2023 Ladbrokes Novice Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Ladbrokes Novice Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Ladbrokes Novice Chase Preview

Registered as the Dr P. J. Moriarty Novice Chase, the race currently known as the Ladbrokes Novice Chase for sponsorship reasons is a race that was first run back in 1989. The race is run the Leopardstown racecourse over two miles and five furlongs with the novice chasers facing fourteen fences in this Grade 1 event which features at the Dublin Racing Festival.

Plenty of these usually go on to run in the RSA Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, Florida Pearl (1998), Cooldine (2009) & Bostons Angel (2011) have all won this race and then the RSA Chase.

Ladbrokes Novice Chase Content:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Leopardstown Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:23.60 was set by Apache Stronghold in 2015, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Noel Meade and ridden by Paul Carberry. The slowest winning time was set in 2007 when Mister Top Notch won in a time of 5:59.10, booked to ride was Conor O'Dwyer on this D E Fitzgerald trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Ladbrokes Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2015 - Apache Stronghold (5:23.60)
  • 2019 - La Bague Au Roi (5:26.00)
  • 2022 - Galopin Des Champs (5:28.10)

How competitive is the Ladbrokes Novice Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2014 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ladbrokes Novice Chase, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ladbrokes Novice Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +4.40. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Ladbrokes Novice Chase Past Winners

Here are the Ladbrokes Novice Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ladbrokes Novice Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
5:28.10
Galopin Des Champs (FR)
6yo 11-10 4/9F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2021
5:36.00
Monkfish (IRE)
7yo 11-12 1/2F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2020
5:34.40
Faugheen (IRE)
12yo 11-10 13/8F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2019
5:26.00
La Bague Au Roi (FR)
8yo 11-3 10/11F
Richard Johnson
Warren Greatrex (GB)
2018
5:34.80
Monalee (IRE)
7yo 11-10 11/4F
Noel Fehily
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2017
5:30.50
Disko (FR)
6yo 11-10 6/1
Sean Flanagan
Noel Meade (IRE)
2016
5:50.30
Outlander (IRE)
8yo 11-10 13/8F
B J Cooper
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
5:23.60
Apache Stronghold (IRE)
7yo 11-10 9/2
Paul Carberry
Noel Meade (IRE)
2014
5:34.90
Ballycasey (IRE)
7yo 11-10 2/1
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2013
5:51.10
Boston Bob (IRE)
8yo 11-10 6/4F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ladbrokes Novice Chase have been based:

  • IRE: 19 winners with an additional 26 placings from 144 runners
  • GB: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Ladbrokes Novice Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Ladbrokes Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 9 times. Those 9 winners came from Jy Vole (2008), Cooldine (2009), Citizen Vic (2010), Boston Bob (2013), Ballycasey (2014), Outlander (2016), Faugheen (2020), Monkfish (2021) & Galopin Des Champs (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ladbrokes Novice Chase are Noel Meade (2 wins) & Mrs John Harrington (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Ladbrokes Novice Chase, Gordon Elliott has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Ladbrokes Novice Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 40-9-17 -7.80 -5.14
Noel Meade 11-2-6 +1.50 +3.56
Mrs John Harrington 9-2-5 +4.33 +2.92
Henry De Bromhead 5-1-1 -1.25 -2.35
E J O'Grady 5-1-1 -3.00 -2.40
Philip Fenton 3-1-2 -1.27 -0.70
A L T Moore 2-1-1 +15.00 +8.60
Anthony Mullins 2-1-1 +5.00 +2.75
D E Fitzgerald 1-1-1 +14.00 +8.40
Warren Greatrex 1-1-1 +0.91 +0.57

Ladbrokes Novice Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Ladbrokes Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Citizen Vic (2010), Boston Bob (2013), Faugheen (2020), Monkfish (2021) & Galopin Des Champs (2022). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Ladbrokes Novice Chase are Davy Russell (2 wins) & Robbie Power (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Ladbrokes Novice Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paul Townend 10-5-6 +11.07 +6.57
Davy Russell 14-2-4 +4.73 -0.25
Robbie Power 10-2-5 +3.33 +1.80
B J Cooper 6-1-4 -3.37 +2.29
Sean Flanagan 5-1-2 +2.00 +1.00
Mark Walsh 4-0-1 -4.00 -2.40
Jack Kennedy 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00
Rachael Blackmore 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00
David Mullins 2-0-1 -2.00 -0.60
Danny Mullins 2-0-0 -2.00 -2.00

2023 Ladbrokes Novice Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,F,1,PU,5,(4,UR),1,(1,3),3,3,1,1,2,2,1,F,(1,PU),1,(1,F),1,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Beaten no more than 8l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Placed with past 17-91 days
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more 20l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Field of 9-30 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (90%) - Made 1-5 starts (180 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - At least a 17 day break
  • 19 / 20 (74%) - 4-11 Runner field (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Had 1-3 placings (Fences)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Won over 2m4f+
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Won within last 3 starts
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 5 starts (Season)
  • 19 / 20 (90%) - Fewer than 18 starts (Career)
  • 18 / 20 (70%) - Ran in a NHF race (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (74%) - Contested a Grade 1
  • 18 / 20 (78%) - Won within last 100 days

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Leopardstown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ladbrokes Novice Chase. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Ladbrokes Novice Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Ladbrokes Novice Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +20.86 is when runners had 3 places in the past year. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran at Fairyhouse when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ladbrokes Novice Chase is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Limerick, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Limerick last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 142 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 3 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ladbrokes Novice Chase:

  • Milan (2 Wins)
  • Old Vic (2 Wins)
  • Stowaway (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Ladbrokes Novice Chase, that stallion is Oscar who has failed to produce a winner from 7 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was The Railway Man in 2006 when winning for A L T Moore at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Davy Russell. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 11 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2023 Ladbrokes Novice Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Other Principal races at Leopardstown racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Leopardstown racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in September

Races in December

Races at The Dublin Racing Festival

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