Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

History, data, and trends combine in our look at the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase, run over 2m4½f at Cheltenham. Here, we reveal the winning profiles, connection records, and the statistical patterns that could help guide your selection this year.
Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase Preview

The New Year's Day Handicap Chase is, as the name would suggest, run on New Year's Day at the Cheltenham racecourse. This Premier Handicap is open to runners who are aged five or older. It is contested over a distance of two miles, four and a half furlongs, during which a total of seven fences are to be jumped.

Given the time of year, the ground is usually pretty demanding; it's been run on either Heavy or Soft ground more than any other, so consider that when making your bets.

Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Cheltenham tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Cheltenham Racecourse section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ119 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Matata (5:10.36) in 2026
  2. Aso (5:10.60) in 2019
  3. Fondmort (5:13.90) in 2006

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +3.00. Ahead of the 2027 Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Matata, trained by Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies and ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies, who set the fastest winning time in the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase. That runner won the race in a time of 5:10.36 in 2026. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies and jockey Sam Twiston-Davies with Double Ross who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 5:47.37 in the 2014 renewal.

What the expert says...
The 2024 winner, Shakem UpArry, went on to run at Festival (Festival Plate) next time out. He was the third winner from the past six renewals to go to that race next time out, a race that he went on to win.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase Past Winners

Here are the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2026
5:10.36
Matata (IRE)
8yo 11-12 6/1
Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies (GB)
2025
5:31.64
Springwell Bay (GB)
8yo 11-3 11/4F
Jonjo O'Neill Jr
Jonjo & A J O'Neill (GB)
2024
5:25.53
Shakem UpArry (IRE)
10yo 10-2 11/2
Ben Jones
Ben Pauling (GB)
2023
5:22.79
Midnight River (GB)
8yo 11-4 6/1
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2022
5:23.57
Vienna Court (IRE)
7yo 10-6 10/1
Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
2020
5:29.61
Oldgrangewood (GB)
9yo 10-7 12/1
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2019
5:10.60
Aso (FR)
9yo 11-12 3/1F
Charlie Deutsch
Venetia Williams (GB)
2018
5:36.30
Ballyhill (FR)
7yo 10-2 9/1
Jamie Bargary (3lbs)
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
2017
5:31.00
Shantou Flyer (IRE)
7yo 11-2 20/1
Aidan Coleman
Rebecca Curtis (GB)
2016
5:31.50
Village Vic (IRE)
9yo 10-10 7/2F
Richard Johnson
Philip Hobbs (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 37 placings from 222 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals is Nigel Twiston-Davies, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Double Ross (2014), Splash Of Ginge (2015), Ballyhill (2018) and Vienna Court (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase are Venetia Williams (2 wins) and Dan Skelton (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Nigel Twiston-Davies19-4-6+9.88+5.45
Venetia Williams17-2-4+2.00-2.01
Dan Skelton6-2-3+14.00+8.38
Paul Nicholls28-1-9-17.00-5.71
Nicky Henderson14-1-3-9.67-7.73
Philip Hobbs11-1-4-6.50-4.31
Jonjo O'Neill8-1-2+1.00+1.63
David Pipe6-1-2+2.00+2.38
Tom George3-1-1+5.00+2.38
Ben Pauling2-1-1+4.50+2.44

Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals is Sam Twiston-Davies, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Double Ross (2014), Vienna Court (2022) and Matata (2026). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase are Harry Skelton (2 wins) and Jamie Bargary (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Sam Twiston-Davies14-3-7+6.38+7.35
Harry Skelton6-2-3+14.00+8.38
Jamie Bargary4-2-2+11.50+6.21
Charlie Deutsch7-1-2-3.00-2.81
Ben Jones1-1-1+5.50+3.44
Jonjo O'Neill Jr1-1-1+2.75+1.65
Harry Cobden5-0-2-5.00-1.94
Sean Bowen5-0-0-5.00-5.00
Nick Scholfield4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Gavin Sheehan3-0-1-3.00-1.50

Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +29.88, is when runners ran over 2m on debut.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past year, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-26.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase is Cheltenham; there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Newbury; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 221 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 8 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase; that stallion is Presenting, who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Shantou Flyer in 2017, winning for Rebecca Curtis at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Aidan Coleman. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Route to the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Matata
Kelso - 3rd of 9 (3/1)
Richard Landale Handicap Chase
2025 - Springwell Bay
Cheltenham - 2nd of 5 (13/2)
SSS Super Alloys Novices Chase
2024 - Shakem UpArry
Newbury - 6th of 20 (33/1)
Coral Gold Cup
2023 - Midnight River
Cheltenham - 3rd of 14 (15/2)
Paddy Power Gold Cup
2022 - Vienna Court
Cheltenham - 1st of 11 (12/1)
CF Roberts Electrical & Mechanical Services Mares Handicap Chase
2020 - Oldgrangewood
Newbury - 1st of 12 (6/1)
Get Your Ladbrokes ÂŁ1 Free Bet Today Handicap Chase
2019 - Aso
Newbury - 1st of 6 (8/1)
Ladbrokes Handicap Chase
2018 - Ballyhill
Aintree - F of 7 (9/2)
Premier League Derby Betting At 188Bet Handicap Chase
2017 - Shantou Flyer
Galway - 9th of 22 (10/1)
Galway Plate
2016 - Village Vic
Cheltenham - 1st of 14 (8/1)
December Gold Cup

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Expert Guide

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for jump racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful national hunt racing blogs for OLBG.

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