-3+0.50+1.24
Richard Patrick3-1-2+3.00+2.83
Dougie Costello3-1-1+0.75-0.28
Robbie Power3-1-2-0.25-0.06
Conor Shoemark2-1-2+15.00+11.35
Alan Johns1-1-1+8.00+4.80
Liam Heard1-1-1+6.50+3.90

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, PU, (2, 3), 1, 4, 2, 1, 3, 5, 2, 2, UR, (4, F), 4, 4, 5, 3, PU, 4, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Highest Placed is not G1/Cl4
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Within the first 8 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Made 2 - 13 starts (Going)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Furthest Placed 3m½f - 4m4f
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 5 - 16 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 2 wins (Higher Class)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 145 - 166lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran over 2m7f - 4m1½f (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in IRL (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Won is not G1/Cl4-5
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in FRA/SCO/WAL (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 5 placings (Higher Class)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - Achieved an RPR of 142+ (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 112+ (Hcps)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Dahlbury Handicap Chase. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Dahlbury Handicap Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Dahlbury Handicap Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +25.25 is when runners had 1 season place. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 1 (G1), when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-49.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Dahlbury Handicap Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Haydock, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Haydock last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 200 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 7 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Dahlbury Handicap Chase, that stallion Kings Theatre has produced 3 winners (2019,2018,2016).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Dahlbury Handicap Chase despite multiple attempts:

  • Accordion (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Milan (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Leading Counsel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Presenting (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Benbane Head in 2014, winning for Martin Keighley at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Conor Shoemark. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Other Principal races at Cheltenham racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Cheltenham racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in January (Festival Trials Day)

Races in January

Races in March (Cheltenham Festival)

Races in April

Races in October

Races in November (November Meeting)

Races in December (Christmas Meeting)

Article Authors

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Dahlbury Handicap Chase Preview, Tips, Runners and Trends are at hand, Darren and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
James Banting

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.

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