Yorkshire Oaks Preview, Trends & Analysis

We look at the Group 1 Yorkshire Oaks ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m4f at York to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Yorkshire Oaks.

Yorkshire Oaks Preview, Trends & Analysis
Yorkshire Oaks Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Yorkshire Oaks Preview

The Yorkshire Oaks is the feature race on day two of the four-day York Ebor Festival which takes place in August of each year, this is a Group 1 race open to fillies and mares who are aged three or older and is run over one mile, three furlongs and one-hundred and eighty-eight yards. Established in 1849, the race was originally open to just three-year-old runners, restricting were lifted in 1991 when the older runners were allowed to enter the race, watch out for runners coming from the Epsom Oaks, Love (2020) was the last runner to complete the double.

Yorkshire Oaks Content:

We also have a dedicated York Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:25.11 was set by Lush Lashes in 2008, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by J S Bolger and ridden by Kevin Manning. The slowest winning time was set in 2004 when Quiff won in a time of 2:38.03, booked to ride was Kieren Fallon on this Sir Michael Stoute trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Yorkshire Oaks over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2008 - Lush Lashes (2:25.11)
  • 2021 - Snowfall (2:26.61)
  • 2003 - Islington (2:27.44)

How competitive is the Yorkshire Oaks market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Yorkshire Oaks, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Yorkshire Oaks next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.01. Ahead of the 2023 Yorkshire Oaks why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

Yorkshire Oaks Past Winners

Here are the Yorkshire Oaks past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Yorkshire Oaks as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
2:29.92
Alpinista (GB)
5yo 9-9 (5 of 7) 7/4F
Luke Morris
Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB)
2021
2:26.61
Snowfall (JPN)
3yo 8-12 (3 of 7) 8/15F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2020
2:31.31
Love (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (4 of 6) 4/9F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
2:29.90
Enable (GB)
5yo 9-7 (1 of 4) 1/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2018
2:30.44
Sea Of Class (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (5 of 8) 7/4F
James Doyle
William Haggas (GB)
2017
2:35.79
Enable (GB)
3yo 8-12 (1 of 6) 1/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2016
2:28.50
Seventh Heaven (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (10 of 12) 100/30
Colm O'Donoghue
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
2:32.77
Pleascach (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (8 of 11) 8/1
Kevin Manning
J S Bolger (IRE)
2014
2:28.59
Tapestry (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (6 of 7) 8/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2013
2:28.29
The Fugue (GB)
4yo 9-7 (6 of 7) 2/1F
William Buick
John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Yorkshire Oaks have been based:

  • GB: 11 winners with an additional 19 placings from 94 runners
  • IRE: 8 winners with an additional 6 placings from 46 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
  • HK: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • ITY: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Yorkshire Oaks Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Yorkshire Oaks over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 6 times. Those 6 winners came from Alexandrova (2006), Peeping Fawn (2007), Tapestry (2014), Seventh Heaven (2016), Love (2020) & Snowfall (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Yorkshire Oaks are John Gosden (4 wins), Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins) & J S Bolger (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Yorkshire Oaks trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 28-6-10 -8.82 -8.11
John Gosden 16-4-10 -4.00 +2.23
Sir Michael Stoute 13-2-6 -6.77 -1.54
J S Bolger 6-2-2 +5.00 +1.43
Saeed bin Suroor 6-1-1 +1.50 -1.10
A De Royer-Dupre 3-1-1 +0.00 -0.75
William Haggas 3-1-1 -0.25 -0.95
Sir Mark Prescott Bt 2-1-2 +0.75 +4.72
Mrs John Harrington 5-0-0 -5.00 -5.00
Ralph Beckett 4-0-1 -4.00 -1.50

Yorkshire Oaks Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Yorkshire Oaks over the last twenty renewals with both Ryan Moore & Frankie Dettori who have both won the race 3 times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Tapestry (2014), Love (2020) & Snowfall (2021). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Blue Bunting (2011), Enable (2017) & Enable (2019). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Yorkshire Oaks is Kevin Manning (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Yorkshire Oaks jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 13-3-6 -1.03 -0.04
Frankie Dettori 10-3-4 -3.75 -4.29
Kevin Manning 5-2-2 +6.00 +2.43
William Buick 7-1-3 -4.00 -1.73
Tom Queally 4-1-2 -0.25 -0.40
James Doyle 4-1-1 -1.25 -1.95
Kerrin McEvoy 2-1-1 +5.50 +2.90
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire 1-1-1 +2.00 +1.25
Luke Morris 1-1-1 +1.75 +1.09
Seamie Heffernan 6-0-2 -6.00 -3.00

2023 Yorkshire Oaks Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,4,10,1,1,1,2,RR,1,2,1,2,2,2,1,1,1,1,1,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (46%) - No bigger than 8/1
  • 20 / 20 (56%) - Within first 4 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (70%) - A TS no less than 44 (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Furthest ran of 1m4f - 1m4½f
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a RPR of 107+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Off a break of 17-62 days
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran over 6f - 1m (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried 123-128lbs (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a RPR of 98+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - Achieved a TS of 43+ (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (74%) - Beaten no more than 5½l (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - Ran in at least a G2 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - Previously contested a G1
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - Field of 6-11 (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (51%) - Previously won at least a G2
  • 18 / 20 (54%) - Had 3+ wins (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Yorkshire Oaks. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Yorkshire Oaks by adding a tip on the race here.

Yorkshire Oaks Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.91 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 1 (L), when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-33.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 5 (2) [7 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (7) [7 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 4 (5) [6 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 [4 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 5 (4,7) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Yorkshire Oaks is Curragh, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Goodwood and Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Yorkshire Oaks:

  • Galileo (4 Wins)
  • Sadlers Wells (3 Wins)
  • Danehill (2 Wins)
  • Nathaniel (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Yorkshire Oaks despite multiple attempts:

  • Barathea (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Tapestry in 2014 when winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 8/1 under the guidance of Ryan Moore. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 12 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Yorkshire Oaks see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 23rd August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 24th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Friday 25th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 26th August 2023

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