Scottish Borders National Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Updated: 823 Horse Racing

Contested over a distance of 4m½f is the Scottish Borders National which is scheduled to take place at Kelso. Below we have detailed past winners along with both trainer and jockey records in the race and see which trends have been set based on past winners of the Scottish Borders National.

Scottish Borders National Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Scottish Borders National Preview

Scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Kelso racecourse is the Scottish Borders National, a race which has changed over the years, it was originally scheduled to take place in March but in 2007 was moved to December, it was run twice in that year and some have questioned the move to December as it has been cancelled three times since the move due to bad weather, it does make it much more demanding also, four miles in December is always going to be much more testing than four miles in March.

Scottish Borders National Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Kelso tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

How competitive is the Scottish Borders National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 19 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 19 renewals of the Scottish Borders National, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Scottish Borders National Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 19 if you had followed the winner of the Scottish Borders National next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -15.50. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Scottish Borders National see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 19 renewals, a time of 8:21.30 was set by Royale Knight in 2013, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Dr Richard Newland and ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies. The slowest winning time was set in 2002 when Running Moss won in a time of 9:34.20, booked to ride was Mr C Storey on this Alan Mactaggart trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Scottish Borders National over the last 19 renewals:

  1. Royale Knight (8:21.30) in 2013
  2. Tipsy Mouse (8:24.00) in 2004
  3. Harry The Viking (8:31.60) in 2018

Scottish Borders National Past Winners

Here are the Scottish Borders National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Scottish Borders National as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: The race was originally run in March but was switched to December in 2007. No race in 2001, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2017 & 2023 and two races in 2007.

YearHorseInfo
2022
8:55.09
Flower Of Scotland (FR)
7yo 10-2 100/30F
Danny McMenamin
Sandy Thomson (GB)
2021
9:06.14
Big River (IRE)
11yo 11-9 15/2
Derek Fox
Lucinda Russell (GB)
2020
9:04.58
Dino Boy (FR)
7yo 10-0 11/1
Conor O'Farrell
Iain Jardine (GB)
2019
9:19.49
Bigirononhiship (IRE)
8yo 10-11 12/1
Craig Nichol
Rose Dobbin (GB)
2018
8:31.60
Harry The Viking (GB)
13yo 10-0 16/1
Rachael McDonald (5lbs)
Sandy Thomson (GB)
2016
8:46.80
Harry The Viking (GB)
11yo 9-13 5/1
Rachael McDonald (7lbs)
Sandy Thomson (GB)
2015
9:33.60
Neptune Equester (GB)
12yo 11-4 11/4F
Derek Fox (3lbs)
Sandy Thomson (GB)
2014
8:44.20
Neptune Equester (GB)
11yo 10-4 5/1
Derek Fox (3lbs)
Sandy Thomson (GB)
2013
8:21.30
Royale Knight (GB)
7yo 10-3 6/1
Sam Twiston-Davies
Dr Richard Newland (GB)
2012
9:23.20
Mortimers Cross (GB)
11yo 10-10 12/1
Mr Paul John (7lbs)
John Needham (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Scottish Borders National have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 37 placings from 203 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 14 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners

Scottish Borders National Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Scottish Borders National over the last 19 renewals is Sandy Thomson who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Neptune Equester (2014 & 2015), Harry The Viking (2016 & 2018) and Flower Of Scotland (2022).

Here are some of the top Scottish Borders National trainer statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Sandy Thomson10-5-5+27.08+14.86
Lucinda Russell11-1-3-2.50+0.92
Dr Richard Newland6-1-2+1.00+0.20
Sue Smith6-1-1-2.00-3.12
Rose Dobbin5-1-1+8.00+3.50
Ian Williams3-1-1+3.00+1.13
Iain Jardine2-1-1+10.00+5.60
Nick Williams2-1-1+4.00+2.00
John Quinn1-1-1+4.00+2.40
Jonjo O'Neill8-0-2-8.00-5.30

Scottish Borders National Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Scottish Borders National over the last 19 renewals is Derek Fox who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Neptune Equester (2014 & 2015) and Big River (2021). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Scottish Borders National are James Reveley (2 wins) and Rachael McDonald (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Scottish Borders National jockey statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Derek Fox6-3-4+12.25+10.97
James Reveley6-2-5+27.00+18.83
Rachael McDonald2-2-2+21.00+13.13
Craig Nichol4-1-1+9.00+4.50
Sam Twiston-Davies4-1-1+3.00+0.60
Conor O'Farrell3-1-1+9.00+4.60
Daryl Jacob3-1-2+3.00+1.92
Dougie Costello3-1-2+2.00+2.40
Danny McMenamin2-1-1+2.33+1.08
Graham Lee8-0-0-8.00-8.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, 8), F, 5, 1, 2, F, PU, 1, UR, PU, 3, PU, (1, PU), 6, 2, F, F, 0, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 19 / 19 (70%) - Carried 135 - 158lbs (LTO)
  • 19 / 19 (81%) - In a field of 7 - 17 (Debut)
  • 19 / 19 (81%) - Carried 140 - 164lbs (Last Win)
  • 19 / 19 (85%) - Off a break of 12 - 69 days
  • 19 / 19 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 56+ (Last 3)
  • 19 / 19 (86%) - Had 1 - 13 placings (Hcps)
  • 19 / 19 (86%) - Made 2 - 9 starts (1 Year)
  • 19 / 19 (87%) - Had 3 - 19 placings (Chase)
  • 19 / 19 (87%) - Made 4 - 37 starts (Hcps)
  • 19 / 19 (87%) - Ran over 1m7½f - 3mf (Debut)
  • 19 / 19 (87%) - Held an OR of 97+ (Last Win)
  • 19 / 19 (88%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (1 Year)
  • 19 / 19 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 94+ (Career)
  • 19 / 19 (88%) - No bigger than 25/1

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Kelso racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Scottish Borders National. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Scottish Borders National by adding a tip on the race here.

Scottish Borders National Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +19.08 is when runners had 1 start in the past 90 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a race worth £4,000 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-34.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Scottish Borders National is Carlisle, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Carlisle last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Kelso, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Kelso last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 207 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 16 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Scottish Borders National:

  • Roselier (3 Wins)
  • Sir Harry Lewis (2 Wins)
  • Sovereign Water (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Scottish Borders National despite multiple attempts:

  • Endoli (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Westerner (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 19 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Rambling Minster in 2007, winning for Keith Reveley at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of James Reveley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 19 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters. If you are interested in other races at the Kelso racecourse, then why not read our blog for the Premier Kelso Hurdle?

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