2023 Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle Preview

The Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle is scheduled to take place in February of each year during the Dublin Racing Festival at the Leopardstown racecourse and due to current sponsorship, it is known as the 'Nathaniel Lacy & Partners Solicitors Novice Hurdle'. The race is open to runners aged five or older who started the season as novices over hurdles with it run over a trip of two miles and six furlongs.

The race was created in 1999 with the original title being in dedication to Golden Cygnet, a former Edward O'Grady runner, it was previously run over two miles and four furlongs and was given Grade 3 status in 2003, upgraded to Grade 2 in 2008 and then upgraded again in 2018 to Grade 1.

Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle Content:

We also have a dedicated Leopardstown Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 4:41.00 was set by Lets Dance in 2017, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by W P Mullins and ridden by R Walsh. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Tower Bridge won in a time of 5:48.20, booked to ride was J J Slevin on this Joseph Patrick O'Brien trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2017 - Lets Dance (4:41.00)
  • 2004 - Watson Lake (4:44.40)
  • 2007 - Kazal (4:58.50)

How competitive is the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2003 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +4.61. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle.

Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
5:40.60
Minella Cocooner (IRE)
6yo 11-10 11/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)
2021
5:45.40
Gaillard Du Mesnil (FR)
5yo 11-10 13/8F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2020
5:32.70
Latest Exhibition (IRE)
7yo 11-10 7/2
B J Cooper
Paul Nolan (IRE)
2019
5:20.90
Commander Of Fleet (IRE)
5yo 11-8 13/2
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2018
5:48.20
Tower Bridge (IRE)
5yo 11-8 25/1
J J Slevin
Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE)
2017
4:41.00
Lets Dance (FR)
5yo 10-10 8/11F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2016
5:05.90
A Toi Phil (FR)
6yo 11-3 6/4F
B J Cooper
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
5:07.50
Outlander (IRE)
7yo 11-3 5/1
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
4:59.80
Sure Reef (IRE)
5yo 11-0 9/4F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2013
5:10.50
Pont Alexandre (GER)
5yo 11-7 4/7F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)

Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 8 times. Those 8 winners came from Boston Bob (2012), Pont Alexandre (2013), Sure Reef (2014), Outlander (2015), A Toi Phil (2016), Lets Dance (2017), Gaillard Du Mesnil (2021) & Minella Cocooner (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle are Mrs John Harrington (2 wins) & Noel Meade (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle, Henry De Bromhead has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 30-8-13 +2.93 -1.77
Mrs John Harrington 12-2-3 +13.00 +5.11
Noel Meade 12-2-3 -7.34 -7.62
Gordon Elliott 10-1-3 -2.50 -3.83
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 7-1-2 +19.00 +10.13
C Byrnes 4-1-3 +5.00 +3.65
Paul Nolan 4-1-1 +0.50 -0.90
P A Fahy 2-1-1 +9.00 +5.25
Eoin Griffin 1-1-1 +2.75 +1.72
John Joseph Hanlon 1-1-1 +1.75 +1.09

Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle over the last twenty renewals with both B J Cooper & Paul Townend who have both won the race 2 times. B J Cooper winners have been with A Toi Phil (2016) & Latest Exhibition (2020). Paul Townend winners have been with Outlander (2015) & Gaillard Du Mesnil (2021). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle, Davy Russell has had a total of 16 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
B J Cooper 9-2-3 -2.00 -2.26
Paul Townend 8-2-4 +0.63 +0.36
Danny Mullins 5-1-2 +7.00 +4.08
J J Slevin 4-1-1 +22.00 +12.63
Jack Kennedy 4-1-2 +3.50 +1.17
Niall P Madden 2-1-2 +7.00 +4.78
Ian Power 1-1-1 +1.75 +1.05
Davy Russell 16-0-4 -16.00 -12.72
Robbie Power 7-0-2 -7.00 -4.17
Rachael Blackmore 4-0-1 -4.00 -2.60

2023 Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,1,2,1,2,3,2,2,1,1,1,(1,3),5,1,1,7,5,4,1,3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Career Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 7/1 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Finished first 4 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Within first 7 of market
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 2-7 starts (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 2-8 placings (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - No further 2m4½f (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Won by at least ¾l (Last Win)
  • 17 / 20 (78%) - No headgear fitted

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Leopardstown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races which are you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +44.20 is when runners had 2 career starts in Jumps (Hurdle) races. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 4th in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-24.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Navan, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Navan last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 142 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 15 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle:

  • Bob Back (2 Wins)
  • Stowaway (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle, that stallion is Old Vic who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Tower Bridge in 2018 when winning for Joseph Patrick O'Brien at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of J J Slevin. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 10 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races at Leopardstown racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Leopardstown racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in September

Races in December

Races at The Dublin Racing Festival

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