Yorkshire Oaks Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)

Updated: 1412 Horse Racing

We look at the Yorkshire Oaks ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m4f at York during the Ebor Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Yorkshire Oaks.

Yorkshire Oaks Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Yorkshire Oaks Preview

The Yorkshire Oaks is the feature race on day two of the four-day York Ebor Festival which takes place in August of each year, this is a Group 1 race open to fillies and mares who are aged three or older and is run over one mile, three furlongs and one-hundred and eighty-eight yards. Established in 1849, the race was originally open to just three-year-old runners, restrictions were lifted in 1991 when older runners were allowed to enter the race, watch out for runners coming from the Epsom Oaks, Love (2020) was the last runner to complete the double.

Yorkshire Oaks Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at York then head over to the York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Yorkshire Oaks market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Yorkshire Oaks, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Yorkshire Oaks Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Yorkshire Oaks next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +6.31. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Yorkshire Oaks remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:25.11 was set by Lush Lashes in 2008, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by J S Bolger and ridden by Kevin Manning. The slowest winning time was set in 2004 when Quiff won in a time of 2:38.03, booked to ride was Kieren Fallon on this Sir Michael Stoute trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Yorkshire Oaks over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2008 - Lush Lashes (2:25.11)
  • 2023 - Warm Heart (2:25.86)
  • 2021 - Snowfall (2:26.61)

Yorkshire Oaks Past Winners

Here are the Yorkshire Oaks past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Yorkshire Oaks as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:25.86
Warm Heart (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (9 of 10) 9/1
James Doyle
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022
2:29.92
Alpinista (GB)
5yo 9-9 (5 of 7) 7/4F
Luke Morris
Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB)
2021
2:26.61
Snowfall (JPN)
3yo 8-12 (3 of 7) 8/15F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2020
2:31.31
Love (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (4 of 6) 4/9F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
2:29.90
Enable (GB)
5yo 9-7 (1 of 4) 1/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2018
2:30.44
Sea Of Class (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (5 of 8) 7/4F
James Doyle
William Haggas (GB)
2017
2:35.79
Enable (GB)
3yo 8-12 (1 of 6) 1/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2016
2:28.50
Seventh Heaven (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (10 of 12) 100/30
Colm O'Donoghue
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
2:32.77
Pleascach (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (8 of 11) 8/1
Kevin Manning
J S Bolger (IRE)
2014
2:28.59
Tapestry (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (6 of 7) 8/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Yorkshire Oaks have been based:

  • GB: 10 winners with an additional 18 placings from 95 runners
  • IRE: 9 winners with an additional 7 placings from 48 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
  • HK: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
  • ITY: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Yorkshire Oaks Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Yorkshire Oaks over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from Alexandrova (2006), Peeping Fawn (2007), Tapestry (2014), Seventh Heaven (2016), Love (2020), Snowfall (2021) and Warm Heart (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Yorkshire Oaks are John Gosden (4 wins) and J S Bolger (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Yorkshire Oaks trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 29-7-12 +0.18 -1.88
John Gosden 15-4-9 -3.00 +0.93
J S Bolger 6-2-2 +5.00 +1.43
Sir Michael Stoute 11-1-5 -6.50 -0.98
Saeed bin Suroor 6-1-1 +1.50 -1.10
A De Royer-Dupre 3-1-1 +0.00 -0.75
William Haggas 3-1-1 -0.25 -0.95
Sir Mark Prescott Bt 2-1-2 +0.75 +4.72
Ralph Beckett 5-0-1 -5.00 -2.50
Mrs John Harrington 5-0-0 -5.00 -5.00

Yorkshire Oaks Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Yorkshire Oaks over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori who have both won the race three times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Tapestry (2014), Love (2020) and Snowfall (2021). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Blue Bunting (2011) and Enable (2017 & 2019). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Yorkshire Oaks is James Doyle (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Yorkshire Oaks jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 14-3-7 -2.03 -0.21
Frankie Dettori 10-3-5 -3.75 -3.29
James Doyle 5-2-2 +7.75 +3.45
William Buick 8-1-3 -5.00 -2.73
Tom Queally 4-1-2 -0.25 -0.40
Kerrin McEvoy 2-1-1 +5.50 +2.90
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire 1-1-1 +2.00 +1.25
Luke Morris 1-1-1 +1.75 +1.09
Seamie Heffernan 6-0-2 -6.00 -3.00
Jamie Spencer 6-0-1 -6.00 -5.46

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 10, 1, 1, 1, 2, RR, 1, 2, 1, 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (49%) - No bigger than 9/1
  • 20 / 20 (67%) - Within the first 5 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl3/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Furthest ran 1m4f - 1m4½f
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Furthest Placed 1m2½f - 1m4½f
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved an RPR of 105+ (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Break of 17 - 87 days (Last Place)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Off a break of 17 - 62 days
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl4
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran over 6f - 1mf (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Not on GS/FM/STD-SLW (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 43+ (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Yorkshire Oaks. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Yorkshire Oaks by adding a tip on the race here.

Yorkshire Oaks Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +8.18 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 1 (L), when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-32.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 9 (3,6) [10 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 (2) [7 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (7) [7 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 4 (5) [6 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 [4 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Yorkshire Oaks is Curragh, there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Goodwood and Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Yorkshire Oaks:

  • Galileo (5 Wins)
  • Danehill (2 Wins)
  • Nathaniel (2 Wins)
  • Sadlers Wells (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Yorkshire Oaks despite multiple attempts:

  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Barathea (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Warm Heart in 2023, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 9/1 under the guidance of James Doyle. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 11 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Yorkshire Oaks.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 21st August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 22nd August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Friday 23rd August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 24th August 2024

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