York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap Preview, Trends & Analysis

We look at the Class 2 York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 2m½f at York to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap.

York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap Preview, Trends & Analysis
York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap Preview

One of only two races at the York Ebor Festival that is run over further than two miles is the Stayers Heritage Handicap with the Lonsdale Cup being the other race. This Class 2 race is run over two miles and fifty-six yards that is open to runners who are aged three or older and being a heritage handicap means the race carried a purse of at least £50k.

York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap Content:

We also have a dedicated York Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

When looking over the past 14 renewals, a time of 3:30.03 was set by Oceane in 2016, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Alan King and ridden by Fergus Sweeney. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Magic Circle won in a time of 3:46.29, booked to ride was Harry Bentley on this Ralph Beckett trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap over the last 14 renewals:

  • 2016 - Oceane (3:30.03)
  • 2018 - Here And Now (3:30.27)
  • 2009 - Swingkeel (3:32.26)

How competitive is the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 14 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 14 renewals of the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap, the over-round has been 125%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £125 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 14 if you had followed the winner of the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap next time out then you would have back a total of 0 winners. Backing all 14 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -14.00. Whilst we wait for the 2023 York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap Past Winners

Here are the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
3:35.93
Alfred Boucher (GB)
6yo 8-13 (11 of 12) 5/1
William Buick
Ian Williams (GB)
2021
3:32.78
Arcadian Sunrise (IRE)
7yo 8-13 (13 of 14) 11/4F
Jamie Spencer
John Queally (IRE)
2020
3:33.23
Summer Moon (GB)
4yo 9-8 (2 of 17) 18/1
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)
2019
3:33.22
Eddystone Rock (IRE)
7yo 9-3 (8 of 17) 8/1
James Doyle
John Best (GB)
2018
3:30.27
Here And Now (GB)
4yo 8-13 (2 of 16) 12/1
Harry Bentley
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2017
3:46.29
Magic Circle (IRE)
5yo 9-2 (13 of 14) 7/2F
Harry Bentley
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2016
3:30.03
Oceane (FR)
4yo 8-11 (17 of 15) 7/1
Fergus Sweeney
Alan King (GB)
2015
3:34.57
Heartbreak City (FR)
5yo 8-4 (3 of 15) 7/1
Franny Norton
A J Martin (IRE)
2014
3:33.60
Edge Of Sanity (IRE)
5yo 9-6 (7 of 16) 25/1
Paul Mulrennan
Brian Ellison (GB)
2013
3:37.49
Broxbourne (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (13 of 17) 6/1
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 11 winners with an additional 34 placings from 203 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap over the last 14 renewals with both Mark Johnston & Ralph Beckett who have both won the race 2 times. Mark Johnston winners have been with Broxbourne (2013) & Summer Moon (2020). Ralph Beckett winners have been with Magic Circle (2017) & Here And Now (2018). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap, Richard Fahey has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap trainer statistics over the last 14 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Mark Johnston 18-2-5 +8.00 +5.44
Ralph Beckett 9-2-2 +8.50 +2.69
Brian Ellison 8-1-2 +18.00 +9.76
Ian Williams 8-1-2 -2.00 -2.74
Alan King 5-1-1 +3.00 +0.38
John Quinn 4-1-3 +5.00 +5.44
John Best 2-1-1 +7.00 +4.00
A J Martin 2-1-2 +6.00 +4.44
D K Weld 1-1-1 +4.50 +2.81
John Queally 1-1-1 +2.75 +1.72

York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap over the last 14 renewals with all of Joe Fanning, Jamie Spencer & Harry Bentley having all won the race 2 times. Joe Fanning winners have been with Broxbourne (2013) & Summer Moon (2020). Jamie Spencer winners have been with Hawk Mountain (2010) & Arcadian Sunrise (2021). Harry Bentley winners have been with Magic Circle (2017) & Here And Now (2018).

Here are some of the top York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap jockey statistics over the last 14 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Joe Fanning 8-2-3 +18.00 +12.00
Jamie Spencer 8-2-3 +4.75 +2.72
Harry Bentley 5-2-2 +12.50 +6.69
Paul Hanagan 11-1-4 +10.00 +10.13
James Doyle 8-1-3 +1.00 +0.88
William Buick 7-1-2 -1.00 -1.43
Franny Norton 6-1-1 +2.00 -0.62
Paul Mulrennan 3-1-2 +23.00 +15.13
Daniel Tudhope 9-0-0 -9.00 -9.00
Ryan Moore 7-0-2 -7.00 -2.75

2023 York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,7,3,1,10,3,8,13,1,3,12,6,1,12

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 14 / 14 (67%) - Had 1-6 placings (Class)
  • 14 / 14 (80%) - A RPR no less than 44 (Class)
  • 14 / 14 (81%) - A OR no less than 78 (Last 5)
  • 14 / 14 (82%) - A TS no less than 23 (Last 3)
  • 14 / 14 (84%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 14 / 14 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
  • 14 / 14 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 58+ (Last 3)
  • 14 / 14 (87%) - Achieved a RPR of 83+ (Class)
  • 13 / 14 (52%) - Highest placed is a Cl2
  • 13 / 14 (60%) - Highest ran either G3 or Cl2
  • 13 / 14 (74%) - Either a 4yo, 5yo or 7yo
  • 13 / 14 (74%) - No equipment or just tt
  • 13 / 14 (79%) - Carried 126-160lbs (LTO)
  • 13 / 14 (84%) - Previously ran over 2m+
  • 12 / 14 (70%) - Previously placed over 2m+

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 7+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +48.50 is when runners had 2 career places in the class. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places in the class, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-61.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 11 (7,2) [12 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 13 (12,14) [14 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (6,17,9) [17 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 8 (13,15,12) [17 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 2 (6,7,3) [16 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap are Goodwood and Ascot, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 13 winners from a total of 190 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 24 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • High Chaparral (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Teofilo (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Cape Cross (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Dalakhani (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 14 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Edge Of Sanity in 2014 when winning for Brian Ellison at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Paul Mulrennan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 14 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2023 York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 23rd August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 24th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Friday 25th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 26th August 2023

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