2023 Leopardstown Handicap Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Leopardstown Handicap Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Leopardstown Handicap Chase Preview

The Leopardstown Handicap Chase is run on the final day of the Dublin Racing Festival at the Leopardstown racecourse, a handicap chase open to runners aged five-year-old or older, the race is run over two miles and five furlongs where the runner will face fourteen fences.

It's a race where a low weight could pay dividends as since 2012 there has only been one winner carrying eleven stone or more so it pays to looks at those under eleven stone. Future Cheltenham form is worth looking out for here, Empire of Dirt won this in 2016 and went to Cheltenham a month later to land the Festival Plate and the 2019 winner Whisperinthebreeze was going well in the lead of the National Hunt Challenge Cup before falling.

Leopardstown Handicap Chase Content:

If you are interested in other predictions at Leopardstown then head over to the Leopardstown Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:08.30 was set by A Toi Phil in 2017, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Gordon Elliott and ridden by Jack Kennedy. The slowest winning time was set in 2006 when What A Native won in a time of 6:54.40, booked to ride was D J Casey on this C F Swan trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Leopardstown Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2017 - A Toi Phil (5:08.30)
  • 2019 - Whisperinthebreeze (5:18.00)
  • 2012 - Seabass (5:23.20)

How competitive is the Leopardstown Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 152%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Leopardstown Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 132%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £132 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Leopardstown Handicap Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +8.25. Whilst we wait for the 2023 Leopardstown Handicap Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Leopardstown Handicap Chase Past Winners

Here are the Leopardstown Handicap Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Leopardstown Handicap Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
5:37.30
Birchdale (IRE)
8yo 9-7 9/2F
Mark McDonagh (7lbs)
E Bolger (IRE)
2021
5:42.90
Off You Go (IRE)
8yo 10-8 10/1
Mark Walsh
C Byrnes (IRE)
2020
5:38.60
Glamorgan Duke (IRE)
7yo 9-11 33/1
Conor Maxwell
Paul John Gilligan (IRE)
2019
5:18.00
Whisperinthebreeze (GB)
6yo 10-1 7/1
Paddy Kennedy
Mrs John Harrington (IRE)
2018
5:33.40
Last Goodbye (IRE)
7yo 10-0 12/1
Adam Short (7lbs)
Miss Elizabeth Doyle (IRE)
2017
5:08.30
A Toi Phil (FR)
7yo 10-13 7/2F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2016
5:37.30
Empire Of Dirt (IRE)
9yo 9-11 8/1
Jonathan Moore (7lbs)
C A Murphy (IRE)
2015
5:36.10
Foxrock (IRE)
7yo 11-8 6/1
A P Heskin
T M Walsh (IRE)
2014
5:27.60
Hellberemembered (IRE)
11yo 10-4 10/1
Shane Butler (5lbs)
P G Fahey (IRE)
2013
5:56.70
Farrells Fancy (IRE)
9yo 9-6 9/1
Mark Enright (5lbs)
Terence O'Brien (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Leopardstown Handicap Chase have been based:

  • IRE: 20 winners with an additional 49 placings from 315 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Leopardstown Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Leopardstown Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals with both T M Walsh & C Byrnes who have both won the race 2 times. T M Walsh winners have been with Seabass (2012) & Foxrock (2015). C Byrnes winners have been with Cloudy Bays (2004) & Off You Go (2021). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Leopardstown Handicap Chase, W P Mullins (0-32), Noel Meade (0-16), Henry De Bromhead (0-13) & A J Martin (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Leopardstown Handicap Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
T M Walsh 8-2-5 +7.00 +9.31
C Byrnes 2-2-2 +13.00 +8.05
Gordon Elliott 22-1-4 -17.50 -14.96
A L T Moore 21-1-6 -13.50 -9.92
Mrs John Harrington 8-1-2 +0.00 -0.12
C A Murphy 5-1-1 +4.00 +0.80
Miss Elizabeth Doyle 4-1-1 +9.00 +4.50
Terence O'Brien 4-1-1 +6.00 +2.63
D E Fitzgerald 3-1-1 +12.00 +6.75
P G Fahey 2-1-1 +9.00 +5.25

Leopardstown Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics

There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Leopardstown Handicap Chase, Paul Townend has had a total of 10 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Leopardstown Handicap Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Mark Walsh 8-1-2 +3.00 +1.50
Jack Kennedy 7-1-2 -2.50 -2.81
Jonathan Moore 6-1-2 +3.00 +4.43
A P Heskin 6-1-1 +1.00 -1.25
Mark Enright 5-1-1 +5.00 +1.63
Conor Maxwell 3-1-1 +31.00 +18.63
Adam Short 3-1-1 +10.00 +5.50
Paddy Kennedy 1-1-1 +7.00 +4.38
Mark McDonagh 1-1-1 +4.50 +2.81
Paul Townend 10-0-1 -10.00 -9.33

2023 Leopardstown Handicap Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,(1,5),4,1,9,3,3,2,(6,8),(11,PU),(4,6),5,12,4,1,PU,4,6,4,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (67%) - Carried 148-163lbs (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Made 4-18 starts (Fences)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 16 starts (Hcps)
  • 19 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 19 / 20 (72%) - Made 10-27 starts (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (78%) - Had 1-5 placings (1 Year)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Contested a Class One
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Ran within last 50 days
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 6 placings (Hcps)
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - Ran over 2m - 2m4f (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 3 wins (Hcps)
  • 17 / 20 (47%) - Within first 7 of market
  • 17 / 20 (74%) - Avoid 8yo runners
  • 17 / 20 (79%) - Had 5-15 placings (Career)
  • 17 / 20 (82%) - Had 2-8 placings (Fences)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Leopardstown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Leopardstown Handicap Chase. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Leopardstown Handicap Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Leopardstown Handicap Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +0.50 is when runners had 0 career wins in Handicap races. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 2m4f last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-48.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Leopardstown Handicap Chase is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Thurles, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Thurles last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 301 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 15 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Leopardstown Handicap Chase:

  • Flemensfirth (3 Wins)
  • Presenting (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Leopardstown Handicap Chase despite multiple attempts:

  • Beneficial (0 Wins from 16 runners)
  • Old Vic (0 Wins from 12 runners)
  • Oscar (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Gold Well (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Stowaway (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Glamorgan Duke in 2020 when winning for Paul John Gilligan at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Conor Maxwell. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2023 Leopardstown Handicap Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Other Principal races at Leopardstown racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Leopardstown racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in September

Races in December

Races at The Dublin Racing Festival

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