You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Paddy Power Chase Preview
Scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Leopardstown racecourse is the Paddy Power Chase. This Extended Handicap Chase is run over a trip of three miles, where the runners face a total of seventeen fences during the race.
Paddy Power Chase Information:
- Paddy Power Chase Past Winners
- Paddy Power Chase Trainer Statistics
- Paddy Power Chase Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Leopardstown, then head over to the Leopardstown tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered during the Irish Christmas Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Paddy Power Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 133%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 167%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Paddy Power Chase, the over-round has been 153%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ153 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Paddy Power Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Paddy Power Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Paddy Power Chase races over the last 20 renewals:
- Noble Endeavor (6:07.10) in 2016
- Auvergnat (6:07.90) in 2018
- Cross Appeal (6:09.00) in 2011
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Paddy Power Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -7.40. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Paddy Power Chase.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 6:07.10 was set by Noble Endeavor in 2016, trained by Gordon Elliott and ridden by Davy Russell, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2014 when Living Next Door won in a time of 6:45.90 for trainer A J Martin, who booked Denis O'Regan in the saddle.
Paddy Power Chase Past Winners
Here are the Paddy Power Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Paddy Power Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 6:12.10 | Perceval Legallois (FR) 7yo 11-4 17/2 | Mark Walsh Gavin Cromwell (IRE) |
| 2023 6:35.40 | Meetingofthewaters (IRE) 6yo 10-7 6/1 | Danny Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2022 6:24.10 | Real Steel (FR) 9yo 10-8 33/1 | Conor McNamara E McNamara (IRE) |
| 2021 6:20.10 | School Boy Hours (IRE) 8yo 10-8 12/1 | Sean Flanagan Noel Meade (IRE) |
| 2020 6:41.40 | Castlebawn West (IRE) 7yo 11-10 13/2 | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 6:24.50 | Roaring Bull (IRE) 6yo 10-9 16/1 | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2018 6:07.90 | Auvergnat (FR) 8yo 10-2 28/1 | Donal McInerney (3lbs) E Bolger (IRE) |
| 2017 6:17.80 | Anibale Fly (FR) 7yo 11-8 14/1 | Donagh Meyler A J Martin (IRE) |
| 2016 6:07.10 | Noble Endeavor (IRE) 7yo 11-3 6/1 | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2015 6:40.90 | Minella Foru (IRE) 6yo 10-8 7/1 | Barry Geraghty Edward P Harty (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Paddy Power Chase have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 60 placings from 529 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 16 runners
Paddy Power Chase Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Paddy Power Chase over the last 20 renewals, with both W P Mullins and A J Martin, who have both won the race three times. W P Mullins winners have been with Rockyaboya (2013), Castlebawn West (2020) and Meetingofthewaters (2023). A J Martin winners have been with Newbay Prop (2007), Living Next Door (2014) and Anibale Fly (2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Paddy Power Chase are Gordon Elliott (2 wins) and Noel Meade (2 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Paddy Power Chase. Henry De Bromhead (0-27), M F Morris (0-18), Joseph Patrick O'Brien (0-15) and Robert Tyner (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Paddy Power Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 68-3-7 | -45.50 | -44.59 |
| A J Martin | 17-3-6 | +34.00 | +23.00 |
| Gordon Elliott | 63-2-11 | -39.00 | -24.80 |
| Noel Meade | 33-2-5 | -12.00 | -8.74 |
| T J Taaffe | 11-1-2 | +4.00 | +1.75 |
| E McNamara | 9-1-2 | +25.00 | +16.63 |
| T M Walsh | 8-1-2 | -2.00 | -2.93 |
| Gavin Cromwell | 6-1-1 | +3.50 | +0.31 |
| E Bolger | 5-1-2 | +24.00 | +14.50 |
| P J Rothwell | 3-1-1 | +23.00 | +13.63 |
Paddy Power Chase Jockey Statistics
There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Paddy Power Chase; Brian Hayes has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Paddy Power Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Walsh | 17-1-1 | -7.50 | -10.69 |
| Paul Townend | 14-1-3 | -6.50 | -4.19 |
| Sean Flanagan | 11-1-1 | +2.00 | -2.50 |
| Jack Kennedy | 9-1-4 | +8.00 | +6.81 |
| Danny Mullins | 9-1-1 | -2.00 | -4.25 |
| Donagh Meyler | 6-1-1 | +9.00 | +3.75 |
| Conor McNamara | 4-1-2 | +30.00 | +21.63 |
| Donal McInerney | 1-1-1 | +28.00 | +17.50 |
| Brian Hayes | 10-0-0 | -10.00 | -10.00 |
| Robbie Colgan | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -2.87 |
2025 Paddy Power Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 18, BD, 11, 8, 12, 9, BD, 1, 2, 2, 4, 2, 3, 5, 2, PU, PU, 4, UR, 5
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Had 1 - 9 placings (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Achieved a TS of 94+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Ran in 11 - 34 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Off a break of 18 - 241 days
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in a G1/LST/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 127+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 5 - 19 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 22/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran in Ireland (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not BL/BR/GR/RG in colour
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 119+ (Hcps)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - Not fallen (Season)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Leopardstown racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Paddy Power Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Paddy Power Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Paddy Power Chase Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.00, is when runners had 2 starts in the past 180 days.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places in Handicap, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-114.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Paddy Power Chase is Navan; there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Navan last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Fairyhouse and Punchestown; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 518 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 27 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Paddy Power Chase; that stallion, Flemensfirth, has produced 2 winners (2016,2008).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Paddy Power Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Shantou (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Gold Well (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Kayf Tara (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Network (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Saddlers Hall (0 Wins from 8 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Wheresben in 2008, winning for Seamus Fahey at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Mr J A Fahey. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 1 winning favourite in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Paddy Power Chase, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Paddy Power Chase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Paddy Power Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Perceval Legallois Navan - 4th of 18 (10/1) | Troytown Handicap Chase |
| 2023 - Meetingofthewaters Cork - 1st of 14 (1/1) | I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Beginners Chase |
| 2022 - Real Steel Galway - 2nd of 11 (23/1) | Marlin Hotel Dublin, Supporting The National Breast Cancer Research Institute Handicap Chase |
| 2021 - School Boy Hours Punchestown - 6th of 15 (6/1) | Punchestown Listed Novice Handicap Chase |
| 2020 - Castlebawn West Punchestown - 3rd of 17 (14/1) | Alanna Homes Handicap Chase |
| 2019 - Roaring Bull Navan - 10th of 23 (16/1) | Troytown Handicap Chase |
| 2018 - Auvergnat Punchestown - 11th of 18 (7/1) | Sherry FitzGerald Lettings Handicap Hurdle |
| 2017 - Anibale Fly Fairyhouse - 9th of 15 (6/1) | Fairyhouse Winter Festival Listed Handicap Chase |
| 2016 - Noble Endeavor Navan - 4th of 25 (7/2) | Troytown Handicap Chase |
| 2015 - Minella Foru Fairyhouse - 2nd of 16 (4/1) | Fairyhouse Winter Festival Listed Handicap Chase |
Races Covered during the Irish Christmas Festival
Remember to head to the Leopardstown predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Paddy Power Chase. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Irish Christmas Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Friday Racing Post Novice Chase | Found A Fifty (IRE) 6yo - 16/5 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| Saturday Paddy's Rewards Club Chase | Solness (FR) 6yo - 28/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| Saturday Future Champions Novice Hurdle | Romeo Coolio (GB) 5yo - 7/4 | Gordon Elliott Sam Ewing |
| Saturday Paddy Power Chase | Perceval Legallois (FR) 7yo - 17/2 | Gavin Cromwell Mark Walsh |
| Sunday Irish Christmas Hurdle | Home By The Lee (IRE) 9yo - 15/8 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| Sunday Savills Chase | Galopin Des Champs (FR) 8yo - 5/6 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| Monday December Festival Hurdle | Brighterdaysahead (FR) 5yo - 5/2 | Gordon Elliott Sam Ewing |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Paddy Power Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
