You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Racing Post Novice Chase Preview
Scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Leopardstown Racecourse is the Racing Post Novice Chase. This Grade 1 sees the novice chasers face a total of eleven fences during the two miles and one furlong trip. The race features during the Christmas Festival, with it taking place on Boxing Day or Saint Stephen's Day in Ireland.
The race was originally axed after the 2023 renewal and was not run in 2024; however, for the 2025 schedule, the race was reinstated.
Racing Post Novice Chase Information:
- Racing Post Novice Chase Past Winners
- Racing Post Novice Chase Trainer Statistics
- Racing Post Novice Chase Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Leopardstown tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Racing Post Novice Chase, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Leopardstown throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered during the Irish Christmas Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Racing Post Novice Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Racing Post Novice Chase, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Racing Post Novice Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Racing Post Novice Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Racing Post Novice Chase races over the last 20 renewals:
- Defy Logic (4:00.90) in 2013
- Le Richebourg (4:03.80) in 2018
- Min (4:06.70) in 2016
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Racing Post Novice Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 10 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +5.49. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Racing Post Novice Chase, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Defy Logic, trained by Paul Nolan and ridden by Mark Walsh, who set the fastest winning time in the Racing Post Novice Chase. That runner won the race in a time of 4:00.90 in 2013. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Gordon Elliott and jockey B J Cooper with Clarcam who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 4:36.10 in the 2014 renewal.
Racing Post Novice Chase Past Winners
Here are the Racing Post Novice Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Racing Post Novice Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 4:21.60 | Found A Fifty (IRE) 6yo 11-12 16/5 | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2022 4:17.70 | Saint Roi (FR) 7yo 11-12 3/1 | Mark Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2021 4:11.10 | Ferny Hollow (IRE) 6yo 12-0 10/11F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2020 4:11.80 | Franco De Port (FR) 5yo 12-0 8/1 | B J Cooper W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 4:15.10 | Notebook (GER) 6yo 11-12 7/1 | Rachael Blackmore Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2018 4:03.80 | Le Richebourg (FR) 5yo 11-12 3/1 | Mark Walsh Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 4:13.60 | Footpad (FR) 5yo 11-12 4/6F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2016 4:06.70 | Min (FR) 5yo 11-12 4/5F | R Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2015 4:29.10 | Douvan (FR) 5yo 11-12 4/7F | Mr P W Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2014 4:36.10 | Clarcam (FR) 4yo 11-1 8/1 | B J Cooper Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Racing Post Novice Chase have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 21 placings from 124 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 2 runners
2023 Racing Post Novice Chase Replay
Racing Post Novice Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Racing Post Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins, who has won the race nine times, with those nine winners coming from Missed That (2005), Blackstairmountain (2011), Arvika Ligeonniere (2012), Douvan (2015), Min (2016), Footpad (2017), Franco De Port (2020), Ferny Hollow (2021) and Saint Roi (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Racing Post Novice Chase are Henry De Bromhead (2 wins) and Gordon Elliott (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Racing Post Novice Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 21-9-10 | +17.35 | +9.16 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 12-2-3 | -2.00 | -0.36 |
| Gordon Elliott | 8-2-3 | +5.20 | -0.34 |
| Noel Meade | 8-1-2 | +3.00 | -0.15 |
| E J O'Grady | 6-1-4 | -3.75 | -1.45 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 5-1-3 | -1.00 | +1.05 |
| Oliver McKiernan | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.50 |
| Paul Nolan | 3-1-3 | +1.50 | +2.29 |
| P A Fahy | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.40 |
| Mrs John Harrington | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -5.33 |
Racing Post Novice Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Racing Post Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Blackstairmountain (2011), Arvika Ligeonniere (2012), Footpad (2017) and Ferny Hollow (2021). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Racing Post Novice Chase is Mark Walsh (3 wins).
Here are some of the top Racing Post Novice Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Townend | 9-4-5 | +1.98 | -0.22 |
| Mark Walsh | 7-3-5 | +5.50 | +4.62 |
| Jack Kennedy | 5-1-2 | -0.80 | -3.34 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 3-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.38 |
| Mr P W Mullins | 2-1-1 | -0.43 | +0.00 |
| Keith Donoghue | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | +1.63 |
| Danny Mullins | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| Sean Flanagan | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Robbie Colgan | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | +2.00 |
| Jonathan Moore | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
2025 Racing Post Novice Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): PU, UR, F, 1, 2, 1, 5, F, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 1, 4, PU, 3, 1, 3, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (64%) - Break of 15 - 44 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 12/1
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Placed within last 1 start
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Beaten no more -5l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 62+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran over 1m3½f - 2m2f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - In a field of 5 - 17 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 136+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 1 - 4 races (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 5 - 18 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 18 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Career Win)
- 18 / 20 (86%) - Not fallen (Season)
- 17 / 20 (60%) - No bigger than 11/4 (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Leopardstown racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Racing Post Novice Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Racing Post Novice Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Racing Post Novice Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +33.00, is when runners had 2 career places over further.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when the runner's last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-27.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Racing Post Novice Chase is Navan; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Navan last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Fairyhouse; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Fairyhouse last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 121 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 5 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Racing Post Novice Chase:
- Coastal Path (2 Wins)
- Walk In The Park (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Follow The Plan in 2008, winning for Oliver McKiernan at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of John Cullen. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Racing Post Novice Chase.
Route to the Racing Post Novice Chase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Racing Post Novice Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2023 - Found A Fifty Fairyhouse - 2nd of 5 (11/4) | Drinmore Novice Chase |
| 2022 - Saint Roi Navan - 2nd of 15 (7/4) | Boardsmill Stud Irish EBF Beginners Chase |
| 2021 - Ferny Hollow Punchestown - 1st of 15 (8/15) | BetVictor Beginners Chase |
| 2020 - Franco De Port Thurles - 1st of 13 (8/15) | Killinan Beginners Chase |
| 2019 - Notebook Punchestown - 1st of 6 (11/4) | Elliott Group Craddockstown Novice Chase |
| 2018 - Le Richebourg Fairyhouse - 2nd of 11 (11/4) | Drinmore Novice Chase |
| 2017 - Footpad Navan - 1st of 6 (4/6) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase |
| 2016 - Min Navan - 1st of 17 (1/3) | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Beginners Chase |
| 2015 - Douvan Navan - 1st of 14 (59/50) | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Beginners Chase |
| 2014 - Clarcam Navan - 1st of 5 (10/11) | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Novice Chase |
Races Covered during the Irish Christmas Festival
Remember to head to the Leopardstown predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Racing Post Novice Chase. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Irish Christmas Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Friday Racing Post Novice Chase | Found A Fifty (IRE) 6yo - 16/5 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| Saturday Future Champions Novice Hurdle | Romeo Coolio (GB) 5yo - 7/4 | Gordon Elliott Sam Ewing |
| Saturday Paddy Power Chase | Perceval Legallois (FR) 7yo - 17/2 | Gavin Cromwell Mark Walsh |
| Saturday Paddy's Rewards Club Chase | Solness (FR) 6yo - 28/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| Sunday Irish Christmas Hurdle | Home By The Lee (IRE) 9yo - 15/8 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| Sunday Savills Chase | Galopin Des Champs (FR) 8yo - 5/6 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| Monday December Festival Hurdle | Brighterdaysahead (FR) 5yo - 5/2 | Gordon Elliott Sam Ewing |
| Monday Fort Leney Novice Chase | Croke Park (IRE) 6yo - 7/2 | Gordon Elliott Sam Ewing |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Racing Post Novice Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
