2023 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Preview, Trends & Analysis

A handicap chase over 2 miles 110 yards and fourteen fences to negotiate on the new course at Cheltenham. The Grand Annual Chase is the oldest race at the festival with the inaugural event taking place in 1834.

2023 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Preview

A handicap chase over two miles, one hundred and ten yards with fourteen fences to negotiate on the new course at Cheltenham.

The Grand Annual Chase is the oldest race at the festival with the inaugural event taking place in 1834 and will have a new Wednesday slot for the 2021 festival has moved from the Friday to make way for the new Grade 2 Liberthine Mares' Chase.

Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Content:

We also have a dedicated Cheltenham Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Colin Tizzard trained Oiseau De Nuit ridden by Mr S Clements who has set the fastest winning time in the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual, the runner won the race in a time of 3:52.80 that was set when winning the race in 2011. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Paul Nicholls and jockey Barry Geraghty with Le Prezien who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:21.80 in the 2018 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Johnny Henderson Grand Annual over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2011 - Oiseau De Nuit (3:52.80)
  • 2021 - Sky Pirate (3:55.44)
  • 2006 - Greenhope (3:55.90)

How competitive is the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 125%. The race in 2003 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 141%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual, the over-round has been 131%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £131 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -6.67. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual.

Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Past Winners

Here are the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
4:12.98
Global Citizen (IRE)
10yo 10-6 28/1
Kielan Woods
Ben Pauling (GB)
2021
3:55.44
Sky Pirate (GB)
8yo 11-6 14/1
Nick Scholfield
Jonjo O'Neill (GB)
2020
4:07.90
Chosen Mate (IRE)
7yo 11-4 7/2F
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2019
4:05.29
Croco Bay (IRE)
12yo 10-12 66/1
Kielan Woods
Ben Case (GB)
2018
4:21.80
Le Prezien (FR)
7yo 11-8 15/2
Barry Geraghty
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2017
4:01.40
Rock The World (IRE)
9yo 11-5 10/1
Robbie Power
Mrs John Harrington (IRE)
2016
3:59.20
Solar Impulse (FR)
6yo 11-0 28/1
Sam Twiston-Davies
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2015
4:09.50
Next Sensation (IRE)
8yo 11-2 16/1
Tom Scudamore
Michael Scudamore (GB)
2014
4:01.30
Savello (IRE)
8yo 11-5 16/1
Davy Russell
A J Martin (IRE)
2013
4:17.60
Alderwood (IRE)
9yo 10-11 3/1F
A P McCoy
Thomas Mullins (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual have been based:

  • GB: 14 winners with an additional 45 placings from 332 runners
  • IRE: 6 winners with an additional 14 placings from 80 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners

Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from St Pirran (2004), Andreas (2007), Solar Impulse (2016) & Le Prezien (2018). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual is Nicky Henderson (2 wins). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual, Venetia Williams (0-21), Philip Hobbs (0-14), David Pipe (0-10) & Dan Skelton (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Johnny Henderson Grand Annual trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Paul Nicholls 36-4-8 +19.50 +5.95
Nicky Henderson 41-2-12 +1.00 +7.01
Jonjo O'Neill 14-1-3 +1.00 -0.75
Alan King 14-1-3 -6.00 -3.12
Colin Tizzard 13-1-2 +28.00 +17.63
Nigel Twiston-Davies 10-1-2 +7.00 +5.63
Mrs John Harrington 8-1-2 +3.00 +0.31
A L T Moore 8-1-4 +0.50 +1.75
Ben Case 5-1-2 +62.00 +39.50
Henry Daly 5-1-1 +4.00 +1.00

Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual over the last 20 renewals is Davy Russell who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Tiger Cry (2008), Savello (2014) & Chosen Mate (2020). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual is Kielan Woods (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Johnny Henderson Grand Annual jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Davy Russell 8-3-6 +22.00 +16.19
Kielan Woods 6-2-3 +90.00 +57.00
Tom Scudamore 13-1-3 +4.00 +2.38
Paddy Brennan 12-1-4 +5.00 +10.14
Sam Twiston-Davies 9-1-1 +20.00 +9.50
Nick Scholfield 4-1-1 +11.00 +5.75
Robbie Power 4-1-2 +7.00 +4.31
Graham Lee 8-0-2 -8.00 -4.00
Aidan Coleman 8-0-1 -8.00 -5.00
Jamie Moore 7-0-1 -7.00 -3.37

2023 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,5,1,14,F,6,2,8,PU,7,12,1,(2,3),(4,PU),3,8,F,10,1,F,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Not Asc Don or San (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Had 3-8 wins (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Made 1-8 starts (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Never placed off bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Not 8lb+ vs race ave OR
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 149-166lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Made 1-7 starts (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran over 1m - 2m4f (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (73%) - Never ran further than 2m6f
  • 19 / 20 (73%) - Had contested at least a G2
  • 19 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 7/1 (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Avoid claimers
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Not 7lb+ vs ave weight
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - Field of 4-14 (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (82%) - OR of 129-147
  • 18 / 20 (83%) - Not 2yr+ older vs race ave

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual by adding a tip on the race here.

Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +152.00 is when runners had 0 wins in the past year. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 3 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-56.

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual are Sandown and Newbury, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 414 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 4 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual despite multiple attempts:

  • Beneficial (0 Wins from 16 runners)
  • Presenting (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Kayf Tara (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Doyen (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Croco Bay in 2019 when winning for Ben Case at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Kielan Woods. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2023 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Schedule at the Cheltenham Festival

Have a look at our racing tipsters Cheltenham predictions for the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual. Next up is the Champion Bumper, head over to find trends and tips.

Cheltenham Festival races for Tuesday 14th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Supreme Novices Hurdle
Constitution Hill (GB)
5yo - 9/4
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
14:10 Cheltenham
Arkle Challenge Trophy
Edwardstone (GB)
8yo - 5/2
Alan King
Tom Cannon
14:50 Cheltenham
Ultima Handicap Chase
Corach Rambler (IRE)
8yo - 10/1
Lucinda Russell
Derek Fox
15:30 Cheltenham
Champion Hurdle
Honeysuckle (GB)
8yo - 8/11
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Close Brothers Mares Hurdle
Maries Rock (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
16:50 Cheltenham
Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Brazil (IRE)
4yo - 10/1
Padraig Roche
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
Stattler (IRE)
7yo - 2/1
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Wednesday 15th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Ballymore Novices Hurdle
Sir Gerhard (IRE)
7yo - 8/11
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
Brown Advisory Novices Chase
LHomme Presse (FR)
7yo - 9/4
Venetia Williams
Charlie Deutsch
14:50 Cheltenham
Coral Cup (Link)
Commander Of Fleet (IRE)
8yo - 50/1
Gordon Elliott
Shane Fitzgerald
15:30 Cheltenham
Queen Mother Champion Chase
Energumene (FR)
8yo - 5/2
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
16:10 Cheltenham
Cross Country Chase
Delta Work (FR)
9yo - 5/2
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
16:50 Cheltenham
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual
Global Citizen (IRE)
10yo - 28/1
Ben Pauling
Kielan Woods
17:30 Cheltenham
Champion Bumper
Facile Vega (IRE)
5yo - 15/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Thursday 16th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Turners Novices Chase
Bob Olinger (IRE)
7yo - 6/5
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
14:10 Cheltenham
Pertemps Network Final
Third Wind (GB)
8yo - 25/1
Hughie Morrison
Tom OBrien
14:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Chase
Allaho (FR)
8yo - 4/7
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
15:30 Cheltenham
Stayers Hurdle
Flooring Porter (IRE)
7yo - 4/1
Gavin Cromwell
Danny Mullins
16:10 Cheltenham
Festival Plate
Coole Cody (IRE)
11yo - 22/1
Evan Williams
Adam Wedge
16:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle
Love Envoi (IRE)
6yo - 15/2
Harry Fry
Jonathan Burke
17:30 Cheltenham
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Chambard (FR)
10yo - 40/1
Venetia Williams
Miss Lucy Turner

Cheltenham Festival races for Friday 17th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
JCB Triumph Hurdle
Vauban (FR)
4yo - 6/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
County Handicap Hurdle
State Man (FR)
5yo - 11/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:50 Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
The Nice Guy (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
W P Mullins
Sean OKeeffe
15:30 Cheltenham
Cheltenham Gold Cup
A Plus Tard (FR)
8yo - 3/1
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup
Billaway (IRE)
10yo - 13/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins
16:50 Cheltenham
Mrs PP Mares Chase
Elimay (FR)
8yo - 9/4
W P Mullins
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle
Banbridge (IRE)
6yo - 12/1
Joseph Patrick OBrien
M M McDonagh

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