2023 Spring Juvenile Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Spring Juvenile Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Spring Juvenile Hurdle Preview

The Spring Juvenile Hurdle is a Grade 1 hurdle that is run during the Dublin Racing Festival at the Leopardstown racecourse in early February. The race is run over two miles and is open to four-year-old runners only, form here is usually very useful when looking at the Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival.

In 2018, the first two home, Mr Adjudicator & Farclas were 1-2 in the Triumph Hurdle the following month, the first two home in 2017 were 2nd & 3rd in the Triumph and the 2021 winner Quilixios went on to win the Triumph Hurdle too.

Spring Juvenile Hurdle Content:

If you are interested in other predictions at Leopardstown then head over to the Leopardstown Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:50.40 was set by Guitar Pete in 2014, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by D T Hughes and ridden by Barry Geraghty. The slowest winning time was set in 2010 when Pittoni won in a time of 4:15.10, booked to ride was Davy Russell on this C Byrnes trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Spring Juvenile Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2014 - Guitar Pete (3:50.40)
  • 2015 - Petite Parisienne (3:51.90)
  • 2019 - Sir Erec (3:52.60)

How competitive is the Spring Juvenile Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 136%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Spring Juvenile Hurdle, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Spring Juvenile Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -8.25. Ahead of the 2023 Spring Juvenile Hurdle why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today.

Spring Juvenile Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Spring Juvenile Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Spring Juvenile Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
4:02.20
Vauban (FR)
4yo 11-2 9/4
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2021
4:05.00
Quilixios (GB)
4yo 11-2 4/6F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2020
4:00.00
A Wave Of The Sea (IRE)
4yo 11-0 12/1
Barry Geraghty
Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE)
2019
3:52.60
Sir Erec (IRE)
4yo 11-0 13/8F
Mark Walsh
Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE)
2018
4:06.90
Mr Adjudicator (GB)
4yo 11-0 3/1
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2017
4:01.10
Mega Fortune (FR)
4yo 11-0 9/2
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2016
4:02.00
Footpad (FR)
4yo 11-0 14/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
3:51.90
Petite Parisienne (FR)
4yo 10-8 6/1
B J Cooper
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
3:50.40
Guitar Pete (IRE)
4yo 11-0 9/2
Barry Geraghty
D T Hughes (IRE)
2013
3:54.90
Our Conor (IRE)
4yo 11-0 100/30
B J Cooper
D T Hughes (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Spring Juvenile Hurdle have been based:

  • IRE: 20 winners with an additional 32 placings from 155 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners

Spring Juvenile Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Mister Hight (2006), Petite Parisienne (2015), Footpad (2016), Mr Adjudicator (2018) & Vauban (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle are Gordon Elliott (2 wins), Joseph Patrick O'Brien (2 wins) & D K Weld (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Spring Juvenile Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 27-5-15 +3.69 +7.26
Gordon Elliott 16-2-7 -8.83 -5.01
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 10-2-4 +5.63 +2.45
D K Weld 3-2-2 +9.00 +5.00
Noel Meade 10-1-3 -1.00 -2.82
E J O'Grady 7-1-2 -3.25 -3.40
Mrs John Harrington 6-1-2 +7.00 +9.30
E McNamara 2-1-1 +2.50 +1.19
John Joseph Murphy 1-1-1 +11.00 +6.60
C Byrnes 1-1-1 +0.67 +0.42

Spring Juvenile Hurdle Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Unaccompanied (2011), Mr Adjudicator (2018) & Vauban (2022). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle are Davy Russell (2 wins) & B J Cooper (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Spring Juvenile Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paul Townend 9-3-5 +1.75 +0.95
Davy Russell 9-2-3 -1.83 -3.26
B J Cooper 3-2-3 +8.33 +7.18
Mark Walsh 7-1-3 -4.37 +0.62
Jack Kennedy 5-1-3 -3.33 -1.88
Danny Mullins 4-1-3 +11.00 +11.34
Robbie Power 5-0-2 -5.00 +4.20
Rachael Blackmore 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00
Sean Flanagan 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00
Niall P Madden 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00

2023 Spring Juvenile Hurdle Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,4,4,3,1,3,5,2,1,1,7,2,4,2,4,2,4,1,F,1,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Career Place)
  • 20 / 20 (72%) - Placed (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Within first 6 of market
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Finished in first 3 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Run)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Placed with past 15-99 days
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in a Class 5 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2-9 placings (1 Year)
  • 19 / 20 (72%) - Not beaten by 6l+ (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - Made 5+ starts (1 Year)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Had placed (90 Days)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Had placed (Trip)
  • 18 / 20 (70%) - Had 3-7 placings (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Leopardstown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Spring Juvenile Hurdle. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Spring Juvenile Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Spring Juvenile Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +23.11 is when runners ran at Punchestown last time out. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-33.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Spring Juvenile Hurdle is Punchestown, there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 143 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 18 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle, that stallion is Montjeu who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Footpad in 2016 when winning for W P Mullins at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Spring Juvenile Hurdle see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races at Leopardstown racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Leopardstown racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in September

Races in December

Races at The Dublin Racing Festival

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