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2022 Hattons Grace Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis (Winter Festival)

Published: Nov 18, 2:28pm Last Updated: Nov 29, 2:09pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 29 Views

2022 Hattons Grace Hurdle Preview

The Grade 1 Hatton's Grace Hurdle is the feature of the two-day Winter Festival at Fairyhouse which takes place in either late November or early December each year and is run on Sunday. The race is run over a distance of two miles and four furlongs where the runners face a total of twelve hurdles. The race is named in honour of the Vincent O'Brien triple winning champion hurdler, Hatton's Grace.

We also have a dedicated Fairyhouse Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 4:49.50 was set by Apples Jade in 2018, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Gordon Elliott and ridden by Jack Kennedy. The slowest winning time was set in 2020 when Honeysuckle won in a time of 5:24.60, booked to ride was Rachael Blackmore on this Henry De Bromhead trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Hattons Grace Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Apples Jade (4:49.50)
  • 2021 - Honeysuckle (4:50.10)
  • 2013 - Jezki (4:50.50)

How competitive is the Hattons Grace Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Hattons Grace Hurdle, the over-round has been 116% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Hattons Grace Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 13 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +7.05. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Hattons Grace Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Hattons Grace Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Hattons Grace Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
4:50.10
Honeysuckle (GB)
7yo 11-5 2/5F
Rachael Blackmore
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2020
5:24.60
Honeysuckle (GB)
6yo 11-5 4/11F
Rachael Blackmore
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2019
5:08.60
Honeysuckle (GB)
5yo 11-3 9/10F
Rachael Blackmore
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2018
4:49.50
Apples Jade (FR)
6yo 11-3 4/6F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2017
5:07.20
Apples Jade (FR)
5yo 11-3 1/1F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2016
4:57.80
Apples Jade (FR)
4yo 10-13 4/1
B J Cooper
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2015
5:11.40
Arctic Fire (GER)
6yo 11-10 4/5F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
5:01.60
Lieutenant Colonel (GB)
5yo 11-10 7/2
B J Cooper
Ms Sandra Hughes (IRE)
2013
4:50.50
Jezki (IRE)
5yo 11-10 4/6F
A P McCoy
Mrs John Harrington (IRE)
2012
5:13.70
Zaidpour (FR)
6yo 11-10 7/4F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)

Hattons Grace Hurdle Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Hattons Grace Hurdle over the last 20 renewals with all of W P Mullins, Gordon Elliott & Henry De Bromhead having all won the race 3 times. W P Mullins winners have been with Hurricane Fly (2010), Zaidpour (2012) & Arctic Fire (2015). Gordon Elliott winners have been with Apples Jade (2016), Apples Jade (2017) & Apples Jade (2018). Henry De Bromhead winners have been with Honeysuckle (2019), Honeysuckle (2020) & Honeysuckle (2021). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Hattons Grace Hurdle is C A Murphy (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Hattons Grace Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 33-3-9 -24.70 -18.33
Gordon Elliott 11-3-4 -2.33 -3.42
Henry De Bromhead 3-3-3 +1.66 +1.03
C A Murphy 7-2-5 +0.08 +0.80
Noel Meade 13-1-4 -10.00 -7.11
Mrs John Harrington 9-1-3 -7.33 -5.50
E J O'Grady 8-1-1 -5.25 -4.95
Thomas Mullins 3-1-1 +3.50 +1.44
M F Morris 3-0-1 -3.00 -1.81
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00

Hattons Grace Hurdle Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Hattons Grace Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Rachael Blackmore who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Honeysuckle (2019), Honeysuckle (2020) & Honeysuckle (2021). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Hattons Grace Hurdle are B J Cooper (2 wins) & Jack Kennedy (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Hattons Grace Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Rachael Blackmore 4-3-3 +0.66 +0.03
B J Cooper 5-2-3 +4.50 +2.88
Jack Kennedy 5-2-2 -1.33 -1.97
Davy Russell 11-1-5 -4.50 -2.08
Paul Townend 10-1-3 -6.25 -4.47
Robbie Power 6-0-1 -6.00 -5.05
Sean Flanagan 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00
Danny Mullins 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00
Mr P W Mullins 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00
Niall P Madden 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,(1,5),1,3,4,(1,2),1,4,2,2,(1,3),1,F,1,2,1,1,1,1,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (39%) - No bigger than 11/2
  • 20 / 20 (46%) - Within first 3 of market
  • 20 / 20 (62%) - No bigger than 6/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (73%) - No bigger than 5/1 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Beaten no more 12l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Held an OR of 144+
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Never sent off bigger than 33/1
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 1-7 wins (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Placed within last 2 starts
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Won within last 5 starts
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran over 2m - 2m6f (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Field of 4-12 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Last win was over hurdles

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Fairyhouse racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Hattons Grace Hurdle. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Hattons Grace Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Hattons Grace Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +3.38 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 places in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Hattons Grace Hurdle is Navan, there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Navan last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Punchestown, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 108 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 10 winners from a total of 25 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hattons Grace Hurdle:

  • Saddler Maker (3 Wins)
  • Sulamani (3 Wins)
  • Toulon (3 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Hattons Grace Hurdle, that stallion is Beneficial who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Oscar Dan Dan in 2009 when winning for Thomas Mullins at odds of 11/2 under the guidance of Davy Russell. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 13 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Hattons Grace Hurdle.

Other Principal races at Fairyhouse racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Fairyhouse racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in November

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