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2022 Porterstown Handicap Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis (Winter Festival)

Published: Nov 18, 2:26pm Last Updated: Nov 29, 2:10pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 24 Views

2022 Porterstown Handicap Chase Preview

Scheduled to take place in either late November or early December of each year at the Fairyhouse Racecourse is this Grade B Handicap Chase which features at the Winter Festival. The race was previously run over two miles and one furlong but in 2017 was cut back by half a furlong. Due to the time of the year, the ground can be demanding and it has proved fruitful in recent years to look beyond those at the head of the market with plenty of double-figure priced winners.

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Fairyhouse Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2021 renewal when Smoking Gun from Gordon Elliott who under the guidance of Denis O'Regan, won in a time of 7:37.10, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Duca De Thaix, trained by Gordon Elliott and ridden by Davy Russell set the quickest time of 4:09.00 in the 2018 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Porterstown Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Duca De Thaix (4:09.00)
  • 2013 - Sraid Padraig (4:11.10)
  • 2010 - Peak Raider (4:15.10)

How competitive is the Porterstown Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2003 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2002 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 175%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Porterstown Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 128% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £128 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Porterstown Handicap Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.00. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Porterstown Handicap Chase see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Porterstown Handicap Chase Past Winners

Here are the Porterstown Handicap Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Porterstown Handicap Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
7:37.10
Smoking Gun (IRE)
8yo 10-4 10/1
Denis O'Regan
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2020
4:23.30
Impact Factor (IRE)
8yo 11-3 11/1
Sean O'Keeffe
Mrs John Harrington (IRE)
2019
4:26.20
Avenir DUne Vie (FR)
9yo 10-9 4/1
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2018
4:09.00
Duca De Thaix (FR)
5yo 11-5 3/1
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2017
4:15.60
Nearly Namad (IRE)
9yo 10-8 20/1
L P Dempsey
Augustine Leahy (IRE)
2016
4:17.10
Peoples Park (IRE)
7yo 10-3 7/2F
Mark Walsh
T J Taaffe (IRE)
2015
4:29.70
Nearly Namad (IRE)
7yo 10-6 40/1
Roger Loughran
Ms Sandra Hughes (IRE)
2014
4:19.60
Mister Hotelier (IRE)
7yo 10-5 5/1
Robbie Colgan
C A Murphy (IRE)
2013
4:11.10
Sraid Padraig (IRE)
7yo 10-13 14/1
Danny Mullins
A J Martin (IRE)
2012
4:29.80
Lead Kindly Light (IRE)
8yo 10-5 11/1
Andrew Leigh
Sean Byrne (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Porterstown Handicap Chase have been based:

  • IRE: 20 winners with an additional 41 placings from 247 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners

Porterstown Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Porterstown Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals is Gordon Elliott who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Duca De Thaix (2018), Avenir DUne Vie (2019) & Smoking Gun (2021). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Porterstown Handicap Chase, Noel Meade has sent a total of 14 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Porterstown Handicap Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Gordon Elliott 15-3-6 +5.00 +6.10
A L T Moore 20-1-5 -15.50 -8.36
A J Martin 12-1-4 +3.00 +4.50
Henry De Bromhead 10-1-3 -2.00 -1.82
W P Mullins 10-1-6 -3.00 +2.94
Paul Nolan 9-1-3 +1.00 -0.24
Mrs John Harrington 7-1-2 +5.00 +1.73
C A Murphy 6-1-2 +0.00 -0.49
T J Taaffe 3-1-3 +1.50 +3.85
Augustine Leahy 2-1-1 +19.00 +11.50

Porterstown Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Porterstown Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals is Davy Russell who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Vintage Treasure (2007) & Duca De Thaix (2018).

Here are some of the top Porterstown Handicap Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Davy Russell 11-2-4 +2.00 +1.30
Robbie Colgan 10-1-2 -4.00 -2.87
Mark Walsh 9-1-4 -4.50 -1.40
Paul Townend 8-1-5 -3.50 +3.15
Danny Mullins 5-1-2 +10.00 +6.45
Denis O'Regan 5-1-1 +6.00 +2.00
Jack Kennedy 5-1-2 +0.00 +0.38
L P Dempsey 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.50
Sean O'Keeffe 2-1-1 +10.00 +5.60
Robbie Power 8-0-1 -8.00 -6.87

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,(F,PU),1,7,7,F,5,4,13,F,1,2,PU,9,2,1,(9,13),4,4,10,PU

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Beaten no more 38l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No older than a 9yo
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on AW or Good (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 5 placings (Jockey)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 6 starts (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 11 starts (Jockey)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 3 wins (Jockey)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Field of 6-19 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - Fewer than 3 career falls
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 17 / 20 (66%) - Completed & in first 7 (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Fairyhouse racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Porterstown Handicap Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Porterstown Handicap Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Porterstown Handicap Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +70.50 is when runners had 0 career places with the jockey. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on good ground on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-35.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Porterstown Handicap Chase is Punchestown, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Navan and Galway, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 233 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 17 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Porterstown Handicap Chase:

  • Be My Native (2 Wins)
  • Beneficial (2 Wins)
  • Millenary (2 Wins)
  • Oscar (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Porterstown Handicap Chase, that stallion is Kings Theatre who has failed to produce a winner from 9 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Nearly Namad in 2015 when winning for Ms Sandra Hughes at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Roger Loughran. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Other Principal races at Fairyhouse racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Fairyhouse racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in November

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