Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Paddy Power Chase Preview
Scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Leopardstown racecourse is the Paddy Power Chase, this Extended Handicap Chase is run over a trip of three miles where the runners face a total of seventeen fences during the race.
Paddy Power Chase Information:
- Paddy Power Chase Past Winners
- Paddy Power Chase Trainer Statistics
- Paddy Power Chase Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Leopardstown tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Paddy Power Chase but will also have predictions for each meeting at Leopardstown throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Leopardstown Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Paddy Power Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 133%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 167%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Paddy Power Chase, the over-round has been 153%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £153 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Paddy Power Chase Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Paddy Power Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Paddy Power Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Noble Endeavor (6:07.10) in 2016
- Auvergnat (6:07.90) in 2018
- Cross Appeal (6:09.00) in 2011
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Paddy Power Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -14.90. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 6:07.10 was set by Noble Endeavor in 2016, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Gordon Elliott and ridden by Davy Russell. The slowest winning time was set in 2014 when Living Next Door won in a time of 6:45.90, booked to ride was Denis O'Regan by the trainer A J Martin.
Paddy Power Chase Past Winners
Here are the Paddy Power Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Paddy Power Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 6:12.10 | Perceval Legallois (FR) 7yo 11-4 17/2 | Mark Walsh Gavin Cromwell (IRE) |
| 2023 6:35.40 | Meetingofthewaters (IRE) 6yo 10-7 6/1 | Danny Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2022 6:24.10 | Real Steel (FR) 9yo 10-8 33/1 | Conor McNamara E McNamara (IRE) |
| 2021 6:20.10 | School Boy Hours (IRE) 8yo 10-8 12/1 | Sean Flanagan Noel Meade (IRE) |
| 2020 6:41.40 | Castlebawn West (IRE) 7yo 11-10 13/2 | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 6:24.50 | Roaring Bull (IRE) 6yo 10-9 16/1 | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2018 6:07.90 | Auvergnat (FR) 8yo 10-2 28/1 | Donal McInerney (3lbs) E Bolger (IRE) |
| 2017 6:17.80 | Anibale Fly (FR) 7yo 11-8 14/1 | Donagh Meyler A J Martin (IRE) |
| 2016 6:07.10 | Noble Endeavor (IRE) 7yo 11-3 6/1 | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2015 6:40.90 | Minella Foru (IRE) 6yo 10-8 7/1 | Barry Geraghty Edward P Harty (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Paddy Power Chase have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 60 placings from 529 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 16 runners
Paddy Power Chase Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Paddy Power Chase over the last 20 renewals with both W P Mullins and A J Martin who have both won the race three times. W P Mullins winners have been with Rockyaboya (2013), Castlebawn West (2020) and Meetingofthewaters (2023). A J Martin winners have been with Newbay Prop (2007), Living Next Door (2014) and Anibale Fly (2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Paddy Power Chase are Gordon Elliott (2 wins) and Noel Meade (2 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Paddy Power Chase, Henry De Bromhead (0-27), M F Morris (0-18), Joseph Patrick O'Brien (0-15) and Robert Tyner (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Paddy Power Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 68-3-7 | -45.50 | -44.59 |
| A J Martin | 17-3-6 | +34.00 | +23.00 |
| Gordon Elliott | 63-2-11 | -39.00 | -24.80 |
| Noel Meade | 33-2-5 | -12.00 | -8.74 |
| T J Taaffe | 11-1-2 | +4.00 | +1.75 |
| E McNamara | 9-1-2 | +25.00 | +16.63 |
| T M Walsh | 8-1-2 | -2.00 | -2.93 |
| Gavin Cromwell | 6-1-1 | +3.50 | +0.31 |
| E Bolger | 5-1-2 | +24.00 | +14.50 |
| P J Rothwell | 3-1-1 | +23.00 | +13.63 |
Paddy Power Chase Jockey Statistics
There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Paddy Power Chase, Brian Hayes has ridden 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Paddy Power Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Walsh | 17-1-1 | -7.50 | -10.69 |
| Paul Townend | 14-1-3 | -6.50 | -4.19 |
| Sean Flanagan | 11-1-1 | +2.00 | -2.50 |
| Jack Kennedy | 9-1-4 | +8.00 | +6.81 |
| Danny Mullins | 9-1-1 | -2.00 | -4.25 |
| Donagh Meyler | 6-1-1 | +9.00 | +3.75 |
| Conor McNamara | 4-1-2 | +30.00 | +21.63 |
| Donal McInerney | 1-1-1 | +28.00 | +17.50 |
| Brian Hayes | 10-0-0 | -10.00 | -10.00 |
| Robbie Colgan | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -2.87 |
2025 Paddy Power Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 18, BD, 11, 8, 12, 9, BD, 1, 2, 2, 4, 2, 3, 5, 2, PU, PU, 4, UR, 5
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Had 1 - 9 placings (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Achieved a TS of 94+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Ran in 11 - 34 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Off a break of 18 - 241 days
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in a G1/LST/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 127+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 5 - 19 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 22/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran in Ireland (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not BL/BR/GR/RG in colour
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 119+ (Hcps)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - Not fallen (Season)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Leopardstown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Paddy Power Chase. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Paddy Power Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Paddy Power Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.00 is when runners had 2 starts in the past 180 days.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places in Handicap, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-114.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Paddy Power Chase is Navan, there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Navan last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Fairyhouse and Punchestown, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 518 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 27 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Paddy Power Chase, that stallion Flemensfirth has produced 2 winners (2016,2008).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Paddy Power Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Shantou (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Gold Well (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Kayf Tara (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Network (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Saddlers Hall (0 Wins from 8 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Wheresben in 2008, winning for Seamus Fahey at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Mr J A Fahey. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Paddy Power Chase head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Paddy Power Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
