Ryanair Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cheltenham Festival)

Looking ahead to the Ryanair Chase, which takes place over 2m4½f at Cheltenham during the Cheltenham Festival, we dive into the history of the race to see which trainers and jockeys have dominated, and identify the statistical trends shaping the outcome of this year's renewal.
Ryanair Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cheltenham Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2026 Ryanair Chase Preview

The Ryanair Chase made its debut at the Cheltenham Festival in 2005, and before then, horses with a middle-distance profile didn't have a natural home at the Festival. It was upgraded to Grade One status in 2008, run over two miles and five furlongs, the Ryanair Chase is seen as an easier alternative to the Gold Cup, but it has usually attracted high-quality fields.

It can produce future Gold Cup winners, in 2009 Imperial Commander won the Ryanair Chase and followed up in the Gold Cup 12 months later, whilst 2019 winner Frodon went on to win the 2020 King George VI Chase at Kempton. Bryony Frost became the first woman to win a Grade 1 chase when riding Frodon to success in 2019.

Crack the Ryanair Chase code using our detailed breakdown of historical race data and trainer records, and amplify your betting power with the Cheltenham betting offers.

Ryanair Chase Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Cheltenham tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? We cover every race at the Cheltenham Festival, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday & Friday.

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
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Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026

How competitive is the Ryanair Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022, when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ryanair Chase, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2026 Ryanair Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Ryanair Chase Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Ryanair Chase Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.

These are the top three quickest-run Ryanair Chase races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Uxizandre (5:01.10) in 2015
  2. Fondmort (5:03.00) in 2006
  3. Vautour (5:05.50) in 2016

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Ryanair Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +3.83. Ahead of the 2026 Ryanair Chase, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:01.10 was set by Uxizandre in 2015, trained by Alan King and ridden by A P McCoy, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Balko Des Flos won in a time of 5:23.60 for trainer Henry De Bromhead, who booked Davy Russell in the saddle.

What the expert says...
For the quality of the fields, it is rather surprising that only 4 of the winners between 2006 & 2024 went on to win next time out. Eight of the winners went to the Melling Chase; only Albertas Run (2010) won that race.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Ryanair Chase Past Winners

Here are the Ryanair Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse that won, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Ryanair Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2025
5:09.61
Fact To File (FR)
8yo 11-10 6/4F
Mark Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2024
5:21.43
Protektorat (FR)
9yo 11-10 17/2
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2023
5:12.31
Envoi Allen (FR)
9yo 11-10 13/2
Rachael Blackmore
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2022
5:09.71
Allaho (FR)
8yo 11-10 4/7F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2021
5:09.40
Allaho (FR)
7yo 11-10 3/1F
Rachael Blackmore
W P Mullins (IRE)
2020
5:19.66
Min (FR)
9yo 11-10 2/1
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2019
5:09.59
Frodon (FR)
7yo 11-10 9/2
Bryony Frost
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2018
5:23.60
Balko Des Flos (FR)
7yo 11-10 8/1
Davy Russell
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2017
5:09.60
Un De Sceaux (FR)
9yo 11-10 7/4F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2016
5:05.50
Vautour (FR)
7yo 11-10 1/1F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ryanair Chase have been based:

  • GB: 12 winners with an additional 17 placings from 121 runners
  • IRE: 8 winners with an additional 20 placings from 78 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners

2025 Ryanair Chase Replay


Ryanair Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Ryanair Chase over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Vautour (2016), Un De Sceaux (2017), Min (2020), Allaho (2021 & 2022) and Fact To File (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ryanair Chase are Nicky Henderson (2 wins) and Henry De Bromhead (2 wins).

Here are the Ryanair Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
W P Mullins27-6-11-11.18-4.60
Nicky Henderson19-2-5-10.17-9.00
Henry De Bromhead14-2-7+2.50+3.59
Gordon Elliott8-0-2-8.00-5.65
Joseph Patrick O'Brien2-0-1-2.00-0.95

Ryanair Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Ryanair Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Min (2020) and Allaho (2022).

Here are the Ryanair Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Paul Townend
(Impaire Et Passe)
8-2-3-3.43-3.85
Mark Walsh
(Fact To File)
7-1-3-4.50-2.05
Sam Twiston-Davies
(Master Chewy)
7-0-0-7.00-7.00
Nico de Boinville
(Jonbon)
4-0-1-4.00-3.40
Darragh O'Keeffe
(Heart Wood)
2-0-1-2.00+0.30
Jack Kennedy
(Croke Park)
2-0-1-2.00-0.40
J J Slevin
(Matata)
2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Brendan Powell
(JPR One)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00
Sean Bowen
(Banbridge)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00

Ryanair Chase Trend Shortlist

Cheltenham will host the 2026 renewal of the Ryanair Chase, which will be run at 4:00 pm on Thursday, 12th March 2026, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer, jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Fact To File (4/7)
    • W P Mullins (27-6-11 -11.18 / -4.60)
    • Mark Walsh (7-1-3 -4.50 / -2.05)

Others: Heart Wood (14/15), Impaire Et Passe (14/15), Banbridge (13/15), JPR One (13/15), Jonbon (13/15), Croke Park (12/15), Matata (12/15) and Master Chewy (9/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (2:40 pm Tuesday 10th March 2026), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.

Fact To File won the Irish Gold Cup last time out, and a total of 3 previous winners of that race from a total of 19 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -6.69.

Heart Wood won the Tramore New Years Day Chase last time out, and a total of 5 previous winners of that race from a total of 19 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of +14.23.

Jonbon won the Ascot Chase last time out, and a total of 5 previous winners of that race from a total of 18 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -0.96.

JPR One won the Scottish Champion Chase last time out, and a total of 3 previous winners of that race from a total of 14 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of +0.23.

Ryanair Chase Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +17.07, is when runners had 1 career start over the trip.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career place at the track, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-57.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ryanair Chase is Kempton; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Kempton last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Leopardstown, Ascot and Cheltenham; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 199 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 5 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ryanair Chase:

  • Accordion (2 Wins)
  • Kings Theatre (2 Wins)
  • No Risk At All (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Uxizandre in 2015, winning for Alan King at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of A P McCoy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2026 Ryanair Chase, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Route to the Ryanair Chase

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Ryanair Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2025 - Fact To File
Leopardstown - 3rd of 10 (10/3)
Irish Gold Cup
2024 - Protektorat
Newbury - 3rd of 5 (10/3)
Denman Chase
2023 - Envoi Allen
Kempton - 7th of 9 (4/1)
King George VI Chase
2022 - Allaho
Thurles - 1st of 4 (4/11)
Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase
2021 - Allaho
Thurles - 1st of 7 (10/11)
Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase
2020 - Min
Leopardstown - 2nd of 7 (7/4)
Dublin Chase
2019 - Frodon
Cheltenham - 1st of 6 (9/4)
Cotswold Chase
2018 - Balko Des Flos
Leopardstown - 2nd of 12 (66/1)
Savills Chase
2017 - Un De Sceaux
Cheltenham - 1st of 7 (1/2)
Clarence House Chase
2016 - Vautour
Kempton - 2nd of 9 (3/1)
King George VI Chase

Schedule for Tuesday at the Cheltenham Festival

Prepare for the ROAR of the Cheltenham Festival on the opening day, when the tape goes up for the Supreme Novices Hurdle. The feature on Tuesday is the Champion Hurdle.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:20 Cheltenham
Supreme Novices Hurdle
Kopek Des Bordes (FR)
5yo - 4/6
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:00 Cheltenham
Arkle Challenge Trophy
Jango Baie (FR)
6yo - 5/1
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
14:40 Cheltenham
Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Puturhandstogether (IRE)
4yo - 17/2
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Mark Walsh
15:20 Cheltenham
Ultima Handicap Chase
Myretown (IRE)
8yo - 13/2
Lucinda Russell
Patrick Wadge
16:00 Cheltenham
Champion Hurdle
Golden Ace (GB)
7yo - 25/1
Jeremy Scott
Lorcan Williams
16:40 Cheltenham
Festival Plate
Jagwar (FR)
6yo - 3/1
Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Jonjo O'Neill Jr
17:20 Cheltenham
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
Haiti Couleurs (FR)
8yo - 7/2
Rebecca Curtis
Ben Jones

Schedule for Wednesday at the Cheltenham Festival

The dust has settled on the opening day of the Cheltenham Festival, and now on to day two. The feature on the second day is the Queen Mother Champion Chase. We also have the cross country scheduled on Wednesday, a race like Marmite, some love it, and some don't!

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:20 Cheltenham
Turners Novices Hurdle
The New Lion (GB)
6yo - 3/1
Dan Skelton
Harry Skelton
14:00 Cheltenham
Brown Advisory Novices Chase
Lecky Watson (IRE)
7yo - 20/1
W P Mullins
Sean O'Keeffe
14:40 Cheltenham
BetMGM Cup
Jimmy Du Seuil (FR)
6yo - 16/1
W P Mullins
Danny Mullins
15:20 Cheltenham
Cross Country Chase
Stumptown (IRE)
8yo - 5/2
Gavin Cromwell
Keith Donoghue
16:00 Cheltenham
Queen Mother Champion Chase
Marine Nationale (IRE)
8yo - 5/1
Barry Connell
Sean Flanagan
16:40 Cheltenham
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual
Jazzy Matty (FR)
6yo - 15/2
Cian Collins
Danny Gilligan
17:20 Cheltenham
Champion Bumper
Bambino Fever (IRE)
5yo - 4/1
W P Mullins
Miss J Townend

Schedule for Thursday at the Cheltenham Festival

Halfway through the festival and onto day three, where the Stayers Hurdle is the feature race. A hurdle race to test the stamina and see how can last up the Cheltenham hill.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:20 Cheltenham
Mares Novices Hurdle
Air Of Entitlement (IRE)
6yo - 16/1
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
14:00 Cheltenham
Novices Limited Handicap Chase
Caldwell Potter (FR)
7yo - 7/1
Paul Nicholls
Harry Cobden
14:40 Cheltenham
Close Brothers Mares Hurdle
Lossiemouth (FR)
6yo - 4/6
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
15:20 Cheltenham
Stayers Hurdle
Bob Olinger (IRE)
10yo - 8/1
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:00 Cheltenham
Ryanair Chase
Fact To File (FR)
8yo - 6/4
W P Mullins
Mark Walsh
16:40 Cheltenham
Pertemps Network Final
Doddiethegreat (IRE)
9yo - 25/1
Nicky Henderson
Brian Hughes
17:20 Cheltenham
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Daily Present (IRE)
8yo - 12/1
Paul Nolan
Mr B T Stone

Schedule for Friday at the Cheltenham Festival

The final day of the festival and the feature race that we have all been waiting for, the Cheltenham Gold Cup, in which the Irish have been fairly dominant in recent years.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:20 Cheltenham
Triumph Hurdle
Poniros (GB)
4yo - 100/1
W P Mullins
Jonjo O'Neill Jr
14:00 Cheltenham
County Handicap Hurdle
Kargese (FR)
5yo - 3/1
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:40 Cheltenham
Mrs Paddy Power Mares Chase
Dinoblue (FR)
8yo - 6/4
W P Mullins
Mark Walsh
15:20 Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
Jasmin De Vaux (FR)
6yo - 6/1
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
16:00 Cheltenham
Cheltenham Gold Cup
Inothewayurthinkin (IRE)
7yo - 15/2
Gavin Cromwell
Mark Walsh
16:40 Cheltenham
Festival Hunters Chase
Wonderwall (IRE)
9yo - 28/1
S Curling
Mr R James
17:20 Cheltenham
Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle
Wodhooh (FR)
5yo - 9/2
Gordon Elliott
Danny Gilligan

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Ryanair Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Expert Guide

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for jump racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful national hunt racing blogs for OLBG.

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